Transcript Slide 1
Air Quality Challenges In South Central Texas Issues and Demand to Infrastructure in the Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Consortium Peter Bella, Natural Resources Director Alamo Area Council of Governments April 22, 2014 The Alamo Area Council of Governments • • AACOG provides direct services & planning supporting communities and local governments in a 13 county area of south central Texas Air Improvement Resources (AIR) Committee – AACOG provides staff and air quality planning technical support for policy decisions by elected officials in the AACOG region Regional Data Center http://www.aacog.com/ EPA Proposed NA Boundary: Metropolitan Statistical Area Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Kendall, Medina, and Wilson Counties Mandatory control strategies to reduce ozone are implemented within the region contained in the final nonattainment (“NA”) boundary Regional Data Center http://www.aacog.com/ Ozone Compliance - 2014 2008 8-hr. av. O3 National Ambient Air Quality Standard: To attain this standard, the 3-year average of the fourth-highest daily maximum 8-hour average ozone concentrations measured at each monitor within an area over each year must not exceed 75 ppb (parts per billion). Fourth Highest Regulatory Monitoring Sites (ppb) 2012 2013 2014* San Antonio Northwest C23 81 76 56 Camp Bullis C58 87 83 62 Calaveras Lake C59 70 69 56 Current* 3-Year Average 71 77 65 * As of April 22, 2014, TCEQ The 3-year average described above is the single critical measure of compliance. Ozone Season: April 1 – October 31. Calendar year data required for compliance. DRAFT Most Current (1/29/2014) Timeline Will there be a New Ozone Standard? • July 2014: Review Process of 2008 Ozone Standard Ends • January 2015: Proposed Rulemaking for Revised Ozone Standard • September 2015: Final Rulemaking published • September 2016: Nonattainment Designation Recommendations from Governors due to EPA; based on local monitoring data • May 2017: EPA Proposes Nonattainment Designations No Later Than This Date (120 day letters) • September 2017: EPA Nonattainment Designations Final Implies that 2014-2016 will be the years of record for ozone compliance DRAFT Population vs. VOC and NOX Emissions Trends San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA “NOx Limited” => to reduce ozone, we need to reduce NOx Transport The Houston urban plume was observed through 163 miles of transport. Image courtesy of the Capital Area Council of Governments C23 Back Trajectories on Days with 8-Hour Ozone > 75 ppb and the Location of Eagle Ford, 2008-2011 NOAA, Feb. 26, 2010. “Realtime Environmental Applications and Display sYstem (READY)”. Available online: http://www.arl.noaa.gov/ready.html. Accessed 01/12/12. http://www.rrc.state.tx.us/eagleford/images/EagleFordShalePlay201311-lg.jpg San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area Outlined in brown border Eagle Ford Emissions Inventory Group Represented Marathon, Pioneer, Chesapeake, Holt CAT, Texas A&M / Institute of Renewable Natural Resources, Alpha Terra, Energy Transfer, South Texas Energy & Economic Roundtable (STEER), Shell Exp. & Prod., EOG, Anadarko, TxOGA, Plains Air Improvement Resources (AIR) Committee AIR Technical Committee AIR Advisory Committee AIR Executive Committee Technical considerations of relative reductions in ozone precursors, impacts Business and Industry Considerations Of Cost, Feasibility Regional Considerations Oversight of Process Final Agreement & Authorization Work with EPA, TCEQ Working Topics Dialogue with All Stakeholders Receive Public Comments Modeling: 2006 base case Default TCEQ files AACOG local EI updates Next: 2012, 2018 forecasts Eagle Ford EI late summer Impacts assessments Eagle Ford Improvements Power Generation Cement Industry Transportation Construction Industry Air Improvement Resources (AIR) Executive Committee Next Meeting: 8:30 AM, April 23, 2014: AACOG, 8700 Tesoro Dr., 78217 Strategic Plan Approved by AIR Exec. Develop Strategic Plan Identify Measurable Goals & Appropriate Mix of Control Strategies to Reduce Ozone in the Region – – – – – Determine Regional Reductions Required Identification and Analysis of Control Strategies Develop a Cost-Benefit Analysis Continue Public Education / Public Outreach Implement Ozone Advance Public Survey Message in 2013: Available Resources May Limit Scope AACOG will seek partners in effort Strategic Plan: introduced Oct. 23, 2013, approved Jan. 22, 2014 Local Regulatory Ozone Monitors Camp Bullis C58 SA Northwest C23 (Marshall High) Calaveras Lake C59 Ozone Precursor Totals, 2012 & 2018, SA-NB MSA 250 221 Tons Per Day VOC, 2012 200 205 Tons Per Day VOC, 2018 33 6 22 186 Tons Per Day NOx, 2012 7 150 77 142 Tons Per Day NOx, 2018 43 100 151 On-Road Point Area 154 Non-Road 66 64 50 16 30 22 28 2012 VOC 2018 VOC 2012 NOx 16 19 0 2018 NOx Point sources: power generation, cement, manufacturing Does Not Include Eagle Ford Emissions