TALUK DOMESTIC PRODUCT

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Transcript TALUK DOMESTIC PRODUCT

ESTIMATES OF DISTRICT
/ TALUK DOMESTIC
PRODUCT AND ITS USE
1
Directorate of Economics and Statistics
Bangalore
Karnataka
Definition
Domestic Product is “aggregate
economic value of all the goods and
services
produced
within
the
geographical boundaries, counted
without duplication during a specific
period of time”.
2
Importance and Need




Measure the growth in the economy
To build the Human Development Indices
In assessing the relative contribution of different
sectors of the economy to the INCOME of the
State/District/Taluk and
To Know the nature and extent of Inter-sectoral
and inter-regional imbalances in the economy
3
SCOPE AND COVERAGE
SDP / DDP excludes:
o Defence personnel and other para-military
forces
o Govt. offices abroad
o Foreign offices of LIC & GIC
o Bombay Offshore
o Deep sea fishing
4
Concept


INCOME ORIGINATING concept is being adopted in
the State
Sum total of the economic value of goods and services
produced in the region.
5
Division of Economy into Sectors

Sl.
No
Economy of the State is broadly classified into sectors in two ways
I
II
1
Primary Sector
Agriculture Sector
Agriculture (including Livestock),
Agriculture (including
Forestry, Fishing and Mining & Forestry and Fishing
quarrying
2
Secondary Sector
Industry Sector
Manufacturing
(Regd.
&
Mining & quarrying, Manufacturing
Unregd.),
Construction
and (Regd. & Unregd.), Construction and
Electricity, Gas & Water Supply
Electricity, Gas & Water Supply
3
Tertiary Sector
Railways, Transport by other
means, Storage, Communication,
Trade Hotels & Restaurants, Banking
& Insurance, Real Estate, Ownership
of dwellings, Legal & Business
Services and Other Services
Livestock),
Service Sector
Railways, Transport by other means,
Storage, Communication, Trade Hotels &
Restaurants, Banking & Insurance, Real
Estate, Ownership of dwellings, Legal &
6
Business Services and Other Services.
Methods of Estimation

Sl.
No
Income is estimated in three ways
Approach
Sector
1
Production
Approach
Agriculture, Livestock, Forestry (Major and
Minor forest products), Fishing, Mining and
Quarrying and Manufacturing (registered)
sectors.
2
Income
Approach
Manufacturing (Unregistered),
Electricity, Gas and Water supply, Transport,
Storage and Communication, Trade, Hotels and
Restaurants, Banking and Insurance, Real Estate
and Business Services, Public Administration
and Other Services.
3
Expenditure
Approach
Construction sector and Forestry (fuel wood
consumption)
7
Methods of Estimation


o
Income can be estimated in three ways
PRODUCTION method envisages evaluation of all
goods and services produced within the region during
a period of time. From value of production, cost of Raw
materials, Fuel etc., are to be deducted.
o Gross Value Added (GVA) =
Value of Output (GVO) – Value of Input
Agriculture (including horticulture and livestock),
Forestry, Fisheries, Mining and Quarrying and
Registered Manufacturing
8
Methods of Estimation

In INCOME (Distribution) method, aggregate income
is distributed among the four factors of production viz.,
Land, Labour, Capital & Enterprise. These Factors of
production fetches Rent, Wages, Interest & Profit
o
o
o
o
GVA (Public) = Aggregate of factor incomes
(Compensation of Employees (CE) +Interest + Rent +
Profits + Dividends) - Consumption of Fixed Capital
GVA (Private) = Workforce X Value Added per Worker
CE = Salaries + Pension + PF + Welfare Expenses
all other sectors
9
Methods of Estimation

EXPENDITURE (Consumption) method is based on
the measurement of Income at the stage of
disposal.
o GVA = Gross Value of Output X (GVA/GVO)
ratios
o Construction sector

