Transcript CAP Overview- final 12-13

Multinational Planning Augmentation Team
(MPAT)
Crisis Action Planning (CAP) and
The Commander’s Estimate
PROPERTIES OF CAP
Series of Logical Steps
Recognizes a Problem
Develops Potential Solutions
Allows Preparation / Execution
of Plans and Orders
REFERENCES
Joint Pub 3-0, Doctrine for Joint Operations
Joint Pup 5-00.2, Joint Task Force Planning
Guidance & Procedures
Crisis Action Planning Process
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
COA
Development
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
VI
Execution
Warning Order
Planning
Commander’s
Estimate
Execution
MNF OPORD
Form CTF
HQ
CAP
Deployment
Employment
Transition
CAP
COA
Redeployment
crisis action planning
course of action
CRISIS ACTION PLANNING
Phase I: Situation Development
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
NATIONAL
COMMAND
AUTHORITIES
COMMANDER’S
ASSESSMENT
III
COA
Development
SUPPORTED
STRATEGIC
COMMANDER
(CINC)
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
VI
Execution
Nature of Crisis
Forces Available
Deployment Timeline
Major Constraints
Actions being Taken
Preliminary COAs
CRISIS
CRISIS ACTION PLANNING
Phase II: Crisis Assessment
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
COA
Development
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
VI
Execution
NATIONAL
COMMAND
AUTHORITIES
Considers:
National Interests
National Objectives
Crisis Determination
WARNING ORDER
SUPPORTED
STRATEGIC
COMMANDER
(CINC)
CRISIS ACTION PLANNING
Phase III: COA Development
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
COA
Development
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
VI
Execution
NATIONAL
COMMAND
AUTHORITIES
WARNING ORDER
COMMANDER’S
ESTIMATE
SUP STRAT
CMDR
(CINC)
ACTIVATION / WARNING
ORDER
COMMANDER’S
ESTIMATE
CTF
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
6 Paragraphs
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
III
COA
Development
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
IV
COA
Selection
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
V
Execution
Planning
Paragraph V
Recommended
COA
VI
Execution
Paragraph VI
Remarks
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
Paragraph I – Mission
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
COA
Development
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
VI
Execution
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
Paragraph V
Recommended
COA
Paragraph VI
Remarks
ACTIONS
ANALYSE THE MISSION
RESTATE THE MISSION
LIST ESSENTIAL TASKS
GOAL
PROVIDE FOCUS FOR THE
COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
Paragraph II – Situation and COAs
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
III
COA
Development
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
IV
COA
Selection
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
V
Execution
Planning
Paragraph V
VI
Execution
Recommended
COA
Paragraph VI
Remarks
Considerations Affecting
Possible COA’s
Characteristics of the Operations Area
Factors that Effect the Crisis
ASSUMPTIONS
Threat and Crisis Factors
Most Probable
Most Dangerous
Courses of Action
WHAT Type of Action
WHEN the Action Begins
WHERE the Action Takes Place
WHY (Commander’s Intent)
HOW (Method of Force Employment)
Limit Information to
Significant Factors
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
Paragraph III – COA Analysis
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
III
COA
Development
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
IV
COA
Selection
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
V
Execution
Planning
Paragraph V
VI
Execution
Recommended
COA
Paragraph VI
Remarks
Detailed Description of WarGaming of Courses of Action
Address Friendly Actions and
Consequences to Those
Actions for each COA
Illustrates the Task Force
Commander’s Consideration of
Most Probable and Most
Dangerous Factors for Each
COA
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
Paragraph IV – COA Comparison
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
III
COA
Development
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
IV
COA
Selection
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
V
Execution
Planning
Paragraph V
VI
Execution
Recommended
COA
Paragraph VI
