Transcript 4. Hamid Bahadori - AAA - South Bay Cities Council of

Streets and Highways:
Not Making the Grade
Hamid Bahadori
Automobile Club of Southern
California (AAA)
1
Auto Club’s Role
… because we’ve been an advocate for mobility
for over 100 years
… because our 52 million members nationally,
including 6 million in southern California, need
and want options for travel
… because California
needs mobility to
prosper and grow
2
Good and Adequate Roads =
Mobility and Safety =
Economy =
Quality of Life.
• Automobiles: 92% to 95%
of all home-to-work trips,
98% of all trips
• Highways: Almost all trips,
including transit trips
3
Road Capacity Has Not Kept Up
4
Decades of Under-Investment
California Data
Population, Travel and Per Capita Highway Capital Expenditures in California 1
Adjusted for Inflation (1955 - 2000)
40,000
Population
$250
35,000
30,000
$200
25,000
Vehicle Miles
Traveled
$150
20,000
Highway Expenditures
Per Capita
15,000
$100
10,000
$50
5,000
$0
0
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
Year
1) Includes expenditures for local assistance and state highway capital outlay.
5
Population (1,000s)
VMT (Tens of Millions)
Capital Expenditures Per Capita (2000 Dollars)
$300
Similar Trend Nationally
Vehicle Miles Traveled Nationwide
Verses Lane Miles
8,500
3,000
8,250
Lane Miles (Thousands)
2,500
8,000
Vehicle Miles Traveled (Billions)
2,000
7,750
1,500
7,500
1980
1985
1990
Source: Federal Highway Administ rat ion Highway St at ist ic Series
1995
2000
Lane Miles (x000)
Vehicle Miles Traveled (x000,000)
3,500
2005
6
Federal Highway Spending per 1,000 Vehicle Miles Traveled and Loss of
Purchasing Power Due to Inflation (1960 - 2005)
5
$4.50
4.5
4
3.5
3
2.5
90¢
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
7
Actual Average VMT per Gallon of Fuel Consumed
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
0.0
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
Source: Federal Highway Administration's Highway Statistic Series
8
The Results...
9
Breakdown of Maintained Centerline Miles by Agency in
California
California’s 58 counties and 480 cities
maintain 141,235 centerline miles of
highways (82% of the state’s total)
10
California’s Pavement Condition Index
(PCI)
2008
2010
2020
68
66 (At Risk)
54 (if funding remains
the same)
The unfunded backlog will
double from $39.1 billion to $63.6 billion
71-80 (good)
50-70 (at risk)
25-49 (poor)
11
12
What Is Needed
• $70.5 billion over the next 10 years to
bring the PCI to BMP or most cost effective
condition
• $2.3 billion will be needed annually to
maintain the BMP conditions once it is
achieved
• $3.1 billion is needed to maintain the
existing conditions …….. More than
TWICE the current level of funding at
$1.42 billion/year
13
What shall (or can) be done ?
• To even simply maintain the existing
condition for our investment, valued at $271
billion, we NEED MORE MONEY
1) Efforts by the California Transportation Commission
(CTC)
2) The newly, soon to be formed, Stakeholders Working
Group
3) The federal transportation reauthorization bill
4) Regional transportation sales taxes, etc
• The squeaky wheel gets the
grease
14
Adapting to New Economic Realities
• Changing the red tape to red carpet
• More targeted and focused application
for competitive funds
• Forming inter-jurisdictional collaborative
• Using economy-of-scale in delivering
projects
• Innovate funding sources (PPP, tolling,
etc)
• Technological breakthroughs
15
Adapting to New Realities
Working Smarter – Delivering More with Less
16
Hamid Bahadori
Automobile Club of Southern California
3333 Fairview Rd. A-131
Costa Mesa, Ca 92626
(714) 885-2326
[email protected]
17