At present all the three methods are followed to
compute Gross State Domestic Product.
10
Treatment of Prices
 Income obtained by evaluating the
current year’s prices is termed as
PRICES
 Income obtained by evaluating the
some single base year prices is
CONSTANT PRICES
current year’s product at
INCOME AT CURRENT
current year’s product at
termed as INCOME AT
 Income at CONSTANT prices reflects the real growth in the
economy
11
Financial Intermediation Services
Indirectly Measured (FISIM)



Termed as Imputed Bank Charges (IBC)
Is allocated to user industries like Agriculture,
Livestock, Mining and Quarrying, Regd.
Manufacturing,
Un-regd.
Manufacturing,
Construction, Electricity, Gas & Water Supply,
Transport, Storage, Trade, Hotels & Restaurants,
Business Services and Other Services
This FISIM is deducted to arrive GSDP
12
Consumption of Fixed
Capital (CFC)




Termed as Depreciation
It is that part of Gross Product which is required to
replace the fixed capital used up in process of
production during the period of account
This flow is based on the concept of the expected
economic life of the individual assets
Covers the expected loss in value terms due to
obsolescence as well as normal wear and tear
13
Measures relating to Income

By deducting consumption of fixed capital (depreciation)
from GSDP we get NET STATE DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(NSDP)
GSDP – Consumption of Fixed Capital (CFC) = NSDP

Per Capita Income is derived by dividing the NSDP at
current prices with mid year projected population (as on 1st
October)
14
Base Years or Constant Prices




When GDP is measured for an accounting year it is
measured at current prices
When its value is compared over years, it is affected
by not only the changes in production but also by the
changes in prices
Therefore, it is necessary to eliminate the effect of
prices, which is done by calculating the value of GDP
at given prices of a particular base year
The GDP thus obtained is at constant prices. This
gives a measure of the growth of the economy
15
Previous Base Years


Current Series Base Year 2004-05 (2010)
Previous series base years



1948-49 (1956) 1960-61 (1967) 1970-71 (1978)
1980-81 (1988) 1993-94 (1999) 1999-2000 (2006)
Choice of base years


Previously population census years
Currently, the NSS employment-unemployment survey
years
16
District Domestic Product
o First District Income Estimates of the State was prepared
in the late seventies at DES for the year 1960-61 at
Current Prices.
o Subsequently for the years 1970-71, 1975-76 and198081 during Eighties At Current Prices
o From 1980-81 and onwards district income were
prepared both at Current and Constant Prices
o In 1999-2000 series the year wise and district wise DDP
estimates were prepared and submitted to CSO
o Recently, DDP estimates from 2004-05 to 2008-09 in
2004-05 Series were sent to CSO
17
District Domestic Product
o On the recommendations of Second Regional Conference on
Statistical Matters, the Government of Karnataka and Uttar
Pradesh jointly prepared a draft methodology for compiling the
estimates of District Domestic Product and submitted the report
to CSO in August, 1996.
o This draft methodology prepared jointly by the Governments of
Karnataka and Uttar Pradesh was circulated among State
Directorates of Economics & Statistics for their comments in
order to prepare a standard methodology for compiling the DDP
estimates and implement the system of District Domestic Product
in States.
o For State Human Development Reports
o 1st released in 1999 and
o 2nd released in 2005
o District income estimates were provided by DES
18
SECTOR WISE CONTRIBUTION OF STATE INCOME




