Transcript Elderly Population in Maryland

The Elderly Population in
Maryland
Data from the 2000 Census
and Projections
MACo Summer Conference, August 14th, 2003
Maryland Department of Planning
Elderly Population in Maryland
• Elderly Population Totals & Shares by
County
• Socioeconomic Characteristics from the
2000 Census
• Projections
Percent of Population Ages 65+ in 2000
14%
12.4%
11.3%
11%
8%
6%
3%
0%
U.S.
Maryland
(Ranked 41st)
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
Percent Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2000
Talbot
20.4%
Worcester
20.1%
Kent
19.3%
Allegany
17.9%
Dorchester
17.7%
Garrett
14.9%
Baltimore Co
14.6%
Washington
14.2%
Somerset
14.2%
Caroline
13.5%
Baltimore city
13.2%
Queen Anne's
12.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
25%
continued
Percent Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2000
Wicomico
12.8%
Montgomery
11.2%
Carroll
10.8%
Cecil
10.5%
Harford
10.1%
Anne Arundel
10.0%
Frederick
9.6%
St. Mary's
9.1%
Calvert
8.9%
Charles
7.8%
Prince George's
7.7%
Howard
7.5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
25%
Percent Persons Over the Age of 65
For Maryland’s Jurisdictions - 2000
Garrett
14.9%
Allegany
17.9%
Washington
14.2%
Carroll
10.8%
Frederick
9.6%
Howard
7.5%
Harford
10.1%
Baltimore
14.6%
Balto. City
13.2%
Montgomery
11.2%
Anne
Arundel
10.0%
Percent Persons
Over 65
7.5% - 10.4%
10.5% - 13.4%
13.5% - 17.4%
17.5% - 20.4%
Prince
George’s
7.7%
Charles
7.8%
Cecil
10.5%
Kent
19.3%
Queen
Anne’s
12.9%
Caroline
13 5%
Talbot
20.4%
Calvert
8.9%
St. Mary’s
9.1%
Dorchester
17.7%
Wicomico
12.8%
Somerset
14.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, SF1.
Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services.
Worcester
20.1%
Population, Ages 65+, by Jurisdiction – 2000
Baltimore Co
110,335
Montgomery
98,157
Baltimore City
85,921
Prince George's
61,951
Anne Arundel
48,820
Harford
22,160
Frederick
18,836
Washington
18,690
Howard
18,468
Carroll
16,267
Allegany
13,429
Wicomico
10,823
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
120,000
continued
Population, Ages 65+, by Jurisdiction – 2000
Charles
9,402
Worcester
9,351
Cecil
8,995
St. Mary's
7,825
Talbot
6,897
Calvert
6,627
Dorchester
5,423
Queen Anne's
5,227
Garrett
4,461
Caroline
4,031
Kent
3,708
Somerset
3,503
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
120,000
Change in Population Ages 65+ by Jurisdiction – 1990 - 2000
Montgomery
20,666
Baltimore Co
13,486
Prince George's
11,608
Anne Arundel
11,255
Harford
7,126
Howard
7,069
Frederick
4,627
Carroll
3,710
Worcester
3,287
Charles
2,829
Calvert
2,045
Washington
1,899
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
25,000
continued
Change in Population Ages 65+ by Jurisdiction – 1990 - 2000
Cecil
1,630
St. Mary's
1,525
Wicomico
1,264
Queen Anne's
856
Talbot
769
Kent
689
Garrett
594
Dorchester
197
Caroline
141
Somerset
-1
Allegany
-451
Baltimore City -14,995
-20,000
-15,000
-10,000
-5,000
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
20,000
25,000
Elderly Change as a Pct of Total Pop Change, 1990 - 2000
Kent
50.8%
Dorchester
45.0%
Garrett
34.8%
Worcester
28.5%
Talbot
23.6%
Baltimore Co
21.7%
Harford
19.5%
Washington
18.0%
Anne Arundel
18.0%
Montgomery
17.8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
50%
60%
continued
Elderly Change as a Pct of Total Pop Change, 1990 - 2000
Charles
14.6%
Carroll
13.5%
Queen Anne's
13.0%
Wicomico
12.3%
Howard
11.7%
Cecil
11.2%
Frederick
10.3%
Calvert
8.8%
Caroline
5.2%
Somerset 0.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
