Transcript Earth System Science and the Carbon-Climate

Urban and Regional
Carbon Management
(URCM)
Penelope Canan
Global Carbon Project
Tsukuba International Project Office
Linking the Global, Regional, Local
Urban and Regional Carbon Management (URCM)
research on place-based carbon budgets
using a comparative and historical approach to
urban, regional, and global carbon footprints,
their determinants, trajectories, &
management opportunities.
Cities-in-Regions
Historical
Windows of
Opportunity
for Now &
for the Future
for DeCarbonized
Development
Regional Carbon Budget
Residential
Buildings
Transportation
Industry
Urban Design
ENERGY
Infrastructure Extension
Wood Extraction
Agricultural Expansion
LAND USES
Proximate
Drivers
Population
Organization
Culture
Eco-Environment
Institutions
Technology
The “Human
Dimensions”
(Underlying
Causes)
Place-Based Variations in the
Carbon-Climate-Human Cycle
Population
Organization
Culture
Eco-Environment
Institutions
Technology
Specifying the Variables that are Key to
Understanding Place-Based Variations in the
Carbon-Climate-Human Cycle
• Population
• Composition, Distribution
• Organization
• Groups, Organizations
(Structure & Stratification)
• Ecosystem/Climate/Land
Cover/Land Use
• Energy, Transportation
• Eco-Environment
• Technology
• Institutions
• Culture
• Economy, Polity, Health,
Education, Religion
• Beliefs, Values, Customs,
Ethics
Urban
BUSINESS
GEOGRAPHY
Soc.
INDUSTRY
Community
LAW
Studies
Integrating
Perspectives
For Sustainability
Science and
ETHICS
URCM
PEWS
Environmental
Technology
DEVELOPMENT
Economic
Sociology
URCM
URCM
HISTORY
ECONOMICS
ANTHOPOLOGY
Demography
Stratification,
Power, &
Politics
Social
Justice
Science,
Movmts
Cultural
KnowlOrgztnl
Studies
Sociology
Techn
A Portfolio of
Research Approaches
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Case studies
Cross-sectional statistical approaches
Narratives, surveys, interviews
Secondary data analysis
Remote sensing
Qualitative Comparative Analysis
Social Network Analysis
Models Scenarios, GIS, Simulations
Quantitative Indicators of Trends
Meta-Analyses
Building Network of
Carbon
Cycle
Research
&
Training
PIK
USCCSP
SIGN UP
SHEET !!!!!
IIASA
NIES/COE
Penn State
University University
of
Flensburg
ClimateCarbonHumanCycle
Studies
Arizona
State
University
University
of
Chiang Mai
NCAR
Autonomous
University
of
Mexico
Integrating Information on Carbon Footprints and Social Change
at Multiple Scales in Space and Time
URCM Framework
Literature Reviews, Bibliography
Qualitative Comparative Analysis
Culture
Climate
Biogeophysical
Land Use & Emissions Data
Development Pathways
Quality of Life Indicators
Ecosystem Services Data
Ethno-Eco-Environmental Typologies
Carbon
Global & Regional
Models Comparison
Historical Trends
Current Conditions
Policy Options
Impacts
Scenarios
Research Tools
Training
Collaboration
Dissemination
Population
Cities
Places
Socio-cultural
Human Dimensions
Carbon-Climate-Human
Organization
Environment
Technology
Institutions
Change
Culture
Consequences
Collaborative Action Research
& Management Networks
Interpretive Synthesis Hub
Spatial
Comparative
Regions
Databases
Literature Review
Models Comparison
File #
POETIC
DATE
A-212
PEIE
1991
World 3
A-212
PEIE
1995
MESSAGE Model for Energy Supply Strategy
Alternatives and their General
A-212
PEIE
1997
TARGETS (Tool to Assess Regional and Global
Environmental and Health Targets for Sustainability)
PEI
1998-2002
1995
MARIA Multiregional Approach for Resource and
Industry Allocation
A-212
PETIE
1999
IF International Futures
A-212
PETIE
2000
AIM Asia Pacific Integrated Model
pOEtIE
2000
Country
U.S.A.