State’s Per capita Income for 2009-10 – Rs. 51,386
Highest District Per capita Income – Rs. 1,37,716
(Bangalore Urban)
2nd Highest District Per capita Income – Rs. 84,153
(Bangalore Rural)
Lowest District Per capita Income – Rs. 24,796 (Bidar)
Sector wise Contribution of State Income (%)
Sectors
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
Primary
17.04
15.87
16.19
16.78
16.21
Secondary
31.81
31.34
29.10
28.45
27.45
Tertiary
51.15
52.80
54.71
54.77
56.34
Total
100
100
100
100
100
Per Capita
42419
48084
51386
59975
68374
19
District Domestic Product (Taluk wise)
o An attempt has been made to prepare Taluk level income
estimates of the districts of Dakshina Kannada & Tumkur
for the year 1993-94 both at Current/Constant (1980-81)
Prices.
o Subsequently for the purpose of preparation of District
Human Development reports of Bijapur, Gulburga and
Mysore, taluk income estimates for the years 1999-00
and 2005-06 at Current/Constant (1999-00) Prices were
prepared by DES.
o Technical guidance has been provided by DES for
preparation of taluk income estimates to Udupi district.
20
ESTIMATES OF DISTRICT DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(TALUK WISE)
o Karnataka is the first state in India to attempt to compute taluk
wise domestic product estimates under KSSSP.
o At present, we have estimates up to the district level
o Taluk level estimates brings light on intra district variation in
economic development
o This helps to set priority in formulating development plans
depending upon its level of backwardness
o Helps to calculate Human Development Index
21
ESTIMATES OF DISTRICT DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(TALUK WISE)




Estimating the Domestic Product at District level by
the Zilla Panchayats (ZPs) is one of the milestones to
be achieved under District Domestic Product activity
in Karnataka State Strategic Statistical Plan
Zilla Panchayaths (ZP) are the nodal agency
responsible to prepare these estimates at District
level. Chief Planning Officers (CPO) are nodal
officers.
In this regard, two consultants are being provided to
the ZPs to work on this along with Consumer Price
Index (Urban / Rural) and Contribution of Local
Bodies.
State Income unit of the DES is nodal agency in
achieving this milestone.
22
ESTIMATES OF DISTRICT DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(TALUK WISE)

The first meeting of all CPOs has been held on 15.07.2011
23
ESTIMATES OF DISTRICT DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(TALUK WISE)

Meeting with CSO officers on finalisation of the methodology
to prepare Taluk income at Bangalore was held on
25.07.2011
24
ESTIMATES OF DISTRICT DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(TALUK WISE)

After the meeting with CSO officials, District wise training
programmes to all the departments were organised and the
importance and formats were explained.
25
ESTIMATES OF DISTRICT DOMESTIC PRODUCT
(TALUK WISE)

Two days hands on training to the consultants were organised in 4 phases
between 7th September, 2011 and 24th September, 2011. All the
consultants were trained about the methodology and formats for
computation of Taluk income.
26
METHODOLOGY ADOPTED FOR COMPUTATION
OF TALUK DOMESTIC PRODUCT
The methodology used is more or less similar to
State Estimates.
 Below State level, the required basic data are not
available for all the sectors.
 In respect of Primary Sector (Agriculture,
Forestry, Fishing and Mining), the basic data is
fairly available.
 Wherever the district/ taluk wise basic data are
not available, district level estimates will be
provided to ZPs by DES.
 Then ZPs have to workout taluk level estimates
with
available
workforce
provided
by
Employment and Training Department or
suitable/relevant indicators.

27
PRESENT METHODOLOGY - AGRICULTURE
Production Approach is followed
 Total 103 Crops are covered







1. Cereals (8), 2. Pulses (6), 3. Oil seeds (11),
4. Sugarcane (3), 5. Fiber (3), 6. Drugs and Narcotics (5),
7. Condiments & Spices (9), 8.Horticulture Crops (27),
9.Floriculture Crops (3), 10. Miscellaneous Crops (5)
and 11.By products (20)
Source of the Data : Fully Revised Estimates of Production (DES),
Horticulture Department, Sugar Directorate and Boards for
production and for prices APMCs, Boards and Prices section of
DES
28
PRESENT METHODOLOGY - LIVESTOCK

Total 37 Items of livestock are covered
1. Milk (1), 2. Meat (9), 3. Meat products (4)
 4. Meat By-products (12) 5. Egg (1), 6. Wool & Hair (4),
 7. Dung (2) 8. Other Products (3) and 9. Increment in Stock

