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Towards Zero Death: A National Strategy on Highway Safety White Papers Hugh McGee,VHB Inc Stakeholder Workshop August 25-26, 2010 White Papers I. Future View of Transportation: Implications for Safety II. Safety Culture III. Safer Drivers* IV. Safer Vehicles* V. Safer Vulnerable Users* VI. Safer Infrastructure* VII.Emergency Medical Systems* VIII.Data Systems & Analysis Tools* IX. Lessons Learned from Safety Programs In Other Countries * Included in this presentation. White Paper Objectives Identify strategies for reducing fatalities through: Safer Drivers Safer Vehicles Safer Infrastructure Safer Vulnerable Users Improved EMS Improved Data Systems and Analysis Tools Provide: Estimates of fatality reduction Costs – how much and who pays Challenges for implementation Opportunities White Paper Objectives WPs not meant to be comprehensive—FOCUS ON KEY STRATEGIES Challenged to be ‘thought-provoking’ & think outside the box How can known strategies be implemented more widely. These WPs along with 3 others provide input to discussions that will lead to a National Strategic Safety Plan THESE WPS ARE EXPERT OPINIONS! General Summary For Each White Paper Magnitude of Problem Major Topics Areas Key Strategies and Programs Challenges and Obstacles Areas for Opportunity Safer Drivers Neil Lerner Jeremiah Singer James Jenness Westat Safer Drivers – Driver Behavior Problem Crash causation: Driver behavior contributes to >90% of crashes Crash outcome: about 50% of occupant fatalities are unrestrained Driver behavior may not be sole cause of crash, and countermeasure does not necessarily have to be behavioral But problems of behavior are key component for major reduction in fatalities Safer Drivers – Major Topic Areas Historically the “big three”: Speeding, Restraint system use, Impairment (alcohol, illegal drugs, medication, and fatigue) Additional relevant topics: Driver groups with high fatality rates Older drivers (dealt with in “Vulnerable Users” white paper) Teen drivers Driver distraction Including technology use and multi-tasking Safer Drivers – Noteworthy Trends Technology in the vehicle and on the road Shift in how people view the driving task Powerful new study methods to understand and correct driver behavior Safer Drivers – Areas of Opportunity Traditional strategies still important, but there is opportunity in some new approaches in: Increase restraint use Speeding Driver distraction Teen drivers Increase Restraint Use Initiatives Effective nighttime enforcement Enhanced seat belt reminder systems & other vehicle interventions Detect and alert for unbelted rear seat passengers Devise teen-oriented vehicle systems Improve system design for child safety seats Reduce Speeding Initiatives Expand use of in-vehicle speed monitoring technologies Use automated speed enforcement technologies to achieve broad area enforcement Reduce Driver Distraction Promote effective enforcement of distracted driving laws Foster change in driver attitudes about multitasking risks & responsibilities Support technology developers Target teen drivers Develop adaptive driver interface systems Develop criteria for design of digital outdoor commercial signage. Increase Safety of Young Drivers Implement & strengthen GDL laws & enact primary seatbelt laws. Promote enforcement of GDL restrictions and community support of GDL Encourage high level parental supervision during intermediate stage of GDL Promote safer vehicles for teen drivers Safer Vehicles Richard Retting Sam Schwartz Engineering Ron Knipling safetyforthelonghaul.com Safer Vehicles Decades of improvements in motor vehicle safety technology Improving safety requires moving beyond past accomplishments Specific vehicle design features and technologies offer substantial promise/evidence for reducing traffic fatalities Safer Vehicles - Strategies For most major crash types there are potential vehicle countermeasures 2008 Crash Types & Countermeasure Applications Side Object Detection Video Mirrors Vehicle-to-Vehicle Comms Infrastructure-to-Veh Comms (e.g., Sign/Signal Warnings) Daytime Running Lights Electronic Stability Control Automatic Speed Control Lane Departure Warning Alertness Monitoring Other, 15%Road Departure (w/ most rollovers), 23% Lane Change/Merge, 9% Crossing Paths, 25% Rear-End, 28% Source: Adapted from Sayer and Flanigan (2010); statistics from NHTSA. Forward Collision Warning Adaptive Cruise Control