Transcript Document
DATA R US Personal Travel Data, including CTPP and NPTS Portland State University April 29, 2005 Elaine Murakami, FHWA [email protected] Ed Christopher, FHWA [email protected] What are Personal Travel Data? What are Personal Travel Data? l Daily activities and travel l How we get to work l When do we use the bus or rail or air l What are motivations for traveling l What are cost trade-offs (value pricing) Examples using Census and CTPP data Mode to Work, 1970 - 2000 Percent of Workers U.S. Total 80 70 60 Drove Alone Carpool Transit Walk 50 40 30 20 10 0 1980 1990 2000 Households without Vehicles Percent, by Race/Hisp Origin 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Total Black Hispanic 1970 1980 1990 2000 Travel Time to Work, 1990 and 2000 Percent of Workers 49 largest MSA’s 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 at m ho e < 5 5 to 9 to 14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-59 60-89 10 2000 1990 0 >9 Examples using NPTS data There were significantly more households in 2001 than in 1995 who owned a greater number of vehicles than there were drivers in the household 1995 2001 15 million 14.5 million 63 million 64.5 million 14 million 20 million 1.4 million 2.8 million The average amount of time we spent in a vehicle in 2001 was slightly more than an hour. Children younger than 5 years old spent an average of ¾ of an hour a day in vehicles 65+ 55-64 Age 45-54 35-44 25-34 19-24 6-18 0-5 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Time Spent in Vehicles (minutes) 80 90 Average Daily Occupancy by Urbanized Areas population and Trip Purpose 50,000199,999 200,000499,999 500,000999,999 1+ million HBW 1.11 HBshop 1.44 HBSoc 1.66 HBNHB Other 1.67 1.66 1.12 1.48 1.72 1.65 1.68 1.13 1.45 1.66 1.65 1.66 1.11 1.48 1.69 1.66 1.64 Source: NCHRP 365, using 1990 NPTS Personal Travel: Main data types l l l l Residence-based: households, persons, vehicles, person trips Workplace-based: employment/jobs, workers, work trips Other: Transit surveys: on-board, rider/non-rider Special attractors: airports, schools/universities, major shopping centers, etc. Potential types of Questions l l l Revealed preference – current behavior Stated preference – how might act in future under certain conditions Motivations for travel, and scheduling changes Residence-based Household Travel Surveys -- National -- Regional/local l Decennial Census and American Community Survey l Workplace-based l l l l Public Sources ES-202 files Commercial Files Dunn & Bradstreet InfoUSA CTPP Parts 2 and 3 LED program (test) Today, focus on 2 main surveys l CTPP -- Historical Trends -- Small area data -- Residence, Workplace AND Flow l NHTS -- Historical Trends -- Limited to Large geography only -- Includes all trip purposes, trip chaining file available --NCHRP 365 --Data transferability project What is the CTPP? The Census Transportation Planning Package is a set of special tabulations from the long form of the decennial census designed by transportation planners for transportation planners It summarizes the data Flows between Home and Work At Workplace At Residence Decennial Census Long Form Sample is 1:6 addresses nationwide, allowing for reporting at very small geography Transportation Related Questions -- Place of Work -- Means of Transportation to Work -- Carpool Occupancy to Work -- Departure Time for Work -- Travel Time to Work -- Vehicles Available What are the CTPP Products? Main CTPP Products Tabulations at Residence Tabulations at Workplace Part 1 Part 2 Flows between Home and Work Collateral Products State and County Profiles County Flow Data Part 3 How are they packaged? CTPP Access Tool The CAT ASCII Too CTPP Access Tool l Easy to Use Software Interface -- Easy to manipulate rows and columns, including calculating new variables l .ivt files (proprietary format) l Shape files included for many Census geographic units l Exports to .shp, .dbf, .xls, ASCII l Mapping and charting components imbedded What is in the CTPP? Let’s Look at the Details So how does this thing work? Tables—Lots of Tables 121 Tables of Residents’ Based Data 68 Tables of Work Place Data 14 Tables of Flow Data Variables--Lots of Variables