Source of the Data : Production and prices are collected from
Livestock Census and Integrated Sample Surveys of Animal
Husbandry Department
 Value of Output (GVO) = Production X Prices

AGRICULTURE AND LIVESTOCK


GVO = GVO of Agriculture + GVO of Livestock
Value of Inputs are
1. Seed, 2. Organic Manure, 3. Chemical Fertilisers,
◦ 4. Repairs & Maintenance, 5. Feed of Livestock,
◦ 6. Irrigation Charges, 7. Market Charges, 8. Electricity,
◦ 9. Pesticides and Insecticides and 10. Diesel Oil
◦


GVA = GVO – Value of Input
In addition the GVA from Govt. Irrigation System is added. This
will be obtained by analysing the budget documents
30
METHODOLOGY ADOPTED
Sl.
No.
2
Forestry
District wise production and value of
major and minor forest produces from
state forest department and percapita
firewood consumption from NSS
survey
Taluk wise production and value of major and minor forest
produces are collected from the DFO. If the data not
available and not tallying with the state figures the District
GVO will be allocated to taluks in proportion to the taluk
area and the firewood GVO in proportion to the taluk wise
popultion
3
Fishing
District wise fish production and
values are collected from state dept.
Taluk wise fish production and value was collected
from District fisheries dept. If the data not available and
Sector/ Sub sector
DDP
TDP
not tallying with the state figures the District GVO will be
allocated to taluks in proportion to the taluk wise production.
4
5
6
7
Mining and
Quarrying
District wise production and Value of
major and minor minerals were
available from IBM Nagpur, State
level input rates were used
Manufacturing
Allocated in proportion to the district
Registered
wise workforce
Manufacturing
Allocated in proportion to the district
Unregistered
wise workforce
Construction
Allocated in proportion to the district
Public (except LBs) wise workforce of public
Local bodies
From Link Documents for PRIs
From Consolidated Expenditure
Household
Allocated in proportion to the district
wise workforce of private
Taluk wise production and Value of major and minor
minerals were to be collected, State level input rates
were used
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise workforce (DIC)
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise workforce (SSI)
Allocated in proportion to Taluk wise expenditure for
construction made by PWD
Allocated in proportion to Taluk wise expenditure for
construction made by PRIs and ULBs.
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise workforce (EC
2005)
31
METHODOLOGY ADOPTED
Sl.
No.
8
9
10
Sector/ Sub sector
DDP
Electricity, Gas and Water Supply
Electricity
Allocated in proportion to the district
wise electricity consumption
Gas
Allocated in proportion to the district
wise biogas plants
Water Supply
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce of public and private
separately
Railways
Allocated in proportion to the district
wise railway length
Transport by other means
Mechanised Road Transport
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce of public and private moved
with vehicle index separately
Air Transport
Water Transport
Service Incidental to the
Transport
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce
Allocated in proportion to the district
wise GVO index
TDP
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
electricity consumption
Allocated in proportion to the taluk wise
biogas plants
Allocate d in proportion to taluk wise
workforce (presently EC 2005, in future from
CLB application)
Allocated in proportion to the taluk wise
railway length
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
registered vehicles
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce as per Economic Census 2005
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce (EC 2005)
