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Taking the first steps Xpert MTB/RIF Implementation in public sector in South Africa: Lessons Learned Wendy Stevens Molecular Medicine and Haematology University of the Witwatersrand & NHLS Acknowledgments to: Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office HE RO 2 Wits Health Consortium University of the Witwatersrand 1 GeneXpert Technology (Cepheid) GX48 (Infinity) GX16 GX4 16 64 255 throughput/ 8hr day FiND , 2010 •Automated •Real-time PCR •Rapid (2 hours) •Cartridge based Result •Positive/negative TB •Resistance yes/no to Rifampicin •Low contamination risk Boehme,C et al NEJM 2010 Disease Burden in South Africa • 20% worlds reported HIV‐associated TB cases and 2nd largest reported numbers of MDR • 70%-80% TB suspects infected with HIV • Overall TB rates 980/100,000 – Mining populations 2500/100,000 – Correctional Services 4500/100,0000 • Increasingly smear negative (8-10% positivity) and extrapulmonary TB(16%) • WHO Strong Recommendation: “The new automated DNA test for TB should be used as the initial diagnostic test in individuals suspected of MDR-TB or HIV/TB” (i.e. all SA TB suspects) 4 NHLS TB Laboratory Facilities: 2010/2011 N=244 • 4.7 million smears • 1 million cultures • 90 000 LPA 5 Phase 1 rollout High burden, TB Intensified Case Finding campaign districts •Limited Pilot in all 9 provinces •Selection: volumes, district selected •25 sites, 30 instruments •20 GX4, 9 GX16, 1 GX48 •Placement by world TB day: March 24th •11% national coverage based on 2010 smears/2.0 2 smears at diagnosis to be replaced by one Xpert MTB/RIF (Phased approach) (microscopy centre based) Where should Xpert be placed within TB diagnostic algorithm? 7 Methodology: March-June 2011 • Site needs assessment: 25 sites – Hoods, space, network points, power, A/C, HR, checklist developed • Training – 80 laboratory technologists : intensive 2 day centralised training – -microscopists currently first cadre – SOP driven • LIMS interfacing (pilot) – A Lab-Track LIS interface was developed to automatically report: Lab number, cartridge number, TB detected/not, RIF detected/not. • A verification program (“fit for purpose”) for placement and calibration of each module – [MOPE147] • Development of implementation plan, 8 budget and National TB Costing Model (NTCM) 54 NHLS staff members trained prior to world TB day National Xpert MTB Results (cumulative March to June) N = 50 093 ICF MTB MTB not detected detected Test failure Total % Positive ICF 2218 12 762 744 15 724 14.11% NonICF 6373 26 725 1271 34 369 18.54% Total 8591 39 487 2015 50 093 17.15% % Total 17.15% 78.83% 4.02% 100% 10 National Xpert RIF results: March-June 2011 N = 8591 (MTB detected); 630 RIF Resistance ICF No Statu Indeterminate Resistant result s Sensitive Total % ICF 15 78 195 1930 2218 8.79 NonICF 57 57 435 5824 6373 6.83 Total 72 135 630 7754 8591 7.33 % 11 0.84 1.57 7.33% 90.26% 100% 7.33 Geographical Variation Province Eastern Cape Free State Gauteng Kwazulu-Natal Limpopo Mpumalanga North West Northern Cape Western Cape Total MTB Detected MTB Not Detected Test Failure Total 632 3141 148 3921 523 2701 1 3225 683 3528 94 4305 3941 14490 788 19219 515 4142 62 4719 879 4515 557 5951 527 2867 72 3466 868 4049 292 5209 23 54 1 78 8591 39487 2015 50093 % MTB Positive % RIF 16.12 7.12 16.22 5.93 15.87 7.32 20.51 7.13 10.91 8.16 14.77 8.08 15.20 9.30 16.66 7.03 29.49* 17.15 % - 7.33 % TB GeneXpert Positivity: eThekwini District in KZN eThekwini GeneXpert Positivity Data Date period: March 2011 to 9 June 2011 YEAR MONTH MTB Detected MTB Not Detected Test Unsuccessful 3 470 1455 214 4 1568 5647 646 2011 5 847 3179 490 6 232 1013 55 Grand Total 3 117 11 294 1 405 % of Total 19.71 71.41 8.88 Total 2 139 7 861 4 516 1 300 15 816 100 % MTB Detected 21.97 19.95 18.76 17.85 19.71 Average smear positive rates for same period 2010 and 2011: 8%-9% Challenges Lessons Learned Challenges and Lessons learned Time to get consensus, ideally before implementation Algorithm development Need to build in flexibility Changes: TB guidelines, request forms, training etc, resistance reporting Training Site needs assessment At least 2 days, several individuals at each site Better on site, Include GLP, safety, computer literacy Focus on sample preparation Clinician training critical Workflow issues problematic on large instruments Regulatory issues Costing implementation & modelling future costs Numerous sources for input Need to model future Opportunity for costing and reviewing current TB service Error rates 3-4%: error codes: 5011 (73%), 5006/7 (16%)(insufficient vol), 2008 (10%) EQA program Verification program : DCS Frequency? Per module? Need for negative controls for larger analysers? Electricity, temperature, waste disposal, cartridge storage UPS, A/C (if>30C) Cartridges fairly bulky (2-28C) National Phased Implementation PHASES| PILOT | FULL PILOT|HIGH CASE| GF XPERT | CONTROL | DISTRICTS| ALL LABS FAST SCALE-UP | July 2011 | Dec 2011 | Sept 2011 | Mar 2011 | Dec 2011 | Dec 2012 SLOW SCALE-UP | July 2011 | Dec 2011 | Sept 2011 | Mar 2012 | Mar 2013 | Sept 2013 FAST SCALE-UP scenario: Full coverage by December 2012 (Ministerial mandate) SLOW SCALE-UP scenario: Full coverage by September 2013 Model for instrument placement (Fast scale-up, 10% growth in suspects) 2011/12 Province EC FS GP KN LP MP NC NW WC TOTAL 2012/13 GX4 GX16 GX48 GX4 GX16 4 1 3 6 3 2 1 12 5 13 11 4 5 2 3 1 10 1 18 7 3 2 1 1 4 65 GX4, GX48 2013/14 GX4 14 2 3 14 36 20 7 1 11 7 169 GX16, 4GX48 GX16 Tests/ day at GX48 full capacity 2,720 496 1,552 2,944 1,056 544 192 656 1,088 11,248 Initiated at current microscopy centres, volumes based on adjusted smear per patient , throughput of analysers. CAPITAL : $21 M Recurrent cost Cost per MTB/RIF test (including hidden costs) Cost item Cartridge Calibration Staff Consumables Waste disposal Transport and logistics Training and QA Overheads Total Cost R 161.45 R 4.47 R 18.77 R 5.02 R 1.92 R 15.33 R 3.83 R 19.17 R 229.96 % of total 70% 2% 8% 2% 1% 7% 2% 8% 100% Cost will vary: dependent on implementation rate, exchange global volumes, negotiation, freight Modelled Average per test cost across all scenarios • 2011/12 to 2013/14: R 216.30 $ 26-36 • 2014/15 to 2016/17: R 189.85 National TB Cost Model • To estimate implementation costs for NHLS lab network • To inform national-level budget requirements (2011-2017) • To estimate the incremental national health service cost of replacing the existing pulmonary TB diagnostic algorithm with a new algorithm incorporating Xpert MTB/RIF molecular technology, under routine care conditions and at costs incurred by the government (Excel-based population level decision model) (HER0) • Built into Rollout BMGF study: cluster randomised trial design (phase 3a and b) : to verify modelling and assess impact ( Aurum Institute) Programme cost: Total and per case cost in 2013 [2011 USD] (Fast scale-up, 10% growth , SA at 50% of global volume, purchase) Scenario Annual cost Cost per suspect Cost per case 1) Cost of diagnosis only Baseline $ 105 M $ 45 $ 312 Xpert scenario $ 160 M $ 69 $ 367 $ 55 M $ 24 $ 54 +53% +53% +17% Difference to Baseline % change 2) Cost of diagnosis and outpatient treatment Baseline $ 280 M $ 121 $ 835 Xpert scenario $ 399 M $ 172 $ 912 Difference to Baseline $ 118 M $ 51 $ 77 42% 9% % change +42% Conclusions I • Pilot demonstrated feasibility of implementation • Significantly increased early detection of MTB • Significantly increased screening for potential MDR cases • Significant changes to National TB program envisaged • Facilitating HIV/TB integration at laboratory, clinic and programmatic level • Expensive algorithm which may well have to be modified as confidence in technology and data emerges Infinity Installation in Prince Msheyni in KZN: truly a team effort Acknowledgements • • • • • • • • • • • NHLS NPP program NDoH: Drs Mametje, Pillay, Mvusi, Barron NTBRL: Drs Erasmus and Coetzee CHAI SA HERO team, G. Meyer –Rath, K. Bistline Right to care: Ian Sanne MM&H: Prof Scott, N. Gous, B. Cunningham USAID South Africa CDC for funding and support FIND Aurum Institute