Transcript Document

Preparing for
”Knowledge Economy Phase”
Private/public cooperation in supporting Information
Society and Knowledge Economy developments
Antanas ZABULIS
President and CEO Omnitel (Lithuania)
Lithuania already made two major steps
towards Euroatlantic Community
(prie technologijų lyderės) Neretai “” Lietuvoje įdiegia technologijas anksčiau nei jos pristatomos kitose pasaulio šalyse arba pristato kartu su
pasaulio operatoriais.
(prie paslaugų lyderės) Bendrovei svarbu, kad naujausios technologijos duotų labai realią naudą Lietuvos gyventojams, todėl daug jėgų ir darbo
spektrą.
- 1990
(prie investicijų)
Šiandien bendrovėIndependence
yra vienas svarbiausių valstybės ūkio ,subjektų.
Viena didžiausių irrecognition
kaip investuotoja, ir kaip
Regaining
international
ofmokesčių
the mokėtoja.
Įtakingiausia formuojant Lietuvos ir Baltijos šalių telekomunikacijų rinkas.
State, establishment of state institutions, creation of national
šiandien lenkia visas Lietuvos, Latvijos ir Estijos mobiliųjų telekomunikacijų bendroves.
legal
system and
Democracy
.
Šiandien “Omnitel”
yra nebepralenkiama
šalies consolidation
mobiliųjų telekomunikacijųof
srities
lyderė.
1990-2002
Creating functioning Market Economy and euroatlantic
(EU
and NATO) integration efforts. Attractive
Investment climate, current economy development as
well as its strong growth potential gained international
recognition by various international business and financial
institutions, including Goldman Sachs recommendations to invest
in Lithuania.
Today is time to prepare
for Tomorrow Challenges
Today is the time not to rest with the achieved, but to
concentrate towards future developments and look
forward towards future challenges.
Convergence phases
Regaining
Independence,
establishing
Democracy
Consolidation of
Market Economy,
candidate into
EU and NATO
1990
EU post accession
period
2002 –200?
Knowledge Economy
phase
2010
What is perspective of Lithuania
Economy during
EU post-accession Period?
Lithuania on the Crossroad - between Nordic,
Central and Eastern Europe
Perfect starting positions
• Domestic development processes favorable for the investments:
– Stable prices and low interest rates create necessary financial
environment for business development;
– Stable monetary politics, proved by the fluent process, when Litas was
unpegged from USD and pegged to EURO – essential condition of foreign
investment growth;
– Totally privatized and run almost by Western banks banking sector;
– Rapidly growing industry and export;
– Increasing investments of industrial and service enterprises to ITT,
advanced business management methods;
– Continuously increasing consumption potential;
– Rapidly developing sectors of telecommunications and information
technologies.
– The best infrastructure of telecommunications and roads in the region.
Development of GDP per capita projected
on the basis of 2001: EU vs. Lithuania
80.0
70.0
50.0
LT GDP/C (assuming to keep current
growth level)
EU GDP/C (assuming to keep current
growth level)
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
20
00
20
03
20
06
20
09
20
12
20
15
20
18
20
21
20
24
20
27
20
30
Thousands LTL
60.0
Year
The presumable framework of the more rapid GDP
growth during post-accession period, providing
current positions and potential of Lithuanian
economy
80.0
70.0
Presumable LT GDP/C growth
50.0
LT GDP/C (assuming to keep current
growth level)
EU GDP/C
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
20
00
20
03
20
06
20
09
20
12
20
15
20
18
20
21
20
24
20
27
20
30
Thousands LTL
60.0
Year
We believe that Lithuania
will also succeed in challenges of post-accession period
WHAT ELSE?
In 8-10 years of extensive development, the
further opportunities of extensive growth
will be exhausted
80.0
70.0
LT GDP/C (extensive growthl)
50.0
LT GDP/C (assuming to keep
current growth level)
EU GDP/C average
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
20
00
20
03
20
06
20
09
20
12
20
15
20
18
20
21
20
24
20
27
20
30
Thousands LTL
60.0
Year
In approx. 2010 – 2015 the opportunities
of extensive development will be
exhausted. Therefore it is critical to base
the development of economy branches on
modern technologies by 2010, which will
allow to switch from extensive economy
development to intensive.