Emergency Brake Assist Enhanced Conspicuity Safer Vehicles – Strategies Strategies can be categorized as applicable to: Passenger vehicles Large trucks Cross-cutting and highly applicable to both Safer Vehicles – Strategies Passenger Vehicles Alcohol Detection & Interlock Emergency Brake Assist Crashworthiness Enhancements 19 Safer Vehicles - Strategies Large Trucks Improved Brakes/Shorter Stopping Distances Roll Stability Onboard Safety Monitoring Electronic Onboard Recorders Side Object Detection Systems Vehicle Condition Monitoring Automated Transmissions Truck-Specific Navigation Aids Enhanced Trailer Conspicuity Enhanced Trailer Rear Lighting/Warnings Video Side Mirrors Collision Aggressivity Reductions 20 Safer Vehicles – Strategies Cross-Cutting Applicable to Cars and Trucks Electronic Stability Control Forward Collision Warning Systems Lane Departure Warning Systems Backing Collision Warnings Driver Alertness Warnings Automatic Speed Control Electronic Drivers License Intelligent Lighting Systems Intersection Collision Avoidance Systems Road Condition Warning Systems Electronic Data Recorders 21 Safer Vehicles - Strategies High Priority Vehicle Strategies Alcohol Detection & Interlock Automatic Speed Control Electronic Stability Control Emergency Brake Assist Lane Departure Warning Systems Driver Attention Monitoring Ejection Mitigation Improved Side Impact Protection Side Object Detection Systems Daytime Running Lights 22 Safer Vehicles -Barriers to Implementation Need to achieve extremely high levels of accuracy for crash-avoidance technologies Many important R&D issues remain Lack of consumer demand/willingness to pay Need for initial/ongoing driver training For vehicle-to-infrastructure technologies , sheer size of roadway system (4 million miles of public roads) Concerns about legal liability Privacy, public opinion (e.g. automatic speed control) 23 Safer Vulnerable Road Users: Pedestrians, Bicyclists, Motorcyclists, and Older Users Charlie Zegeer and William Hunter University of North Carolina Highway Safety Research Center Loren Staplin TransAnalytics, LLC Fran Bents and Richard Huey Westat Janet Barlow Accessible Design for the Blind Safer Vulnerable Users – Magnitude of Problem Pedestrians 4,654 fatalities - 11 percent of all traffic fatalities (2007) Pedestrian crash trends continue to show greater problems for children and older adult pedestrians Bicyclists 716 fatalities - 2 percent of all traffic fatalities (2008) An additional 52,000 pedalcyclists were injured Safer Vulnerable Users – Magnitude of Problem Motorcycles Approximately 5,200 fatalities per year Fatalities have more than doubled in the past decade. Infrastructure may present unique hazards to motorcyclist. Older Users 25% of drivers will be age 65 or older by 2030. Drivers 85 and older are themselves 8X higher risk of death per mile traveled than safest group (ages 30-60). Approximately 5,000 drivers aged 70 and above are killed each year Safer Vulnerable Users – Strategies for Pedestrians Complete and market a revised AASHTO pedestrian guide to local and State officials Further refine the MUTCD to address pedestrian safety problems Expend funding and implementation of a National Safe Routes to School Program with National Safety Education Program Promote and advance the use of photo enforcement Safer Vulnerable Users – Strategies for Pedestrians Develop and implement specific national guidelines for safer bus stop design and placement Expand pedestrian safety training to engineers, planners, and other professionals nationwide (supported by pedestrian safety research) Improve the reflectorization/conspicuity of pedestrians Develop and implement pedestrian-friendly ITS vehicle and roadway features Safer Vulnerable Users – Strategies for Bicyclists Reduce motor vehicle speed in urban and suburban areas Reduce distracted driving by motorists and distracted riding by bicyclists Educate motorists about how to share the road with bicyclists Educate bicyclists about how to ride in traffic and the use of proper equipment Reduce intersection conflicts Safer Vulnerable Users – Strategies for Motorcyclists Advisory Councils for the Federal and State Governments AASHTO Highway Design Handbook for Motorcyclists National motorcycle helmet law Rider to driver communication Standard motorcycle lighting displays More rider training and certification Safer Vulnerable Users – Strategies for Older Users Incorporate national standards