50%
60%
Characteristics of the Elderly
•
•
•
•
•
Median Household Income & Poverty
Percent of Income Spent on Housing
Vehicle Availability
Ability to Speak English
Disability Status
Median Household Income (1999)by
Age of Household Head - Maryland
$68,364
70,000
$61,027
60,000
$60,585
$48,851
50,000
$38,607
40,000
30,000 $27,015
$27,246
20,000
10,000
0
< 25
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65-74
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
75+
Poverty Rates in 1999 by Age Group
in Maryland
11.7%
12%
10.7%
10.0%
10%
8.5%
8.5%
8%
7.4%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Total
65+
65-74
75+
<5
< 18
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
Percent Age 65+ in Poverty by Jurisdiction – 1999
Somerset
19.1%
Baltimore city
18.0%
Dorchester
14.2%
Garrett
13.9%
Caroline
12.3%
Allegany
9.5%
Washington
9.5%
St. Mary's
8.9%
Wicomico
8.8%
Charles
8.6%
Kent
8.5%
Talbot
7.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
25%
continued
Percent Age 65+ in Poverty by Jurisdiction – 1999
Cecil
7.7%
Queen Anne's
7.3%
Howard
6.9%
Prince George's
6.9%
Harford
6.7%
Baltimore Co
6.5%
Worcester
6.4%
Frederick
6.0%
Montgomery
5.9%
Anne Arundel
5.8%
Calvert
5.7%
Carroll
4.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
25%
Pct Pt Diff Between Child Poverty & Elderly Poverty – 1999
Baltimore city
13.1%
Worcester
10.9%
Somerset
9.6%
Kent
9.2%
Allegany
8.5%
7.1%
Wicomico
Dorchester
4.9%
3.4%
Child poverty > elderly poverty
3.2%
Washington
3.2%
Talbot
3.1%
Caroline
Garrett
Prince George's
2.7%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
continued
Pct Pt Diff Between Child Poverty & Elderly Poverty – 1999
Cecil
1.8%
Baltimore Co
1.2%
Anne Arundel
0.9%
Queen Anne's
0.4%
0.3%
Montgomery
Child poverty > elderly poverty
0.0%
St. Mary's
Calvert
-0.3%
Harford
-0.5%
Elderly
poverty
> child
poverty
-0.6%
-0.8%
Carroll
Frederick
Charles
-1.6%
Howard
-2.8%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
Characteristics of the Elderly
•
•
•
•
•
Median Household Income & Poverty
Percent of Income Spent on Housing
Vehicle Availability
Ability to Speak English
Disability Status
Pct of Homeowners in 2000, by age of Household
Head, Who Pay More Than 30% of Income for
Housing in Maryland
45%
40%
40.9%
35%
30%
27.8%
24.9%
25%
20%
20.7%
21.1%
21.4%
22.0%
45-54
55-64
65-74
75+
15%
10%
5%
0%
< 25
25-34
35-44
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
Pct of Renters in 2000, by age of Household Head,
Who Pay More Than 30% of Income for Housing
in Maryland
60%
50%
55.9%
48.9%
48.5%
38.6%
40%
30%
31.6%
32.7%
31.8%
25-34
35-44
45-54
20%
10%
0%
< 25
55-64
65-74
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
75+
Characteristics of the Elderly
•
•
•
•
•
Median Household Income & Poverty
Percent of Income Spent on Housing
Vehicle Availability
Ability to Speak English
Disability Status
Pct of Households in 2000, by age of Household
Head, with No Vehicle Available in Maryland
30%
27.5%
25%
20%
19.4%
15%
13.6%
9.7%
10%
8.5%
7.6%
35-44
45-54
9.0%
5%
0%
< 25
25-34
55-64
65-74
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
75+
Pct Age 65+ With No Vehicle Available by Jurisdiction – 2000
Baltimore City
44.5%
Allegany
19.6%
Somerset
19.3%
Washington
18.1%
Dorchester
17.5%
Baltimore
17.5%
Garrett
17.2%
Montgomery
16.2%
Prince George's
15.9%
Howard
15.8%
Wicomico
15.2%
Kent
14.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
45%
50%
continued
Pct Age 65+ With No Vehicle Available by Jurisdiction – 2000
Cecil
14.1%
Frederick
13.1%
Harford
13.0%
Charles
