Transcript Midas
Scenario Description and Business Opportunity Analysis The Indian Broadband Scenario R. Balajee Midas Communication Technologies Indian Telecom Equipment Industry Product Categories Revenue (in Rs Crore) Indian Telecom Scenario FY ’05-06 FY ’06-07 Growth (in %age) ENTERPRISE EQUIPMENT Indian Services Categories Fixed line Cellular NLD ILD Internet and Broadband VSAT Radio Trunking TOTAL Voice Solutions Router Switch Modem Industry (FY Audio Video’06-07) Conferencing WLAN Revenue (Rs crore) Network Storage Network Security FY ’06-07 FY ’05-06 Structured Cabling 34,161 30,190 Network Integration 35,994 56,183 NMS Others* 9,015 7,186 Total 7,251 11,506 CARRIER EQUIPMENT 1,106 1,413 1,059 1,437 1,587 1,980 266 335 74 100 104Growth 150 559 (in %age) 995 539 916 594 817 -11.6 905 1,279 56.1 526 709 614 824 -20.3 7,933 10,955 1,620 2,040 642 Broadband Infrastructure Wireless Infrastructure 11,411 WiMax 0 443 540 1,459 Telecom Cables Transmission 38 36 765 Test & Measurement 88,522 107,681 358 Telecom Software 11,519 Telecom Turnkey 2,837 VSAT 327 Others** 380 Total 29,698 PHONES Mobile Handsets Fixed Phone Total GRAND TOTAL V&D estimates CyberMedia Research 14,258 1,906 16,164 53,795 58.7 26 895 27.8 35.7 24.8 25.9 35.1 44.2 78.0 69.9 37.5 41.3 34.8 34.2 38.1 16,677 88 21.9 961 1,266 -5.3 407 21.6 17,871 3,688 360 550 42,763 39.4 46.1 NA -34.1 65.5 13.7 55.1 30.0 10.1 44.7 44.0 21,434 2,018 23,452 77,170 50.3 5.9 45.1 43.5 Broadband Blues • 2.47 million Broadband subscribers – As of July against internet subscriber base of 9 million – Compared to 56million in china where 100000 subscribers have begun on IPTV expected to reach a million – How much of 2.47 million can afford real sustained 2Mbps? – 48 million copper wired homes with falling ARPU’s • IP-TV more a bundled service than Driver – – – – 2.5 million subscribers on DTH growing towards 6 million Pirated DVD’s at Rs.35 Is IP-TV Content Aggregation Strategy or Data Strategy? Long term impact of internet video on IP-TV market ? • Broadband need they create is different from IP-TV • VOIP Services – Growth of ILD based on VOIP – Domestic VOIP plagued by QOS issues Fixed and Mobile Growth Top Indian Mobile Operators (Based on Subscribers) Top Fixed Operators (Based on Subscriber) Subscribers (millions) Growth Share Rank Operator Subscribers (in mn) Growth Company Circles 2005-06 2006-07 % %FY '05-06 FY '06-07 (in %age) 1 Bharti Airtel 23 19.6 37.11 90 23.9 36.77 BSNL 36.70 -0.2 2 BSNL 21 18.5 27.92 51 17.8 TTSL 4.02 4.36 8.5 3 Reliance Communications 23 17.3 27.93 61 17.7 MTNL 3.88 3.80 -2.1 4 Hutchison Essar 22 15.4 26.44 72 16.8 Reliance 3.13 1.56 -50.2 Communicatio 5 Idea Cellular 11 7.4 14.0 90 8.9 ns 6 Tata Teleservices (Group) 20 4.9 11.4 136 7.3 5 Bharti Airtel 1.34 1.27 -5.2 7 Aircel 23 2.6 5.5 111 3.5 6 TTML 1.04 0.75 -27.9 8 MTNL 2 2.0 2.8 38 1.8 7 HFCL 0.23 0.25 8.7 9 Spice 2 1.9 2.7 41 1.7 8 ShyamTelecom 0.17 0.22 29.4 10 BPL Mobile (Mumbai) 1 1.3 1.1 (20) 0.7 Total 50.58 48.91 -3.3 Total 90.9 157.0 73 100 Source: CyberMedia’s flagship telecom industry journal Voice&Data’s V&D 100 July 2007 Top 10 Revenue) Service Providers (FY 2006-07) Top Fixed Operators (Based on Providers Revenue (in Rs. Crore ) Growth Rank Operator Revenue (inService Rs crore Growth ) (in %age) Rank FY 2005-06 FY 2006-07 (in %age) 1 BSNL 40,177 40,135 -0.1 FY '05-06 FY '06-07 2 Bharti Airtel 11,291 17,888 58.4 1 BSNL 25,195 21,020 -16.6 3 Reliance Communications 10,766 14,468 34.4 2 MTNL 4,988 4,116 -17.5 4 Hutchison Essar 6,837 10,565 54.5 3 Bharti Airtel 1,320 28.3 5 VSNL1,693 4,797 8,857 84.6 4 TTSL 1,081 1,584 46.5 6 Tata Teleservices 2,575 5,178 101.1 5 TTML 713 924 29.6 7 MTNL 5,561 4,923 -11.5 6 Reliance 460 -10.3 8513 Idea 2,990 4,413 47.6 Communication 9 Aircel 977 1,507 54.2 s 10 Tata Teleservices Maharashtra 1,097 1,422 29.6 7 HFCL 261 285 9.2 Total 87,068 109,356 25.6 8 ShyamTelecom 90 108 20.0 Source: CyberMedia’s flagship telecom industry journal Voice&Data’s V&D 100 July 2007 Total 34,161 30,190 -11.6 PC Penetration Quarterly PC sales figures from MAIT Internet Penetration Both Internet usage & ownership limited amongst the lower SEC’s because