Transcript NR Industry Situationer May2014(1)

Natural Rubber Industry
Situationer
Agri-Center - Provincial Capitol
Brgy Amas, Kidapawan City
13 May 2014
Anthony P. Bravo
Provincial Director
DTI Cotabato Province
Natural Rubber Industry
Situationer
- World Market Situation
- Domestic Market Situation
- Pricing Analysis
- Market Outlook
- DTI’s Initiatives
STATISTICAL SUMMARY OF WORL RUBBER SITUATION
http://www.rubberstudy.com/documents/WebSiteData_2.0.pdf
NATURAL RUBBER PRODUCTION
Asia-Pacific
EMEA
Americas
Total
2010
9,662
475
256
10,393
2011
10,456
482
292
11,230
2012
10,797
502
304
11,603
2013
10,952
515
297
11,764
NATURAL RUBBER CONSUMPTION
Asia-Pacific
EMEA (EU-27)
EMEA (excluding EU-27)
Americas
Total
2010
7,564
1,136
402
1,671
10,773
2011
7,576
1,242
420
1,769
11,007
2012
7,895
1,077
389
1,666
11,027
2013
8,068
1,082
419
1,640
11,209
WORLD SUPPLY-DEMAND SURPLUS/DEFICIT
(380)
223
576
555
WORLD STOCKS
1402
1,625
2,201
2,756
World Demand & Supply Situtation
Source: http://www.rubberstudy.com
14,000
12,000
In "000 MT
10,000
NATURAL RUBBER
PRODUCTION
8,000
NATURAL RUBBER
CONSUMPTION
6,000
4,000
WORLD STOCKS
2,000
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
Total Production by Members of ANRPC
in 2011 ( 10.325 mil ton )
Thailand
34.82%
Indonesia
28.88%
PNG
0.1%
Cambodia
0.53%
Philippines
1.03%
China
6.89% Vietnam
7.91%
Malaysia
9.71%
India
8.67%
Sri Lanka
1.54%
23/8/2012
Ist Reg Rub Con Philippines
5
Major Producers of NR

