Transcript Interactions Between Climate, Forests, and Land Use in the

Interactions Between Climate,
Forests, and Land Use in the Amazon
Basin Modeling and Mitigating Large
Scale Savannization
IBIS Simulations
Marcos Costa
Hewlley Acioli
Federal University of Viçosa
Viçosa, Minas Gerais, Brasil
Simulations
INPUT  LBA_MIP
Bananal Island
Fazenda-Nossa_Senhora
Santarém_Km34
Santarém_Km67
Santarém_Km77
Reserva_Pé-de- Gigante
Reserva_Jaru
INPUT RAINFOR NCEP
Caxiuanã_Tower_NCEP
Caxiuanã_Terra-Preta_NCEP
Tambopata_NCEP
INPUT RAINFOR Toby
Caxiuanã_Tower_Toby
Caxiuanã_Terra-Preta_Toby
Tambopata_Toby
Availability of continuously filled driver data
1999
BAN
FNS
KM34
KM67
KM77
PDG
RJA
CAX_NCEP*
CAX_TP_NCEP*
TAM_NCEP*
CAX_Toby
CAX_TP_Toby
TAM_Toby
*Available data (1990-2009)
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Simulation
Sites
Driver data
ibis.c1.ban.lbamip
Bananal_Island
LBA-MIP
Spin-up
12 years
(replicate the driving dataset)
12 years
ibis.c1.fns.lbamip
Fazenda_Nossa_Senhora
LBA-MIP
(replicate the driving dataset)
16 years
ibis.c1.k34.lbamip
Manaus_KM34
LBA-MIP
(replicate the driving dataset)
12 years
ibis.c1.k67.lbamip
Santarém_KM67
LBA-MIP
(replicate the driving dataset)
16 years
ibis.c1.k77.lbamip
Santarém_KM77
LBA-MIP
(replicate the driving dataset)
12 years
ibis.c1.pdg.lbamip
Reserva_Pé-de-Gigante
LBA-MIP
(replicate the driving dataset)
12 years
ibis.c1.rja.lbamip
Reserva_Jaru
LBA-MIP
(replicate the driving dataset)
11 years
ibis.ncep.cax.lbamip
Caxiuanã_Tower
NCEP
(NCEP data 1990-2009)
11 years
ibis.ncep.tam.lbamip
Tambopata
NCEP
(NCEP data 1990-2009)
11 years
ibis.ncep.trp.lbamip
Caxiuanã_Terra-Preta
NCEP
(NCEP data 1990-2009)
ibis.toby.cax.lbamip
Caxiuanã_Tower
Toby Marthews
***
ibis.toby.tam.lbamip
Tambopata
Toby Marthews
***
ibis.toby.trp.lbamip
Caxiuanã_Terra-Preta
Toby Marthews
***
MONTHLY MEAN – LBA_MIP_SITES
MANAUS_KM34
6.00E-08
Simulated
Observed
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
4.00E-08
2.00E-08
0.00E+00
-2.00E-08
-4.00E-08
Jan_02
Mar_02
Simulated
Apr_02
May_02
Jun_02
RESERVA_JARU
BANANAL
2.00E-08
4.00E-08
Observed
Simulated
2.00E-08
1.00E-23
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
Feb_02
-2.00E-08
-4.00E-08
Observed
0.00E+00
-2.00E-08
-4.00E-08
-6.00E-08
-6.00E-08
Jan_04
Feb_04
Mar_04
Apr_04
May_04
Jun_04
Jan_00
Feb_00
Mar_00
Apr_00
May_00
Jun_00
MONTHLY MEAN – LBA_MIP_SITES
SANTARÉM_KM67
4.00E-08
Simulated
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
2.00E-08
0.00E+00
-2.00E-08
-4.00E-08
Observed
Nov_04
Sep_04
Jul_04
May_04
Mar_04
Jan_04
Nov_03
Sep_03
Jul_03
May_03
Mar_03
Jan_03
Nov_02
Sep_02
Simulated
Jul_02
May_02
Mar_02
Jan_02
Nov_01
Sep_01
Jul_01
May_01
Mar_01
