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For Healthy Life “ Re-planning our Strategies Towards Most Effective Cardiovascular Prevention” Athanasios J. Manolis Director of Cardiology Dep. Asklepeion Hospital, Athens, Greece Chairman Working Group “Hypertension and Heart” of the ESC Council Member of the European Society of Hypertension What is CVD prevention? “A coordinated set of actions, at public and individual level, aimed at eradicating, eliminated or minimizing the impact of cardiovascular diseases and their related disability. The bases of prevention are rooted in cardiovascular epidemiology and evidence-based medicine”. A Dictionary of Epidemiology. 4th ed New York: Oxford University Press; 2001 Ancient Greek Proverb To prolambanein protimoteron tou qerapeuein esti Prevention is Preferable to Curing ( The earlier the better ) Hippocrates (c. 460-377 B.C) Number of Deaths Worldwide/year 40 36 millions 30 23.6 millions 18 millions 20 10 0 NCD CVD(2012) CVD(2030) The Evolution of Mankind 2.5 million years 50 years What are the Main Targets for CVD Prevention? Smoking No exposure to tabacco in any form Diet Health diet, low in saturated fat with a focus on wholegrain products, vegetables, fruits and fish. Physical Activity 2.5 to 5 hours moderately vigorous physical activity per week or 30-60 minutes most days Body Weight BMI 20-25 kg/m2 . Waist circumference < 94 cm (men) or <80 cm (women) Blood Pressure BP <140/90 mmHg Lipids Very high risk: LDL <1.8 mmol/L (70 mg/dL) or >50% reduction High risk: LDL <2.5 mmol/L (100 mg/dL) Moderate risk: LDL <3 mmol/L (115 mg/dL) Diabetes mellitus HbAIc: <7% (53mmol/mol), BP<140/80 Today’s Portions Atherosclerosis: a Multifactorial Disease Reported Medication Use In Hospital Patients With Established CHD, 1995/96, 1999/2000 And 2006/07, EUROSPIRE Survey Populations 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% EUROSPIRE I 1995/6 40% 30% 20% EUROSPIRE II 1999/00 10% EUROSPIRE III 2006/07 0% Anti-platelet Beta-blockers ACE-inhibitors Lipid lowering therapy & AT2 drugs antagonists Statins Reported Medication At Discharge: Hospital Patients With Established CHD, 2006/07, EUROASPIRE III Survey 2012: Deaths By Cause, in Europe all other causes Coronary heart disease injuries and poisoning Stroke Respiratory disease Other CVD Stomach cancer Other cancer Lung cancer Colo-rectal cancer Hypertension Detection and Follow-up Program B. Stroke Organ Damage Organ Damage No 20 Cardiovascular events (% in 5 years) A. Total Mortality Yes No Yes 18.7 15.3 10 7.4 5.8 5.4 4.8 2.1 1.3 0 S U S U S U S U Zanchetti J Hypertens 2009 The Cardiovascular Continuum : Treatment Benefits and Residual Risk at Increasing CV Risk 30% 40% 20% 20 10% 22.5 30 37.5 15 10 7.5 50% 50 Treatment Benefits -25% CV risk 5% CV risk % in 10 years Death Zanchetti A. Nat Rev Cardiol 2010;7:66-7 Trials in High-Risk Patients 50.0 50 Major cardiovascular events (% in 5 years) 43.5 40 40.0 34. 3 30 26.9 27.0 25.6 25.4 25.4 20 17.8 16.8 19.2 15.8 13.0 10 10.5 11.7 11.2 12.4 11.0 11.5 8.5 12.1 12.0 10.5 10.6 11.0 ACC CAM PEA EU INV JM ALL 68 60 23 13 13 68 65 0 132 60 65 3 100 57 92 102 128 66 28 32 5 100 22 37 57 0 131 65 22 42 100 28 55 0 136 67 36 8.0 14.1 14.0 12.5 Residual Risk 16.1 13.9 13.9 LIFE ACT ONT TR HOP VAL PROG TIA PROF PATS MOS 67 36 16* 8 25 100 0 144 67 36 46 22 91 13 55 79 131 136 66 38 52 11 88 8.5 28 76 101 135 11.4 14.0 12.2 11.7 8.3 0 Trial Age (y) DM (%) MI (%) Stroke (%) Any CVD (%) LVH (%) LLT (%) APT (%) AHT (%) SBP (mmHg) 57 18 38 4 100 86 94 139 124 64 17 55 7 100 70 90 109 129 } 23 52 16.5 25 36 0 135 64 15 52 100 68 86 37 130 64 37 49 21 91 13.6 62 81 118 133 67 32 46 20 60 15 46 73 0 139 64 13 16 100 100 7 60 50 132 65 5 6 100 100 11 49 0 150 66 28 100 100 15.5 47 100 103 136 60 100 100 0 143 68 37 8 100 100 31 78 0 136 Zanchetti J Hypertens 2009 Adults With Diagnosed Diabetes* 7.3% DM Prevalence 4.9% DM Prevalence 2000 1990 11.1 % Obesity No data available Less than 4% 19.8 % Obesity 4%-6% Above 6% *Includes women with a history of gestational diabetes. Mokdad AH, et al. JAMA. 2001;286(10):1195-1200. Achieved