IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Download Report

Transcript IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

Austria and IIASA
Highlights
(2008-2014)
December 2014
CONTENTS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Summary
National Member Organization
Leading Austrian Personalities Associated with IIASA
IIASA’s Headquarters
Research Partners
High-profile events and activities
Research Collaborations: Selected Highlights
Capacity Building
Further Information
SUMMARY (2008-2014)
National Member
Organization
Austrian Academy of Sciences
Membership start date
1973
Research partners
54 organizations in Austria
Areas of research
collaborations
Advancing demographic methods and their application
Research collaborations to tackle climate change
Transitions toward a sustainable energy future
Increasing climate and disaster resilience
Land use in Austria and Europe
Developing expertise in big data
Basic research: Advancing the methods of systems analysis
Capacity building
25 doctoral students from Austria have participated in IIASA’s
Young Scientists Summer Program
Publication output
1052 publications have resulted from IIASA-Austrian
collaborations
Other interactions
Over 850 researchers, policymakers and diplomats who live in
Austria have participated in IIASA events.
On average 96 Austrians are employed by IIASA every year.
NATIONAL MEMBER ORGANIZATION
• Austrian Academy of Sciences
– Professor Dr Gerhard Glatzel, Austrian Academy of Sciences is IIASA
Council Member for Austria and Chair of Austrian IIASA Committee
– Austrian IIASA Committee provides oversight of IIASA and
strengthens its connections with Austrian science and policy
communities:
• 30 members representing the Academy, ministries, universities
and other research organizations in Austria
– Mag Marie-Therese Pitner, NMO Secretary for Austria
SOME LEADING PERSONALITIES IN AUSTRIA AND
ASSOCIATED WITH IIASA
Heinz Fischer
Clemens Hellsberg
Franz Fischler
Martin Gerzabeck
Thomas Henzinger
Karlheinz Tӧchterle
HOME OF IIASA SINCE 1972
RESEARCH PARTNERS
• 54 institutions in Austria, including:
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Austrian Institute of Economic Research (WIFO)
Central Institute for Meteorology and Geo-dynamics (ZAMG)
Climate and Energy Fund
Environment Agency Austria
Federal Ministry for Europe, Integration and Foreign Affairs (BMEIA)
Federal Ministry of Science, Research and Economy (BMWFW)
Joanneum Research
Universities of Graz, of Innsbruck, of Klagenfurt and of Vienna
University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna (BOKU)
Vienna Institute of Demography (VID)
Vienna University of Economics and Business (WU)
Vienna University of Technology (TU Wien)
HIGH-PROFILE EVENTS
AND ACTIVITIES
• Alpbach Laxenburg Reflection Group
• IIASA Anniversary Conference 2012
• Vienna Energy Forum and Vienna Energy Club
ALPBACH LAXENBURG GROUP
MEMBERS INCLUDE
Petr Aven
Chen Jining
Ian Chubb
Rajendra Pachauri
Ralph Cicerone
Mary Robinson
Tarja Halonen
Jeffrey Sachs
THREE-DAY HIGH-LEVEL RETREAT DURING THE POLITICAL
SYMPOSIUM OF THE 2014 EUROPEAN FORUM ALPBACH
• Alpbach Laxenburg Group - A new type of global think tank to
initiate new dialogue and partnership
10
WORLDS WITHIN REACH:
FROM SCIENCE TO POLICY
IIASA 40TH ANNIVERSARY CONFERENCE
RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS
•
•
•
•
•
Advancing demographic methods and their application
Projecting changing population in Austria
Austrian Climate Change Assessment Report 2014
Global Energy Assessment and Austria
Assessing hydropower in ecosystem services conservation
scenarios in the Alps
• Downgrading of land availability for biofuels
• Mixed Incentives
ADVANCING DEMOGRAPHIC METHODS AND
THEIR APPLICATION
PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN AUSTRIA
Age (in Years)
Austria - Base Year 2010
To update with Finland
8.4 Million TO UPDATE
Males
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
Females
0.0
Population in Millions
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN AUSTRIA
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Austria - Projections 2030 - SSP1
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
9.1 Million TO UPDATE
Males
0.4
0.3
Females
0.2
0.1
0.0
Population in Millions
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN AUSTRIA
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Austria - Projections 2060 - SSP1
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
9.7 Million TO UPDATE
Females
Males
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Population in Millions
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN AUSTRIA
Age (in Years)
Austria - Base Year 2010
To update with Finland
8.4 Million TO UPDATE
Males
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
Females
0.0
Population in Millions
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN AUSTRIA
STALLED DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Austria - Projections 2030 - SSP3
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
8.4 Million TO UPDATE
Males
0.4
0.3
Females
0.2
0.1
0.0
Population in Millions
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
PROJECTING CHANGING POPULATION IN AUSTRIA
STALLED DEVELOPMENT
Age (in Years)
Austria - Projections 2060 - SSP3
100+
95-99
90-94
85-89
80-84
75-79
70-74
65-69
60-64
55-59
50-54
45-49
40-44
35-39
30-34
25-29
20-24
15-19
10-14
5-9
0-4
7.1 Million TO UPDATE
Males
0.3
Females
0.2
0.1
0.0
Population in Millions
0.1
0.2
0.3
AUSTRIAN CLIMATE CHANGE
ASSESSMENT REPORT 2014
GLOBAL ENERGY ASSESSMENT AND AUSTRIA
• 2006-12: GEA defines a new global
energy policy agenda—one that
transforms the way society thinks about,
uses, and delivers energy.
• Significant Austrian contribution:
– Sponsored by Austrian Development
Agency
– Three Austrians in leadership roles in GEA
and eleven authors were Austrian scientists
• One notable outcome: GEA guides
targets of UN Secretary-General’s
Sustainable Energy For All Initiative
Source: GEA, 2012: Global Energy Assessment - Toward a Sustainable Future, Cambridge University Press and IIASA
22
ASSESSING HYDROPOWER IN ECOSYSTEM
SERVICES CONSERVATION SCENARIOS IN THE ALPS
Business as Usual
High Carbon tax
DOWNGRADING OF LAND AVAILABILITY FOR BIOFUELS
• Used crowdsourced data (on land cover and human impact) from GeoWiki to validate maps of land availability for biofuels published in Cai et al.
(2011)
• Resulted in considerable
downgrading of the original
estimates, e.g. 1107MHa to
264MHa
(million ha)
Adjusted
for land
cover
(million ha)
Adjusted
for field
size
(millon
ha)
Adjusted
for human
impact
(million ha)
S1
320
98
42
34
S2
702
467
201
84
S3
1411
998
N/A
409
S4
1107
786
N/A
264
Scenario
Original
figures
Published in Fritz, S., et al. 2013.
Downgrading recent estimates of
land available for biofuel
production. Environmental Science
& Technology, 47(3), 1688-1694.
MIXED INCENTIVES
• Challenges Game-theoretical
analyses of incentives have focused
on peer-to-peer interactions; positive
and negative incentives are mostly
studied in separation
• Innovation We show how
institutional positive and negative
incentives are best combined
• Results “First carrot, then stick”
incentive policy is not only most
effective, but also most efficient (cost
saving)
12:20140935 (2014)
CAPACITY BUILDING
• 25 doctoral students from Austria have won places on
IIASA’s Young Scientists Summer Program since 2008.
FURTHER INFORMATION
IIASA
www.iiasa.ac.at
Austrian IIASA Committee
http://www.oeaw.ac.at/iiasa-kom/