Transcript Document
Opportunity Workshop Talent Retention & Economic Growth Strategy TIP Strategies Tom Stellman Alex Cooke May 21, 2014 Agenda 1. Progress to Date 2. Selected findings from Economic Assessment 3. Preliminary SWOT Analysis 4. Opportunities Discussion 1 PROGRESS TO DATE Project Approach I II III Discovery Opportunity Implementation Resource Needs & Assessment Potential Growth Areas Strategic Action Plan • Kick-off meeting • Affected workforce • Strategies • Region of impact • Target industry analysis • Implementation matrix • Employer survey • Communications & engagement strategy • Background review • Economic assessment • Impact analysis • SWOT analysis • Education & training inventory • Opportunity analysis & workshop • Final report and presentation What we’ve done Background review & kick-off Stakeholder engagement Meeting with RRAD staff and tour Roundtable discussions Young Professionals RRAD Committee Chamber EDC Committee Employer interviews Meeting with TexAmericas staff and tour Economic Assessment SWOT Project Timeline Schedule 2014 PHASE/TASK Feb Kick-off Meeting Discovery ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Opportunity Implementation Final Presentation Mar Apr May Jun Jul August ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ 2 SELECTED FINDINGS FROM DRAFT ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT Impact Area Based on approximately 3300 RRAD employees and 1400 contractors. Received zip code data on RRAD employees. Estimated contractors using RRAD distribution. Impact area of 6 counties based on a minimum of 50 employees. Awaiting occupational classifications from RRAD. 6-County Impact Area Summary of Key Points The area is projected to continue experiencing moderate population growth. Similar to the US, the population is aging. Regional commuting data show Bowie County is the area’s primary job center. Retail trade, healthcare, dining & hospitality 51% of the region’s jobs are in Bowie County. The percent of adults with 4 -year degrees ranges from 12%-18%. (US = 28%) The highest occupational LQs are in installation, maintenance, & repair, farming & forestry, and production. The healthcare, finance, and education sectors are projected to experience largest net 10 -year job growth. Population Growth by County +10,000 100,000 90,000 +8,000 80,000 70,000 +6,000 60,000 +4,000 50,000 40,000 +2,000 30,000 20,000 +0 10,000 -2,000 2020 2010 2000 1990 0 1990s 2000s 2010s Little River, AR Miller County, AR Red River, TX Morris County, TX Bowie County, TX Cass County, TX Cass County, TX Bowie County, TX Morris County, TX Red River, TX Miller County, AR Little River, AR Source: US Census Bureau; Moody's Analytics; University of Arkansas at Little Rock, Institute for Economic Advancement, Census State Data Center; and University of Texas at San Antonio, Texas State Data Center Commuting Patterns CASS, TX 40,000 40,000 40,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 0 0 0 M O RRIS, TX LITTLE RIVER, AR 45,000 45,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 30,000 30,000 30,000 25,000 25,000 25,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 15,000 15,000 15,000 10,000 10,000 10,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 0 0 0 ▬ Inbound to county ▬ Outbound from county 2011 45,000 2003 50,000 2011 50,000 2003 50,000 2011 2011 RED RIVER, TX 2003 45,000 2011 45,000 2003 45,000 2003 50,000 2011 M ILLER, AR 50,000 2003 BO W IE, TX 50,000 - - - Live & work within the county *Note: Not all jobs require daily commuting. Construction and oilfield workers ,for example, sometimes work in distant locations for extended periods of time. Source: US Bureau of the Census, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) database, 2003-2011 Industry LQS Agriculture & forestry Federal government (civilian) Oil, gas, & mining Manufacturing State government Transportation & warehousing ABO VE AVERAGE Healthcare Construction Retail trade Personal & other services Restaurants, bars, & hotels Utilities Education* W holesale trade Local government Finance & insurance Administrative services 3.25 3.00 2.75 2.50 2.25 2.00 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.25 BELO W Property sales & leasing Corporate & regional HQs Federal government (military) Information & media Arts & entertainment Professional services 0.00 US avg. = 1.00 Area strength > 1.25 Area weakness < 0.75 *Note: Education includes all public schools, colleges, & universities (i.e., these jobs are not included with local or state government) Source: EMSI 2014.1 Class of Worker (all classes) Projected Job Growth 1 0 -y ea r N et Cha nge Healthcare Retail trade Manufacturing Education* Restaurants, bars, & hotels Agriculture & forestry Personal & other