Transcript Dr. Stephen Hynes, SEMRU

The Socio Economic Development of
the Marine Sector in the Atlantic Area
Stephen Hynes
Overview
• SEMRU and its role in Marine Socioeconomic analysis
• Defining Ocean and Coastal Economies
in the Atlantic Area
• Regional Perspective importance within
context of MSFD
• MARNET proposal
SEMRU
Building Socioeconomic Marine Research Capacity
Being a focus for socio-economic marine research in Ireland;
establishing an international research reputation; run a marine socioeconomic PhD programme; developing national and international
research networks will marine stakeholders
Constructing Databases, Monitoring the Evolution of the
Marine Sector and Underpinning Policy
Modelling and analysis of the marine sector and monitoring it’s
evolution and competitiveness; supporting policy formulation for
value added enhancement of the marine sector.
Developing a Credible Research Programme
Expanding and deepening the existing research programme through
winning additional funding
SEMRU Research Programme
Macroeconomy
Policy
Coastal
Economy
Society
Ocean
Economy
Environment
Marine
Industries
Consumer
• Analyse using social
science
investigation tools
issues relating to :
– Marine Economics
– Environmental
Econ.
– Coastal Sociology
– Coastal Geography
– Spatial Analysis
Some current research projects
• The impact of regulation on the development of the marine industry in
Ireland
• The role of the consumer in driving sustainable consumption of seafood
• Impact of the marine sector on the local economy and
employmentEconomic evaluation of the marine based energy sources
• Measuring the non-market benefits of the marine ecosystem services
and resources in Ireland
• Analysing the impact of human economic activity on Irish water quality
• Irish fisheries knowledge project
• Benefit Transfer for Irish Water
• Socio economic effects of management measures of the future CFP
Atlantic Area’s Ocean and Coastal
Economies
• The Ocean Economy
– the economic activity, which indirectly or directly uses the ocean as
an input.
• The Coastal Economy
– all economic activity which takes place in a specified coastal region;
the sum of employment, wages, and output in the region.
• Ocean economy sub section of the coastal economy.
The Coastal and Ocean economies are Not the Same
Economic Activity
Along the Coast
Coastal
Economy
Economic Activity Using
the Marine as an Input
Ocean
Economy
Coastal regions of EU Sea basins
Official statistics availability at NUTS 3 Level
Data Type
Socio-Economic Data in
coastal regions
Population
Gender Breakdown
Ages and Marital Status
Education Qualifications
Housing Statistics
Labour market in coastal
regions
Employment and
Unemployment Rates
Economic Data on Coastal
Regions
Gross Domestic Product
Gross Value Added by
Sector
Primary Sector Data
Sea Fish Landings by Port
Secondary Sector Data
Maritime Transport of
Goods and Passengers
Tertiary sector Data
Hotels located in Coastal
areas
Available from Eurostat statistics
Coastal Economy Statistics
Coastal regions GDP per capita by
Sea basins, 2007
Coastal regions GDP per capita, 2006
Other Interesting Statistics
Landings of Marine animals, tonnes, 2007
Density of tourism capacity in coastal regions,
by NUTS 3 regions, 2007
Camping and hotel bed places per km2, 2007
Coastal Economy Statistic for Ireland
Data Type
Population/Ages/Marital Status/Gender
Education / Housing Statistics
Affluence Index Score
Economic Status/ Occupations
(Un)employment Rates/Industries
GDP/GVA by sector
HH Income/Wages and Saleries
Sea Fish Landings by Port
Farm Holdings/Livestock Density
Farm size/Farm Type/Crops
Family Farm Income/Gross Margin
Maritime Transport of Goods and
Passengers
Hotels, Guest Houses and B&B
(Statistics on Rooms and Bed numbers)
Accommodation Figures
Shoreline
ED
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Coastal
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EU Coast
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Eurostat
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Failte Ireland
An Post Geo Directory
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Data Source
Census of Population
Census of Population
Haase & Pratschke (2008)
Census of Population
Census of Population
CSO Data
CSO Data
CSO Data
Census of Agriculture
Census of Agriculture
NFS/SMILE Model
Industries in the Atlantic Ocean Economy
Marine Services Sector
Ship Owners
Port & Maritime
Logistics*
Marine Tourism
International Cruise
High Tech Services
Marine Commerce
Other Services
Marine Resources
Sector
Fisheries*
Aquaculture*
Marine Manufacturing
Seafood Processing*
Seaweed &
Biotechnology
Oil & Gas*
Renewable Energy
Marine Engineering*
Other Marine
Manufacturing
Boat Building*
Marine Construction*
• Ocean Economy quantified in France, Ireland and UK. Indices of marine subsectoral activity available in Portugal, information not available in Spain.
•No consistency across available data in Atlantic area
The Irish Ocean and Coastal Economy
The Irish Ocean and
Coastal Economy
•Turnover of €3.4 billion
•€1.44 billion was
attributable to GVA
•Employed 17,000 FTE.
Direct GVA
(€’000)
Marine Services Sub
Total
Marine Resources Sub
Total
•Shoreline ED Economy
€44.3billion
Marine Services Sub
Total
Marine Resources Sub
Total
Marine Manufacturing
Marine Manufacturing
•Provided 1% of Ireland’s
total GDP in 2007
•Coastal County Economy
€149 billion
Direct
Employment
9%
8%
26%
38%
66%
53%
Marine Strategy Framework Directive
• Article 24 of Directive 2008/56/EC of the European
Parliament and Council:
“As a first step in the preparation of programmes of measures,
Member States across a marine region or subregion should
undertake an analysis of the features or characteristics of, and
pressures and impacts on, their marine waters, identifying the
predominant pressures and impacts on those waters, and an
economic and social analysis of their use and of the cost of
degradation of the marine environment”.
The initial ESA under the MSFD in the
Atlantic Area
• An economic analysis
– Atlantic Area’s Ocean Economy
• A social analysis
– Defining Statistical Coastal Regions for Atlantic Area
and describing the socio-economic characteristics
there in.
• The cost of degradation of the marine environment
– Compiling non-market marine ecosystem service data
and scenario building for Atlantic Area
MARNET Project Proposal
• Marine Atlantic Regions Network
– Creation of a European Atlantic Periphery Marine Socio-Economic
Network
– Put in place a formal network charter.
• Develop a methodology for the collection of marine socioeconomic indicators across the European Atlantic Periphery at
an appropriate spatial scale and with results that are
comparable across partner countries
• Marine Socio-Economic Indicator Atlas for the European
Atlantic Arc
• 10 Partners from 5 Atlantic Arc countries
Key Factors driving the Atlantic Marine
Economy
• Macro-Economic Issues
– Transport dependent on industrial production, exports on
world demand
– Industry sensitive to cyclical trends
– Foreign Exchange Fluctuations
• Oil Prices
– Dominates shipping, offshore and related marine activities
• Environmental and other Regulations
– CFP, Habitats Directive, MSFD, etc
• Climate change
Climate Change Adaption and Inaction Cost
Estimates versus Actual in the Atlantic Area
Scientific cost of Inaction
Scientific cost of
per annum (€millions),
Adaption per annum
1995 -2020
(€millions), 1995 -2020
Actual average cost
of Adaption per
annum (€millions),
1998-2015
Country
Low SLR
(22.6cm)
High SLR
(50.8cm)
Low SLR
(22.6cm)
High SLR
(50.8cm)
UK
Spain
France
595
36
411
760
52
439
99
21
58
174
41
110
116
52
11
Portugal
Ireland
9
26
9
72
11
27
22
46
7
5
Source: PESETA (2009)