into State-level design manuals. Mandatory “refresher” driving course to retain unrestricted license. Required screening for visual, mental, and physical capability regardless of age for license renewal Immunity for health professionals for voluntary reporting older patients to DMV they are concerned might have driving impairments. A national system for labeling prescription and over-the-counter medications better indicating the risk for impairment of driving. Safer Infrastructure Paul Jovanis Eric Donnell The Thomas D. Larson Pennsylvania Transportation Institute Safer Infrastructure: Speeding 16000 35.0% 14000 30.0% 25.0% 10000 20.0% 8000 15.0% 6000 10.0% 4000 5.0% 2000 Number of Speeding Related Fatalities Percentage of All Fatalities 0 0.0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Percentage of All Fatalities Number of Speeding Related Fatalities 12000 Safer Infrastructure: Roadway Departure 25000 60% 50% 40% 15000 30% 10000 20% 5000 10% Roadway Departure Fatalities Percentage of all Fatalities 0 0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Percentage of all Fataliities Number of Roadway Departure Fatalities 20000 Safer Infrastructure: Intersections 9000 20.0% 8000 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% 6000 12.0% 5000 10.0% 4000 8.0% 3000 6.0% 2000 4.0% Number of Fatalities in Intersections (w/o signals) 1000 Number of Fatalities in Intersections (w/ signals) 2.0% Percentage of All Fatalities 0 0.0% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Percentage of All Fatalities Number of Fatalities in Intersections 7000 Safer InfrastructureStrategies Automated speed enforcement Safety center of excellence Performance-based design Automated Speed Enforcement 1970 (28.9) Year 1990 RS 2000 Strategy 2004 (7.6) 2003 1988 1983 1978 1973 1948 1943 1938 1933 1928 1923 1918 0 1968 1908 (7.6) 1963 10 Dec 1982 RBT Oct 1971 Compulsory Seat belts Dec 1962 Random Breath Early 1990s Testing Automated Enforcement WWII 1958 1930s Depression 1913 Oct 1971 Compulsory Seat Belts 1950-1960s Rapid Motorisation 1953 20 1998 Peak of Roaring 1920s 1993 30 1908 Fatalities per 100,000 Population Road Traffic Accident Fatalities per 100,000 Population, NSW , 1908-2004 Opportunities and Challenges Opportunities Possible 25% reduction in fatalities and injuries Benefits = $16 million/year in Scottsdale, AZ Challenges Reliable & accurate equipment Speed exceedance limits Covert/overt decision Rational speed limits Regional Safety Centers of Excellence Implement state-of-art safety management processes Education and training needs Technical assistance to local and state programs Safety coordination Opportunities and Challenges Opportunities Effective allocation of resources Consistent national implementation of Strategic Highway Safety Plans Supported by state-of-art methods and tools Certification of safety professionals Challenges Demand for education programs Regional collaboration among stakeholders Performance-based Design Paradigm Land Use Topography Anticipated Operating Speed Functional Class Select Design Speed Minimum/Limiting Values for Design Criteria: Curve Radius Superelevation Rate Sight Distance Vertical Grade (max) Lane & Shoulder Width Vertical Curvature Rate Horizontal Clearance to Obstructions Establish Horizontal & Vertical Alignment Establish Cross-Section Elements Cost & Environmental Impacts Explicit Safety Design Assessment (Tools): HSM, IHSDM, RSAP, SafetyAnalyst, HCS, etc. Implicit Safety Application of Design Standards & Policies Opportunities and Challenges Opportunities Explicitly consider safety in planning and design (may include construction and maintenance) Mandate use of existing tools to support safety decision-making Systematic road safety management Challenges Research needed to develop revised design policies Cultural change required Emergency Medical Services (EMS) The National Association of State Emergency Medical Services Officials EMS – Some Background Trauma to motor vehicle occupants is 4th leading cause of nonfatal injuries treated in Emergency Departments Less than half of all fatal crash victims die at the scene– those who die later are potentially preventable. EMS providers are at greater risk of death on the job compared to police & firefighters- 74% of EMS fatalities are transportation related. Crash rates of ambulances are 7 to 10 times greater than heavy trucks. FARS >> 2 out of 3 fatalities associated with ambulance collisions were either