Earning projections – 2012-13

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Transcript Earning projections – 2012-13

COAL
TRANSPORTATION
ON
INDIAN RAILWAYS
1
FREIGHT BUSINESS

TRANSPORTATION
IS
A
DERIVED
DEMAND & DEPENDS UPON THE
GROWTH OF ECONOMY.

RAILWAY FREIGHT BUSINESS LARGELY
DEPENDENT UPON THE PERFORMANCE
OF CORE SECTOR.
2
3
HISTORICAL GROWTH
YEAR
LOADING IN MT
1950-51
73.2
2001-02
492.5
%AGE GROWTH
GDP GROWTH (%)/
CORE SECTOR (%)
3.8
2.0 %
X TH PLAN
02-03
518.74
5.33
4.3
03-04
557.39
7.45
8.5
04-05
602.78
8.14
7.5
05-06
667.20
10.69
9.0
06-07
728.77
9.23
9.6
07-08
794.21
8.98
9.0/ 5.2
08-09
833.31
4.92
6.8/ 2.8
09-10
887.99
6.56
8.0/ 6.6
10-11
921.51
3.77
8.4/ 6.6
11-12
969.78
5.24
6.5/ 4.4
12-13
1009.83
4.27
5.0/2.6
13-14
1053.5
4.32
4.7/3
XI TH PLAN
XII TH PLAN
4
PERFORMANCE VIS-À-VIS ECONOMY
(in % age)
Freight
Loading
Growth
Year
GDP Growth
IIP Growth
Core Sector
Growth
2005-06
9.48
8.6
3.9
10.69
2006-07
9.57
12.9
8.4
9.23
2007-08
9.32
15.5
5.2
8.98
2008-09
6.72
2.5
2.8
4.92
2009-10
8.59
5.3
6.6
6.56
2010-11
8.91
8.2
6.6
3.77
2011-12
6.69
2.9
5
5.24
2012-13
4.47
1.1
6.5
4.13
2013-14
4.74
-0.1
3
4.32
5
COMPARISON OF CORE SECTOR
GROWTH VIS-À-VIS RAILWAY LOADING
Commodity
Railway Ldg. Core sector growth
Growth
2013-14
2013-14
Coal
2.36
0.8
Pig Iron and
Finished Steel
9.27
4.3
Cement
3.77
3.0
Fertilizers
-3.35
1.5
POL
0.77
1.7
Total
4.33
3
6
CONTRIBUTION OF FREIGHT BUSINESS TO IR EARNINGS
SUNDRY
4%
PASSENGER
26%
GOODS
67%
OTHER
COACHING
3%
PERFORMANCE 2013-14
Commodity
Tonnes
Originating
(in MT)
NTKMs (in
millions)
Average Lead
(in km)
Earnings
( in cr.)
Coal
508.10
269713
531
39987.15
RMSP
17.33
10060
580
1560.81
Iron & Steel
38.55
34342
891
5805.33
Iron Ore
124.25
43603
351
9163.67
Cement
109.81
59712
544
8665.32
Foodgrains
54.38
68227
1255
7894.39
Fertilizers
44.38
36452
821
4535.89
POL
41.94
28345
676
5405.37
Containers
43.60
48789
1119
4339.62
other Goods
71.21
52626
739
6111.29
1053.55
651869
619
93468.84
4.32
1.56
-2.67
10.23
Total
% variation (y-o-y)
8
COMMODITY – LOADING SHARE
POL
4%
Container
4%
Balance other
goods
7%
Fertilizer
4%
Foodgrains
5%
Coal
48%
Cement
10%
Iron ore
12%
Pig iron & Finished RMSP
Steel
2%
4%
COMMODITY-EARNING SHARE
Container
5%
POL
Balance other
goods
6%
6%
Coal
43%
Fertilizer
5%
Foodgrains
8%
Cement
9%
Iron ore
10%
Pig iron & Finished
Steel
6%
RMSP
2%
COMMODITY WISE LOADING
COMMODITY
LOADING IN RAKES/DAY
COAL
353
IRON ORE
89
RAW MATERIAL FOR STEEL PLANTS
13
CEMENT
81
CLINKER
19
STEEL
38
FERTILIZERS
41
FOODGRAINS
49
POL
45
CONTAINERS
92
BALANCE OTHER COMMODITIES
65
TOTAL
885
11
LOADING ON IR (STOCK-WISE)
BTPN
5%
CONT
10%
OTHR
8%
BOXN
42%
SHRA
1%
BOST
1%
BOBR
10%
BCN
23%
12
RESOURCES FOR FREIGHT TRANSPORT
•
Wagons- IR owned general purpose and Special
wagons, Private Customer/Container/SFTO, Jointly
Owned.
•
Locomotives – Diesel and Electric
•
Network Capacity.
•
Terminals- Public Goodsheds, Sidings and Private
Freight Terminals
•
Manpower - esp Running staff
•
Maintenance Capacity- Regular and Periodic Overhaul
13
ROLLING STOCK - IR
Year
Wagon
Wagon
Holding Acquisition
Diesel
Elect.
Total
Loco
Loco
Loco
Holding Holding holding
2008-09
207,587
15,261
4964
3586
8550
2009-10
206,707
15,597
5022
3825
8847
2010-11
219,231
16,638
5137
4033
9170
2011-12
230,229
18,357
5197
4309
9506
2012-13
237,508
16,894
5345
4568
9956
2013-14
245,292
8,314
5500
4841
10341
14
WAGON INDUCTIONS-COAL TRAFFIC
Type of
Wagon
for
commodi
ty
2008-09
2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
(Target)
BOXN+
BOBRN
5,781
5,535
5,619
11,683
7,000
4,010
8,000
TOTAL
11,514
13,434
16,638
18,357
15,626
8,314
13,162
LOCO INDUCTIONS
Year
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
(Target)
ELECTRIC
LOCOS
240
260
DIESEL
LOCOS
232
223
298
236
330
302
293
331
280
330
WAGON HOLDING
Type of Wagon
HOLDING
1st APRIL
2014
BCN
BOXN
BOBRN
BRN+BOST
BTPN/BTFLN
BOBS/BOY
TOTAL
64,460
1,03,874
14,632
19,068
12,651
2,854
2,29,532
WAGON
TYPE
HOLDING
LOADING
POTENTIAL
(in rakes)
(in rakes/day)
BOXN
1620
> 350
BOBR
220
>100
18
WAGON TURN ROUND ON INDIAN RAILWAYS
8
7.47
7.16
7
6.99
6.72
WTR
6.4
6
6.08
5.49
WTR (in days)
5.23
5.19
5.08
5.19
5.13
5
4.98
4.97
4
YEAR
19
WAGON UTILIZATION ON INDIAN RAILWAYS
9400
9261
9300
9267
9247
NTKM per wagon day
9200
9100
9022
9000
8900
NTKM/wagon day
8800
8700
8687
8600
8500
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
Years
2011-12
2012-13
20
(In Days)
WAGON
2012-13
2013-14
BOXN
4.60
4.60
BOBR
3.01
2.36
TYPE
21
COAL
TRANSPORTATION
HIGHLIGHTS OF COAL TRANSPORTAION BY IR