In case Lithuania will be ready for Knowledge
Economy Phase and have innovative economy
branches developed
80
70
Thousands LTL
60
LT GDP/C Inrease because of
internsive growth
LT GDP/C (extensive growthl)
50
40
EU GDP/C average
30
20
10
0
2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 2027 2030
Year
The further GDP growth will be
ensured
90.0
80.0
Total LT GDP/C
60.0
40.0
LT GDP/C Inrease because of
internsive growth
LT GDP/C (extensive growthl)
30.0
EU GDP/C average
50.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
20
00
20
03
20
06
20
09
20
12
20
15
20
18
20
21
20
24
20
27
20
30
Thousands LTL
70.0
Year
NATIONALLY ACCEPTED FUTURE
VISION OF THE COUNTRY
To ensure consequent growth of country’s economy and convergence, the
vision of further development of the economy was formed. It was accepted by all
main political powers, business community and the society. The vision will make
the basis for continuous and forbearing work of all social powers.
Vision of Lithuania beyond EU post-accession period:
well developed Knowledge
Economy and Information Society
Source of KE potential - Strong Study and
Research infrastructure
Šiauliai University
Klaipėda University
KAUNAS
University of Technology
University of Agriculture of Lithuania
Vytautas Magnus University
Kaunas University of Medicine
Academy of Physical Education
Lithuanian Veterinary Academy
Lithuanian Energy Institute
VILNIUS
Vilnius University
Gediminas Technical University
Vilnius University of Pedagogic
Law University of Lithuania
Vilnius Academy of Fine Arts
Academia Musicalis Lituaniae
Lithuanian Military Academy
ITT sector is booming
•
•
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•
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In 2001 Lithuanian IT market increased more that 30%
2002 1Q sales grow 23% compared to 11% in 1Q of 2001
Cellular penetration to overcome the density of fixed lines in 2002
2001 50% increase in PC sales compared to 2000
Internet penetration grew 5.1% during last 6 months
Internet Banking grew 300% during last 6 months
In 2001 Omnitel increased its customer base by 73%, turnover 43% and
became biggest mobile telecommunication company in Baltic States
We cannot just wait for the year 2015
The further growth could only be
ensured by basis of innovative
economy branches during EU postaccession period
Preparation for Knowledge
Economy Phase
90.0
80.0
Total LT GDP/C
60.0
40.0
LT GDP/C Inrease because of
internsive growth
LT GDP/C (extensive growthl)
30.0
EU GDP/C average
50.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
20
00
20
03
20
06
20
09
20
12
20
15
20
18
20
21
20
24
20
27
20
30
Thousands LTL
70.0
Year
It is only coordinated efforts of
Government and Business
will create a synergy effect, which
will help to transform the
Vision into Reality
Private/Public Initiatives
• Knowledge Council lead by President of the
Republic of Lithuania
Council consists of top level governmental and private business executives
dedicated to set-up of strategic priorities developing knowledge economy and
society
• Knowledge Economy Forum
Association, creating and promoting knowledge economy development
strategies, consist of 40 leading innovative private enterprises representing IT,
biotechnologies, leaser technologies, and telecommunications
• Development of Long-Term Strategy for
Lithuanian Economic Development in 2001-2015
Strategy was developed by leading experts from public and private sector and
went via electronic community consultation by internet. Industry development
strategy include target to achieve 25% of GDP generated by ‘knowledge rich’
industries by 2015.
Private/Public Initiatives
• “Window to the Future” initiative
Alliance of biggest private enterprises of Telecommunications, Banking and IT
sector, aiming to stimulate development of Information Society and force Internet
penetration growth in the country
• Development of National Agreement on
Economic Development
Memorandum of understanding was signed by all major political parties and
leading business associations
KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY
and
INFORMATION SOCIETY
development
are top priorities in current private/public
cooperation activities in Lithuania
Knowledge Economy Forum
Association of more than 40 leading IT, Biotechnology,
Leaser technology, and Telecommunication companies.
Promoting knowledge economy development strategies
WINDOW TO THE FUTURE
INFORMATION SOCIETY DEVELOPMENT INITIATIVE
Alliance, joining leading ITT companies and Banks
GOAL
Achieve average Internet
penetration of the European
Union in Lithuania Within
three years
WINDOW
TO THE FUTURE
FIELDS OF ACTIVITY
• ACCESS
Access to the Internet for broadest levels of the society
• TRAINING
Training of the society in using computers
and the Internet
• E-SERVICES
Development of the electronic content and
services relevant to the society
WINDOW
TO THE FUTURE
FIRST 2002 Project
• Public Access Internet Centers
65 centers in 45 different cities and regions,
covering all Lithuania this year
CONCLUSION
Strategic shift in understanding of countries
development future happened in the minds of
political and business establishment.
Lithuania is going via strategic planning phase
towards everyday developments and investments
into next decade future of the Country.
THANK YOU!
[email protected]
[email protected]
For this presentation visit : www.omnitel.lt