Person Worker Status Age, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin, Disability Household Income Nos. Vehicles Available Size and Nos. Workers Workers Journey-to-Work Work Location and Mode Departure and Travel Time Arrival Time (Calculated) Sample Table List Data Issues l l l Rounding Thresholds Workers at Work vs. Jobs or Employment Disclosure Review Board CTPP 2000 Post DRB Part 1: at Residence (121 Tables) All Tables Rounded Zero = 0 1 through 7 = 4 8 though = Nearest Multiple of “5” Part 2: at Workplace (68 Tables) All Tables Rounded Part 3: Worker Flows (14 Tables) All Tables Rounded Some Tables with Thresholds Chicago CBD -CTPP 2000 Data L11423 L11428 L11446 L11448 L11449 L12427 L12428 L12446 L12449 Rest Total SOV Carpool Bus 49,275 12,200 3,915 6,410 29,365 8,315 2,340 4,210 15,035 3,705 1,240 2,430 5,200 3,115 550 570 25,655 7,240 2,120 2,775 920 410 155 65 9,610 3,025 835 1,660 22,115 4,925 1,770 4,595 67,795 14,565 4,820 8,035 124,955 34,255 10,324 17,410 Col Tot 349,925 91,755 Rail Other Home 24,580 2,160 10 12,780 1,715 4 7,010 640 15 745 150 65 12,325 1,195 0 85 95 105 3,535 555 0 9,915 905 0 36,950 3,420 0 57,165 5,460 328 28,069 48,160 165,090 16,295 527 Row Tot 49,275 29,364 15,040 5,195 25,655 915 9,610 22,110 67,790 124,942 349,896 Mode to Work for Travis County Residents Tract 1.01 1.02 2.01 2.03 2.04 3.01 3.02 3.03 24.18 24.19 24.2 24.21 24.22 24.23 24.24 Total SF3 CTPP Car, truck, van SF3 CTPP Drove alone SF3 CTPP 2,021 2020 1,850 1845 1,697 1695 1,231 1230 1,099 1094 1,062 1060 3,614 3615 2,899 2905 2,573 2575 243 245 191 190 129 130 2,036 2035 1,605 1605 1,485 1485 4,084 4085 3,065 3065 2,686 2685 3,342 3340 2,352 2350 2,194 2195 1,766 1765 1,373 1370 1,074 1075 2,296 2295 2,134 2135 1,758 1760 2,207 2205 2,072 2070 1,831 1830 4,088 4090 3,747 3750 2,955 2955 2,246 2245 2,133 2130 1,786 1785 3,045 3045 2,725 2725 2,122 2120 3,116 3115 2,925 2930 2,489 2490 1,889 1890 1,757 1754 1,416 1415 433,064 433,080 383,508 383,409 324,475 324,430 0.004% -0.026% -0.014% Part 3: Worker Flow Tables Table Content 1 Total Workers (1) 2 Vehicles Available (3--zero,one or two+) by Means of Transportation (7 modes) 3 Poverty Status (3 categories) 4 Minority Status (2--white non-hispanic and all others) 5 Household Income (8 classifications) 6 Means of Transportation (17 modes) 7 Household Income (4 classifications) by Means of Transportation (4 modes) 8 9 No record threshold Must have 3 unweighted records Mean Travel Time by Means of Transportation to Work (7 modes) and Time Leaving Home for Work (2--AM peak and all other times) Median Travel Time by Means of Transportation to Work (7 modes) and Time Leaving Home for Work (2 groupings) 10 Aggregate Number of Vehicles by Time Leaving Home for Work (2, see table 8) 11 Number of Workers per Vehicle by Time Leaving Home for Work (2, see table 8) 12 Aggregate Number of Carpools by Time Leaving Home for Work (2, see table 8) 13 Number of Workers per Carpool by Time Leaving Home for Work (2, see table 8) 14 Aggregate Travel Time by Means of transportation to work (7 modes) and Time Leaving Home for Work (2, see table 8) Impact of Thresholds on Workers Included in Part 3 Tabulations Intra-Bay Area, CTPP 2000, Part 3 Analysis Table 3-1 No Threshold Table 3-6 w/ Thresholds County-to-County 3,258,465 Loss 3,258,465 Loss Place-to-Place 3,257,152 0.0% 3,221,359 -1.1% Tract-to-Tract 3,209,952 -1.5% 2,154,754 -33.9% Zone-to-Zone 3,143,432 -3.5% 937,749 -71.2% Special Thanks to Chuck Purvis, MTC For this Analysis Workers at Work Counts vs. Other Employment Sources Total jobs are HIGHER than CTPP worker counts CTPP uses NAICS, others may use SIC Multi-site businesses and job types not reported consistently Census 2000 employment estimates vs CPS Extended Allocation for CTPP small areas http://www.trbcensus.com/articles/ctppworkers.pdf With all this said and done now what can I do? l l l l Build profiles (Part 1 example) Trend Analysis Survey Weighting Planning Process -- Environmental Justice, Title VI -- TDM programs -- Transit service planning -- Model calibration and validation Where do I get the “FREE” CTPP with the CAT Software? https://www.bts.gov/pdc/ Other Census Data 