IN VIEW OF THE IMPORTANCE OF COAL FOR THE
NATIONAL ECONOMY, IMPROVING COAL
TRANSPORTATION HAS BEEN ACCORDED
HIGHEST PRIORITY BY RAILWAYS
IMPROVED COAL TRANSPORTATION HAS
RESULTED IN REDUCTION IN VENDIBLE COAL
STOCKS WITH CIL FROM 70.9 MT AS ON 1st APRIL
2012 TO < 30 MT IN AUGUST 2014
FACILITATED GROWTH OF COAL BASED THERMAL
POWER GENERATION IN THE COUNTRY- 8.2%
GROWTH IN 2013-14 & 15% GROWTH IN 2014-15
(UPTO JULY)
23
COAL FIELDS
COAL –RAIL CO-EFFICIENT
Year
RAIL CO-EFFICIENT (%)
2008-09
66.99
2009-10
65.44
2010-11
69.87
2011-12
70.91
2012-13
71.40
2013-14*
71
25
LOADING OF COAL ON INDIAN RAILWAYS
Source
Loading in
Rakes/Day
Coal India Ltd
191
Singareni Collieries
21
Imported
75
Others
65
Total
353
26
COAL – LOADING (IN MT)
400
121
107.14
48.06
1.62
46.69
89.15
44.21
1.51
67.02
40.07
1.37
0
39.25
1.56
50
63.24
100
35.48
0.92
150
83.21
200
1.65
238.66
335.44
50.01
250
271.45
261.58
300.15
1.3
300
285.34
315.38
131.63
350
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14
Steel Plants
Washeries
TPS
Others
RAILWAY-WISE AVERAGE LEAD OF COAL
RAILWAY
Average Lead
(in km)
Central Railway
491
Eastern Railway
525
East Central Railway
570
East Coast Railway
400
Southern Railway
305
South Central Railway
351
South Eastern Railway
397
South East Central Railway
659
South Western Railway
428
Western Railway
1081
28
COAL O-D FLOWS
North India
CCL / BCCL
Gujarat
NCL
ECL
CIC
Korba
IB
WCL
M
SCCL
NTPC
K
AP
Chennai
TLHR
PORT-WISE COAL LOADING
PORT
MUMBAI PORT
PARADEEP PORT
Rakes per day
0.65
8.55
DHAMRA PORT COMPANY LIMITED
8.94
ADB COAL HANDLING PLANT,
PARADEEP PORT TRUST
2.23
GANGAVARAM PORT
6.19
VIZAG SEAPORT PRIVATE
LTD.VISAKHAPATNAM
1.06
VISHAKHAPATNAM-PORT
6.13
KAKINADA SEA PORT
3.68
KRISHNAPATNAM PORT
11.23
HALDIA DOCK COMPLEX BULK
4.65
HALDIA DOCK COMPLEX & GENERAL
2.13
PORT-WISE COAL LOADING (CONT…)
PORT
MANGLORE PORT
KARAIKAL PORT
TUTICORIN PORT
MARMAGAO HARBOUR
KANDLA PORT
MUNDRA PORT CARGO COMPLEX
WEST PORT SIDING
DAHEJ PORT
NAVLAKHI
TOTAL OF ALL PORTS
Rakes per day
1.29
1.84
0.35
4.81
2.29
2.13
5.16
8.16
2.19
83.65
LOGISTICS PLAN FOR IMPORTED COAL