BP in Trials Previous CVD Diabetes SBP (mmHg) SBP (mmHg) 160 170 155 150 PL 154 140 130 145 Active 145 144 143 144 143 140 139 134 134 138 140 145 143 150 149 143 140 153 148 CHD 150 150 PL 162 160 Stroke 141 140 Active 136 144 130 141 137 132 133 133 135 136 136 133 130 130 130 130 128 136 132 140 138 124 120 132 129 124 122 128 120 119 110 100 110 HOT UKPDS S. Eur ADV SHEP HOPE PROG ABCD IDNT HT NT IDNT NAV REN ACRD IR AM preDM BP Benefit PATS ACC PROG PROF HOPE CAM-AM EU TR PREV CAM-EN ACT PEA No benefit Zanchetti, Grassi, Mancia J Hypert 2009; 27: 923 Change In Smoking Rates Among 15 Year Olds, By Sex, 1993/94 To 2009/10, Europe Health Behaviors and Attitudes in Young and Middle-Aged Saint-Petersburg Citizens (Russia) : A Pilot Study Parameters Tobacco smokers Young participants (<4 years old) (n=75) Older participants (≥40 years old) (n=28) P-value 26(34.7%) 5(17.9%) NS Alcohol Consumption Each day 1(1.3%) Alcohol Consumption One or several times per week 23 (30.7%) 4 (14.3%) <0.05 Regularly (at least once per week) participate in active leisure or sport 40( 53.3%) 12 (42.9%) NS Systolic BP (mmHG) (M m) 123.9 1.9 147.2 4.6 <0.001 Systolic BP>140mmHg 11 (14.7%) 15 (53.6%) <0.001 Diastolic BP>90mmHg 7( 9.3%) 5 (17.9%) NS 14 (18.7%) 7 (25.0%) NS BMI >25 kg/m2 Praying or Acting? Dear God My prayer for 2012 is for A fat bank account and a thin body Please don’t mix these like you did last year AMEN ! 2007 ESH/ESC Guidelines Lifestyle Changes in MS Modest of caloric intake Saturated fat < 7% Transfatty acids Cholesterol <200 mg Simple carbohydrates 50% Fruit / vegetables Whole grain Physical exercise 30 min daily of moderate exercise At least 7-10% BW in 6-12 months Marked reduction (~60%) of NOD Marked reduction (~40-50%) of MS prevalence Exercise Capacity and Mortality in Black and White Men, in Diabetics, Prehypertensives, and High Risk RR of all cause mortality in individuals with no CVD Relative Risk 1.2 1 0.79 0.79 0.8 0.6 0.51 0.52 0.27 0.4 0.2 0.78 0.5 0.23 0.3 0 ALL AfricanAmerican Caucasian Kokkinos P, Pittaras A, Manolis AJ et al. Circulation 2008 Kokkinos P, Pittaras A, Manolis AJ et al. Am J Hypertens. 2009 Kokkinos P, Pittaras A, Manolis AJ et al. Diabetes Care 2009 Kokkinos P, Pittaras A, Manolis AJ et al. Hypertension2009 Score® – 10-year risk of fatal CVD POWER Study: Evolution of Score® Mean SCORE® risk at V3 3.5 3.5% 8% ≥15% Mean Score® change = -2.5 3.1% 1% 12% 10-14% Relative Risk reduction of - 41% 3% 28% 5-9% 24% 17% 19% 3-4% p<0.001 13% 16% 2% 22% ≤1% 37% 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Baseline visit Final visit Percentage of patients The Polypill Three antihypertensive drugs Beta-blocker ACE-inhibitor Diuretic Statin Low dose aspirin Potential Cumulative Impact of Four Single Secondary Prevention Treatments Relative risk reduction 2-year event rate None --- 8% Aspirin 25% 6% Beta-blockers 25% 4.5% Lipid lowering (by 1.5 mmol) 30% 3.0% ACE inhibitors 25% 2.3% Cumulative relative risk reduction if all four drugs are used is about 75% Polypill and Cardiovascular Cost CV Disease Cost $ 863 billion globally Polypill 17.9 million deaths in 10 yrs Driving Behavioral Change and Improving Health and Productivity October 2012 27 What is KNOW YOUR NUMBERS? Know Your Numbers is a cardiovascular risk assessment tool designed to help drive health improvement and behavioral change. KYN and a healthy lifestyle can: Prevent onset of metabolic conditions Help reverse chronic metabolic conditions and prevent individuals living with these conditions from getting worse. Increase morale How Know Your Numbers Works Assessment Output Biometric Input KYN Lab Values Fasting Glucose Lipid Panel Clinical Measures Height Weight Waist Blood Pressure Pulse Rate Synthesis Analysis Engine Chronic Disease Risk for: Limited Health History Provides Powerful, Actionable Knowledge Heart Disease Stroke Diabetes Heart Failure COPD Lung Cancer Other Cancer Why Know Your Numbers in Russia KYN has consistent results in helping patients identify their cardiovascular risk factor, the main cause of death in Russia today. KYN allows patients to be pro-active and engaged with their healthy lifestyle by providing more opportunities to be educated on proper nutrition and physical fitness. 