POETIC
Focus
Title
A-12
Model
pOEtIE
Land Use,
Emissions
The IMAGE 2.2 Model
web
A-145
Climate
POETIC
Land Use,
Emissions
Global Change in Local
Places: How Scale
Matters
Climate
Change
Wilbanks, Thomas
J. and Robert W.
Kates
Land Use
The Role of Carbon Cycle
Observations and
Knowledge in Carbon
Management
Annu.
Rev.
Environ.
Resour.
Dilling, Lisa et al.
Arctic
Hamilton,
Lawrence C.,
Benjamin C.
Brown, and
Rasmus Ole
Rasmussen
Science
in China
Chuluun, Togtohyn
and Dennis Ojima
A-154
Climate
POETIC
Author
Source
GAIM PLAN
PETIE
CO2
Emissions
(per capita)
Category
MODEL
A-212
A-12
File #
IMAGE 2.2
%
Precipitation
Change
Total Forest
(hectares)
1990
1998
1990
2000
18.9
19.9
222,113
225,993
1990
1998
A-161
Climate
A-202
Environment
Typology
POIE
POE
Land Use
West Greenland's Cod-toShrimp Transition: Local
Dimensions of Climatic
Change
Land use
Land Use Change and
Carbon cycle in Arid and
Semi-arid Lands of East
and Central Asia
Population
Temperature
Change
1990
Population
City
Country
1990
2000
Climate Group
2000
Culture
Organization
Boulder
U.S.A.
85,127
94,673
Yamagata
Japan
249,487
255,369
Japan
8.7
9.0
24,047
24,081
Thailand
1.7
3.2
15886
14762
Argentina
3.4
3.8
37,499
34,648
Buenos Aires
Argentina
2,965,403
2,768,772
55,205
Mexico City
Mexico
8,235,744
8,605,239
Manilla
Philippines
1,598,918
1,581,082
Jambi
Indonesia
339,786
417,507
Mexico
3.7
3.9
61,511
Philippines
0.7
1.0
6,676
5,789
India
0.8
1.1
63,732
64,113
Indonesia
Canada
World
0.9
1.1
118,110
104,986
15.4
15.3
244,571
244,571
4.2
4.1
3,963,429
3,869,455
IAI
Environment
Institutions
Technology
-.02
.04
+.2
+.5
Retrieving Information
Carbon Budget, Climate Change From URCM Database
APN
Indicators & Measures
Two Opportunities…

Asian Carbon Cycle Research Conference in March 2006, Beijing
Selected Literature
Abler, R. 2003. Global Change and Local Places: Estimating,
Understanding, and Reducing Greenhouse Gases. Cambridge:
Cambridge University Press.
Dhakal, Shobakar. 2004. Urban Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas
Emission in Asian Mega-Cities: Policies for a Sustainable Future.
Kanagawa: Institute for Global Environmental Strategies.
Lankao, P. R. et al. (eds.) 2005. Can Cities Reduce Global Warming?:
Urban Development and the Carbon Cycle in Latin America.
Mexico: IAI, UAM-X, GCP.
Lebel, L and D. Totrakool (eds.). 2005. Integrating Carbon Management
into Development Strategies of Cities – Establishing a Network of
Case Studies of Urbanisation in the Asia-Pacific (final report for
APN project 2004-07-CMY-Lasco). Kobe: Asia-Pacific Network for
Global Change Research.
Rayner, Steve and Elizabeth Malone (eds.). 1998. Human Choice &
Climate Change (4 Volumes). Columbus: Battelle Press.
Svirejeva-Hopkins, A. 2004. Urbanised Territories as a Specific
Components of the Global Carbon Cycle, Dissertation, University of
Potsdam.
www.globalcarbonproject.org