Transcript Dia 1
When I’m 64 InterDirect Network sept 2010 Georges Van Nevel Kasteellaan 160 | B-9000 Gent | BE 0426.851.666 | RPR Gent | TEL. +32 9 224 43 60 | FAX +32 9 224 01 69 | www.dvn.be | [email protected] Succession planning or the next generation Kasteellaan 160 | B-9000 Gent | BE 0426.851.666 | RPR Gent | TEL. +32 9 224 43 60 | FAX +32 9 224 01 69 | www.dvn.be | [email protected] Background ● Some day, we will all retire. ● You think you’ve worked enough. Key issue ● What to do? Selling ● To a third party ● To the kids ● To the other management members Trends ● Sector fragmentation ◦ Smaller agencies ◦ Importance of freelance groups ● The role of procurement and financial people: ◦ Fee and price pressure Trends ● Marketing is becoming increasingly marginalised in big companies. Even more in smaller countries. ● Networks are concentrating on BRIC-countries and on-line. ● China: they have the tangible stuff, but they don’t have the brands. ● Converting communication into a commodity. Split-up of the jobs. Trends ● Digital/social media are our core business. ● Software as a commodity tool in the digital world. ● Private equity offers other opportunities. Conclusion • It’s a new world. Selling to a third party ● Networks ● Private equity ● Private individuals as sleeping partners Selling to the kids ● Do they have the know-how and the skills? ● Integration within the existing management team. ● Your other kids. Selling to the management team ● Are they willing to invest? ● Do they have the money or the capital sources? New trend ● A mix of shareholders. ● The previous owner becomes sleeping partner. ● Other parties concerned become shareholder (eg printer, software developer, holding, …) Rating methods ● Based on historical performances. ● Discounted Cash Flow method (DCF). ● Earn out: ◦ Based on growth ◦ 3 – 5 years ◦ Multiplier influenced by certain criteria ● Importance of continuity ● Value ≠ price Model ● Old situation Owner 1 Owner 2 60% 40% Agency x Selling price: 1.000 Owner 1: 600 Owner 2: 400 Model ● New situation alternative 1 Owner 2 60% Owner 3 20% NewCo 100% Agency x Owner 4 20% Model ● New situation alternative 2 Owner 2 60% Owner 3 20% Agency x Owner 4 20% New financial situation ● Capital: 400 ◦ Owner 2: 240 ◦ Owner 3: 80 ◦ Owner 4: 80 ● Bank loans: 600 Trend ● The way it used to be: ◦ 20/80 ● Nowadays: ◦ 30/70 ◦ 40/60 Payback period ● 5 – 7 years My interest is in the future, because I’m going to spend the rest of my life there Thank you