occupants of other vehicles or pedestrians. CDC claims that severely injured victim who received care at a Level 1 trauma center within 1hr had 25% reduction in risk of death EMS – Some Issues EMS is a complex system and organized differently across jurisdictions--both private and public; about 15K local EMS agencies. Leadership of comprehensive EMS system nationwide under NHTSA Office of EMS; but no direct authority over the provision of EMS. State and territorial EMS offices do not have ‘roadmap’ for how best to move towards unified and effective practices for safety of EMS personnel and to critical difference that can be made in patient outcomes when EMS functions in optimal manner. National plan affords opportunity to partner within and between states and nationally across disciplines in unprecedented way. EMS - Strategies The six phases of EMS represented by NHTSA’s ‘Star of Life’ provides framework for organizing strategies to reduce fatalities. Detection Systems Need standard dictionary and .xml schema for Telematics Data Definitions and Transmisson Standards (OnStar) Develop national Advanced Automatic Collision Notification algorithms, protocols & training. AACN predictors for need for vehicle extrication. 9-1-1 Access & Capabilities Enhanced 9-1-1and Phase II Compliance– to identify caller address/location Next Generation 9-1-1—data transmission across wireless and internet-based systems EMS Response & Capacity Widespread adoption of National EMS Scope of Practice Model & National EMS Education Standards. Vehicle extrication education and competency standards Integrated ambulance-based safety systems— regulate ambulances like large trucks? IntelliDriveSM for EMS vehicles– V2V and V2I Evidence-based E Vehicle Operations Standards On-Scene Medical Care Adopt National Trauma Triage Protocol National unified goal for traffic incident management embracing law enforcement, fire, EMS, rescue, roadway maintenance, towing and traffic control. Patient Transportation Paradigms Engineering and design standards for ambulances– none exist for patient care compartment Helicopter EMS utilization criteria Ground ambulance access to ITS infrastructure sources– road hazards, weather Hospital & Specialty Care Infrastructure Comprehensive and state regulated trauma systems Pre-hospital & interfacility telemedicine applications Crosscutting Strategies National EMS information system based on National EMS Information System (NEMSIS) Trauma registries as source for severe injury data– allows for data-driven decision making for trauma system performance Records linkage to crash data– cross over to Data Systems WP. Data Systems and Analysis Tools Barbara Hilger DeLucia Data Nexus, Inc. Geni Bahar NAVIGATS Inc. Imagine the day …. …whenaacrash crashoccurs, occurs,the thelocation locationisisknown knownby byitsitsgeographic geographicposition positionimmediately, immediately,the the …when driver,passengers, passengers,and andother otherroad roadusers usersare areissued issuedan anincident incidentnumber numberthat thatwill willallow allowus ustoto driver, followup upon onthe theimpact impactofofthe thecrash crashusing usingdata datafrom fromother othersystems, systems,facilitating facilitatingadjudication, adjudication, follow medicalcare, care,training, training,licensing, licensing,vehicle vehicleuse, use,and andother otherkey keysafety safetyaspects aspectsofoftransportation. transportation. medical …when a crash occurs, the location is known by its geographic position immediately, the driver, passengers, and other road users are issued an …when crash data are transmitted from the …when crash data transmitted from vehicle, accurately located by vehicle, GPS tothe link incident number that will allow us to follow on …when crash data areare transmitted from thethe vehicle, accurately located byup GPS to link with roadway and traffic conditions. The event data recorder from the vehicle accurately located by GPS to link with roadway and with impact roadway andoftraffic conditions. The eventdata data recorder from the vehicle transfers the crash using from other systems, transfers information about the moments before the crash to a data warehouse orbase information about the moments before the crash to a data warehouse or knowledge traffic conditions. Theproviding event datacare, fromforthe knowledge base of adjudication, analysts, thereby linkage torecorder further data sources facilitating medical training, of