of High cost of enabling device, Cost of access from home or cyber café and availability of content & hardware interface in vernacular languages. Access Penetration The driver for internet access in the order are: Communication needs Educational needs Entertainment needs Others Pricing of Internet Access The low Indian ARPU has propelled the broadband growth this far. To expand into newer socio-economic regions and classes, cost-effective access technologies, Intelligent service pricing and bundling of services to end-customers, Managed Services to Operators from Vendors, Vendor financing models based on revenue sharing are required. Blockers for Broadband Poor Fixed Line Growth Low PC Adoption Very Low ARPU Market Summary : Key Enablers for Broadband Penetration in India • Broadband access infrastructure to compensate for poor Fixed Line coverage – Wireless and/or Wire-line – Able to match a low ARPU subscriber base (Low Cost Access) – Seamlessly integrate with legacy back-haul (STM) as well as newer back-haul (IP) – Ability to offer Voice/VOIP services inherently • Offering Computing services to beat Low PC adoption – Remotely Managed Computing services • Newer Service Pricing model to make way for High AMPU in low ARPU markets – Newer Revenue models including Rentals – Vendor Financing models with service providers • Ex: CCB Some Solutions • Fixed Wireless solution that can match the ARPU to facilitate further broadband penetration – In-built with voice/voip capabilities – Cover distances ranging from 4Km to 10km – Need not deliver 10’s of Mbps, but upto an Mbps to deliver most broadband services of today – No spectrum bottlenecks to resolve • Fixed Wire line solution that can match the ARPU to facilitate further broadband penetration – Highly Cost Effective – Minimal Infrastructure requirements; Outdoor deployable network – No local power requirements to facilitate fast deployments; Remote powered network – VOIP ready subscriber terminals – Triple-play capable network BBcorDECT Fixed Wireless Broadband Platform DSL on Wireless Seamless back-haul connectivity on E1 with TDM voice or IP with VOIP Exchange Infrastructure platform capable of evacuating up to 160Mbps Base Station Site platform capable of evacuating up to 32Mbps CPE capable of evacuating up to 1Mbps Base Stations Local Exchange Antenna V 5.2, CCS7,R2MF Base Station Distributor Radio Tower Local Exchange - PSTN CPE E1 on STM Voice/ VOIP Internet E1 links Fiber or DMW Radio for Long distances IP Network Telephone Base Stations corVAN/ Base Station Aggregator SIP/MGCP DSL connectivity on copper for short distances Soft-Switch Radio Tower Cost Effective for High and Low subscriber densities as well as high and low coverage areas DECT Spectrum: 1880-1900 Mhz No new allocation of spectrum On Air distance from 4Km to 10Km Centralized, Micro-Cellular Architecture Deployment • Choose a centralised location for corVAN, where voice/voip and IP traffic can be handed over to Exchange • Locate the Base Station Distributors to create cell sites, wherever coverage is needed. • Wireless or Fiber connectivity to the Base Station Distributors • Base station configuration will depend on the subscriber densities. Distributed, Micro-Cellular Architecture Deployment • Locate a Base Station Aggregator where coverage is required. XBS Array • Extend IP or E1 V5/SS7 connectivity to BSA E1 for TDM Voice • Create Base Station Cell Sites close to BSA location • Base station configuration will depend on the subscriber densities. IP for VoIP/Data Base Station Aggregator Radio Tower Application Areas • Fixed Wireless Broadband for low ARPU scenarios – Voice and Effective Broadband Data • Broadband Wireless Coverage for TNF areas for Incumbents • DECT Upgradation/Replacements • Extending Last Mile Wireless Broadband for Community Specific applications and Public Utility services Ethernet To The Home High Bandwidth Services at Lowest TCO Ethernet To The Home INTERNET •IP Telephony •Video Conferencing Telshine Backend System Rugged, outdoor Managed Ethernet solution Remotely powered from a central location Resident building Splitter CPE Splitter CPE Access Switch Omni Switch