Remarks
List Strengths and Weaknesses
of Each COA
Highlight Differences in
Strengths for each COA
Pay Particular Attention to
Commander’s Intent and
Guidance
Comparison Criteria
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
Paragraph V – Recommended COA
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
III
COA
Development
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
IV
COA
Selection
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
V
Execution
Planning
Paragraph V
VI
Execution
Recommended
COA
Paragraph VI
Remarks
Coalition / Combined Task
Force (CTF) Commander’s
Recommendation for Course of
Action
May Provide Rationale Used by
Commander in the Decision
Process
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
Paragraph VI – Remarks
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
III
COA
Development
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
IV
COA
Selection
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
V
Execution
Planning
Paragraph V
VI
Execution
Recommended
COA
Paragraph VI
Remarks
Requests for Additional Forces
Recommended Changes to the
Rules of Engagement
Caveats to Courses of Action if
there are Changes to the
Situation
Third Party Intervention
Impact of Possible Events
Impending Refugee Problem
THE COMMANDER’S ESTIMATE
Key Points and Summary
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
Paragraph I
MISSION
Paragraph II
Situation and
COAs
III
COA
Development
Paragraph III
COA Analysis
(War-gaming)
IV
COA
Selection
Paragraph IV
COA
Comparison
V
Execution
Planning
Paragraph V
VI
Execution
Recommended
COA
Paragraph VI
Remarks
KEY POINTS
Use Mission Statement to Clarify and
Narrow Mission to Operational Level
Concentrate on Recent Events (Avoid
Historical Discussions)
Make All Courses of Action
Operationally Different From Each
Other
SUMMARY
Submitted by the Task Force
Commander in Response to the
Warning Order
Reflects Task Force Commander’s
Analysis of Possible Courses of Action
Recommends a Best Course of
Action in Response to a Crisis
Situation
CRISIS ACTION PLANNING
Phase IV: COA Selection
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
COA
Development
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
COAs Considered:
Military
Diplomatic
Economic
Informational
NCA SELECTS COA
NATIONAL
COMMAND
AUTHORITIES
PLANNING ORDER
SUP STRAT
CMDR
(CINC)
PLANNING ORDER
Task Force Actions:
Prepare Ops Plans
Force Protection
Refine Estimates
Resolve Shortfalls
VI
Execution
CTF
CRISIS ACTION PLANNING
Phase V: Execution Planning
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
COA
Development
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
NATIONAL
COMMAND
AUTHORITIES
Task Force Focus:
Forces Available
Force Sustainment
Strategic Mobility
Timeline
Shortfalls
Refine Ops Plan
Until EXORD
ALERT ORDER
SUP STRAT
CMDR
(CINC)
ALERT ORDER
VI
Execution
CTF
CRISIS ACTION PLANNING
Phase VI: Execution
I
Situation
Development
II
Crisis
Assessment
III
COA
Development
IV
COA
Selection
V
Execution
Planning
NATIONAL
COMMAND
AUTHORITIES
EXECUTION ORDER
Reporting
CRISIS
SUP STRAT
CMDR
(CINC)
EXECUTION ORDER
Reporting
VI
Execution
CTF
Execute
Ops Plans
Key Points of Crisis Action
Planning (CAP)
THE CRISIS:
 Develops Rapidly
 Threat to National / Regional Interest
 May Require a Military Response
CAP FEATURES:
 Facilitates Rapid Exchange of Information
 Requires Collaborative AND Concurrent Planning
WHY CAP:
 Time Constraints Prevent Deliberate Planning
 No Existing Operation Plan Applies
Develop, Analyze, Select and Implement
a Military Course of Action
Crisis Action Planning Summary
Phase I
Phase IV
Phase V
Phase VI
Situation
Crisis
COA
COA
Developmen Assessment Development
Selection
t Commander’s
Commander’s
Execution
Planning
Execution
CRISIS
Assessment

Monitor
Situation

Gather
Information

Phase II
Take
Appropriate
Actions

Phase III
Estimate Planning
Order
Alert
Order
Warning
Order
Increased
Information
Gathering

COAs
developed

major
forces
 support



Review of
Options
NCA Crisis
Decision

COAs
evaluated

Strategic
Command
refines and
presents
COAs
Execution
Order

Deployment
plan
completed

Operations
Order
developed
NCA COA
decision

Force
preparation

Execute
OPORDs

Reporting

Transition /
Redeploy

Termination
/ Resolution
Questions?