100% data or SHORT-FORM information • • • Redistricting Summary File (PL Data) Summary File 1 (SF1) Summary File 2 Sample data or LONG-FORM information • • Summary File 3 (SF3) Summary File 4 Public Use Microdata Sample Files (PUMS) NHTS Basics 28,000 households in U.S. plus nearly 44,000 households in add-on Program. lTelephone recruit, mail-out diary, telephone retrieval. l Cash incentives (recruit and diary) l 41 percent overall response rate. l March 2001 thru May 2002 l NHTS Basics, continued • Destination locations are only geocoded for add-on records. Otherwise, self-report for distance • Sample size is small, relative to total U.S. population, so geographic detail is very limited, e.g. MSA size, some states. What travel is included? • Assigned travel for 1 day, includes all 365 days of the year. Good resource for WEEKEND data, as 30 percent of sample is for weekends! • Long distance trips from 4-week period. • All modes of travel What travel is included? The complexity of daily travel 360010129.00 360010130.00 360010135.03 Trip 5: Store to Store 360010138.02 360010135 .02 360010135.06 Trip 6: Store to Home Trip 4: Work to Store 360010138.01 HOME 360010137.03 WORK Trip 7: Home to Day Camp Trip 1: To Work Trip 2: Work to Childs Day Camp Trip 4: Store to Work 360010139.02 360010137.07 36 0010136.01 Trip 3: Day Camp to Store 360010139.01 360010004.01 360010146.07 360010140.01 360010137.05 360010137.06 360010140.02 36 00 10 00 4.04 360010146.10 360010136.02 360010146 .08 360010003.00 36 00 10 14 6.09 36 00 10 004.03 360010018.02 360010007.00 360010002.00 36 00 10 00 1.00 NHTS File structure Land Use Characteristics (Claritas) Households Person 1 Veh 1 Vehicle Operating Char. (EIA) Veh 2 Person 2 Person 3 Trip 1 Trip 2 Trip 3 Trip 1 Trip 4 Trip 2 2001 NHTS Data Elements Household demographics (race, age, sex, household income) Vehicle information (age, annual miles, fuel type and use, etc.) Commute information (mode, occupancy, time of departure, work location and occupation, distance to work) Time of day and purpose for non-work Travel (mode, occupancy, time, miles traveled) Who’s traveling together from same household 2001 NHTS Transferability Project Test with 1995 NPTS data CITE for transferability paper! ADD!!!! Assist areas without recent hhld survey data Trip Generation Rates and VMT accounting for census-tract-level characteristics Trips by Purpose, maybe be mode, and time of day 2001 NHTS Transferability Project Use 2001 NHTS households (we have both detailed travel, and census tract characteristics) Develop clustering system, and cluster all 61,000+ census tracts, except Manhattan and tracts without population. Clustering system for 1995 had 11 clusters. Compare the results of the “synthetic” hhlds to the “real” households from the NHTS add-ons. If this works, then…. 2001 NHTS Transferability Project User defines their “study area” by selecting census tracts. Software returns Trip Generation Rates and VMT by census tract, and study area totals. 1995 NPTS Transferability Test: 11 clusters Very High Inc. Rural Sub Urban 3 High income Mid. Income Low income 9.6 19.8 11.1 High income Mid. Income Low income 11.1 16.6 8.7 High income Mid. income Low income 4.4 7.7 5.2 Very Low Income 2.8 0 5 10 15 % Census tracts 20 25 NPTS-based Person Trips Per Household 1995 NPTS Transferability Test Household Size Rural Urban Low Income Mid Income High Income 1 3.6 4.0 2 8.0 3 … Very High High Income Income Low Incom e Mid Incom e 3.6 3.8 4.4 4.8 4.5 7.8 7.9 6.2 8.1 7.8 8.0 12.0 12.1 11.4 10.5 11.0 12.0 12.6 4 15.6 16.3 14.5 11.2 13.2 14.9 16.0 5+ 19.3 21.5 18.9 13.5 16.6 17.7 19.6 Try out the 1995 NPTS transferability tool: http://cta.ornl.gov/NPTS 2001 NHTS On-line Table Generator • Registration required, however, registration is “immediate.” • Generates SAS program without your knowing much SAS. • Includes the proper weights! Very important. • Easy way to examine patterns, can help identify relevant variables for regression or other statistical test. 2001 NHTS On-Line Table Generator Select variables of interest SAS output listing file Output to spreadsheet Stay Connected http://www.dot.gov/ctpp http://www.TRBcensus.com http://nhts.ornl.gov