Transcript Slide 1

The Colorado Water Conservation Board
Finance Section Chief :
Tim Feehan, P.E.
Meeting Colorado’s
Future Water Needs With
Limited Resources
2010 Colorado Water Workshop
Colorado Water Conservation Board
Presentation Summary:


2050 M&I Gap Projections
Meeting Colorado Water Demands
Colorado Water Conservation Board
Presentation Summary:


CWCB Loan Program & Other Funding Options
Summary
Carl Trick
Jeff Blakeslee
14 Projects
$23,000,000
3 Projects
$1,500,000
Eric Wilkinson
206 Projects
$393,000,000
John Redifer
67 Projects
$101,000,000
Barbara Biggs
John McClow
32 Projects
$10,000,000
Reed Dils
Travis Smith
April Montgomery
30 Projects
$39,000,000
17 Projects
$6,800,000
51 Projects
$103,000,000
List of Reports
•
2050 M&I Water Use Projections– final complete
•
Energy Study Phase 2 Revised Water Use Scenarios Memo –
draft roundtable product complete; finalize in August
•
M&I Gap Analysis – draft scheduled for August
•
Reconnaissance Level cost Estimates for Ag & New Supply Strategy Concepts– final complete
•
Ag Demands/ Alternative Transfer Methods –
draft complete; finalize in 2010 Statewide Water Needs Assessment (SNA)
•
Nonconsumptive:
– Watershed Flow Evaluation Tool Pilot Study– final complete
– NCNA Focus Mapping (Phase 1 )– final complete
– NCNA Phase 2 – draft complete; finalize in 2010 State Needs Assessment
•
Conservation Products:
– SWSI Conservation Levels Analysis – final complete
– Evaluation of Passive Savings– final complete
– Guidebook of Best Management Practices for Municipal Water Conservation in Colorado–
final scheduled for August
– M&I Conservation Strategies – draft scheduled for September; finalize in 2010 SNA
– Feasibility Study to Assess the Permanency & Penetration Rates of M&I Water Conservation –
draft scheduled for October; finalize in Dec. 2010
•
Portfolios and Strategies – draft scheduled for September
– Density Memo – draft completed and will be appendix for portfolios memo
•
Final 2010 State Needs Assessment Report – due Nov/Jan timeframe
Reports in M&I Context
State of Colorado 2050 M&I Needs
Oil Shale Phase II
and Portfolio to Meet NeedsATM
Methods
Acre-Feet/Year
Energy Report
1,000,000
The Gap
Ag Transfer &
New Supply
Development
Cost
Estimates
Density Memo
500,000
M&I
Demands to
2050
Identified
Projects &
Processes
(IPPs)
0
Conservation
Strategy
2050 M&I Water Needs
2050 SSI Water Needs
Passive
Conservation
Report
2050 Oil Shale Water Needs
Passive M&I Conservation
IPPs
Conservation
Land Use/Density
New Supply Development
New Supply Development Reuse
Agricultural Transfer
Agricultural Transfer Reuse
Reuse for Ag Use
M&I Needs
Portfolio
2050 M&I and SSI Demand
2,500,000
Yampa Basin SSI
Yampa Basin M&I
Southwest SSI
Water Demands (acre-feet/year)
2,000,000
Southwest M&I
South Platte Basin SSI
South Platte Basin M&I
1,500,000
Rio Grande Basin SSI
Rio Grande Basin M&I
North Platte Basin SSI
North Platte Basin M&I
1,000,000
Metro Basin SSI
Metro Basin M&I
Gunnison Basin SSI
500,000
Gunnison Basin M&I
Colorado Basin SSI
Colorado Basin M&I
0
Arkansas Basin SSI
Low
2008
2035
Middle
2050
High
Arkansas Basin M&I
M&I Gap – Low Scenario
2050 Gap - Low Scenario
(150,000 AFY)
2,000,000
Acre-Feet/Year
1,500,000
IPPs if 100% Successful
1,000,000
Existing Supplies and Systems
500,000
2008
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
M&I Gap – Medium Scenario
2050 Gap - Medium Scenario
360,000 AFY
2,000,000
Acre-Feet/Year
1,500,000
IPPs based on IBCC Input
1,000,000
Existing Supplies and Systems
500,000
2008
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
M&I Gap – High Scenario
2050 Gap - High Scenario
580,000 AFY
2,000,000
Acre-Feet/Year
1,500,000
Status Quo IPPs
1,000,000
Existing Supplies and Systems
500,000
2008
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Addressing the M&I Gap
Strategies
Agricultural
Transfer
Portfolio
Colorado River
System
Conservation
IPPs
Mid Demand/
Mid Supply
Working Portfolio
Goals
Projects and Methods
• Agricultural Transfers (Traditional and Alternative)
 South Platte Basin
 Arkansas Basin
• Green Mountain
• Yampa