INDONESIA
3.414 Million Hectares

THAILAND
2.434 Million Hectares

MALAYSIA
1.248 Million Hectares

INDIA
0.635 Million Hectares

VIETNAM
0.550 Million Hectares
World Natural Rubber Industry
70% of natural
rubber goes to the
tire and
construction
industries, roads,
bridges, buildings,
sports race tracks,
etc.
World Natural Rubber Industry
30% goes to nontire industry use
such as: Industrial
& surgical gloves,
condoms, rubber
bands & strips,
sport wares, shoes,
boots, balls,
balloons, rubber
hoses, floor mats,
insulators,
waterproofing
sheets & pads,
shock absorbers
etc……
Domestic Market Situation
CAR
0%
Area Planted (CY2012)
CALABARZON
0%
ARMM
18%
CARAGA
6%
SOCCSKSARGEN
21%
DAVAO REGION
4%
ZAMBOANGA
PENINSULA
46%
MIMAROPA
0%
CENTRAL
VISAYAS
1%
PHILIPPINES - 176,244
CAR 27, CALABARZON- 221
MIMAROPA - 742
CENTRAL VISAYAS - 1,015
ZAMBO PEN - 80,375
N MINDANAO - 6,851 DAVAO
REGION - 6,693
SOCCSKSARGEN - 36,713
CARAGA - 11528
ARMM - 32,079
NORTHERN
MINDANAO
4%
Domestic Market Situation
PHILIPPINES - 442,998
CALABARZON - 35
MIMAROPA - 42
ZAMBO PEN - 188,855 N
MINDANAO - 10,792
DAVAO REGION - 16,070
SOCCSKSARGEN -169,745
CARAGA - 16,611
ARMM - 40,849
(In Metric Tons)
Domestic Market Situation
Region 12 - 36,713 N
Cotabato - 33,388
Sarangani - 445 South
Cotabato - 620 Sultan
Kudarat - 2,260
Domestic Market Situation
Region 12 - 169,745
N Cotabato - 168,936
Sarangani - 459
South Cotabato - 34
Sultan Kudarat – 316
( In Metric Tons )
Rubber, No. 3 Smoked Sheet (RSS3), Singapore Commodity
Source: Singapore Commodity Exchange (SICOM) /
http://www.indexmundi.com/commodities
Feb 2011 –
US$ 280.79/lb
Dec 2001 –
US$ 22.12/lb
Price Movement
PHP/kg. Equivalent SMR20
Jan
Feb
2009
66.14
65.39
2010
137.13 138.59
2011
231.66 242.55
2012
150.33 158.46
2013
123.84 123.09
2014
99.32
87.39
Mar
66.93
144.23
207.46
159.67
113.57
85.65
Apr
73.94
146.96
215.92
155.38
102.31
81.06
May
76.10
130.36
193.90
143.87
103.47
Jun
77.20
133.72
196.10
121.93
99.04
Jul
78.52
133.58
194.38
120.57
95.86
Aug
90.37
138.82
194.12
108.86
102.37
Price Movement
PHP/kg Equivalent STR20
Jan
2009
66.98
2010
141.10
2011
236.57
2012
154.49
2013
124.97
2014
99.03
Mar
66.61
150.75
218.97
163.02
115.20
86.40
Apr
74.24
151.14
237.02
159.54
106.22
83.94
May
77.66
139.55
206.89
150.45
104.76
Jun
78.96
140.21
201.28
130.55
100.39
Jul
79.15
138.11
197.77
123.21
96.86
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
90.83
101.18 106.23 116.80 129.05
142.27 149.10 165.72 186.41 202.14
197.19 197.23 178.56 149.76 147.00
111.84 116.77 124.24 115.94 118.37
100.95 106.94 100.92
99.82 102.83
Feb
66.33
143.44
249.80
164.25
123.94
87.83
Sep
98.90
149.46
192.17
113.97
106.44
Oct
104.54
164.40
175.98
121.91
101.49
Nov
114.74
181.76
144.61
114.69
100.10
Dec
126.89
198.45
144.85
118.23
102.30
Monthly Summary of Farmgate Prices of rubber Cuplump (2009 - 2014)
Source: BAS
jan
feb
mar apr
may jun
jul
aug
sep
oct
nov
dec
2009 21.83 21.82 22.36 24.59 26.47 27.03 26.82 31.78 37.49 39.91 44.07 50.19
2010 53.88 56.26 59.91 61.27 51.07 52.29 54.29 54.49 54.05 66.45 69.06 79.28
2011 90.21 90.89 61.32 74.63 77.53 84.63 76.94 81.00 81.56 71.30 42.79 48.95
2012 56.87 59.41 64.85 59.93 49.10 46.50 46.02 38.94 39.62 46.17 46.70 44.68
2013 47.90 50.51 43.89 36.80 39.16 36.05 34.13 35.55 37.14 37.70 37.20 37.57
2014 34.86 31.44 29.84 28.00
Price Trend: SMR & TSR 20 PhP Equivalent vs Cuplump Farmgate Price
(Jan 2009 to April 2014)
300.00
200.00
SMR-20
150.00
100.00
STR-20
50.00
0.00
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
Jan
Jul
PhP/kg
250.00
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Cuplump Farmgate
Price
Price Movement - 2009
140.00
120.00
100.00
80.00
TSR 20
60.00
Cuplump
40.00
20.00
0.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
250.00
Price Movement - 2010
200.00
150.00
TSR 20
100.00
Cuplump
50.00
0.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Price Movement - 2011
300.00
250.00
200.00
150.00
TSR 20
100.00
Cuplump
50.00
0.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
180.00
160.00
Price Movement - 2012
140.00
120.00
100.00
TSR 20
80.00
Cuplump
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
140.00
Price Movement - 2013
120.00
100.00
80.00
TSR 20
60.00
Cuplump
40.00
20.00
0.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
120.00
Price Movement - 2014
100.00
80.00
60.00
TSR 20
Cuplump
40.00
20.00
0.00
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
World Natural Rubber Industry
World Natural Rubber Industry
World Natural Rubber Industry
World Natural Rubber Industry
World Natural Rubber Industry
DTI INITIATIVES

DTI regional and provincial offices in nine (9)
regions implemented its Rubber Industry Cluster
Initiatives (2013-2016) in coordination with partner
agencies and institutions
 Rubber Quality Improvement Advocacy
 Productivity improvement for rubber producers,
processors and rubber coops through the SSF
Program
 Initiated the organization of National Rubber InterAgency Technical Working Group (NRIAT) and
was renamed as the Philippine Rubber Technical
Working Group or PHLRUBBER

DTI INITIATIVES
BPS-DTI through the BPS TC-16 adopted in July 2013
PNS/ISO 2000: 2013 – a standard for Technically
Specified Rubber (TSR)
Provided laboratory equipment for the Philippine
Rubber Testing Center (PRTC-USM) under the
Shared Service Facility (SSF) Program of DTI.
Acts as the Team Leader of the National Inter-agency
Technical Working Group (PhlRubber) in pursuing
the development of the rubber industry.
Thank You!!