92% of participants of KYN in other countries have been able to reduce or eliminate cardio-metabolic risk factors, which is much needed in Russia, a country where cardiovascular risk is growing compared to other parts of Europe where these risks have shown a decline. KYN coincides with President Putin’s goal in dedicating more funding to these types of programs. The 2012 national budget has 820 million Rubles allocated for healthy lifestyle. Cost of healthcare is growing worldwide and KYN’s model shows a reduction in costs associated with cardiovascular diseases. NOW IS THE RIGHT TIME FOR RUSSIA! Worldwide locations where Know Your Numbers has been implemented (2005-2012) 30 Organization Participating in Know Your Numbers Around the World Program Sponsor* Locations Market Segment Abbott (2006, 2008, 2009) Illinois, UK, Puerto Rico, Chile Private Payer TriCity Challenge (2005 - 2006) Navistar Chevron ArvinMeritor Wayne County Airport Authority Illinois, Ohio (3 locations) Houston, TX Detroit, MI Detroit, MI Toyal America (2009, 2010, 2011) Illinois Dreyer Medical Clinic (2008) Illinois (3 locations) Health Care System St. Luke’s Hospital System (2007) Kansas Health Care System Family Doctors MA MC-21 (2009-2010) Puerto Rico State of Washington (2008) Washington (5 locations) Public Payer Military (2008) Singapore Public Payer City of Albuquerque (2008) New Mexico Public Payer Santa Cruz County (2010-2011) CA Public Payer SuperValu (2010) Illinois Private Payer Private Payer Health Care - Group Practice Health Care - PBM Retail *Initial enrollment of participants are not reflected in this data, only those that attended both pre and post health screenings required to capture data to measure health improvement results . Data includes 2,611 participants. Know Your Numbers & Behavioral Change Program Components Pre and Post Challenge screenings Individual chronic disease risk assessment (KYN report) Educational sessions on key health topics (nutrition, physical fitness) Team or individual competition Reward and recognition program Summary data of health improvements Risk of Onset, Modifiable Risk and Risk Comparison for a 45 male participant He has an 36% chance of developing type 2 diabetes in the next 5 years Compared to other 45 yr old men, 98% have a lower risk of diabetes than he does Being in the 98% percentile (compared to his peers) puts his diabetes risk in the Relatively High category 92% of his diabetes risk is in his control (modifiable) Risk Factors with the Most Impact on Disease Risk Reduction Smoking is a major risk factor that is contributing a majority of his disease risk. By modifying just this one risk factor, he would decrease his risk of onset for several conditions significantly. Provides the participant with an Action Plan! Automated Treatment/Action Plan Report Physicians receive a treatment action plan report based on widely accepted guidelines for the region which helps save time and encourages consistent therapy. Abbott Puerto Rico-Success Story (August-November 2009) 624 employees began the Challenge 233 employees completed the Challenge Average reduction per person weight loss of 9.5 lbs waist reduction of 2.9 inches 0 20 23% CHD 40 45% New onset 55% Type Diabetes 60 Mets 80 93% 100 weight 91% Waist size 28% Stroke How are some partners using Know Your Numbers in helping to promote a healthy lifestyle in Russia? Pilot in Kazan Epidemiology of CV Disease in HIV Patients Patients living longer with HIV are presenting new concerns related to ART and chronic viral infection The risk for CVD may be greatly elevated in the HIV + population for a number a reason: -Increased prevalence of known CAD risk factors (smoking, HTV, etc) -HIV virus-related pathology? -ART-related lipodystrophies, dyslipidemias, diabetes mellitus, insulin-resistance, etc. Health Promotion February 10, 2011 Company Confidential Social Partner Development Fund (People Living With HIV) Non-profit