IMPORT OF STEAM COAL BY POWER SECTOR HAS GROWN FROM
3 MT IN 2002-03 TO 100 MT IN 2013-14
RAILWAYS HAS BEEN ABLE TO COMPLETELY MEET THE DEMAND
FOR TRANSPORTATION OF IMPORTED COAL TO POWER HOUSES BY
FOLLOWING A “LOGISTICS PLAN”
OPTIMIZATION OF RAILWAY RESOURCES FOR TRANSPORTING BOTH
IMPORTED AND DOMESTIC COAL HAS BEEN ENSURED
IF LOGISTICS PLAN IS NOT FOLLOWED, RAILWAYS MAY NOT BE ABLE
TO MEET THE DEMAND FOR TRANSPORTATION OF IMPORTED &
DOMESTIC COAL
POWER HOUSES IN CENTRAL INDIA LINKED TO WESTERN PORTS –
HIGHER TRANSPORTATION COST
CHOICE IS BETWEEN HIGHER TRANSPORTATION COST WITH
ASSURED SUPPLY & LOWER TRANSPORTATION COST WITH ERRATIC
SUPPLY
CAPACITY ENHANCEMENTS TO FACILITATE MOVEMENT FROM
EASTERN PORTS PLANNED – MAY TAKE SOME TIME
32
LOGISTICS PLAN
LOGISTICS PLAN FOR IMPORTED COAL
FOR TPS
RAJ/PUN/
HARYANA/
UP
NTPCRSTP/VSTP/
SSTP/TD/
UCR/DER/
KRBA/BIA
BADARPUR
WB/DVC/FKK/KLG
KRPH+KPKD
HLZ
GUJ
TLHR
MAHA
DHAMRA
RDM+
PRLI
MUMBAI
PRDP
SMDR
VZP
KPCL
KAKINADA
KRISHNA
CHENNAI
VARIATIONS
IN
COAL
LOADING
35
CIL LOADING-REDUCING BANDWIDTH
MONTH
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
JAN
163
168
169
172
184
211
FEB
170
208
210
MAR
174
LOADING
IN168
THE YEAR
172
173
194
R180
178
176
196
210
223
207
APR
158
153
155
176
180
200
197
MAY
150
147
154
160
182
184
187
JUN
145
153
152
158
176
186
180
JUL
138
143
155
164
175
188
174
AUG
135
146
157
138
156
180
SEP
143
141
150
131
157
182
OCT
152
150
163
154
184
169
NOV
163
163
168
177
187
189
DEC
162
168
169
184
201
200
% VAR
29
26
17
40
29
32
PROCESS OF LOADING
Pithead
Crushing
CIL
Transporting to siding
Loading
Supplying Rake
IR
Dispatches
BANDWITH FOR COAL LOADING FROM WESTERN
PORTS
(In terms of Rakes)
Mundra West Port Kandla
Port
Siding
Port
Navlakhi
Dahej
Port
Avg per
Pipavav TOTAL day
Jan-14
129
-
41
45
117
21
353
11
Feb-14
120
-
20
42
67
10
259
9
Mar-14
30
144
17
61
134
21
407
13
Apr-14
27
101
18
39
170
10
365
12
May-14
23
179
18
61
141
8
430
14
Jun-14
19
184
39
43
222
11
518
17
Jul-14
66
160
70
69
253
24
642
21
38
PATH AHEAD

