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Making Money from Petroleum in
Cyberspace: Who Will and What Does
It Take? An Upstream Example
Franz Ehrhardt
CASCA Consulting, L.L.C.
Oil and Money Conference
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
1
Overview
I.
Business Fundamentals
II.
Size of the Pie: Upstream Example
III. Energy Internet Landscape
IV. Consolidations and Failures
V. Success Strategies
VI. Use Case: Wellogix, Inc.
VII. Where Is The Money in Cyberspace?
VIII.What Does The Future Hold?
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
2
Business Fundamentals
Basic aspects of industry remain unchanged
Coming changes will stem from improvements in
computing power, software, and Internet
infrastructure
Same fundamentals
July 17, 2015
New medium
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
3
Size of the Pie:
Upstream Example
Horizontal
OPEX/MRO - $85 Billion
Generic MRO - $25 Bln
Office
Equipment
Computers
Oilfield-Specific MRO - $60 Bln
Telephone
Equipment
MRO
Oilfield Supplies
(Grease, Valves, etc.)
SOAP
V
e
r
t
i
c
a
l
July 17, 2015
CAPEX/AFE/LOE
$85 Billion
Equipment
(25%)
•
•
•
•
Pumps
Pipe
Tanks
Etc.
Services
(75%)
• Stimulation
• Perforating
• Drill Ships
• Formation
Evaluation
• Etc.
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
V
e
r
t
i
c
a
l
4
Size of the Pie:
Upstream Example (cont’d)
Top 200 Public and State-Owned
Oil & Gas Companies*:
$1 Trillion Revenues
$170 Billion spent Upstream
Plus $50 Billion spent on property
acquisition
*Source: Center For Advanced Purchasing Studies 1998
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
5
How Services Fit In
Value Creation
Minimum
Level of Value Creation
Cost Savings
Catalog
Purchasing
Strategic contracts and services
15%
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
Bulk Purchases
85%
6
Size of the (Savings) Pie
– “Bubba 2 Bubba” – Oil Patch e-Commerce
SalomonSmithBarney 4.7.00
If domestic oil company Maintenance,
Repair and Operations procurement costs are
reduced by just 5% the industry would save
$4.3 billion.
If just one-quarter of services and one-third of
equipment are traded online, with the same
5% cost reduction, the industry would save an
additional $1.2 billion.
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
7
Energy Internet Landscape
PROCUREMENT FOCUS
NYMEX
Altra
Enron Online
Oil & Gas Online
Trade-Ranger
Houston Street
Petrocosm
Energy Prism
Upstreaminfo
Network Oil
OFS Portal
Energy Portal
Iwilson.com
Natoil.com
Oil Exchange
RigZone
RigMatch
COMMERCE
CONTENT
Petroleum
Place
Indigopool
Novistar
Wellogix
eLink Commerce
Oildex/TransZap
GeoNet Energy
PROCESS FOCUS
July 17, 2015
PetroWeb
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
Source: SalomonSmithBarney
8
Consolidation Will Continue
• One or two industry-sponsored exchanges will
likely survive
• One or two service company alliances will evolve
to support them.
• Five to ten solutions providers will consolidate
and provide Internet infrastructure to the major
players
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
9
(Some) Reasons for Failure
Attempting to apply consumer models to business,
particularly the complex energy business, instead of
tailoring solutions to the energy industry’s needs
Attempting to create cure-all panaceas, instead of
addressing specific niches
Focusing on extensive promotions and marketing
campaigns, instead of creating real solutions (promises
over substance)
Failing to secure adequate financing
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
10
(Select) Critical Success Factors
• Combine energy and advanced software
expertise to achieve solutions that mirror
industry needs
• Focus on pragmatic solutions that provide
significant added value
• Identify unique niche opportunities within the
industry for business growth
• Provide leading-edge solutions
• Partner, partner, partner
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
11
Creating A Sustainable Competitive Advantage
High
Where
We Need
to Be
Perceived
Value
Majority of
Present
Programs
Low
July 17, 2015
Actual Cost/Efforts
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
High
12
Use Case: Wellogix, Inc.
History: Formed in August 2000 through merger of WellBid and
eNersection, the company has started generating revenues
following a period of free availability.
Focus: Initial focus on well design, rapidly growing emphasis on
Internet collaboration, workflow improvement and back-office
integration.
Use Case: Members of 10 major oil companies, including British
Petroleum, are using the service, in addition to members of more
than 300 independent oil and gas companies.
Plans: Based on highly successful drilling application, targeted
expansion into high-value adding workflow solutions for operators
and their service providers.
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
13
Where is the Money in Cyberspace?
Examples:
Reduce time for project development (from inception to
production)
Reduce cost of material in segments of transit (working
capital)
Simplify and expedite design, engineering and planning
processes
Reduce costs of failure through optimization of useful
knowledge (effective knowledge management)
Maximize expense productivity (cost-efficiency through
online availability of latest, lowest-cost options)
Reduce service and material costs through effective, highspeed online bidding
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
14
What Does the Future Hold?
Wireless access – Instant and anywhere
Full integration – End-to-end, online workflow
solutions
Instant data communication and visibility across
entire projects and companies
Ubiquity – Work from anywhere, anytime
Virtuality – Online operation simulation of
drilling, wells, platforms, etc.
July 17, 2015
Copyright© 2005 CASCA Consulting, L.L.C. All rights reserved
15