services Construction Administrative services Finance & insurance Transportation & warehousing Federal government (civilian) W holesale trade Property sales & leasing Local government Professional services State government Oil, gas, & mining Arts & entertainment Information & media Corporate & regional HQs Federal government (military) Utilities 201 3 10-year projected net change +2,814 +532 +708 +1,455 +1,049 +105 +469 +417 +1,037 +1,299 +720 +280 +466 +889 +330 +245 +116 +653 +130 +193 +187 -3 -2 0 2,0 00 4,0 00 6,0 00 8,0 00 10, 000 12, 000 14, 000 16, 000 *Note: Education includes all public schools, colleges, & universities (i.e., these jobs are not included with local or state government) Source: EMSI 2014.1 Class of Worker (all classes) Jobs by Occupational Group Sales Office & administrative support Management* Production Transportation & material moving Food preparation & serving Installation, maintenance, & repair Personal care & service Education, training, & library Healthcare (technical) Construction & extraction Property maintenance Business & financial operations Healthcare (support) Protective service Arts, design, & media Farming, fishing, & forestry Community & social services Architecture & engineering Computer & mathematical science Military Legal Life, physical, & social science 12,110 11,929 9,485 7,711 7,537 6,801 5,956 5,600 5,257 5,222 4,897 3,832 3,585 2,706 2,263 1,462 1,156 1,075 749 723 523 507 488 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 *Note: Management occupations include self-employed real estate agents, farmers & ranchers, construction managers and general managers. Source: EMSI 2014.1 Class of Worker (all classes) Geographic Distribution of Occupations Bowie County Healthcare (technical) Computer & mathematical science Protective service Food preparation & serving Personal care & service Office & administrative support Installation, maintenance, & repair Sales Business & financial operations Property maintenance Healthcare (support) Legal Other 5 counties 68% 65% 65% 62% 61% 58% 58% 54% 53% 53% 53% 52% REGION AL AVERAGE (ALL SECTORS) 51% Transportation & material moving Education, training, & library Arts, design, & media Community & social services Architecture & engineering Life, physical, & social science Management* Military Construction & extraction Production Farming, fishing, & forestry 51% 50% 49% 48% 45% 45% 38% 36% 30% 30% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% *Note: Management occupations include self-employed real estate agents, farmers & ranchers, construction managers and general managers. Source: EMSI 2014.1 Class of Worker (all classes) Occupational LQs Installation, maintenance, & repair Farming, fishing, & forestry Production Management* Transportation & material moving ABO VE AVERAGE Personal care & service Protective service Construction & extraction Healthcare (technical) Healthcare (support) Education, training, & library Food preparation & serving Property maintenance Sales Office & administrative support Community & social services 1.75 1.50 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.25 BELO W Business & financial operations Legal Life, physical, & social science Architecture & engineering Arts, design, & media Military Computer & mathematical science 0.00 US avg. = 1.00 Area strength > 1.25 Area weakness < 0.75 *Note: Management occupations include self-employed real estate agents, farmers & ranchers, construction managers and general managers. Source: EMSI 2014.1 Class of Worker (all classes) 3 PRELIMINARY SWOT Strengths Depot Central US location and proximity to major urban markets Low cost of living Access to quality healthcare TexAmericas Center Transportation infrastructure Interstate 30, 49 (when connected), 69 (when completed) Two class 1 railroads and a network of short line railroads Texarkana Regional Airport Strengths II Presence of university & college system Depot partnerships with colleges and employers (specifically mechanic & welding training) Available water Perot Theatre Hunting, fishing, hiking amenities Emerging young professionals organization Challenges Limited business incentives & modern facilities Permitting and environmental remediation challenges at TexAmericas Center sites State line (barrier to regional collaboration) Lack of industrial diversification Aging workforce Competing for talent with high wage energy and trade sectors Challenges II Challenge keeping young people (economic opportunities & entertainment options) Underdeveloped downtown Texarkana Deficit of water rights and capacity for economic development Employability of lower skilled workforce Threats BRAC & military downsizing Uncertainty about keeping future water rights Brain drain within leadership