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce
32
METHODOLOGY ADOPTED
Sl.
No.
11
Sector/ Sub sector
Storage
12
Communication
13
Trade, Hotel and
Restaurants
14
Banking and Insurance
15
Real Estate, Ownership of
Dwellings, Business and
Legal Services
DDP
TDP
State warehousing GVA will be
allocated in proportion to the storage
capacity and the rest in proportion to
the district wise workforce
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce of public and private
separately
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce of public and private
organised separately
Private unorganised will be allocated in
proportion to the district wise GTI
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise in
proportion to the storage capacity
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce and dwellings
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce available in Economic Census
2005
Allocate d in proportion to taluk wise
workforce availble Economic Census
2005.
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce from Economic census or
Lead Bank of the district,
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce and dwellings
33
METHODOLOGY ADOPTED
Sl.
No.
Sector/ Sub sector
16
Public Administration
17
Other Services
DDP
TDP
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise workforce
Education
Allocated in proportion to the
district wise student enrolment
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise student
enrolment
Medical Health
Allocated in proportion to the
workforce
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise workforce
Recreation and Entertainment
Allocated in proportion to the
district wise workforce
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise workforce
/Economic census 2005
Sanitary Services
Allocated in proportion to the
district wise workforce
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce/Economic census 2005
Rest of the Services
Allocated in proportion to the
district wise workforce
Allocated in proportion to taluk wise
workforce/Economic census 2005.
34
NUMBER OF TALUKS IN DIFFERENT PER CAPITA
INCOME RANGE
Sl.
No.
2008-09
PCI Range
2004-05
2008-09
% share
2004-05
Current Constant % share Current
Prices Prices
Prices
Constant
Prices
1
10000-30000
144
62
110
81.8
35.2
62.5
2
30000-60000
27
97
56
15.3
55.1
31.8
3
60000-80000
2
10
6
1.1
5.7
3.4
4
80000-100000
1
3
0.6
1.7
0.0
5
100000-150000
2
1
1
1.1
0.6
0.6
6
Above 150000
176
3
176
3
176
0.0
100.0
1.7
100.0
1.7
100.0
35
Statement Showing Maximum and Minimum TDP
during 2008-09 current Prices (Rs in Lakh)
Slno Dist
GDDP
1 Bagalkote
604015
2 Bangalore
10550455
3 Bangalore Rural
641057
Rank
Taluk
15 Bagalkote
MAX
TDP
Taluk
141269 Bilagi
1 Bangalore North 7286209 Bangalore east
13 Doddaballapur
4 Belgaum
1624887
2 Belgaum
5 Bellary
1342684
4 Sandur
MIN
TDP
58734
527727
223758 Devanahalli
81439
464954 Ramdurg
HagariBommanall
627209 i
72885
53569
6 Bidar
570830
17 Bidar
154788 Aurad
49972
7 Bijapur
Chamarajanagar
8a
422030
184458 muddebihal
63904
299763
24 Bijapur
Chamarajanagar
29 a
102614 Yelandur
28429
9 Chickballapur
418542
25 Chintamani
101162 Gudibande
18841
10 Chickmagalur
508845
21 Chickmagalur
164734 Sringeri
20649
11 Chitradurga
573597
16 Chitradurga
180933 Molkalmur
46985
12 D.Kannada
1550194
3 Mangalore
13 Davanagere
716929
10 Davanagere
14 Dharwad
15 Gadag
1042383
6 Dharwad
362527
28 Naragund
916525 Sullia
126323
289777 Jagalur
47752
502003 Kundgol
56390
154640 Mundargii
45558
36
Statement Showing Maximum and Minimum TDP
during 2008-09 current Prices (Rs in Lakh)
Slno Dist
GDDP
Rank
Taluk
MAX
TDP
Taluk
MIN
TDP
16 Gulbarga
698393
11 Gulbarga
235202 Afzalpur
69489
17 Hassan
642291
12 Hassan
164423 Alur
26451
18 Haveri
468711
23 Ranebennur
19 Kodagu
414654
26 Virajpet
151542 Somawarpet