FIRST MILE CONNECTIVITY CRUCIAL:
ALL WEATHER ROADS, TRUCKS,ETC.

REDUCED
BAND
WIDTH:LOADING
UNIFORMLY
THROUGHOUT THE YEAR WITH BAND OF MAX 10
RAKES BETWEEN MINIMA AND MAXIMA.

AT PORTS SUPPLIES TO BE CONTINUOUS – NO
SPURTS.

REDUNDANCY IN HANDLING INFRASTRUCTURE INCL
STORAGE SPACE.
NETWORK
STATUS
&
UPGRADATION
40
•High Density Corridor (Golden
Quadrilateral + Diagonals) 16%
of route Km carries 52% of
Delhi
passenger & 58 % of freight
Kolkata
Mumbai
Chennai
DEDICATED FREIGHTCORRIDOR NETWORK
LUDHIANA
DELHI
KOLKATA
MUMBAI
VASCO
VIJAYAWADA
Sanctioned projects
Unsanctioned projects
CHENNAI
42
STATUS OF MAJOR COAL CONNECTIVITY
PROJECTS

Tori-Shivpur line- Forest clearances received -Handing
over of land to Railways in process -TDC - July’17

Shivpur-Kathautia line- Land acquisition applications
filed for processing Stage I forest clearance. NOC for
forest land awaited

Jharsuguda-Barpalli-Sardega line- Stage-II forest
clearance recieved– TDC - June’16