• Flaming Gorge
• Blue Mesa
• Percent Savings Off of 2008 Water Usage
• Providers current conservation plans and optimization of
existing infrastructure
• Southern Delivery System, Arkansas Valley Conduit, Wolcott
Reservoir, Elkhead Enlargement, Moffat Collection System,
Rueter Hess Enlargement, Thornton Northern Project, Prairie
Waters, Chatfield Reallocation, Northern Integrated Supply Plan
(NISP), Windy Gap Firming, Halligan Enlargement, Seaman
Enlargement
• 60 to 70 Percent Statewide Success Rate Desired on IPPs
• 15 to 20 Percent off of 2008 Demand
• Agricultural Transfers Between 60,000 to 200,000 out of ag AF
• 350,000 AF from New Supply Development for East Slope and
West Slope
2050 Changes in Irrigated Acres
18,000acres
66,000 acres
180,000 to
267,000 acres
51,000 acres
77,000 acres
21,000 to
28,000 acres
35,000 to
73,000 acres
83,000 to
7,000 to
84,000 acres
13,000 acres
Statewide Total:
504,000 to 718,00 acres
15 to 20 percent
Reports in the M&I Context
ATM Methods
State of Colorado 2050 M&I 1.Needs
Presumptive
Consumptive Use
and Portfolio to Meet Needs
Oil Shale Phase II
2. Ability to transfer
part of CU
3. Ditch-wide
analysis
Energy Report
Acre-Feet/Year
Build-out: 0, 59, 120 KAF
2050 Range: 0, 7.2, 44 KAF
1,000,000
The Gap
150 KAF to
580 KAF
27-37% w/ IPPs
@ 100% Success
New M&I
Demands to
500,000
2050
Ag Transfer &
New Supply
Development
Cost
Estimates
Life Cycle Costs:
Ag $16 B-$24 B
New $16 B-$19 B
Density Memo
2050 Baseline
Demands:
745 KAF to
1.1 MAF
10% off new metro
supplies (35 KAF).
Generally x % denser
= x/2% water savings
IPPs
439 KAF to 596KAF
0 Needs:
Other
• Nonconsumpitive: M&I Needs
Portfolio
Conservation
Strategy
700+ Projects & Methods
finalized for whole state
2050 M&IMapping
Water Needs
2050 SSI Water Needs
2050 Oil Shale Water Needs
• Agricultural
Needs:
Passive M&I
Conservation
Conservation
IPPs
2050 Ag Demands:
Land Use/Density
5.6 MAF (15 to 20 % decrease inNew Supply Development
irrigated acres)
Agricultural Transfer
Agricultural Transfer Reuse
157 KAF - 522 KAF
Passive
Conservation
New Supply Development
Reuse
Report
Reuse for Ag Use
154 KAF
Funding $$$$
Financing/ Water Project Loans
• Low Interest Loans for Water Projects
(2.75% for ag)
–
–
–
–
Rehabilitation
Dam Safety Restrictions
New or Increased Storage
Purchase of Water Rights
• 424 Project Authorized Since 1971
• $704M in Loan Funds Approved To-date
• 50 Projects in Design/Const. - $331M
CWCB’s Funds
$0
General Fund
$
Construction
Fund
&
Severance Tax
Trust Fund
Perpetual Base
Account
CWCB is Self-Supporting
CWCB REVOLVING FUNDS
1. Construction Fund – Principal &
Interest from Loans, Treasury
Interest & Federal Mineral Lease.
2. Severance Tax Perp. Base Fund
Principal & Interest from Loans,
Treasury Interest, and 25% of all
Severance Tax.
Legislative Cash Transfers
$130M transferred FY09/10
CWCB’s Fund Equity Growth
$450
$400
EQUITY (millions)
$350
$300
$250
$200
$150
Construction Fund
Severance Tax
$100
Lost Growth - CF
$50
Lost Growth - ST
$0
CWCB’s Federal Mineral Lease and Severance Tax Revenues
$80
$70
$ Millions
$60
$50
$40
$30
Mineral Lease
$20
$10
$0
Severance Tax
Program Impacts - CWCB
•
•
•
•
•
No New Loans 2010, 2011, - ?
No New Statewide or Basin Grants
No New Studies
Compact Compliance
Limited Resources for Satellite Monitor and
Stream Gauge Monitoring and Decision
Support System
Program Impacts – (SEO)
• Stream Gauge Monitoring Program at Risk
• Reduced SEO Funding Levels:
– 2,900 Dams/Reservoir – 1,904 Jurisdictional
– 118,000 AF of Restricted Storage Statewide
– 243 SWSP’s reviewed 2008
– 5,600 Well Permit Applications Reviewed
– 1,174 Small/Large Capacity Well Permits Issue
– Adm. of 14M AF of Annual Surface Diversions
Other Funding Options
•
•
•
•
•
Water and Power Development Authority
USDA Rural Development
Natural Resources Conservation Service
Department of Local Affairs
Federal Projects
Summary
•
•
•
•
•
•
Water shortage is not just a 2030/50 Issue
Conservation, Re-use, Alt. Transfer Methods
Additional Storage
Rehabilitation of Existing Infrastructure
Funding and Impacts
Get Involved