Transcript A Methodological Issue in Post Project Assessment of

A Methodological Issue
in Post Project Assessment
of Social Impact
Case study of involuntary
resettlement caused by dam
construction in Japan
Naruhiko TAKESADA
Graduate School of Frontier Sciences
University of Tokyo, JAPAN
Social Impact of Dam
• Involuntary Resettlement caused by Dam
Construction
– Past: not much care
– Present: carefully planned resettlement
• Compensation (monetary and/or in kind)
• Rehabilitation
• “Resettlement as Opportunity”
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Principle agreed
• Standard of Living and/or Income
– improved, at least restored
w/o R
Asset/Income
After R1
After R2
After R3
t
t+n
Time
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When & How to Assess
• When/How we know the principle realized
• Post Project Assessment (Post Evaluation)
– Donor-driven in developing countries
– 2-5 years after completion
• Monitoring effort waning
• “Development” is long process
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Different Picture
• Different result with different timing
w/o R
Asset/Income
After R1
After R2
After R3
t
t+n
Time
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Case Study: Ikawa dam in Japan
• Ikawa Dam built in 1955
• 193 households displaced
• 21 households moved to prepared area
(“Nishiyama-daira”)
• “New Village Building”
• Interview with resettlers in “Nishiyamadaira”
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Findings
• Resettlers’ livelihood after dam
– Just after resettlement: hardship
– After 10 years: unexpected boom in
forestry
– After 20 years: stagnation begins
• Now
– Most resettlers satisfied
– Village depopulated and declining
• Success or Failure?
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Conclusion and Implication
• Uncertainty in “environment”
• Unforeseen social impact
• Rehabilitation not as expected
• Uncertainty & Unforeseen: no easy
solution at planning
• One-shot plan is not feasible
• Monitoring with commitment
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End of
Presentation
Thank you
very much!
IAIA07 Seoul, 7 June, 2007
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