Transcript CLIMATE CHANGE POLICIES - Society of Motor Manufacturers

SMMT New Car CO2 Report Launch Event
SMMT, London
18 April 2012
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
SMMT, the ‘S’ symbol and the ‘Driving the motor
industry’ brandline are trademarks of SMMT Ltd
Event outline
• Welcome and introductions by Paul Everitt, Chief Executive, SMMT
and Dan Milmo, Industrial Editor, The Guardian.
• Overview of SMMT’s New Car CO2 Report 2012 by Matt Croucher,
Economics Manager, SMMT.
• Comments from Richard Bruce, Director, UK government’s Office for
Low Emission Vehicles and Doug Parr, Chief Scientist, Greenpeace
UK.
• Open Q&A session chaired by Dan Milmo, Industrial Editor, The
Guardian.
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 2
Overview of SMMT’s New Car CO2 Report 2012
Matthew Croucher – [email protected]
18 April 2012
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
SMMT, the ‘S’ symbol and the ‘Driving the motor
industry’ brandline are trademarks of SMMT Ltd
Making significant progress, but challenges ahead
• UK average new car CO2 – 138.1g/km in 2011.
• Continuous improvement, pace picked up in last 4 years.
Average new car CO2 – 1997-2011 (SMMT)
130
138.1
140
144.2
149.5
150
158.0
164.9
04
Year
167.2
171.4
03
160
169.4
172.1
174.2
181.0
185.0
188.4
170
177.6
CO2 g/km
180
189.8
190
120
97
98
99
00
01
02
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
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06
07
08
09
10
11
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Influences on CO2 emissions
Technological measures to deliver lower CO2–emitting vehicles
•
•
•
•
Improvements in internal combustion engine (ICE).
Development of alternatively fuelled vehicles (AFV).
Other influences – aerodynamics, light weighting, efficient tyres etc.
Non-test cycle measures, eg gear shift indicators and satellite navigation
devices.
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
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2011: A break-through year – breaking 140g/km
•
•
•
•
Diesel cars outsell petrol (diesels 15-20% lower CO2 emitting).
Alternatively fuelled cars break 25,000 registrations.
‘Mainstream’ electric vehicles on sale.
All segments post reductions in average CO2 emissions.
Diesel share by segment (SMMT)
2000
2010
Registrations of AFVs (SMMT)
2011
100%
90%
Petrol/alcohol
Petrol/electric
Petrol/gas
Diesel/electric
New car registrations
30,000
80%
70%
Diesel share
Electric
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
10%
5,000
0%
0
00
Segment
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
Year
PAGE 6
Distribution of the new car market by CO2
• Shift into lower CO2 emitting vehicles.
• 46.8% of the market below 130g/km and 3.4% below 100g/km,
compared with 0.9% and 0% in 2000.
New car market by CO2 bands (SMMT)
12%
2000
2010
2011
10%
Market share
8%
6%
4%
2%
300
290
280
270
260
250
240
230
220
210
200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
sub 100
0%
g/km
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
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Distribution of the new car market by VED bands
• ‘E’ band most populated in 2011, was ‘G’ band in 2000.
• 3.4% of the market in ‘A’ band in 2011, was 0.0% in 2000.
• Just 0.6% of market in top band in 2011, was 4.8% in 2000.
New car market by VED bands (SMMT)
2011
A (Upto 100)
B (101-110)
C (111-120)
D (121-130)
2010
E (131-140)
F (141-150)
G (151-165)
2007
H (166-175)
I (176-185)
J (186-200)
2000
K (201-225)
L (226-255)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Market share
70%
80%
90%
100%
M (Over 255)
Note all data split by current 13 band VED system
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 8
Light commercial vehicle (LCV) performance
• SMMT developing LCV CO2 database.
• UK average new LCV CO2 – estimated to be 199.2g/km in 2011.
• LCV face EU CO2 targets – 175g/km in 2014-17, 147g/km by 2020.
Average UK new car and LCV market distribution by CO2 – 2011 (SMMT)
16%
LCVs
Cars
14%
12%
Market share
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
300
290
280
270
260
250
240
230
220
210
200
190
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
sub 100
0%
g/km
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
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Making real world improvements
• Total CO2 from all cars in use down.
– 2010 down 10.2% on 2000 and 3.3% on 2009.
• Faster fleet replacement aids CO2 reductions from all cars in use.
CO2 emissions from all cars in use (DECC)
CO2
Parc
Distance travelled
115
Index, 2000 = 100
110
105
100
95
90
85
00
01
02
03
04
05
Year
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
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07
08
09
10
PAGE 10
Challenges ahead
• EU new car CO2 targets – 130g/km in 2012-15, 95g/km by 2020.
• Market acceptance of ultra-low carbon vehicles, especially AFVs.
• Integrated approach needed to support shift to lower carbon fleet.
Average UK new car and car in use CO2 , and pan EU targets to 2020 (SMMT/EU)
200
189.8
CO2g/km
175
181.0
169.3
150
138.1
125
130
100
95
75
Average car in use 1997 UK new car 2000 UK new car 2011 UK new car 2012-15 EU new 2020 EU new car
2010
car target
target
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
PAGE 11
SMMT New Car CO2 Report 2012 Launch Event
Full report available at: www.smmt.co.uk/CO2report
18 April 2012
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
SMMT, the ‘S’ symbol and the ‘Driving the motor
industry’ brandline are trademarks of SMMT Ltd
SMMT New Car CO2 Report 2012 Launch Event
Richard Bruce, Office for Low Emission Vehicles (OLEV)
18 April 2012
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
SMMT, the ‘S’ symbol and the ‘Driving the motor
industry’ brandline are trademarks of SMMT Ltd
SMMT New Car CO2 Report 2012 Launch Event
Doug Parr, Greenpeace
18 April 2012
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
SMMT, the ‘S’ symbol and the ‘Driving the motor
industry’ brandline are trademarks of SMMT Ltd
Energy Intensity Indicators by sector
From Energy Efficiency Deployment Office Evidence Brief, Fig 4.2
ICCT on
passenger
vehicle
regulation,
Jan 2011
SMMT New Car CO2 Report 2012 Launch Event
Full report available at: www.smmt.co.uk/CO2report
18 April 2012
SOCIETY OF MOTOR MANUFACTURERS AND TRADERS LIMITED
SMMT, the ‘S’ symbol and the ‘Driving the motor
industry’ brandline are trademarks of SMMT Ltd