12.7%
Anne Arundel
12.2%
St. Mary's
11.8%
Carroll
11.7%
Caroline
11.7%
Talbot
11.7%
Worcester
11.2%
Calvert
9.6%
Queen Anne's
9.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
40%
45%
Characteristics of the Elderly
•
•
•
•
•
Median Household Income & Poverty
Percent of Income Spent on Housing
Vehicle Availability
Ability to Speak English
Disability Status
Persons Who Speak English “Not Well” or
“Not at All” by Age Group
100,000
82,946
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
14,706
13,604
0
5-17
18-64
65+
(1.4%)
(2.5%)
(2.5%)
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
Persons Ages 65+ Who Speak English “Not
Well or “Not at All”
Montgomery
6,921
Baltimore
2,244
Prince George's
1,942
Baltimore City
1,597
Howard
668
Remainder
1,334
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
10,000
Characteristics of the Elderly
•
•
•
•
•
Median Household Income & Poverty
Percent of Income Spent on Housing
Vehicle Availability
Ability to Speak English
Disability Status
Percent of Population Ages 65+ With a
Reported Disability - 2000
50%
41.9%
39.8%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
U.S.
Maryland
(Ranked 34th)
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
Disability Rates by Age Group for
Maryland in 2000
60%
51.3%
50%
40%
30.5%
30%
20%
17.2%
13.3%
10%
6.0%
0%
5 - 15
16 - 20
21 - 64
65-74
75+
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
Type of Disabilities Reported in Maryland for
Population Ages 65+ in 2000
200,000
153,499
150,000
100,000
71,858
50,000
0
Sensory
Physical
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
Disabilities Reported in Maryland by Activity
Category in 2000 for Population Ages 65+
Go-outside-home
116,401
Mental
57,568
Self-care
52,021
0
50,000
100,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census Data
150,000
Population Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000
Baltimore City
42,156
Baltimore
40,666
Montgomery
30,541
Prince George's
23,846
Anne Arundel
17,914
Harford
8,544
Washington
7,562
Frederick
6,531
Howard
6,521
Carroll
6,089
Allegany
5,370
Wicomico
4,093
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
35,000
40,000
45,000
continued
Population Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000
Charles
3,833
Worcester
3,373
Cecil
3,306
St. Mary's
2,716
Talbot
2,358
Calvert
2,281
Dorchester
2,158
Garrett
1,836
Queen Anne's
1,679
Caroline
1,644
Somerset
1,562
Kent
1,316
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
35,000
40,000
45,000
Percent Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000
Baltimore City
51.2%
Somerset
47.2%
Garrett
44.5%
Caroline
43.1%
Washington
43.1%
Charles
42.5%
Allegany
42.5%
Dorchester
41.0%
Wicomico
40.5%
Prince George's
40.0%
Carroll
39.7%
Harford
39.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
50%
60%
continued
Percent Age 65+ With Disabilities by Jurisdiction – 2000
Cecil
39.1%
Kent
38.2%
Baltimore
38.1%
Anne Arundel
38.0%
St. Mary's
37.5%
Howard
37.3%
Worcester
37.2%
Frederick
37.1%
Calvert
36.1%
Talbot
35.7%
Queen Anne's
33.5%
Montgomery
32.7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
Prepared by the Maryland Department of Planning, from U.S. Census data
50%
60%
Characteristics of the Elderly
•
•
•
•
•
Median Household Income & Poverty
Percent of Income Spent on Housing
Vehicle Availability
Ability to Speak English
Disability Status
Elderly Population Projections
for Maryland
•
•
•
•
Total Elderly Population
Elderly Share of Total Population
Implications - Disability
Dependent Populations
Population, Ages 65 +, in Maryland,
