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Rory Earley Director Investment and SME Finance Small Business Service
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Global Private Equity Trends in Investment and Fund Raising PricewaterhouseCoopers and 3i
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The Global View
Key Points • At least $155 billion of private equity and venture capital invested globally in 2003 – increase of 43% on 2002 level of $109 billion • Equivalent to 0.48% of worlds GDP
(based on 2002 GDP from World Bank Development Indicators - $32,300 billion)
• Almost $82 billion of funds were raised globally in 2003 – down 12% from $93 billion in 2002 3
Key Points • Technology investments totalled at least $42 billion in 2003 – 27% of total investment – down 11% on 2002 • Around $19 billion was invested in expansion stages in 2003 – down 27% on 2002 levels • Approx $118 billion invested globally in buyouts in 2003 – increase of 83% on 2002 4
Investment and Fund Raising Trends Investments Funds Raised 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 133 93 262 214 177 110 1998 1999 2000
Year
2001 2002 2003 155 82 5
• Investment – compound average growth rate 10.81% • Funds Raised – compound average growth rate – 9.20%
Source – The PricewaterhouseCoopers/Venture Economics/National Venture Capital Association Money Tree Survey/Buyout Newsletter/ Private Equity Analyst/ CVCA Annual Statistical Review/EVCA Yearbook/ AVCJ Guide to Venture Capital in Asia/ Venture Equity Latin America/ SAVCA Private Equity Survey/ IVC Online
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High Technology Investment Trends Investments High Technology 250 200 150 100 50 0 214 165 121 93 32 1998 64 1999 2000
Year
2001 110 59 2002 109 40 155 42 2003 7
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 10.81% • High Technology: Compound average growth rate 5.93%
Source: The PricewaterhouseCoopers/ Venture Economics/ National Venture Capital Association Money Tree Survey/ Buyout Newsletter/ Private Equity Analyst/ CVCA Annual Statistical Review/ EVCA Yearbook/ AVCJ Guide to Venture Capital in Asia
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Expansion Investment Trends Investments Expansion 250 200 150 100 50 0 93 21 1998 214 165 46 1999 155 87 2000
Year
110 39 2001 109 26 2002 19 2003 9
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 10.81% • Expansion: compound average growth rate –1.54%
Source: The PricewaterhouseCoopers/ Venture Economics/ National Venture Capital Association Money Tree Survey/ Private Equity Analyst/ CVCA Annual Statistical Review/ EVCA Yearbook/ AVCJ Guide to Venture Capital in Asia
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Buyout Investment Trends Investments Buyouts 250 200 150 100 50 0 93 55 1998 214 165 83 1999 62 2000
Year
2001 110 40 2002 109 65 155 118 2003 11
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 10.81% • Buyouts: Compound average growth rate 16.00%
Source: The PricewaterhouseCoopers/ Venture Economics/ National Venture Capital Associate Money Tree Survey/ Buyout Newsletter/ Private Equity Analyst/ CVCA Annual Statistical Review/ EVCA Yearbook/ AVCJ Guide to Venture Capital in Asia
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North America
Key Points • $108.2 billion of private equity and venture capital was invested in North America in 2003 – an increase of 67% on 2002 which had seen a decrease of 3% on 2001 • This is equivalent to 0.97% of North American GDP (
based on 2002 GDP for USA and Canada from World Bank Development Indicators - £11,116bn)
• £45.3 billion funds were raised in North America in 2003 – down by 21% on 2002 levels 13
Key Points • At least $27.5 billion was invested in technology investments in North America in 2003 – up 6% on 2002 levels which were down 33% on 2001 levels • Approx $10.4 billion was invested in expansion stages in 2003 – a decrease of 24% on 2002 which saw a decrease of 41% on 2001 • At least $89.0 billion was invested in buyouts in 2003 – up 114% from $41.6 billion in 2002 which was up 78% in 2001 14
Investment and Fund Raising Trends Investments Funds Raised High Technology 200 150 100 50 0 180.5
152 95.9
63.5
22.7
1998 1999 120.1
103.6
50.4
93.5
2000
Year
2001 117.9
66.4
40.3
26.1
2002 108.2
45.3
27.5
2003 15
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 11.25% • High Technology: Compound average growth rate 3.96% • Funds Raised: Compound average growth rate – 13.94%
Source: The PricewaterhouseCoopers/ Venture Economics/ National Venture Capital Associate Money Tree Survey/ Buyout Newsletter/ Private Equity Analyst/ CVCA Annual Statistical Review
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Investment Trends by Stage Investments Expansion 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Buyout 152 63.5
41 11.3
1998 120.1
63.5
31.7
1999 62.7
41.5
2000
Year
66.4
2001 108.2
89 64.6
41.6
13.6
2002 10.4
2003 17
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 11.25% • Expansion: Compound average growth rate –1.80% • Buyout: Compound average growth rate 16.75%
Source: The PricewaterhouseCoopers/ Venture Economics/ National Venture Capital Associate Money Tree Survey/ Buyout Newsletter/ Private Equity Analyst/ CVCA Annual Statistical Review
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% Stage of Investments Buy out Early Stage 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2 19 41 11 27 2000 Other Late Stage Seed/Start-up Expansion 1 16 22 6 36 12 35 65 2001 2002 4 10 4 82 2003 19
• Data for North America has been created by adding Money Tree/Buyout Newsletter and CVCA data
Source: The PricewaterhouseCoopers/ Venture Economics/ National Venture Capital Associate Money Tree Survey/ Buyout Newsletter/ Private Equity Analyst/ CVCA Annual Statistical Review
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Europe
Key Points • An estimated $27.1 billion of private equity and venture capital was invested in Europe in 2003 – a 16% decrease on 2002 • This is equivalent to 0.28% of European GDP
(based on 2002 GDP for Europe as calculated using the World Bank Development Indicators - $9,568 billion)
• Approx $32.5 billion funs were raised in Europe in 2003 – up 1% on 2002 levels 21
Key Points • Approx $5.7 billion was invested in expansion stages in 2003 – decrease of 29% on 2002 which saw a decrease of 9% in 2001 • The buy-out market totalled £18.1 billion in 2003 – down 9% on 2002 which had seen an increase of 65% on 2001 • Technology investments totalled $7billion in 2003 – double 2002 levels ?
