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Prospects for the Search for Dark Matter with Fermi Brian L. Winer The Ohio State University Fermi LAT Dark Matter and New Physics Working Group Novel Searches for Dark Matter with Neutrino Telescopes Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space CCAPP DMNov Workshop Pageth,1 Center for Cosmology andTelescope Astroparticle Physics 17-18 Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 2 WIMP annihilation: gamma-ray yield WIMP pair annihilation gamma spectrum Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope 200GeV mass WIMP CCAPP DM Workshop Page 3 Dark Matter in the gamma ray sky Milky Way Halo simulated by Taylor & Babul (2005) All-sky map of DM gamma ray emission (Baltz 2006) Galactic center Milky Way halo Milky Way satellites sub haloes/clumps Extragalactic Only dm annihilation radiation shown…. Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 4 Several Different Search Modes Search Technique advantages challenges Galactic center Good Statistics Source confusion/Diffuse background Satellites, subhalos Point sources Low background, Good source id Low statistics Milky Way halo Large statistics Galactic diffuse background Extragalactic Large Statistics Astrophysics, galactic diffuse background Spectral lines No astrophysical uncertainties, good source id Low statistics Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 5 Background to all photons: Charged Particles -Rejection power: ~105-6 -γ efficiency: ~0.8 Total GCR protons GCR He GCR electrons albedo protons,pbar albedo positrons albedo electrons albedo gammas. Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 6 Galactic Center Advantage: Largest Source of DM Photons Problems: Astrophysical Sources CR Accelarators High Energy Gamma Sources Behavior at Fermi Energies?? Initial Sensitivity Estimation ROI = 0.5 deg of GC, E > 1 GeV Truncated NFW Profile. Simulate Particle-yield (DarkSUSY) Background: Consider Annihilations: bb tt Astrophysical Sources Subtracted W W (Done Individually) GALPROP Represents Diffuse Background Simulate Detector Response. Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 7 Dark Matter From the Galactic Center 2 for Test Statistic. Simple (More sophisticated TS under study) 5 Years of Sky-Survey - tt similar - WW less sensitivity - more sensitive. 5 Years of Sky-Survey Current Efforts: Optimize ROI (Plot) Understand Source Removal Need data. Optimize TS. Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 8 Galactic Halo Analysis Advantage: Challenge: Use the large statistics of the full sky. Critically Dependent on Diffuse Background Measure the sensitivity to observing a signal. ROI = R>10o or |b|>10o NFW Profile. Diffuse Background: GALPROP (Conv., Opt.) Simultaneous Fit to both spatial and energy distributions Mass vs <s v> 1 year of running Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 9 Galactic diffuse: conventional and optimized GALPROP model ’conventional’ GALPROP: calibrated with locally measured electron and proton,helium spectra, as well as synchrotron emission Optimized GALPROP: Conventional Optimized Strong, Moskalenko, Reimer, Strong, Moskalenko, Reimer, ApJ 537, 736, 2000 ApJ 613, 962-976, 2004 Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 10 Galactic Diffuse Background: Brem E 100 MeV b l Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 11 Galactic Diffuse Background: Neutral Pion Decay E 100 MeV b l Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 12 Galactic Diffuse Background: Inverse Compton E 100 MeV b l Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 13 Galactic Diffuse Background: Total E 100 MeV b 10o b l Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 14 Galactic Halo Analysis Advantage: Challenge: Use the large statistics of the full sky. Critically Dependent on Diffuse Background Measure the sensitivity to observing a signal. ROI = R>10o or |b|>10o NFW Profile. Diffuse Background: GALPROP (Conv., Opt.) Simultaneous Fit to both spatial and energy distributions Mass vs <s v> 1 year of running Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 15 Sensitivity for Galactic Halo Analysis Conventional Diffuse 50 Optimized Diffuse 250 50 250 Typical DM Photon Yields (1 year) : 1.5 x 104 (100 GeV/c2) 3 x 103 (250 GeV/c2) Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 16 Halo Analysis: Mass Resolution 100 For cases where we observer a signal at 5s, we can determine our mass resolution. Warning: Statistical Uncertainty ONLY…think of this as a “best case/Lower Limit” Error bars represent the 68% CI Current Efforts: Work on understanding Diffuse Background. 