Bhupdevpur-Korichapar-Dharamjaigarh- SPV formedLand acquisition & forest clearance under processTDC-Sep’16
43
DOUBLING WORKS IN PROGRESS –
ENHANCEMENT OF CAPACITY
S.No
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Name of Project
Kalyan-Kasara
Wardha-Nagpur
Bhopal-Bina
Bina-Kota
Habibganj-Bhudni-Itarsi
Bhadrak-Nergundi
Champa-Jharsuguda 3rd line
Talcher-Sambalpur
Bilaspur-Urkura
Khodri-Annupur with flyover at Bilaspur
Champa - Byepass line
Salka Road-Khongsara - Annuppur Doubling (90 km)
Durg-Rajnandgaon 3rd line
Kalumna-Nagpur
PORT :
LIST OF PORT CONNECTIVITY PROJECTS IN PROGRESS
Railway
CR
Connected to
Name of Project
Port
Mumbai
Dedicated freight line
between Wadala and Kurla
ECOR Paradip
Haridaspur-Paradip new line.
Cost (Rs. Cr.)
TDC (tentative)
104
2016-17
1000
NF
ECOR Vishakhapatnam Kottavalasa-Simhachalam
100.76
Completed and commissioned.
North 4th line doubling
ECOR Vishakhapatnam Vizianagram-Kottavalasa 3rd
248.16
Completed and commissioned.
line
ECOR Vishakhapatnam, Rajatgarh-Barang doubling
275.2
2014-15
Dhamra,
Paradeep
ECOR Vishakhapatnam, Khurda Road-Barang 3rd line
221
2014-15
Dhamra,
Paradeep
SER Haldia
Doubling of 1) Panskura1) Rs 86.91 Rajgoda-Tumluk – completed
Haldia section
2) Rs 171.02 and commissioned. TamlukBasulya (52%) work completed.
45
PORT
CONNECTIVITY PROJECTS - IN PROGRESS
Railwa Connected to Name of Project
y
Port
Cost
(Rs. Cr.)
TDC (tentative)
930
Venkatachalam-Krishnapatnam
– completed and commissioned.
Balance is in progress.
527
NA
337.82
NA
SCR
KrishnapatnamObulavarpalle- Krishnapattanam new line
SR
Ennore
The new Chord line. (Puttur – Attipattu)
SWR
Marmogao
Hubli-Ankola
SWR
Marmogao
Doubling of Hospet –Vasco section
2127
2016-17
WR
Kandla
Bhildi-Viramgam gauge conversion
589.43
NA (55%)
46
STRATEGIES ADOPTED TO ACHIEVE
HIGH GROWTH

Enhanced Axle Load operations from 20.32
to 22.9

25 T on mineral routes.

Extend to all routes.

Develop wagons for 25 T.

Targeted investments on low cost but high
return traffic facility works incl terminals.

HEAVIER, FASTER, LONGER—MANTRA FOR
HIGHER GROWTH
MANTRA--FOR HIGHER GROWTH
HEAVIER
PROLIFERATE 22.9 T
AXLE LOAD RUNNING
ON ALL ROUTES
FASTER
NEW WAGONS TO RUN
AT 100KMPH LOADED
AND 100KMPH EMPTY
LONGER
DISTRIBUTED POWER
SYSTEM AND LONG
HAULS ARE SOLUTIONS
TO
GENERATE
ADDITIONAL
THROUGHPUT
AND
OVERCOME CAPACITY
CONSTRAINTS
UPGRADE IRON ORE
ROUTES AND DFC
FEEDER ROUTES TO
25T AXLE LOAD
GET 25T AXLE LOAD
WAGONS ON PRIORITY
48
INITIATIVES IN FREIGHT BUSINESS

FDI IN RAIL INFRASTRUCTURE

PRIVATE INVESTMENT THROUGH PFT, SFTO, AFTO
& LWIS POLICY

PPP SCHEMES FOR NETWORK AUGMENTATIONDEVELOPMENT OF LOGISTICS PARKS

EMPTY FLOW DISCOUNT SCHEME

E-REGISTERATION OF DEMAND
49
Thank You