2014-15 45-Day Budget Update Presentation
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Transcript 2014-15 45-Day Budget Update Presentation
Ventura Unified School District
45 Day Budget Update
Themes for the State Budget
Overall budget policy decisions continue to be
reflective of slow but steady economic
improvement
State revenues surge for a variety of reasons,
but:
The Department of Finance (DOF) lowers its forecast for 2015-16
Local Control Funding Formula (LCFF) funding levels significantly
The revenue volatility is coming into play
There are no statutory or constitutional guarantees for out-year Local
Control Funding Formula (LCFF) funding levels
The story is on the expenditure and reserve
side of the equation
Expenditures Increases
California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS)
contributions go up for employers, employees, and the state
beginning in 2014-15. The biggest impact is on the employer
contribution which will increase each year and represent a total
increase of 4.33% by 2016-17, the third year of the multiyear
projection
Beginning in 2015-16, California Public Employees’ Retirement
System (CalPERS) rates increase
Some districts are struggling with progress toward class-size
requirements
After six years of deficit spending and few salary
increases, budget stress is still a major factor
Salary demands and poor understanding of the LCFF create pressure for
negotiations
Competing State Revenue Forecasts
Like last year, the Administration’s revenue forecast was
lower than the forecast of the Legislative Analyst’s Office
(LAO), the Legislature’s fiscal advisor
For 2013-14 and 2014-15 combined, the LAO forecast was $2.8
billion in additional revenues
Both houses of the Legislature initially assumed the higher LAO
forecast and augmented 2014-15 expenditures accordingly
Ultimately, however, the Budget Conference Committee adopted the
Administration’s revenue forecast and sent Governor Brown a
Budget based largely on his May Revision expenditure plan
Postscript to 2013-14 revenues – in the end, the LAO’s
forecast was closer than the Administration’s, with
revenues coming in roughly $5 billion more than
budgeted
Proposition 30 Taxes Are Temporary
Proposition 30, approved by voters in November 2012, temporarily
increased the state sales tax and income tax rates for high-income
earners to address state revenue shortfalls stemming from the Great
Recession
The higher rates boosted revenues $7.1 billion in 2013-14 and are
forecast to provide $7.4 billion in 2014-15
Unless extended by the voters, these higher taxes will expire as follows:
The 0.25% sales tax increase expires in 2016 (i.e., the 2016-17 fiscal year)
The personal income tax increase expires in 2018 (i.e., the 2018-19 fiscal year)
The Rest of the Budget
Major items in the non-Proposition 98 side of the
State Budget are:
A contribution of $1.6 billion to the Budget Stabilization Account
in 2014-15, pursuant to Proposition 58
$2.4 billion to fund Medi-Cal costs primarily due to
implementation of the Affordable Care Act (ACA)
$872 million of Cap and Trade auction proceeds to help reduce
greenhouse gases
$142.2 million each to the University of California and California
State University, the second installment of 5% annual increases
over four years
Major Proposition 98 Changes –
Deferrals
The level of the Proposition 98 guarantee in the enacted State Budget
is the same as proposed in the Governor’s May Revision
The Legislature, however, increased 2014-15 spending above the
May Revision by reducing funding for the buy back of apportionment
deferrals
The Governor proposed to buy back all K-14 deferrals at a cost of
$6.1 billion ($5.5 billion for K-12 and $593 million for community colleges)
The Legislature reduced the deferral buy back by $1 billion, expending
these funds instead on one-time and ongoing programs
However, the 2014-15 State Budget includes a trigger provision tied to General
Fund revenues that directs revenue collections in excess of the forecast level to
be used to buy back the remaining deferrals
($900 million for K-12 and $94 million for community colleges)
2014-15 LCFF Funding Provisions
The adopted State Budget increases
gap funding for the LCFF in 2014-15
$4.75 billion in the final budget, up from $4.5
billion in the Governor’s Budget proposal
Gap closure is estimated at 29.56% in 2014-15
(per the DOF)
Combined with elimination of 12.0017% of the
