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Session 3 Advance Metering Infrastructure, Power Trading and Cloud Computing Transmission, Distribution and Metering India (Enabling Smart Grid & Smart Metering) Nov 10, 2010 Mrs. Rupa Devi Singh, MD & CEO Power Exchange India Limited www.powerexindia.com Power Exchange India Limited - Voluntary but Institutionally promoted PROMOTERS National Stock Exchange (NSE ) National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) EQUITY PARTNERS Central Government Entities State Government Entities Private power producers Power Finance Corporation Limited GUVNL JSW Energy Limited MPPTCL Tata Power WBSEDCL GMR Energy Limited The foremost power sector organizations in India, partnering for a vibrant power market PXIL leverages on promoter and shareholder experience : - NSE -largest stock exchange in India and 3rd largest in the world - Govt entities discharging the Universal service obligation - Leading Private producers in the country www.powerexindia.com Indian Power Sector One of the largest interconnected power systems in the world Generation Capacity of 164,836 MW(Sep 2010)-800,000 GW by 2030 Energy deficit of about -9.6% and peak demand deficit of -10.5% (Sep 2010) Predominant focus on fossil fuels, especially coal Types of Transactions (Sep 2010) 2.00% 6.00% Source: CEA, NLDC *Deficit numbers for Jan 2010 4.00% Long Term PPAs Bilateral Short Term Balancing PXs 88.00% www.powerexindia.com Indian Power Sector -Installed Capacity Installed Capacity as on September 2010 Installed Capacity Coal Gas Diesel Nuclear Hydro RES Total Installed Capacity-Fuel Mix MW 87944 17374 1199 4560 37329 16429 164835 Source- CEA www.powerexindia.com Indian Power Sector Demand – Supply Summary Forecasts Energy Requirements (in BU) Peak Load (in GW) Energy Availability* (in BU) Peak Served* (in GW) 969 690 624 Xth Plan 2006-07 Source: CEA 1392 218 1098 XIth Plan 2011-12 154 153 821 XIIth Plan 2016-17 100 96 115 Xth Plan 2006-07 XIth Plan 2011-12 XIIth Plan 2016-17 *Extrapolated by PXIL Even with higher rates (6% y-o-y) of capacity addition and energy generation, India would continue to remain a power deficit country www.powerexindia.com India’s Projected Energy & Capacity requirements 1200 8% Growth Rate Cummulative Capacity @8% Growth rate 9% Growth Rate 1000 Cummulative Capacity @9% Growth rate 685 800 960 778 575 G 600 W 488 425 400 306 337 275 220 233 200 67 78 86 104 119 151 150 197 203 0 XI Plan XII Plan XIII Plan XIV Plan XV Plan 2027-32 2007-12 Immense task ahead in terms of capacity addition requirements www.powerexindia.com ROLE AND IMPACT OF POWER EXCHANGES IN ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENT www.powerexindia.com Electricity Act 2003- transition to a market Development of a multi-buyer multi-seller market in power Compulsory Unbundling of utilities Complete De-licensing of generation “Trading” of Electricity – a licensed activity Provides Consumer level choice of supplier Separation of “transmission ownership” and “system operation” Universal Open Access to transmission networks for all consumers over 1 MW Robust Policy framework providing ground rules for competition National Electricity Policy detailing roadmap for development of markets - PXs Mandated Competitive procurement of power by uitilities Global competitive bidding for projects in transmission A proactive approach for development of a market in renewables Committed the Nation to Development of a Vibrant Market in Electricity www.powerexindia.com Indian Power Sector – Post Reforms Transition Monopoly Purchasing Agency Government Ownership (Vertically integrated) Public Corporation Commercializati on Competition Introducti on of Power Exchanges Corporatization Wholesale Competition Private Corporation Retail Competition Privatization www.powerexindia.com Products Sl. No. Products Term / Duration 1 Day Ahead (10 AM-12 Noon) For 24 Hrs the next day 2 Day-ahead-contingency contracts 3 PM to 4:30 PM (after closure of Day ahead) For 24 Hrs the next day 3 Weekly contracts For pre-defined calendar weeks upto a month ahead Product Development at PXIL is a consultative process involving stakeholders of power sector PXIL’s In-house software development enables dynamic responses to local market needs Lack of clarity over regulatory jurisdiction impacting launch of forwards and futures www.powerexindia.com Volumes Transacted Increased Transactions Through Power Exchanges Cumulative Monthly Transacted Volumes 1600 Million Units 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Volumes Transacted through PXs 0 1800.00 1600.00 1400.00 1200.00 1000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 200.00 0.00 2009 2010 0 2 4 6 8 Month of FY 2010-11 Dec-09 Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jun-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Volumes on Exchanges have shown an increasing trend as percentage of total generation Proactive approach from the regulator and efficient grid management by the system operator Absence of Universal Service Obligation on Utilities resulting in reduced demand www.powerexindia.com Average Price of electricity Traded over Exchanges 2008 Rs. 7.57/kWh* 2009 Rs. 5.73/kWh Traded in OTC market 2008 Rs. 7.04/kWh 2009 Rs. 6.41/kWh Average Daily Price (Rs./kWh) Prices Average Daily Prices exhibit a declining trend 2009 2010 Days of the year Prices in 2010 exhibit a further declining trend. * Exchanges were in operation only during the last three quarters of the year Efficient Price Discovery leads to Lower prices on exchange Softer Prices at the exchange cast a spill over effect on the OTC market www.powerexindia.com Participation 29 States More than 300 participants More than 400 portfolios Maximum Volumes Transacted Day Ahead Market 65.5 MUs on 21st Aug 2010 Term Ahead (weekly) Market 22 MUs on for the delivery week 19/07/2010 to 25/07/2010 Access – Easy, Electronic and Efficient Information Dissemination – Fast and reliable Evolution of the market from utility based to industrial consumers oriented www.powerexindia.com Services