Resident building Resident building NMS Splitter CPE Splitter CPE Access Switch 10 TV Channels •5 off-air •5 server 5 off-air domestic Channels via fibre TV Broadcasting hub (JRC @7TH Floor) Access Switch Roadside uPOP M2404 100+V, 10 Amps AC Source Splitter CPE at every home Resident building Resident building Resident building OANOC Cisco Switch Cisco 4507 Metro E (GE) M2404 uPOP IP or Analog Phone PC IP Set Top Box Access Switch Cisco Backend System M2404 Headend (BMC) Main Node (JRC) Ethernet To The Home at Access Node The Lowest TCO Solution Triple-play ready Customer Premises ETTH Product Family Access and Aggregation Switch: M2404 24 FE & 4 GE ports, supports 2 optical fiber Gigabit Ethernet interfaces (SFP) Advanced Layer 2+ feature set including VLAN Stacking, Multicast Resilient Distribution Switch: C16 Switch 16 FE ports with multiple uplink ports supported Powered remotely via PoE Range of 300 meters @ 10Mbps Manageable Switch Ideal for higher subscriber densities and outdoor M2404 Metro Ethernet Ring Increase service reach of Metro Ethernet without compromising on Service Levels and QoS Access Switch C5 Switch Access switch: C5 Switch 5 FE ports, cascading support on one of the ports Powered remotely via PoE Ideal for indoor and low subscriber debsities Extends service up to 300m from aggregation switch (M2404) using up to 2 C5 switches July 7, 2015 Splitter CPE Splitter CPE similar to C5 Switch with 19 Analog Telephone Interface for VOIP services ETTH - Some Deployment Scenarios C5Switch Gigabit Ethernet C5Switch C16 Switch FE Internet FE FE FE C16 Switch C16 Switch FE C16 Switch FE WiFi Access Point ETTH to augment Existing CATV Network… Amplifier Cs16 Internet Multi Service Access Platform Amplifier M2404 Cs16 CATV Head-End Cs16 Optic Node Amplifier Cs16 Cs16 Amplifier Cs16 Amplifier Amplifier Cs16 Cs16 Amplifier Amplifier July 7, 2015 21 ETTH to Enhance Wi-Max Network 16 ports, 13,14 or 15 subscribers Access Switch Wireless Device powered from remote through C-Switch Managed Device Access Switch Access Switch Lightning and surge protection PoE adaptor Access Switch Distance between PC and subscriber -10Mbps -300m 100+V, 10 Amps AC Source Access Switch Distance between switches 100Mbps-150m Centralized Power VLAN Application Areas • Centralized Power feed, No local infrastructure requirements (outdoor mounting), Low TCO, High Bandwidth Services • Enhancing the Metro-Ethernet Network – Extending Ethernet services from Building Switch to Street • Enhancing the GPON – Ethernet access network extended up to 2 km from GPON CPE • Augmenting the CATV Network – Extend Ethernet services up to 2 km from nearest fiber drop • Enhancing the WiMAX/Pre-WiMAX/Microwave Network – Ethernet access network extended up to 2 km from CPE – Significantly lowers CAPEX July 7, 2015 23 Other Efforts • Remotely Managed Computing Services on ETTH platform • Novatium’s NovaPC service running in K.K.Nagar on ETTH • Rental Computing Models to facilitate Cheaper computing services • Vendor Financing for ETTH solution to enable ISP’s to upgrade and expand their infrastructure with least capex investment – Based on Revenue Sharing Thank You www.midascomm.com About Midas Foundation 500 person R&D Team Long term collaborative R&D with IIT-M l Founded in 1994 by IIT Madras alumni DECT, GSM, WiMAX, Ethernet, Routing, VoIP IP Portfolio Network protocols & Management Systems Reconfigurable MSC-BSC-BTS-ST architectures Extensible ASICs July 7, 2015 27 Partners & Alliances OEMs / Licensees Solutions Partners @ccess Nilgiri Networks Manufacturing Semiconductor Partners July 7, 2015 28 Global… Midas Installations July 7, 2015 Wireless, DSL, Metro Ethernet 24+ countries, 3.5 mil Ports 29 Solutions for Emerging Markets Wireless Wireline Ethernet Access BroadbandcorDECT Universal Loop Carrier Multi Service Access M2404 series L2+ & L3 Ethernet Switches DIAS-xx series Layer 2 IP-DSLAMs C16 Series 16 port long range outdoor Manageable switches 256+ Kbps Wireless DSL Toll Quality Voice LightGSM Rural GSM BroadbandcorDECT 1 Mbps WiMax SNAP! SACS July 7, 2015 NG R17xx series Enterprise & SMB routers C5 Layer 2, 5 port switch with POE 30