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Indicator Projects in St. Louis Using Data, Measurement, and Technology to Connect the Region Measuring and Monitoring Livability and Community Amenities June 11, 2015 Greater St. Louis • 15 counties • 7,889 square miles • 2.8 million population • 19th largest metro region • 1.1 million households • 1.4 million work force • $145.96 billion economy • 77,000 business establishments Connecting • Government – East-West Gateway Council of Government • Quasi Governmental - Mosaic Project • Universities - Applied Research Collaborative (ARC) • Nonprofit Community Development – Rise, a National Neighborhood Indicators Partner • Business - St. Louis Regional Chamber, Chamber of Commerce and Regional Economic Development organization Our one purpose is to inspire a greater St. Louis Together, we will make St. Louis a more attractive place for people to live, work and invest. We are a broad community of leaders united for economic prosperity throughout the entire St. Louis bi-state region We will help unite the public and private sectors to advance and secure policy necessary to support our plan. We will champion a better tomorrow through community leadership on three priorities: • Greater Educational Attainment • Inclusion + Talent Attraction • Entrepreneurship + Innovation Our aspiration is for St. Louis to be one of the Top 10 U.S. Regions in prosperity by 2025 as measured by selected economic indicators. We will win on today’s regional strengths in focused economic clusters: • Financial Services •Health • Multimodal Logistics • Biosciences Our aspiration is for St. Louis to be one of the Top 10 U.S. regions in prosperity Current Rank Regional Indicator Recent Trend To reach Top 10 by 2025 40% 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 25% 2012 Additional 75,000 adults total or an additional 6,000 BA degrees per year 30% 2011 14 35% 2010 Educational Attainment % Adult Population with College Degree 1.2% 18 Add 24,000 new residents per year to achieve a 1.2% annual growth rate 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 Average Annual Population Growth 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% -0.2% -0.4% Increasing Rank ■ Falling Rank ● No Change in Rank Data Sources: Census, BEA, BLS Forecast Sources: Woods & Poole 2015 Note: No forecast data for net migration Updated5/11/15 00-09* 09-10 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 18 Net Migration as share of Population Positive net migration of about 12,000 persons per year Our aspiration is for St. Louis to be one of the Top 10 U.S. regions in prosperity Current Rank Regional Indicator Recent Trend To reach Top 10 by 2025 St. Louis would need to add $5,800 more per capita income per person per year $60,000 $45,000 $30,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 14 Per Capita Personal Income (Current $) ■ 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 4 Annual Growth Per Capita Personal Income St. Louis would need to retain top 10 position for income growth while increasing rank in per capita income 10-11 11-12 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 24-25 6% To reach a 2.7% growth rate the region’s GDP must add an additional $8 billion from 2014 to 2025 (in 2009$) 4% 2% 0% 3.0% Annual Growth Gross Regional Product (GDP) 19 ● 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 2% -1% Increasing Rank ■ Falling Rank Data Sources: Census, BEA, BLS Forecast Sources: Woods & Poole 2015 ● No Change in Rank Updated 5/11/15 24-25 23-24 22-23 21-22 20-21 19-20 18-19 17-18 16-17 15-16 14-15 13-14 12-13 0% 11-12 ■ Add 90,400 additional jobs, or an extra 7,000 jobs per year 10-11 19 1% 09-10 Average Annual Employment Growth East-West Gateway OneSTL - Plan for Sustainable Development East-West Gateway Setting Goals The St. Louis Mosaic Project’s goal is to transform St. Louis into the fastest growing metropolitan area for immigration by 2020 and promote regional prosperity through immigration and innovation. • Developing and welcoming multicultural talent • Connecting interns to the region • Connecting immigrants to the region -2% -2.3% -1% 3.4% -3% Source: American Community Survey, U.S. Census 0.2% Chicago Phoenix -0.4% 0.4% Riverside Los Angeles 0.5% 1.1% Detroit New York 1.3% Tampa 1.4% U.S. 1.3% 1.5% Dallas San Francisco 1.6% St. Louis 2.2% Miami 1.6% 2.2% Atlanta 2.7% 2.3% San Diego Boston Minneapolis 3.0% 0% Houston 1% 3.1% 2% Philadelphia Washington 4.0% 3.6% 3% Baltimore Seattle Growth Rate in Foreign Born Population 20 Largest MSAs and U.S. - 2006 - 2013 4% RISE – Core Activities • Build – acts a developer and a development consultant, utilizing a proven strategy to catalyze the neighborhood revitalization process. • Support – supports to local community development corporations (CDCs) and the St. Louis community development sector as a whole with capacity building and training programs. • Inform – collects, maintains, analyzes and maps neighborhood indicators and other data to measure the outcome of community development efforts and makes data available to inform communitybased decision-making. Neighborhood Data Gateway DRAFT NUISANCE PROPERTY PROCESS NUISANCE PROPERTIES & BLOCK TEAMS 16 LaunchCode LaunchCode is a non-profit organization that creates pathways to economic opportunity and upward mobility through apprenticeships and job placement in technology. St. Louis Chamber • Strategic Advisor Role • Introductions to corporations • Backbone administration – financial controls for diverse funding streams • Assist securing $1 million CDBG RISE • Civic Tech Ecosystem • Presented Rise's work at Launchcode's Reboot U class to teach about community data/tech needs and to connect tech work and neighborhood work. Links To St. Louis Sources • East-West Gateway - http://www.ewgateway.org/wws/wws.htm • One STL - http://www.onestl.org/ • St. Louis Mosaic Project - http://www.stlmosaicproject.org/ • Rise - http://www.risestl.org/ • Neighborhood Data Gateway - http://www.datagateway.org/ • Rise NNIP Profile - http://www.neighborhoodindicators.org/partner/141 • Applied Research Collaborative (ARC) – http://pprc.umsl.edu/Applied%20Research%20Collaborative/index.html • Launch Code – https://www.launchcode.org/ • St. Louis Regional Chamber - http://www.stlregionalchamber.com/ Thank You Ruth Sergenian Director, Economic Research & Analysis St. Louis Regional Chamber One Metropolitan Square, Suite 1300 St. Louis, MO 63102 phone 314.444.1125 [email protected] www.stlregionalchamber.com