Transcript Multi-Variate Statistical Process Control Applied to BP CO Plant
On-line Performance Monitoring of a Chemical Process
BP Chemicals/CPACT/MDC
Summary
•Will talk about application of multivariate SPC.
•A data visualisation system for overview of plant operation.
•Tried on Hull site plant.
•Will aid operators’ control of plant.
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Introduction
• Plants have data overload.
• MSPC gives overview of plant operation on just a few graphs.
• PCA is used to compress correlated plant variables to just a few [PC’s].
• Technique was applied to the BP Hull A4 CO plant.
• Plant manufactures CO by steam reforming of nat. gas. CO is feedstock for acetic acid production.
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Plant Schematic
Steam Natural Gas (desulphurised)
Reformer Heat
Water Removal MEA CO 2 Removal Cold Box Separation H 2 (NH 3 plant) CO (acetic acid plant) 4
MSPC
•Data point on PC scores plots represent plant status at that time.
• Data points due to plant problem appear outside a confidence ellipse.
• Problem points also show up using statistical measures (e.g. SPE and T 2 statistic) - distances from model.
• Problem points interrogated using contribution plots for causal variables.
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First Model
• An MSPC model was built of “normal” operation for the A4 CO plant.
• The model used 27 main plant variables, including temperatures, pressures, flows and analyser results.
• Model training data was collected at 4 minute snapshots over a 1 week period of stable operation.
• 6 PC’s explains ~70% of variance. • This is effectively then used as a basis to compare future operation.
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Off-line Analysis
•Using CPACT MultiDAT and PreScreen2 Software
Off-line Analysis of Operator Error
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On-line with MDC
On-line Model, Feedstock Upset (N 2 )
•PC scores plots, statistics vs time, etc •Zoom in •Click on point to select contribution plot •Plus off-line tools for model building •Plus PLS and adaptive models 8
On-line with MDC
•Normalised •Greatest first •Scrollable •Click for time trend
Process Variable Contribution Plots Time Trend of a Process Variable
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Problems
• But plant operates at different rates.
• What data to use for model?
• What variables to use?
• Dynamic data – influenced by the past.
• Serially correlated (invalid control limits).
• Result – hard to find balance between alerts and false alarms.
• So concentrated on smaller section of plant & tried new techniques.
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Plant Section - MEA Upset in Column Level
3 2 1
Score & Statistics Plots
•Model for MEA (10 tags) •Has oscillation upset at high rates The Oscillation • Clusters 1, 2 and 3 represent different ‘modes’ of operation 11
Live Demo
• Live demo of MDC MSPC+ with the previous data for MEA.
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Multi Rate Model
• Work by Ewan Mercer et al (CPACT Newcastle University).
• Model for MEA.
• Need models for different plant rates.
• Modes of operation seen as clusters.
• But better to collapse clusters together…
PC1 vs PC2 Scores Plot
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New Technique
• Also by Ewan Mercer et al.
• Based on plant model mismatch (PMM).
• Build state space model for MEA (1m data, I/P’s and O/P’s).
• Build PCA model on differences between predicted and actual plant data (residuals).
• Will effectively collapse clusters.
• Use standard MSPC graphs to monitor plant.
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Plant/Model Mismatch
Schematic of Technique 15
PCA on Residuals
• Model for multiple plant rates.
• Near normal distribution with low serial correlation.
• Picks up upset with fewer false alarms.
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Parallel Coords
•Each y-axis is a plant variable •Each path is state of plant at one point in time •Another potential technique •Light ‘cluster’ is normal MEA operation •Other [darker] data is upset •Can also use to visualise many PC’s 17
Conclusion/Next Steps
• Model built for overview of the A4 CO plant.
• Tested on-line using
MDC’s MSPC+
software.
• Overview of plant operation with drill down.
• Picks up process problems and helps diagnose cause.
• Will improve running of plants.
• Gain site acceptance for deployment.
• Initially to see plant changes.
• Use alerting later with the new techniques (i.e. PMM).
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Acknowledgements
•
BP Hull Site
: • Steve Batty, Zaid Rawi et al.
•
CPACT/Newcastle University
: • Ewan Mercer, Julian Morris, Elaine Martin et al.
•
MDC
: • Chris Hawkins, Paul Booth et al.
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