organization established in 2005 to develop public health care facilities in combating diseases of social significance. The mission of the Fund is to improve people’s quality of life through constructive interaction between all parties involved in the public health system. The strategy of the Fund is based on the fact that a key factor in ensuring the sustainable development of public health care in the fight against socially significant diseases in the current climate is the involvement in these processes of—and the level of interaction between—the government, the private sector and civil society. Social Partnership Development Fund: Pilot Overview Participants – 250 HIV+ patients to be enrolled Locations: Kazan (a diverse population of over 1.1 million people) Patient enrollment began on September 1, 2012 and baseline measurements were taken to evaluate cardiovascular risk, utilizing the unique tool, Know Your Numbers, that provides a predictive look at future risk of developing chronic diseases. 12-week follow up with patient support and education by doctors and experts on nutrition, physical fitness, and benefits of less alcohol and tobacco use. Re-evaluation of the participants risk after the intervention to identify progress. Results of the pilot to be available in Qtr1, 2013. Russian Preliminary Baseline Data (As of 10/5/12) 29 participants enrolled to date (expect 250) 20 female / 9 males 32 mean age overweight or total cholesterol triglycerides hypertensive LDL cholesterol obese pre-hypertensive pre-diabetes 0 2% 10 10% 20 21% 24% 30 31% 40 50 55% 60 31% Where should CVD prevention programmes be offered? Actions to prevent CVD should be incorporated into everyone’s daily lives, starting in early childhood and continuing throughout adulthood and senescence The physician in general practice is the key person to initiate, coordinate and provide long-term follow-up for CVD prevention. Nurse-coordinated prevention programmes should be well integrated into healthcare systems The practising cardiologist should be the advisor in cases where there is uncertainty over the use of preventive medication or when usual preventive options are difficult to apply All patients with CVD must be discharged from hospital with clear guideline-orientated treatment recommendations to minimize adverse events All patients requiring hospitalization or invasive intervention after an acute ischaemic event should participate in a cardiac rehabilitation programme to improve prognosis by modifying lifestyle habits and increasing treatment adherence. Patients with cardiac disease may prticipate in self-help programmes to increase or maintain awareness of the need for risk factor management. Non-governmental organisations are important partners to health care workers in promoting preventive cardiology The Eyropean Heart Health Charter marks the start of a new era of political engagement in preventive cardiology. To Smoke or not to Smoke RussiAction TARGETS 2012-2015 Modifiable Risk Factors Physical activity Tobacco 10% 30% Salt intake Blood Pressure control 30% 25% 25% in mortality Global CV Disease Task Force 2012 TARGETS 2012-2015 Plus : Fat intake Cholesterol Obesity Excessive alcohol intake Drug therapy RussiAction Government Politicians Army Opinion leaders Actors Olympic champions Media Cardiovascular Societies Doctors Nurses Volunteers Foundations Companies Doing Nothing in CV Prevention $500 billion/year in low and middle income countries $47 trillion cost in the next 25 yrs Conclusions We now have the opportunity to make important changes in our countries by adopting evidence-based targets and implementation of the guidelines that will guide health policy, with the collaboration of the government, national societies, parents, teachers, nurses, volunteers, politicians and opinion leaders. Collaboration with other groups, such as stakeholders, foundations, media etc. will be necessary to address this emerging 21st global health priority and begin to reverse the devastating toll of CV disease and NCDs in our communities. Zakynthos Island, Greece Santorini Greece