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Investment and Fund Raising Trends Investments Funds Raised High Technology 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 56.3
46.9
41 23.8
16.9
4.5
1998 8.3
1999 13.3
28.5
8.3
2000
Year
2001 7.3
2002 32.5
27.1
7 2003 23
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 9.82% • Funds Raised: Compound average growth rate 6.37%
(Source: EVCA Yearbook/ EVCA Preliminary Data
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Investment Trends by Stage Investments Expansion 50 40 30 20 10 0 Buy out 41 29.4
28.5
16.9
8.7
5.1
1998 15.5
8.7
1999 12.8
9.4
2000
Year
2001 2002 32.3
19.8
8 2003 27.1
18.1
5.7
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• Investments: Compound average growth rate 9.82% • Expansion: Compound average growth rate 2.27% • Buy out: Compound average growth rate 15.87%
Source: EVCA Yearbook/EVCA Preliminary Data
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% stage of Investments
Source: EVCA Preliminary Data
Buy Out 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Replacement Capital 2 17 37 3 42 2 15 33 5 45 2000 2001 Expansion 1 10 25 3 62 2002 Start-up Seed 21 5 67 2003 27
Asia Pacific
Key Points • A predicted $17.5 billion of private equity and venture capital was invested in the Asia Pacific region in 2003 – a 91% increase on 2002 • Equivalent to 0.23% of Asian GDP
(based on 2002 GDP calculated using the World Bank Development Database - $7,479 billion)
• Only $3.3 billion of funds raised are predicted for 2003 – up 11% on 2002 levels 28
Key Points • Technology investments in Asia Pacific totalled an estimated $7.3 billion in 2003 – up 100% on 2002 levels • Approx $2.6 billion invested in expansion stages in 2003 – decrease of 28% on 2002 • The buy-out market totalled a record $8.9 billion in 2003 – up 454% on 2002 29
Investment and Fund Raising Trends Investments Funds Raised High Technology 20 15 10 5 0 17.9
16.6
12.3
7.4
4.9
1.8
1998 1999 9.1
4 5.6
2000
Year
2001 11.2
9.9
5.2
9.1
2002 17.5
7.3
3.3
2003 30
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 28.91% • High Technology: compound average growth rate 33.17% • Funds Raised: Compound average growth rate –14.87%
Source: AVCJ Guide to Venture Capital in Asia/ AVCJ estimates
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Investment Trends by Stage Investments Expansion Buy out 20 15 10 5 0 4.9
2.4
0.4
1998 17.5
9.1
4.1
0.8
1999 12.3
11.2
6 4.6
2 1 2000
Year
2001 9.1
3.7
1.6
2002 8.9
2.6
2003 32
• Investments: Compound average growth rate 28.91% • Expansion: Compound average growth rate 1.73% • Buy out: Compound average growth rate 86.72%
Source: AVCJ Guide to Venture Capital in Asia/ AVCJ estimates
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% Stage of Investments
Source: AVCJ Guide to Venture Capital in Asia/ AVCJ estimates
Buy out Turnarond/restructuring Start-up/early stage Other Expansion 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 2 15 26 6 51 2003 34
Data Sources
North America • The PricewaterhouseCoopers/ Venture Economics/ National Venture Capital Association MoneyTree Survey www.pwcmoneytree.com
• Buyouts, a Venture Economics publication www.ventureeconomics.com
• The Private Equity Analyst, Asset Alternatives inc, Wellesley Massachusetts 781-304-1400 www.assetnews.com
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• Canadian Venture Capital Association (CVCA) Annual Statistical Review, Macdonald and associates Ltd www.cvca.ca
Europe • European Private Equity and Venture Capital Association (EVC) Survey, PricewaterhouseCoopers and Thomson Venture Economics www.evca.com
Asia Pacific • Asian Venture Capital Journal (AVCJ) Guide to Venture Capital in Asia and estimates from the AVCJ for 2002 www.asiafn.com
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Central/South America • Venture Equity Latin America 2003 Year-End Report www.ve-la.com
Middle East and Africa • The Kesselman and Kesselman PricewaterhouseCoopers MoneyTree Survey, Israel www.pwcmoneytree.com
• Israel Venture Capital Research Centre Annual Survey www.ivc-online.com
• KMPG and South African Venture Capital Association (AVCA) Private Equity Survey www.savca.co.za
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Summary • Maturing but still very dynamic industry • Cyclicality will continue to be a problem for funders of private equity • Technology investing has unique attributes • Future looking bright but challenging ?
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