Transcript EU beef and veal market A brief overview and some

The European pigmeat sector
Management Committee for Pigmeat
19 June 2008
Price in Euro/100 kg
Development of the Community average
market price for pig carcases
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
1
4
7
2006
DG AGRI C4
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
2007
2008
Animal products statistics
5 yr Avg (02-06)
19 June 2008
2
Percentual change in Pig prices May 2008
35.0%
-1 year
- 1 month
Difference in %
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HU MT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK
EU
-5.0%
DG AGRI C4
Animal products statistics
19 June 2008
3
Development of the Community average
market price for piglets
€uro/ piece
45
40
35
30
25
1
4
7
10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52
2006
DG AGRI C4
2007
2008
Animal products statistics
5 yr avg (02 - 06)
19 June 2008
4
Blé tendre (EU)
Orge (EU)
Prix Matières Premières
2006 - 2008
Maïs (EU)
300.00
Soja (CAF)
Sons (EU)
P. d'I orge
155% P.d'I. maïs
Euro / tonne
250.00
Manioc (CAF)
C.G.F. (CAF)
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
Jan 06
April
DG AGRI C4
Juil
Oct
Jan 07
April
Juil
Animal products statistics
Oct
Jan 08
April
19 June 2008
Juil
5
Euro/ T (compound feed)
Euro/ 100kg (pork)
350.00
Comparisson between Compoundfeed
for Pigs and
a Cereal-Feedmix
300.00
forecast
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
0.00
|
04
|
05
margin pig/ comp. Feed (4.4)
DG AGRI C4
|
06
Cereal-mix
Animal products statistics
|
07
|
Compound feed
08
|
Pig carcase
19 June 2008
6
Weekly average Pigprices 2007 - 2008
EU, Brazil and the US in Euro/ 100kg carcase
160.00
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
60.00
1 4
7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 3
Braz. avg
DG AGRI C4
6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51
EU
Animal products statistics
US
19 June 2008
7
Pigprices in US and EU and forecasts
195
EU forecast: Working group priceforecast pigmeat
US Forecast: Feedstuffs
€uro/ 100kg
170
145
120
95
EU
US
70
|
05
DG AGRI C4
|
06
|
07
Animal products statistics
|
08
|
19 June 2008
09
8
1.7
Weekly exchange rate US dollar
1.6
2001 - 2008
1.5
1.4
1 €uro = .......US$
1.3
1.2
1.1
1
0.9
0.8
|
01
|
02
DG AGRI C4
|
03
|
04
|
05
|
Animal products statistics
06
|
07
|
08
19 June 2008
|
9
Forecast of the release of Pigmeat from Private Storage,
including the extension
PAR
MEMBRE
ETAT
BELGIE/BELGIQUE
CZECH REP.
DANMARK
DEUTSCHLAND
ELLAS
ESPANA
FRANCE
IRELAND
ITALIA
HUNGARY
NEDERLAND
ÖSTERREICH
POLAND
SLOWAKIA
FINLAND
SVERIGE
UNITED KINGDOM
TOTAL
Extension
February
2008
May
2008
June
2008
August
2008
July
2008
September
2008
TOTAL
441
30
903
902
54
1114
952
0
204
241
462
254
122
200
12
147
84
1788
118
7090
6845
0
5849
3516
241
6205
454
2667
646
803
0
641
337
200
1428
224
9743
4902
0
11942
3089
0
9087
599
3353
1899
5175
0
269
184
0
0
0
0
152
0
0
0
0
404
0
20
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
3 809
581
18 684
12 972
54
19 080
8 288
241
15 957
1 335
6 682
3 000
6 101
200
957
669
284
2898
6122
37401
51894
576
0
0
0
98 892
3 162
8 960
362
28 804
12 892
2 070
41 072
0
5 350
5 926
2 898
DG AGRI C4
April
2008
151
209
949
171
0
174
732
0
56
40
180
200
0
0
35
0
0
From
to
New releases
March
2008
2 960
Animal products statistics
8 964
8 964
8 268
8 268
25 014
25 014
98 892
0
19 June 2008
10
Trade in Pigmeat
DG AGRI C4
Animal products statistics
19 June 2008
11
Tonns product weight
Import of selected Pigmeat products
Monthly
Other
Prep & Sauss
Offals
Fresh & Frozen
4 000
2 000
0
|
2005
DG AGRI C4
|
2006
|
Animal products statistics
2007
|
2008
19 June 2008
|
12
Export of selected Pigmeat products
Monthly
Tonns
200 000
150 000
100 000
50 000
0
|
2005
|
Fresh & Frozen
DG AGRI C4
2006
|
Offals
Animal products statistics
2007
|
2008
Prep & Sauss
Other
19 June 2008
|
13
Requests for export licences with refunds for
fresh and frozen pigmeat,
weeks 23-51 of GATT year 13 (29.11.07-16.06.08)
Cat.
prod.
Taux
restit.
DE
DK
PL
NL
FR
ES
FI
AT
BE
IT
Other
EU27
Attributions
%
(€ /100kg)
1
31.1
28 044
0
44 348
10 179
13 105
5 260
8 417
3 629
972
357
2 761
117 072
2
31.1
25 906
51 048
2 923
17 899
13 086
13 220
9 816
7 622
5 560
5 841
11 504
164 425
3
19.4
13 969
8 788
6 661
21 672
11 418
4 536
1 587
1 483
5 973
4 975
2 817
83 879
67 919
59 836
53 932
49 750
37 610
23 016
19 820
12 734
12 504
11 173
17 082
365 376
TOTALPER EM
DG AGRI C4
Animal products statistics
19 June 2008
14
Cumulated quantity of
weekly requests
for Export licenses
in the Pigmeat sector
for Gatt year 2007 - 2008
600 000
500 000
Tonn
400 000
300 000
200 000
100 000
Cumulative quantity available
cumulative attributions
0
1
3
5
7
DG AGRI C4
9
11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 35 37 39 41 43 45 47 49 51
Animal products statistics
19 June 2008
15