institutions Loss of critical workforce skills due to retirement Remaining competitive with technology (broadband and other tech support) Losing commercial air service connections 4 OPPORTUNITIES DISCUSSION Plan Goals Grow & diversify the industrial base Retain, develop, and recruit the talent needed to support growth Enhance Texarkana’s position as the regional center Industry Base Support the success of RRAD and contractors Comprehensive regional economic development program Marketing BRE Entrepreneurship Workforce Infrastructure International Product development (sites) Industry targets Logistics/distribution Food processing Energy sector services and manufacturing Transportation equipment Talent Retention Using RRAD occupational data to target retention Young professionals (focus on tech education?) Development Align education and training with current and future demand Recruitment Alumni networks (affinity with region) Internal awareness campaign Regional Center Healthcare Quality of Place Housing Urban amenities (beyond the Interstate) Downtown Texarkana Infrastructure Water Broadband Highway connectors (I49 & I69) Next Steps Matching skillset of affected RRAD workers to industries Employer survey Education and training inventory Drafting strategies Anniston Army Depot Region of impact – Anniston Army Depot Place of residence of affected workers CALHOUN COUNTY, AL SOURCES: Anniston Army Depot, URS Corporation, TIP Strategies. Anniston Army Depot (cont.) Occupational distribution Occupational category of affected workers Industrial machinery mechanics = largest single occupational classification SOURCE: Compiled by TIP Strategies from data provided by URS and ANAD on affected workforce Anniston Army Depot (cont.) Percent of total Educational attainment: URS WORKERS SOURCE: Compiled by TIP Strategies from data provided by URS on 592 workers Anniston Army Depot (cont.) Top industries Which industries are most likely to employ affected occupations? 3314 Nonferrous Metal (except Aluminum) Production and Processing 3313 Alumina/Aluminum Production & Processing 3251 Basic Chemical Manufacturing 3252 Resin, Synthetic Rubber, and Artificial Synthetic Fibers and Filaments Mfg. 3329 Other Fabricated Metal Product Mfg. 3331 Agriculture, Construction, and Mining Machinery Manufacturing 3221 Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills 3241 Petroleum and Coal Products Mfg. 3366 Ship and Boat Building 5622 Waste Treatment and Disposal 3312 Steel Product Manufacturing from Purchased Steel 3315 Foundries 3339 Other General Purpose Machinery Mfg. 3363 Motor Vehicle Parts Manufacturing 3364 Aerospace Product and Parts Mfg. 4821 Rail Transportation 5612 Facilities Support Services 8113 Commercial and Industrial Machinery and Equipment (except Automotive and Electronic) Repair and Maintenance 53-7051 Industrial Truck & Tractor Operators 51-9122 Painters, Transportation Equipment 51-8031 Water & Wastewater Treatment Plant Operators 51-8021 Stationary Engineers & Boiler Operators 51-4199 Metal Workers & Plastic Workers, All Other 51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, & Brazers 51-4041 Machinists 51-4022 Forging Machine Workers, , Metal & Plastic 51-1011 1st-Line Supervisors of Production & Operating Workers 49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 49-9012 Control/Valve Installers & Repairers, Except Mech. Door 49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equip. Mechanics, Except Engines 47-2111 Electricians 43-6011 Executive Secretaries & Executive Admin. Assistants 43-5081 Stock Clerks & Order Fillers 43-5061 Production, Planning, & Expediting Clerks 29-9011 Occupational Health & Safety Specialists 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians & Paramedics 17-2199 Engineers, All Other 11-9199 Managers, All Other Industry description 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, & Distribution Mgrs. NAICS Code AFFECTED OCCUPATIONS EMPLOYING MORE THAN 10 WORKERS 11-1021 General & Operations Managers TOP INDUSTRIES Source: EMSI Complete Employment - 2011.3, US Bureau of Labor Statistics, TIP Strategies. THANK YOU TIP STRATEGIES, INC. 106 E 6th Street, Suite 550 Austin, TX 78701 512.343.9113 tipstrategies.com [email protected] Opportunities Comprehensive regional economic development program Marketing BRE Entrepreneurship Workforce Infrastructure International Internal marketing of strengths and success stories Product development (sites) Industry targets Logistics/distribution Food processing Energy sector services and manufacturing Transportation equipment Healthcare & higher education Opportunities II Engaging young people in economic and community development Transportation hub Long term construction and completion of 69 & 49