Transcript FE Review
FE Review Engineering Economics Things to Expect • Multiple Choice Test • Need to Pick off Answers fast – Narrowing field by knowing what to expect will help – Don’t have to get it right, just close enough to pick. • Restricted to only certain calculators – Is a financial or two available – Can’t have preprogrammed formulas – No “Class Assistant” on your laptop Resources • You will have a list of Formulas including for 6 magic numbers (F/P, P/F, A/P, P/A, A/F, F/A) • Few other Formulas • Interest Tables, Modified ACRS factors • Problems are designed for fast solution – If you know what to do a few quick multiplications of divisions will “take out” the problem Using Tables • Tables are designed for only one rate of interest given at the top of table Approach • I’ll try to review • Then I’ll give you a problem that tests that • Well time to see who can kill it in 3 minutes • We’ll check the answer • See if anyone needs to see how they got that. Interest Rates • Interest is reported annually but often compounds more often – Result is that money sitting for a year will accumulate more interest than indicated by the annual rate • To Find a Yield – Caution – Interest rates are in % orally and decimals in calculations – Step 1 – get a period interest rate Annual Rate # of Compounding Periods in a Year To Get A Yield • Use the F/P formula (1+i)^n – Where n is number of compounding periods • Can substitute period interest rate into F/P formula m r i (1 ) m e Let r be the annual interest Rate m is the number of Compounding periods in a year Note yield is always higher than annual rate but usually not by a large amount Remember the 1 is there to preserve principle so its you’ll get 1+interest in Decimal form Your Turn • What is the effective annual rate of interest (yield) for money invested at 5% interest compounded quarterly –A –B –C –D 1.3% 5.0% 5.1% 20% The Answer • How Many had C - 5.1% How Did I Do That • • • • • • Ie= ( 1 + (0.05/4))^4 = 1.050495 The 1 preserves my original investment -1 0.0509495 Convert back to % 5.09495 – very close to 5.1% Another Interest Application • Test writers like continuous compounding – Have all sorts of functions in books that no one uses • You can use same old formula and just make m something big m r i (1 ) m e A Bank advertises 4.6% Interest with continuous Compounding – What is the Effective rate of interest (A) – 4.62% (B) – 4.71% (C) – 4.89% (D) - 4.94% The Answer • How Many Picked (B) – 4.71% How Did I Do That? • • • • • • Make m some big number – say 1000 =(1+ (0.046/1000))^1000 = 1.047073 Get rid of the 1 0.047073 Convert back to % 4.7073% which is about 4.71% The “Magic Numbers” • Two most important questions – How much do I get – When do I get it • I can add only money at the same point in time The Annuity How much is that equal to right now if interest is 6% $5,700 per year for 5 years 0 1 I can’t just add up $5,700 * 5 because the money is at different Points in time 5 My Magic Number Friend • P/A • Present Value = P/A*amount of one annuity payment • P/A is a function of interest rate and number of payments (6% interest, 5 payments) 4.212 Finish Up • $5700 * 4.212 = $2408.4 Can Do That in Reverse Have $24,000 right now Want to know an annuity of 5 equal annual payments Present Amount * A/P = Annuity Try It You’ll Like It. Do $24,000 * A/P (for 6% interest and 5 payments) The Answer • Did you get A/P = 0.2374 • And the Annuity is $5,698 per year The Total Life Cycle Cost • Often want to know what is most cost effective – A cheaper short lived good – Or a longer lived but more expensive good Move All the Money to Time ZeroIe Get an NPV Recover $5,000 0 3 6 9 12 Spend $18,000 Spend $70,000 NPV = $70,000 + P/F(6%,3)*$18,000 +P/F(6%,6)*$18,000 +P/F(6%,9)*$18,000 +P/F(6%,12)*$13,000 Get the P/F Values from the Table • You need for 3, 6, 9, and 12 years Move All the Money to Time ZeroIe Get an NPV Recover $5,000 0 3 6 9 12 Spend $18,000 Spend $70,000 NPV = $70,000 + P/F(6%,3)*$18,000 +P/F(6%,6)*$18,000 +P/F(6%,9)*$18,000 +P/F(6%,12)*$13,000 Now Convert to An Annuity Over the Service Life Get the Cost Per Year for 12 years NPV * A/P(6%,12) Ok You Couldn’t Read it Get A/P(6%,12) Now Get the Total Life Cycle Cost • NPV * A/P(6%,12) = Now Try This • Warehouse A cost $100,000 now and has a salvage value of $10,000 after 10 years. • Warehouse B costs $70,000 now, needs $18,000 of service every 3 years and is salvaged after 12 years for $5,000 • Warehousing is needed forever. Which warehouse is the better deal – – – – (A)A by $140 per year (B) A by $190 per year (C) B by $190 per year (D) A by $880 per year The Answer • How Many Got (D) A by $880/per year Can Have Limiting Cases To • What if the annuity goes forever? A P i Annuity Issues • An annuity has to be a repeating payment that occurs at the compounding interval • Suppose I have an event that occurs every 5 years – I can convert that to an annual equivilent – 5 year amount * A/P for 5 years = annual amount – Now I have made an infrequently occurring event equal to a regularly occurring one Try This • A Tractor Manufacture signs a long term contract with a farm consortium to provide a new tractor for $24,000 every 5 years indefinitely. At a 6% interest rate what is the capitalized cost (present value of the contract) (A)- $950 (B)- $5700 (C)- $80,000 (D)- $95,000 The Answer • How Many Got (D)- $95,000 How Did I Do That? • Convert 24,000 to an annual annuity – 24,000 * A/P(5,6%) – $24,000 * 0.2374 = $5698 • Now just plug into the forever annuity formula – NPV = $5,698 / 0.06 = $94,967 – About equal $95,000 Depreciation • Things wear out with time or use • In taxes or book keeping we spread the cost of a long lived asset over its useful life • There are different ways of doing that but the simplest is straight line depreciation • I have an asset that cost $700,000 • It lasts 7 years • Each Year I use up $700,000/7 = $100,000 Book Values with Depreciation • Book Value is Original Value – Depreciation taken to date • My $700,000 truck has a book value of $200,000 after 5 years of depreciation • $700,000 – 5*100,000 = $200,000 Salvage Value • Not Everything depreciates to zero value • Suppose my truck cost $710,000. • When its all worn out I can still get $10,000 out of scrap metal or salvage • My Annual Depreciation is – (Cost – Salvage)/years of life – (710,000 – 10,000)/ 7 = 100,000 Book Value with Salvage • Original Cost – Depreciation to Date = Book Value • My Truck after 5 years • $710,000 – 5*100,000 = $210,000 Now You Try It • • • • A $100,000 Asset It lasts 7 years It has a salvage value of $15,000 What is its book value after 3 years of depreciation – (A) 12,100 – (B) 36,400 – (C) 57,100 – (D) 63,100 What Answer Did You Get • (D) 63,100 How Did I Do That? • Get Annual Depreciation – (100,000 – 15,000)/ 7 = $12,173 • Get Book Value – $100,000 – 3*$12,173 = $63,571 – Close to $63,600 which is answer D