Transcript Slide 1
Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math ASTR/PHYS 109 Dr. David Toback Lecture 5 & 6 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 1 Prep For Today (is now due) – L6 • Reading: – BBBHNM Unit 2 (Chapters 5-9) • Pre-Lecture Reading Questions – eCampus Quizzes 1-6 • Check these, some were fixed and changed scores – Unit 2: Stage 1 – Unit 1 Revision (if needed) Stage 1: Due Wed before class • End-of-Chapter Quizzes – Chapter 3 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 2 Next Topic: Scientific Methods Unit 1: 1. Introduction Done 2. Going Big Done 3. Going Small Done 4. Evidence and the Scientific Method Today we move on to the Questions and How we go about answering them Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 3 Plan for the Next Few Weeks 1. More on the Questions and How we go about answering them 2. Some of the history to teach us about the Today method 3. Need to learn some physics Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods } Next Unit 4 Next few Weeks Continued… To learn Cosmology will need to learn a bit about: 1. Light and Doppler Shifts 2. Gravity, General Relativity and Dark Matter 3. Atomic Physics and Quantum Mechanics 4. Nuclear Physics and Chemistry 5. Temperature and Thermal Equilibrium Won’t spend too long on these, just enough to get back to the big picture… Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 5 Evidence and The Scientific Method • What are the clues at the scene of the crime? • How can we use the clues to figure out what happened? Any WHY? • Scientific Method – How do we know what we know? – What is the evidence for some of the “true things” we heard growing up? • E.g .Earth goes around the Sun Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 6 How do we know what we know? • We have a lot of experience in the world around us • Unfortunately, our experience is really lousy in guiding us to really understanding the bigger (and smaller) world around us unless we’re really careful – We can misinterpret the clues • As you’ve already seen, the world is incredibly complex and much of it is different from what we experience – Good clues are hard to find, Introduction Big Bang, Black sometimes hard to interpret Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods 7 Single example to Show the Scientific Method in Action • People have watched the sky and noticed that the stars (the dots of light in the sky) basically all move together over the course of the night and over years • Five of them behave differently – Start this story in the 2nd century Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 8 Fun Videos of Just the Stars Start with things you can see with your own eyes! Video of stars moving with Polaris (north star) at the center https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XTTDWhky9HY Video of stars moving, including the Milky Way (from Chile) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JEHm-XUHwNw Introduction Big Bang, Black Topic 4: Scientific Methods Holes, No Math 9 Ptolemy’s Universe (2nd century) The Sun, Moon and Stars go around once a day, but a few (the planets) change their position relative to the other stars a little every night Every so often the planets move backward through the stars for awhile Hypothesis: They orbit the Earth in mostly circular paths Best guess: these are miniorbits way out there (epicycles)… Hmmm… Introduction Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods 10 Looking at Mars in the Stars Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 11 How Ptolemy envisioned it • The big circle is the main orbit, and the little circle is the epicycle • This explains why the planets seem to go back and forth out there in space (retrograde motion) every so often http://bigbang.physics.tamu.edu/Figures/StolenAnimations/ptolem y.model.swf Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 12 Cracks in the `early cosmology’ In 1514, Copernicus hypothesized that Planets and Earth orbit the Sun Much simpler in some ways no epicycles More complicated in others Says Earth is rotating Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 13 Epicycles??? A more modern view of the motion of the Earth and Mars and the stars behind them (from the point of view of the center) How would this explain the epicycles that people saw? http://bigbang.physics.tamu.edu/Figures/StolenAnimations/mars_r etrograde_motion.swf Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 14 If we lived in the 1500’s, should we believe Copernicus? The Earth isn’t at REST and rotates? • Shouldn’t we FEEL this? • If the Earth is rotating, why don’t we fall off like an ant on a bicycle wheel? • Why don’t we feel a wind as we rotate? • Why doesn’t it rotate under us when we jump? Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 15 Cracks in the `early cosmology’ Should his view have just “been accepted”? Perhaps his theory was just a “different interpretation” of the same data? – Both models are consistent with observations Need more evidence! Need a better TOOL to test, experimentally, which is correct Early 1600’s: Kepler and Galileo started gathering data from Introduction Big telescopes Bang, Black Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods 16 Data Provides Evidence • Discover moons orbiting Jupiter! Solid evidence that not EVERYTHING orbits the Earth! Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 17 Another Piece of Evidence • Can understand the phases of the Moon because of the locations of all three • Not eclipses Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 18 Venus • Consider the two different versions of how Venus is predicted to move in space Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 19 The Phases of Venus • Venus has a full set of phases, like the moon • Sunlight shining off Venus and to our eyes • No good way to explain this if Venus goes around the Earth Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 20 More data • With better data Kepler realizes an even better description of the data is that all planet orbit the Sun in an ellipse, not a circle • Sun-centered model now agrees with the high-quality observed data, Earth centered does not • No good REASON for ellipses though… then again, no good reason they should be circles (except people LIKE circles, Introduction Big Bang, Black 21 and they are more “perfect”) Topic 4: Scientific Methods Holes, No Math The next generation…Newton • Newton puts forward his theory of Gravity and describes it as a Force • So what? The same force that pulls an apple to the ground from a tree ALSO pulls the planets towards the Sun and keeps them in orbit • This “explains” why both the orbits are ellipses AND why we don’t fall off spinning Earth Introduction Big a Bang, Black Holes, No Math Isaac Newton 1687 Topic 4: Scientific Methods 22 Scientific Method The history is fun, but we have a problem: • How do we separate true stories from stories we’d like to believe, but aren’t actually true? • Need EVIDENCE and a good Scientific THEORY – Good hypothesis testing Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 23 Outline for Unit 2: Physics We Need Topics 1. Light and Doppler Shifts 2. Gravity, General Relativity and Dark Matter 3. Atomic Physics and Quantum Mechanics 4. Nuclear Physics and Chemistry 5. Temperature and Thermal Equilibrium Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 24 PLRQ Unit 1 Grades • Criteria for Pass/Revise grades for CPR Unit 1 are described in the FAQ and the Lecture notes • Will post the grades in eCampus after we are done with re-grade requests • You should go to eCampus to make sure you got the grade you think you did. Many people are surprised. • Let us know if you think you were misgraded or we gave you the wrong grade • What do you do if your eCampus grade says “Revise”? – See http://people.physics.tamu.edu/toback/109/ Introduction Big Bang, Black 25 Topic 4: Scientific Methods Holes, 109FAQ.shtml#CPRGrades No Math Prep For Next Time – L5 • Reading: – Required: BBBHNM Unit 2 (Chapters 5-9) – Recommended Reading: • See P3 of http://people.physics.tamu.edu/toback/109/Syllabus.pdf • Pre-Lecture Reading Questions – Stage 1 for Unit 2 due before Class – Stage 1 in CPR for Unit 1 Revision will be assigned after grades are posted • End-of-Chapter Quizzes – If we finished Chapter 4 then End-ofChapter Quiz 4 (else just Chapter 3) Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 26 Prep For Next Time – L6 • Reading: – BBBHNM Unit 2 • Pre-Lecture Reading Questions – eCampus quizzes (all 6) – Unit 1 Revision (if needed): Stage 1 before Class • Let us know if you were misgraded – Unit 2: Stage 2 due before class • End-of-Chapter Quizzes – If we finished Chapter 4 then End-ofChapter Quiz 4 (else just Chapter 3) Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 27 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 28 Clicker Quiz A muon is observed to decay into an electron and two different neutrinos. Is a muon considered a fundamental particle? a) No, because it has the electrons and neutrinos inside it so it can't be fundamental. b) Yes, because it isn't composed of electrons and neutrinos, it just decays into them c) No, because fundamental particles can't decay Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 29 Clicker Quiz Q: What does it mean for an electron to be "stable?" a) It is balanced with exactly one proton b) Its orbit ring exists in one plane (no wobble) c) It has reached minimum size (10-19 m) d) Undisturbed, it can go on living forever and ever e) They don't appear to be made of anything smaller Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 30 Paper 0 Stuff • Want feedback before turning it in? – Post it in eCampus in .doc (or .pdf) for comments by the TA by 5PM Friday – Make sure you polish it • If you have lots of grammar and spelling mistakes we’ll just make you resubmit it Introduction Big Bang, Black 31 Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods PLRQ Concerns • Many people don’t seem to realize that there were two different PLRQ assignments – In eCampus: Quizzes 1-4 – In CPR: Submit questions (Stage 1) and do all the Review parts (Stage 2) in CPR • Let us know if you think you were misgraded • How to tell if you need to do a Revision – Only the grade in eCampus matters – Why didn’t I pass? What do you need to do if your eCampus grade says “Revise”? – See http://people.physics.tamu.edu/toback/109/ Introduction Big Bang, Black 32 109FAQ.shtml#CPRGrades Topic 4: Scientific Methods Holes, No Math Prep For Today (is now due) – L5 • Reading: –None • Pre-Lecture Reading Questions –Unit 1: Grades posted. •End-of-Chapter Quizzes –Chapters 2 and 3 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 33 Prep For Next Time – L5 • Reading: – Required: BBBHNM Unit 2 (Chapters 5-9) – Recommended Reading: • See P3 of http://people.physics.tamu.edu/toback/109/Syllabus.pd f • Pre-Lecture Reading Questions – Unit 1 Revision (if Needed): Stage 1 in CPR due before class • Let me know if you think you were misgraded • Must do entire assignment if your grade in eCampus says “Revise” – Unit 2: Stage 1 due before class • No more eCampus stuff for PLRQ • End-of-Chapter Quizzes – If we finished Chapter 4 then End-of-Chapter Quiz 4 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 34 Some words; “It’s a theory…” • Theory: “A set of rules that relate quantities in a model to observations we make” • Hypothesis: “A tentative assumption that is useful in that it predicts the outcome of an experiment; can be tested” Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 35 Science • For us to “believe” in a theory, or said better, to think it might correspond to truth, we agree that it has to be tested in such a way it can be tested over and over again such that the results must always confirm the theory • Does the world function in a “predictable” manner? • What happens when you test a hypothesis? Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 36 What Makes a Good Theory? Two requirements: 1. It must accurately describe a large class of observations, clues, or other pieces of evidence. – For example g, the acceleration due to gravity. Same everywhere on the Earth? 2. It must make DEFINTE PREDICTIONS about the results of FUTURE (not yet done) observations or experiments • Creates testable hypotheses • An astronaut hits a golf ball on the moon. Can we predict its path? Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 37 Yet more on Scientific Method • It also must be falsifiable • If we do an experiment and the results disagree with the predictions of the theory, then the theory is wrong or has to be modified – It has been said that “even the most beautiful theory can be slain by a single ugly fact” • If the theory makes predictions for a new experiment and the data agrees then it gives us really good reason to believe there really are underlying principles in the world we live in Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 38 What science does not promise Science does not promise eternal truths Only promises the systematic elimination of false hypotheses and the establishment of what is currently the most likely explanation of an aspect of reality… Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 39 Everyday Conversation • Explanations that stand the test of time and LOTS of experiments are what we call Theories – Gravity, Quantum Mechanics etc. • When someone says “Well… It’s a theory” we know what they mean. They mean “it’s a hypothesis” – We don’t yell at them for the same reason we don’t get upset when someone says the “Sun is setting” 40 Introduction Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods Better experiments… At some point our experiments get so good that we can “observe” things that our eyes can’t see directly – The very small – The very faint and/or far away What happens if the theories that explain what we can see with our eyes don’t explain what we see in a microscope? Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 41 Weirdness… Have to try new weirder theories • What if we come up with a theory that accurately “predicts” the results of both the experiments we can do with our eyes AND the really sensitive ones we can do with really special microscopes? • What if that theory is counter to our intuition? Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 42 More weirdness • What if our weird theory then makes further weird predictions? • What if it predicts that if we do a simple experiment we will get crazy results? • What if we DO the experiment and GET the crazy results? At what point do start believing there is some “truth” to the theory? Do we change our mind if we don’t LIKE the implications of the theory? (The Earth isn’t the center of the universe) Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 43 Fact is Stranger than Fiction • Typically we have confidence in theories that do a good job of predicting the results of experiments have some basis in reality • In the 1920’s scientists starting coming up with such theories: General Relativity and Quantum Mechanics are good examples… Stood up to 90 years of experiments – Will talk in the next unit about what’s weird about them, and what weird things they predict and explain Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 44 Another Piece of Evidence • Can understand the phases of the Moon because of the locations of all three • Not eclipses Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 45 The Phases of Venus • Venus has a full set of phases, like the moon – Sunlight shining off Venus and to our eyes • No good way to explain this if Venus rotates around the Earth Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 46 Class trip to Cyclotron Clicker question • Any interest in a class trip to the Cyclotron? If so, which day would you be most interested • A = Wednesday • B = Friday • C = Other day please!!! • D = Not likely to make it Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 47 Prep For Next Time – L5 • Reading: –BBBHNM: Chap 5 • Reading Questions: – Two questions from Chapter 5 or the recommended reading • End-of-Chapter Quizzes – If we finished Chapter 4 then