Transcript Project Specific modelling

CBA Results Files
Analysing the results
Getting started
We highly encourage you to
> Read the CBA Methodology:
 Annex F on Methodology of TYNDP 2015
http://www.entsog.eu/public/uploads/files/publications/TYNDP/2015/TYNDP022150316_Annex_F_lowres.pdf
 And ESW-CBA Methodology
http://www.entsog.eu/public/uploads/files/publications/CBA/2015/INV0175150213_Adapted_ESW-CBA_Methodology.pdf
> Read the TYNDP 2015
http://www.entsog.eu/publications/tyndp#ENTSOG-TEN-YEAR-NETWORKDEVELOPMENT-PLAN-2015
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Usually expected impact
Capacity-based results
Result File
IMPORT ROUTE DIV
Indicator range in Initial/Final
Situation
Group usually expected
impact
Possible exceptions *
[0 – 10 000]
Decrease
Group increasing a country’s
largest infrastructure capacity
The lower, the better the
diversification is
N-1_ESW-CBA
[0% - no limit]
(*) non exhaustive
Increase
The higher, the better the resilience is.
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Usually expected impact
Modelling results
Result File
DISRUPTED RATE
Indicator range in
Initial/Final Situation
Group usually expected
impact
[0% - 100%]
Decrease (eg -12%)
Possible exceptions *
(*) non exhaustive
The lower, the better
REMAINING
FLEXIBILITY
[0% - 100%]
INDICATOR –
USSD/CSSD
[0% - 100%]
INDICATOR – SSPDe
[0% - 100%]
Increase (eg +23%)
Group solving disruption
Decrease (eg -8%)
Group solving disruption
Decrease (eg -10%)
- increase in a supply price
curve
- Group solving disruption
Increase (eg +7%)
Group solving disruption
The higher, the better the resilience
is
The lower, the lower the
dependence is
The lower, the lower the price
exposure is
INDICATOR – SSPDi
[0% - 100%]
The higher, the better
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Usually expected impact
Modelling results
Result File
MONETIZATION
(Total EU Bill)
Indicator range in
Initial/Final Situation
Group usually expected
impact
Possible exceptions *
The lower, the better
Decrease
- Group allowing gazeification of
new countries
- LNG terminals under LNG
expensive, due to minimum
send-out set on LNG terminals
at 10% of send-out capacity
- LNG terminals causing
increased 2W disruption in
some price configurations
(*) non exhaustive
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Thank You for Your Attention
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