0 100 Optimize ROI Understand Source Removal Optimize Fitting. SYSTEMATICS! SYSTEMATICS! Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope 250 CCAPP DM Workshop Page 17 Search for Sub-halos In CDM Paradigm, expect MW to contain potentially large number of sub-halos. Sensitivity: 8.9 kpc 2.7107 Mo b= 39 Assumes Taylor&Babul (05) Distribution Sub-halo with Truncated NFW Profile MWIMP=100 GeV s v 2.31026 cm3s1 bb Annihilation Background: Extragalactic, Galactic Diffuse (GALPROP) Search for Msub>106 MO. Test Statistic: lnLs b lnL(b) Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 18 Sub-halos Most Sub-Halos are found a high (|b|) galactic latitude. Green: GALPOP optimized Red: GALPROP conventional 99% CL 90% CL 68% CL No. of satellites <σannihv > * Astrophy Unc. Once found an attempt can be made to extract the DM parameters. Below are the error ellipses for the case on the previous page. Significance [ σ] WIMP mass [GeV] Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 19 Dwarf Spheroidal Galaxies Advantage: Could be DM Dominated Assumes 5 years of observations. Disadvantage: DM Profile? Initial Sensitivity Sagittarius Dwarf GALPROP used for Diffuse Test Statistic: 2 Simple: Recent: Likelihood Likelihood TS: Sensitivity Improves by 2-4x If NFW Profile, sens a factor of 10 less. Other dSph (e.g. Draco) will also be studied. Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 20 Line Search Advantage: ”Smoking Gun” Simulated detector response to δ function in energy Backgrounds from data Challenges: Some recent models predict enhancements. Small BR <10-3 Energy Resolution. Initial Sensitivity Estimation ROI = Broken Annulus Proposed by Stoehr, et al |b|>15o 20o < R < 35o ; DM Den High but reduced background Example MC Sim. Scan through energy range Fit Background to exponential Signal Fit Double Gaussian Test Statistic: 2 2 2 min (s b) min (b) Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 21 Line 5σ sensitivity 5 Years of Fermi Data Trials factor included for unknown source. Current Efforts: Improved event selection and energy reconstruction. Optimized ROI Need data Measure Diffuse Bkg. Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Optimize TS. Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 22 Summary Fermi has many targets for the indirect DM search. Efforts are on-going to optimize these searches. Some are statistics limited. Some are sys. limited Other Modes: Cosmological WIMPS Extra Dim: KK HE Electrons Real Data Helps! The DM Working Group plans an intense effort in the first year of operation. We are happy finally to be in orbit! Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 23 WIMP annihilation: gamma-ray flux Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 24 Acknowledgements Pre-launch Estimates for GLAST Sensitivity to Dark Matter Annihilation Signals E. A. Baltz, et al JCAP, 07 (2008) 013, arXiv: 0806.2911v2 E Baltz, B. Berenji, E. Bloom, J. Chiang, Y. Edmonds, G. Godfrey, P. Wang, L. Wai, J. Cohen-Tanugi(SLAC/KIPAC) I. Moskalenko (Stanford) A. Morselli, A. Lionetto (INFN Roma/Tor Vergata) E. Nuss (Montpellier) R. Hughes, A. Sander, P. Smith, B. Winer (Ohio State) L. Bergström, T. Bringmann, J. Conrad, J. Edsjö, A. Sellerholm (Stockholm) A. Moiseev (Goddard) G. Bertone (Paris) R. Johnson(Santa Cruz) J. Ormes (Denver) R. Rando (Padova) A. Strong (Max-Planck) Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 25 Parameter Space Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 26 Cosmological WIMPS Brian L. Winer, Ohio State University Fermi Gamma-Ray Space Telescope CCAPP DM Workshop Page 27