20 Kolar
626657
14 Bangarpet
190146 Malur
85807
21 Koppal
394691
27 Koppal
138290 Yelburga
63094
22 Mandya
560353
18 Mandya
116499 Srirangapatanna
48001
23 Mysore
1226836
5 Mysore
635166 K.R.nagar
77340
24 Raichur
554276
19 Raichur
164795 Devdurga
61992
25 Ramanagar
478015
22 Ramangara
167227 Magadi
63907
26 Shivamogga
810716
8 Bhadravathi
212182 Thirthahalli
49930
27 Tumkur
959911
7 Tumkur
278153 Koratagere
41231
28 U.Kannada
530297
20 Karwar
88909 Supa
23724
29 Udupi
733536
9 Udupi
353374 Karkala
166025
30 Yadgir
169872
156347 Yadgir
125096
30 Shahapur
98376 Byadagi
38299
122449
37
Statement Showing Maximum and Minimum Percapita Income
(PTDP) during 2008-09 current Prices
District
Taluk
Bagalkote
Bagalkote
Bangalore
Anekal
Bangalore Rural
Belgaum
Doddaballapur
Belgaum
Bellary
Bidar
Sandur
Bidar
Bijapur
Basavanbagevadi
MAXPTDP Taluk
52125 Jamkhandi
MIN PTDP
23710
268480 Bangalore east
42735
78876 Devanahalli
52013 Raibag
40093
24679
299344 Hadagali
34824 Aurad
22826
18587
35603 muddebihal
22987
Chamarajanagara Yelandur
33266 Kollegal
27734
Chickballapur
Chickkaballapur
47168 Shidlaghatta
26482
Chickmagalur
Mudigere
61078 Kadur
26321
Chitradurga
Chitradurga
43845 Challakere
23942
D.Kannada
Davanagere
Dharwad
Gadag
Mangalore
Davanagere
Dharwad
Naragund
94716
43879
119802
46362
Belthangadi
Jagalur
Kundgol
Ron
50267
27421
32758
22147
38
Statement Showing Maximum and Minimum Percapita Income
(PTDP) during 2008-09 current Prices
District
Taluk
MAXPTDP
Taluk
Gulbarga
Jewargi
38726 Chittapur
20568
Hassan
Arakalgudu
54653 C.R.Patna
21225
Haveri
Shiggon
21195
Kodagu
Madikeri
46090 Hanagal
Somawarp
90370 et
54253
Kolar
Koppal
Mulabagal
Koppal
50478 Kolar
40175 Yelburga
35769
24353
Mandya
Pandavapura
37182 Malavalli
25316
Mysore
Mysore
55802 Piriapatna
26891
Raichur
Manvi
39544 Lingasagur
23796
Ramanagar
Ramangara
28805
Shivamogga
Hosanagara
64012 Magadi
Thirthahall
61405 i
Tumkur
U.Kannada
Udupi
Yadgir
Tumkur
Karwar
Karkala
Shahapur
49119
54850
73676
48599
23372
26813
51765
35020
Koratagere
Mundgod
Kundapura
Yadgir
MIN PTDP
31810
39
Data problems and Suggestions
 It
has been observed that the data on forestry and
mining is not homogeneously available at the
taluk level. In many districts the taluk wise
production of major & minor forest produces
and Production and Value of minerals are not
available, if available, the taluk wise total does
not tally with the district figures available with
the State Income unit.
 Zilla
Panchayats should make an attempt to have
uniform data across taluks.
40
Data problems and Suggestions
 The
Economic cum Purpose Classification of
local body annual accounts will yield many
results which are essential in computation of taluk
wise domestic product.
 It also provides amount which has been spent to
create capital asset in the economy which will
create more employment opportunities at the local
level.
 This analysis presents the financial health of the
respective local body.
 This activity requires more active participation
from Zilla Panchayats.
41
Data problems and Suggestions Usage of Common Business Register
Preparation of Common Business Register
(CBR), micro level survey of organised and unorganised sectors under each industry at subdistrict level will be undertaken under 13th
Finance Commission Grants
 Workforce will be derived from CBRs for each
industry and Survey results will be useful for
compiling Value Added Per Worker. These form
taluk level base year estimates.
 These estimates will be used for compilation of
DDP and SDP estimates
 ZPs should prepare a CBR and should update
periodically.

42
Data problems and Suggestions
 All
ZPs should make a presentation of local body
accounts in comparison with Taluk Domestic
Product at different levels
 This will enable to know the areas of imbalances
at taluk level
43
THANK
YOU
44