Transcript STARTSLIDE, BLUE + PATTERN ARIAL BOLD 30 PT, CAPITALS

Experience and Plans for High Speed Lines in Germany
December 16th, 2010
Hermann Gitzelmann, Pöyry Infra GmbH
Gunther Ellwanger, Ellwanger Consulting
EUROPEAN HS NETWORK
(Situation as at 06.2009)
Oulu
v > 250 km/h
Tampere
St.Petersburg
Oslo
Helsinki
Turku
v > 250 km/h Planned
Tallinn
Stockholm
Göteborg
180 < v < 250 km/h
Riga
Edinburgh
Glasgow
Vilnius
Kobenhavn
Hamburg
Dublin
Other lines
Moskva
Gdansk
Minsk
Amsterdam
Berlin
London
Bristol
Poznan
Hannover
Brux
Warszawa
Köln
Praha
Katowice
Fkft
Lux
Nürnberg
Paris
Wien
Strasbg
Bratislava
Budapest
München
Nantes
Kiev
Krakow
Zürich
Chisinau
Ljubljana
Lyon
Coruña
Marseille
Podgorica
Skopje
Roma
Valladolid
Zaragoza
Napoli
Updated 14.03.2009
OG/IB
Istanbul
Tirana
Barcelona
Madrid
UIC - High-Speed
Bucuresti
Sarajevo
Nice
Sofia
Vigo
Porto
Beograd
Bologna
Torino
Toulouse
Vitoria
Information given by the Railways
Milano
Zagreb
Bordeaux
Ankara
Thessaloniki
Sivas
Bursa
Valencia
Konya
Lisboa
Alicante
Sevilla
Athinai
Kayseri
Izmir
Málaga
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HIGH SPEED TRAFFIC – EVOLUTION IN EUROPE
100
High Speed Rail Traffic in Europe
6.2
90
70
Billions PKm
80
2,8
2.5
2.4
2.6
2.5
CD 0.3
23.3
NS 0.8
8.9
17.5
13.9
7.1
11.6
10.2
VR 0.6
8.8
15.5
50
SBB 0.3
NSB 0.1
21.6
19.6
15.3
CP 0.5
21.9
20.9
60
40
2.7
2.4
2.3
2.3
3.6
2.775
7.4
7.9
8.6
SNCB 1.0
8.9
RENFE
6.8
SJ
5.1
DB AG
30
20
30.6
10
0
48,6
15%
1998
32.2
52,7
8%
1999
34.7
59,4
13%
2000
37.4
65,9
11%
2001
39.9
68,8
4%
2002
39.6
71,1
3%
2003
41.5
75,9
7%
2004
42.7
79,2
4%
2005
44.0
82,9
5%
2006
48.0
88,7
7%
2007
52.6
FS
SNCF
97,6
10%
Total Europe
Evolution %
2008
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HIGH SPEED RAIL WINS MARKET SHARE
Paris – Brussels (all modes)
Plane (7%)
Train (24%) Bus (8%)
Thalys (50%)
Bus (5%)
Madrid – Sevilla (rail – air)
Plane (67%)
Plane (2%)
Car (61%)
AVE (83,6%)
Train (33%)
Plane (16,4%)
Car (43%)
Madrid – Barcelona
Paris - London
Eurostar (71%)
Plane (26%)
Train (11,8%)
AVE (50,4%)
Plane, low cost (3%)
Plane (88,2%)
Plane (49,6%)
before (left) and after HSR
For distances up to 700 - 800 km HSR is competitive !
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DB’S INFRASTRUCTURE
EXPANSION PROGRAM 1970
 Very ambitious plan
 2200 km HSL (300 km/h) (number of HSL later




reduced; design speed reduced to 250 km/h)
1250 km UL (existing lines up to 200 km/h)
Modernization of junctions
New urban and regional mass transport
Four new huge shunting yards for freight trains
Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008
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HSR IN GERMANY
Kiel
Actual situation
Hamburg
200 km/h Upgraded lines (UL)
230 km/h
 250 km/h New HSL
Schwerin
230
Bremen
Berlin
Hannover
Magdeburg
New HSL / UL in construction or planned
Düsseldorf
Erfurt
Köln
200 km/h
230 km/h
 250 km/h
Source: Feldwisch, DB
Dresden
Frankfurt/M
Nürnberg
Saarbrücken
Karlsruhe
Stuttgart
Passau
München
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HSL HANNOVER – WÜRZBURG AND MANNHEIM – STUTTGART
1991 LAUNCH OF HSR IN GERMANY WITH ICE (InterCityExpress)
 HSL Hannover – Würzburg
–
Length:
– 60 tunnels:
327 km
121 km 37 %
 HSL Mannheim – Stuttgart
– Length:
–
15 tunnels:
109 km
31 km, 28 %
 Both HSL
– Mixed traffic
– Minimum radius:
5100 m
– Maximum gradient:
1,25 %
Source map: W.Weigand, DB
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1993 HSR (ICE) ON TWO HSL AND ON CONVENTIONAL LINES
 German HSR started 1991,
1993 60 ICE 1 trains in service
 ICE 1 push and pull, 12 coaches, 650 places,
358 m
 Mixed traffic: HSR: 250 km/h,
Today: 280 km/h
freight: 120 km/h
- Day: HSR; EC, IC
- Night: freight trains
Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008
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MIXED TRAFFIC ON GERMAN HSL HANNOVER – WÜRZBURG
 Section Göttingen – Kassel, 2001
 Day: 6 – 22 h : passenger: ICE (red), IC, EC (orange)
 Night: 23 – 4 h: freight (blue)
Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008
16
8
southbound
12
4
Passenger
trains
08
Freight
trains
44
northbound
80
66
7
8
9
10
11
12
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