end-of-chapter quiz 4 (else just 3) Introduction Big Bang, Black 48 Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods Prep For Next Time – L4 • Note: May change depending on how far we get in lecture (some may have already been due) • Reading: – BBBHNM: All reading up to Chapter 6 • Pre-Lecture Reading Questions: – Two reading questions from Chapter 6 • End-of-Chapter Quizzes – If we finished Chapter 4 then end-of-chapter quiz 4 (else just 3) • Paper 0 – Paper 0 has been posted on CPR – If we finished Chapter 4, then Paper 0 is due one week from today Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 49 Full set of Readings So Far •Required: – BBBHNM: Chap 1-5 •Recommended: – BHOT: Chap. 1-3 – SHU: Chap. 1-3 (p55-69) – TOE: Chap. 1 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 50 Prep for Today (Is now due) – L5 • Reading: – BBBHNM: Chap 4 • Reading questions –Two questions from Chapter 4 • End-of-Chapter Quizzes: –Chapter 3 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 51 Phase I, Phase II and Phase III Phase I: (Paper due 1 week after we finish Chapter 4) • Turn in a polished draft to eCampus • TA’s will provide feedback, but not if there are multiple spelling/grammar mistakes • Pass/Fail grade Phase II: (Due one week after Phase I) • A revised version will be done 1 week later on CPR • When you submit to CPR (after revision), you will need to also submit a copy of your to the turnitin.com line on eCampus Phase III: (Due one week after Phase II) • Calibrations and Reviewing due one week after you submit Introduction Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods 52 Paper 0 Stuff – L9 faculty.physics.tamu.edu/toback/109/WritingAssignments/ • Phase I: Due last Wednesday – You will get feedback soon, work on revisions now – Email if you need an extension • Phase II: – Due in CPR/Turnitin.com Wednesday • Phase III: – Will talk more about CPR and reviewing Wednesday – Following Wednesday Introduction Big Bang, Black 53 Holes, No Math Topic 4: Scientific Methods History and Just-So Stories State of our understanding 2500 years ago: “The earth is, obviously, flat…” So, how DID they figure out the earth is round? – Ships on the horizon: Top of the mast first – Aristotle (340 BC): The earth’s shadow on the moon Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 54 Worse… Actually, it’s even worse • What we “believe” can deceive us from understanding how things actually work • Unfortunately, our history is littered with “Just-so stories…” that have set back our understanding Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 55 What we “believe” can mislead us • We “see” the sun/moon go around the Earth, must be so! • The Church demanded that this model be accepted for Religious reasons… – Man should be at the center of the universe – Circular orbits – Perfection! • This model was accepted for nearly 1500 years Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 56 The Church and Science • It’s easy to pick on the church with hindsight • Then again, much of the great progress in our understanding of the physical world comes because science (and lots of other things) were its beneficiary • In today’s lingo “The Church” was the one of the few funding agencies for hundreds of years… – What if you weren’t independently wealthy and wanted to do science? (Want to learn to read???) And be able to eat? Either become a priest or a monk… Maybe work for a King? Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 57 Interesting aside Continued: The backlash… • These findings contradicted the Church! • Now scientists have a problem: Galileo was a leading scientist in Italy (close to Rome!) and he was Loud! • The Church spurned this as heretical and set back science (nearly ex-communicated, sentenced to life of house arrest) Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 58 Reading Quizzes • We are not looking for questions where we could get the answer on Google (which you could do) • Wrong questions: – How big is the largest planet we’ve found? – When was the telescope invented? Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 59 Epicycles… Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 60 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 61 Copernicus Continued • This is a test… Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 62 Ptolemy • Eight “bodies” rotating the earth in circular orbits (2nd century BC). • People accepted this theory even though it had problems (moon should be twice as big..) – Church liked it… it stuck and was largely unquestioned – It didn’t offend anyone Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 63 Kepler Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 64 Ptolomy Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 65 Brahe Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 66 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 67 SHU: Chapter 1 • Eratosthenes (Greek mathematician) • Different length shadows at the same TIME of day. • Pictures? Pages 22 and 23 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 68 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 69 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 70 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 71 Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 72 Greek view of the universe Big Bang, Black Holes, No Math Introduction Topic 4: Scientific Methods 73