Actual and Projected
1,400
1,328.5
1,184.1
1,200
1,022.2
Thousands
1,000
870.8
800
600
599.3
649.3
2000
2005
732.8
400
200
0
2010
2015
2020
2025
2030
Source: The U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
Change in Maryland Population,
Ages 65 +
350,000
289,285
300,000
306,372
250,000
200,000
133,544
150,000
100,000
84,963
50,000
0
1990-2000
2000-2010
2010-2020
2020-2030
Source: The U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
Projected Population Gain in Maryland, 2000–2030
(Ages 0-64 and 65 +)
800
729.2
Thousands
600
400
336.4
200
0
0 - 64
65+
Source: The Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
Historical and Projected Population, Ages 65+
for Maryland
25%
20%
20.9%
15%
10%
16.7%
10.8%
11.3%
1990
2000
12.8%
5%
0%
2010
2020
Source: The U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning, October 2002
2030
Projected Percent Population Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2010
Worcester
23.6%
Talbot
22.5%
Kent
21.2%
Dorchester
19.2%
Garrett
18.0%
Allegany
17.9%
Baltimore
14.8%
Washington
14.6%
Queen Anne's
14.4%
Somerset
14.1%
Caroline
14.1%
Carroll
13.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
20%
25%
continued
Projected Percent Population Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2010
Montgomery
13.0%
Harford
13.0%
Anne Arundel
12.9%
Wicomico
12.8%
Baltimore City
12.6%
St. Mary's
11.6%
Cecil
11.4%
Calvert
11.2%
Charles
10.8%
Frederick
10.8%
Howard
10.5%
Prince George's
9.9%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
20%
25%
Projected Percent Population Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2020
Worcester
28.1%
Talbot
27.9%
Kent
26.0%
Dorchester
23.7%
Garrett
22.5%
Allegany
21.5%
Allegany
20.1%
Anne Arundel
18.5%
Baltimore
18.5%
Queen Anne's
18.3%
Harford
17.8%
Carroll
17.6%
Washington
17.4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
20%
25%
30%
continued
Projected Percent Population Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2020
Washington
17.4%
Caroline
17.4%
Montgomery
17.3%
Somerset
17.2%
Calvert
16.7%
St. Mary's
15.7%
Wicomico
15.6%
Howard
15.3%
Cecil
15.1%
Baltimore City
14.9%
Charles
14.8%
Frederick
14.4%
Prince George's
13.7%
0%
5%
10%
15%
Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
20%
25%
30%
Projected Percent Population Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2030
Talbot
33.3%
Worcester
32.8%
Kent
32.2%
Dorchester
29.5%
Garrett
27.9%
Anne Arundel
24.0%
Queen Anne's
24.0%
Harford
23.3%
Calvert
23.3%
Carroll
22.6%
Allegany
22.5%
Baltimore
22.3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
25%
30%
35%
continued
Projected Percent Population Age 65+ by Jurisdiction – 2030
Caroline
21.6%
Montgomery
21.6%
St. Mary's
21.4%
Washington
21.2%
Somerset
20.8%
Howard
20.2%
Charles
19.2%
Cecil
19.0%
Frederick
18.3%
Wicomico
18.2%
Prince George's
17.7%
Baltimore City
17.5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
25%
30%
35%
Actual and Projected Number of People
Ages 65 + with Disabilities
600
500.2
Thousands
500
376.8
400
275.3
300
227.9
200
100
0
2000
2010
2020
2030
Source: U.S. Census Bureau and the Maryland Department of Planning
Dependency Ratios for Maryland *
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
1990
2000
Total
2010
Youth
2020
Elderly
•Pop < 16/pop16-64 x100 = youth dependency ratio
•Pop 65+/pop16-64x100 = elderly dependency ratio
Source: Maryland Department of Planning, Planning Data Services
2030
Maryland State Data Center
Website:
www.mdp.state.md.us/msdc
Mark Goldstein
410-767-4454
[email protected]