Information Dissemination Region-wise hourly price data Congestion occurrence and details Close interaction with System Operator Capacity Building – Power Markets Centre of Excellence Power Markets Leadership Programme Jointly organized with premier institutes like IIM Ahmedabad/IIT Mumbai More than 150 participants Power Markets Certification Programme Jointly organized with NPTI/ASCI/ISPE More than 50 participants PXIL’s two pronged strategy for services To be the thought leaders in the Indian Power Markets Knowledge sharing amongst stakeholders through continuous engagement www.powerexindia.com Achievements of Exchanges Lowered cost of participation as well as transaction cost Increased participation with Industrial consumers, small captives Increased depth and liquidity Availability of different types of membership to suit the context Lowered the minimum bid from 1 MW to 0.1 to 0.01 MW Increased liquidity Increased participation Introduced Professional Clearing Membership as a category Membership to funding agencies like PFC to provide funds for bids New Bidding Methodology Bidding in week ahead market which is quasi – continuous to suit Indian context www.powerexindia.com Impact of Power Exchanges Access Utilities Industrial Consumers Open Access Consumers Captive sellers Transparency & Efficiency Better price discovery Spill over effect on OTC market Demand Management Freedom to choose amongst products for better portfolio management PXs have demonstrated that National market for electricity is feasible PXs have reached their second stage of development to be mandated platforms Exchanges have made the Open Access Dream; A Reality www.powerexindia.com KEY ISSUES AND CHALLENGES www.powerexindia.com Electricity Act 2003- transition to a market Compulsory Unbundling of utilities Complete De-licensing of generation Separation of “transmission ownership” and “system operation” Universal Open Access to transmission networks Consumer level choice of supplier Development of a multi-buyer multi-seller market in power The intent and the ethos of EA 2003 towards creating competition at the utility level as well as the end customer level is still elusive www.powerexindia.com Key issues and Challenges-Multiple State level markets Mixed response to national legislation Multiple States and Jurisdictions Many still vertically integrated Isolated nearly self sufficient markets Open Access to transmission lines controlled by State Transmission Utilities Limited Inter - connector capacity Inter-connector capacities not with the exchanges Exchanges and OTC compete for capacity www.powerexindia.com Creating Markets Historically illiquid market Planned dependence on PPA-only 8% of electricity produced traded through short term market Trading of electricity only a few years old A stable Day Ahead spot market on the Exchange Pricing Challenges Long term price view yet to emerge Declining trend in merchant power prices-with near zero cost of avoidable load Exposure to international coal prices-consumer level pricing shocks ? Sudden Unrestrained growth High capacity addition might lead to excess supply or stranding Issues on fuel availability /fuel mix may emerge in the long run www.powerexindia.com Transmission Pricing Infrastructure 5 Electrical Regions, More than 25 Control areas Transmission constraints across regions Transmission pricing based on tenure of transactions Long Term – More than 25 years Transmission access given for specific seller and buyer Transmission pricing based on cost of asset and socialized over all beneficiaries in the Region Short Term – Upto 3 months Transmission access given for each transaction separately for a specific seller and buyer pair Transmission pricing arrived at as a percentage of long term transmission pricing Earnings used to reduce the cost of asset for long term transmission consumers Day-Ahead Spot Market – For the next day only Transmission access for trades through Power Exchanges - Collective transactions Point of connection tariff – equal price for connection from anywhere in India Balancing – Real time Power system frequency based pricing Penalty or reward based on deviation from schedule in any 15 min time block www.powerexindia.com Transmission Access Priority to Transmission Open Access given to Long term, followed by Short term and then power exchanges Based on timing of application for Short Term Congestion charge applied only on transactions happening through PXs Different Products treated differently Collective transactions for DAS FCFS for Term Ahead (Weekly) Product www.powerexindia.com FUTURE OUTLOOK www.powerexindia.com Mainstreaming Environmental Products Renewable Energy Certificates Market based instruments for trade between the Eligible Generating firms and Entities carrying Renewable Obligation Initially Non-transferable contracts, mandated to be traded on PXs Energy Efficiency Certificates Market based mechanism to promote energy efficiency in 9 identified industrial sectors Firms maintaining higher efficiency than set Targets would sell certificates whereas firms with lower efficiency would need to buy Industrial consumers also carry renewable purchase obligation PXs evolve from being voluntary to mandated platforms www.powerexindia.com Longer Tenure Products Delivery Based Forwards Monthly Contracts CERC has initiated the process to develop the product attributes to suit the market For delivery contract Ancillary Services Contract Concept paper floated by NLDC Financial Products Envisaged in future www.powerexindia.com Future Outlook - PXIL PXIL remains committed to delivering to its participants contextual products and services on the following principles Accessibility Affordability Reliability Quality Availability www.powerexindia.com THANK YOU Contact Details Address POWER EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED "B" Wing, 3rd Floor, Exchange Plaza Bandra Kurla Complex, Bandra (E) Mumbai - 400051, India. Email [email protected] Website www.powerexindia.com Telephone No: Fax No: +91 22 2653 0500 +91 22 2659 8397 www.powerexindia.com