18
19
20
21
22
23
0
24
1
2
3
4
5
5
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ICE 1 ON THE LEFT RHINE VALLEY (CONVENTIONAL LINE)
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DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH SPEED TRAINS
Technologie
4. Generation
3. Generation
Velaro D
2. Generation
Verteilte
Traktion
(EMU)
1. Generation
Velaro E
Velaro RUS
Velaro CN
ICE 3
Triebkopf- TGV PSE
Konzept
(Push-Pull
PP)
1981
ICE 1
ICE 2
Wettbewerb
1991
1995
2001
2008
ICE® ist eine registrierte Marke der DB AG, Source:Siemens
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ICE 3
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HSL COLOGNE – FRANKFURT (2002)
HSL NUREMBERG – INGOLSTADT (2006) BOTH 300 km/h
 HSL Köln – Frankfurt, dedicated
– Length:
– 30 tunnels:
– Minimum Radius:
– Maximum Gradient:
– Travel time: 1 h 15, before:
180 km
47 km, 26 %
3425 m
4%
2 h 15
– ICE 3: EMU
 HSL Nürnberg – Ingolstadt, mixed
– Length:
– 9 tunnels:
–
also regional trains:
89 km
27 km, 30 %
200 km/h
Source map: W.Weigand, DB
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GERMAN HSR MIXED – DEDICATED
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GERMAN HSR 2007
 5 HSL (4 + Han – Bln) (red: NBS) 250 – 300
km/h, total length: 900 km
 Several UL (green: ABS) 160 – 200 km/h
 1 UL (blue) 230 km/h
 ICE work on about 6900 km, of which 2100 km
are HSL or UL
 ICE 3 trains are running to 6 neighbor countries
(1300 km)
Source: E.Jänsch, RTR 2008
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HSR AND ENVIRONMENT: CONSTRUCTION OF NEW LINES (1)
Impact on nature:
Targets:
• geology
• avoid damages
• microclimate
• reduce damages
• vegetation
• expertise / EIA
• land occupation
• impact on landscape
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HSR AND ENVIRONMENT: CONSTRUCTION OF NEW LINES (2)
Linkage with highways:
• Paris-Lille
135 km
• Paris-Lyon
60 km
• Paris-Atlantique
35 km
• Mannheim-Stuttgart
35 km
• Köln-Frankfurt
140 km
• Land occupation
for German highways
9,3 ha/km
• HSL Hannover-Würzburg
3,0 ha/km
• HSL Mannheim-Stuttgart
4,0 ha/km
average
3,2 ha/km
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HSR AND ENVIRONMENT: OPERATION OF NEW LINES
Air pollution:
Noise:
• along electric lines: O
• big improvements of noise
reduction to the source
• by production of energy:
very low (energy mix!)
• depends on energy
consumption
• layout away from inhabited
areas
• passive noise protection
(walls, embankments, tunnels)
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HSR AND EXTERNAL COSTS € / 1,000 PKM
Corridor nr II Paris - Brussels results SRMC by mean of transport
48
Up/downstream
Urban effects
Climate change
Air pollution
Noise
Accidents
44
50
40
30
20
10
10
0
Thalys
Car
Air
Source: IWW-Infras - 3/2000
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SPECIFIC CO2 EMISSIONS / PKM FRANCE (ADEME)
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LONG DISTANCE TRANSPORT 1978 – 2008
billion Pkm
40,00
SPFV gesamt
35 35,00
↓
↑
30 30,00
25 25,00
↑
20 20,00
ICE
60 %
IC/EC
15 15,00
↓
↑
10 10,00
D
5
5,00
0
0,00
↓
Interregio (IR)
↓
│3
1
2
1979
E
4
5
6
│8 9
1985
7
10
11
│
13 14
1990
12
15
16
│ 19
1995
17
18
20
21
│ 24
2000
22
23
25
26
│
│
28 29 30 31
2005 2008
27
Source: E.Jänsch
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UIC TRAFFIC FORECAST STUDY 2020
 Western Europe (old EU + Norway, CH)
 Long distance passenger (more than 80 km)
traffic
 5 different scenarios:
– Basis scenario (this figure)
–
WE: total 315 bn Pkm
of which 90 bn Pkm by HSR
( 30 % from air, 34 % from private car, 34 %
induced traffic, 2 % bus)
– Environment Scenario + 100 bn Pkm for rail
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CONCLUSIONS
 modal split and trends of traffic are not sustainable
 Sustainability only with more rail traffic:
– Infrastructure policy (HSL, UL, Freight L)
– Reduce distortion effects
– Client oriented rail products (i.e.: HSR, CT, Quality, …)
Good future for HSR
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CONTACT:
NAME: HERMANN GITZELMANN
MAIL: [email protected]
PHONE: +49 6131 58495-0
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