Jan_01
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
MONTHLY MEAN – LBA_MIP_SITES
SANTARÉM_KM77
4.00E-08
0.00E+00
-4.00E-08
-8.00E-08
-1.20E-07
Observed
-1.60E-07
Jan_02
Apr_02
Jul_02
Oct_02
Jan_03
Apr_03
Jul_03
Oct_03
Jan_04
Apr_04
Jul_04
Oct_04
Jan_05
Apr_05
Jul_05
Oct_05
Jan_06
Apr_06
Jul_06
Oct_06
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
-1.00E-08
-1.00E-08
-3.00E-08
-3.00E-08
-7.00E-08
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
-5.00E-08
-9.00E-08
Jan_02
Apr_02
Jul_02
Oct_02
Jan_03
Apr_03
Jul_03
Oct_03
Jan_04
Apr_04
Jul_04
Oct_04
Jan_05
Apr_05
Jul_05
Oct_05
Jan_06
Apr_06
Jul_06
Oct_06
Jan_02
Apr_02
Jul_02
Oct_02
Jan_03
Apr_03
Jul_03
Oct_03
Jan_04
Apr_04
Jul_04
Oct_04
Jan_05
Apr_05
Jul_05
Oct_05
Jan_06
Apr_06
Jul_06
Oct_06
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
MONTHLY MEAN – RAINFOR SITES – NCEP DATA
CAXIUANÃ_NCEP
TERRA_PRETA_NCEP
-5.00E-08
-7.00E-08
-9.00E-08
TAMBOPATA_NCEP
-1.00E-08
-3.00E-08
-5.00E-08
-7.00E-08
-9.00E-08
MONTHLY MEAN – RAINFOR SITES – TOBY DATA
TERRA_PRETA_TOBY
CAXIUANA_TOBY
-1.00E-08
-1.00E-08
Mar_02
Feb_02
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
-1.20E-08
-1.40E-08
-1.20E-08
-1.40E-08
-1.60E-08
-1.60E-08
TAMBOPATA_TOBY
2.40E-08
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
NEE (kgC/m2/s)
Feb_02
1.40E-08
4.00E-09
-6.00E-09
-1.60E-08
Mar_02
SANTARÉM_KM67
4.00E-08
2003
2004
3.00E-08
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
2002
4.00E-08
2.00E-08
1.00E-08
2003
2004
2005
2.00E-08
1.00E-08
0.00E+00
0.00E+00
RESERVA_JARU
4.00E-08
2000
2001
4.00E-08
2002
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
2002
3.00E-08
-1.00E-08
3.00E-08
2.00E-08
1.00E-08
3.00E-08
2.00E-08
1.00E-08
0.00E+00
BANANAL
2001
2002
2003
2004
3.00E-08
2.00E-08
1.00E-08
2002
2003
4.00E-08
2004
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
4.00E-08
SANTARÉM_KM77
0.00E+00
0.00E+00
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
MANAUS_KM34
3.00E-08
2.00E-08
1.00E-08
0.00E+00
PÉ-DE-GIGANTE
2001
2002
2003
CAXIUANÃ_NCEP
2002
2003
2004
2005
3.00E-08
2006
5.00E-08
4.80E-08
4.60E-08
2002
1.80E-08
1.20E-08
6.00E-09
0.00E+00
TERRA_PRETA_NCEP
2002
2003
2004
2005
3.00E-08
2006
5.20E-08
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
5.40E-08
CAXIUANA_TOBY
2.40E-08
5.20E-08
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
5.40E-08
5.00E-08
4.80E-08
TERRA_PRETA_TOBY
2002
2.40E-08
1.80E-08
1.20E-08
6.00E-09
4.60E-08
7.80E-008
0.00E+00
TAMBOPATA_NCEP
2002
2003
2004
2005
8.00E-09
2006
2009
7.60E-008
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
NPP (kgC/m2/s)
4.00E-09
7.70E-008
0.00E+00
-4.00E-09
-8.00E-09
7.50E-008
TAMBOPATA_TOBY
-1.20E-08
2010