analysts, thereby providing linkage to further data sources for safety analysis safety analysis vehicle transfers information about the moments licensing, vehicle use, and key tools safety aspects of …when data systems andother analysis are …when movements are continuously assessed before thetraffic to athe data warehouse orinitiatives knowledge transportation. tocrash evaluate strategies and …whenavailable traffic movements are continuously assessed at real time and these data are …when traffic movements are continuously assessed at real time and these atfor real and these data are analyzed for instant base of time analysts, thereby linkage tokeyfurther analyzed instant response andwhite prevention of providing collisions. discussed in the papers for the other areas, data are analyzed for instant response and prevention of collisions. response prevention of collisions. data safety analysis as wellsources as,and forfor assessing progress in the implementation of the national strategy for highway …when data systems and analysis tools are available to evaluate the strategies safetydiscussed Towardin Zero Deaths and significant and initiatives the white papers for the other key areas,decreases as well as, for assessing progress ininjured the implementation in seriously persons.of the national strategy for highway safety Toward Zero Deaths and significant decreases in seriously injured persons. Data Systems and Analysis Overview National, State and Local data used for different levels of analysis: Problem Identification Countermeasure Selection Program and Project Evaluation Fourteen data resources (national and state) described Data Systems and Analysis State-of-the-Art and –Practice 10 resources and 12 analytical tools presented. Classified as: On-going - data or information are entered periodically. Single timeframe - data entered for a single time period. Web link address. Short description and capabilities. Brief suggestions for future modifications/expansions to meet current or likely future needs. Data Systems and Analysis Recommended Enhancements Inclusion of all injury crashes in national databases Use of technology to automate and minimize redundancy and errors Development of a data warehouse and provide online access Development of state, regional and local Safety Perform Functions Data Systems and Analysis Recommended Enhancements Continued Increase accessibility online Create an on-going mechanism to keep the knowledge base updated with new research and evaluation of treatments and online access Expand analytical tools to other road types and facilities; and road users Data Systems and Analysis – Strategies Strategy 1 Implement state-of-the-art tools (1-5 years) Strategy 2 Expand on methods and application tools (1-10 years) Strategy 3 Develop and implement new methods and tools (1-15 years) “If decision-makers are provided safety analysis tools that output better safety decisions or make the decision-making process easier, these tools will be used. If these tools require improved safety data, then these same decision-makers will find ways to generate these improved data.” Source: Traffic Safety Information Systems International Scan: Strategy Implementation White Paper, Publication No. FHWA-HRT-06-099, September 2006 TOP 10 STRATEGIES TO REDUCE FATALITIES (McGee’s Opinion) 10. Comprehensive & integrated safety data system 9. Highway design standards that consider vulnerable users—aging, bicycle, motorcycle 8. Implement low-cost proven highway safety improvements 7. Increase safety of young drivers 6. Curtail distracted driving TOP 10 STRATEGIES TO REDUCE FATALITIES (McGee’s Opinion) 5. Develop affordable safety devices/technology for all vehicles 4. Reduce number of impaired drivers 3. Increase restraint use 2. Reduce ‘speeding’ 1. Adopt culture of safety That’s my opinion. What do you think? LASTLY --THANK YOU AUTHORS White Paper Expert/Author Future View: Implications for Alan Pisarski Safety Forrest Council Nicholas Ward Safety Culture Jeff Linkenbach Sarah Keller Jay Otto Neil Lerner Safer Drivers Jeremiah Singer James Jenness Safer Vehicles Richard Retting Ron Knipling White Paper Author Charlie Zeeger William Hunter Safer Vulnerable Users Loren Staplin Fran Bents Richard Huey Janet Barlow Safer Infrastructure Paul Jovanis Eric Donnell Emergency Medical Systems Nadine Levick Data Systems & Analysis Tools Barbara DeLucia Lessons Learned from European Experiences Geni Bahar Ezra Hauer