gap in 2013-14, the new formula will be over
one-third of the way to full implementation after
the first two years
LCFF Increase
2014-15 LCFF growth provides an
estimated average increase in per-pupil
funding of 11.6%, or $803 per unit of ADA
As always, keep in mind that the LCFF
increases of individual LEAs can vary
significantly from the average
Amounts actually received range from
zero to just over 18%
VUSD Increase
8.93% or $597 per unit of ADA
Base Grant Entitlement Calculation
2014-15 target entitlement calculation
Grade span per-pupil grants are increased for the 0.85% statutory
cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) – unchanged from the May Revision
Factors
2013-14 Base Grant per ADA
COLA @ 0.85%
Base grants – 2014-15
K-3
4-6
7-8
9-12
$6,952
$7,056
$7,266
$8,419
$59
$60
$62
$72
$7,011
$7,116
$7,328
$8,491
Grade Span Adjustments
Grade span adjustments (GSAs) for K-3 Class-Size Reduction (CSR) and 912 Career-Technical Education (CTE) are additions to the base grant
CTE is unrestricted; class size GSA requires progress toward maximum site
average enrollment of 24 students in K-3 classes*
Factors
K-3
4-6
7-8
9-12
Base grants – 2014-15
$7,011
$7,116
$7,328
$8,491
Adjustment percentage
10.4% CSR
-
-
2.6% CTE
$729
-
-
$221
$7,740
$7,116
$7,328
$8,712
Adjustment amount
Adjusted grant per ADA
*Charter schools are not required to meet the maximum site average to receive K-3 GSA
Supplemental and Concentration Grants
Supplemental and concentration grants are calculated based
on the percentage of district enrollment accounted for by
English learners (EL), free and reduced-price meal (FRPM)
program eligible students, and foster youth
Factors
K-3
4-6
7-8
9-12
Adjusted grant per ADA
$7,740
$7,116
$7,328
$8,712
20% supplemental grant
$1,548
$1,423
$1,466
$1,742
50% concentration grant
(for eligible students
exceeding 55% of
enrollment)
$3,870
$3,558
$3,664
$4,356
What Does the LCFF Mean for
Ventura Unified?
10
District Name – 2014-15
2014-15 LCFF
Per ADA Funding
Projected
2014-15 ADA
Projected 2014-15 LCFF
Total Revenue
$7,286
16,924
$123,309,149
CalSTRS Rate Increases – May Revision
In a significant departure from his stated plan in January, Governor
Jerry Brown announced in May that he intended to fully fund
CalSTRS in about 30 years
Contribution rate increases were proposed as follows:
State rate increases 4.311% over three years
Employer rate increases from 8.25% to 19.1% over seven years
Employee rate increases from 8% to 10.25% over three years
Education management stakeholders expressed concern that the
increase was too much, too soon
CalSTRS testified that it could not yet accommodate two different
employee contribution rates (pre- and post- Public Employees’
Pension Reform Act [PEPRA])
As a result of this feedback, the Legislature proposed a smaller
employer rate increase during the first three years and a uniform
employee rate for 2014-15
CalSTRS Rate Increases –
Schedule
The final plan has a
smaller employer
contribution rate increase
in 2014-15 and consistent
increases up to final
implementation
Once the statutory rates
are achieved, CalSTRS
will have the authority to
increase or decrease the
employer and state
contribution rates
Year
Employer
Pre-PEPRA
Employees
Post-PEPRA
Employees
2014-15
8.88%
8.15%
8.15%
2015-16
10.73%
9.20%
8.56%
2016-17
12.58%
10.25%
9.205%
2017-18
14.43%
10.25%
9.205%
2018-19
16.28%
10.25%
9.205%
2019-20
18.13%
10.25%
9.205%
2020-21
19.10%
10.25%
9.205%
CalPERS Rate Increases – Background
With assets totaling more than $300 billion, CalPERS is the nation’s
largest public pension fund
While not ideal, the CalPERS system is in a relatively strong funding
position
Total Fund – 69.6% funded (as of June 30, 2012)
Schools and community colleges – 80.5% funded (as of June 30, 2013)
CalPERS is able to stay ahead of the curve because the Board has
some authority to increase rates
In February 2014, CalPERS adopted new demographic assumptions
based on member longevity
As a result, employer and state contribution rates will increase
With new assumptions, CalPERS aims to fully fund the system –
eliminating the unfunded liability – in about 30 years
CalPERS Rate Increases – Actual and
Projected
The employer contribution to CalPERS is increasing from 11.442% in 2013-14
to 11.771% in 2014-15
“Classic” members continue to pay 7.00%
New members pay 6.00%, which may fluctuate from year to year based on the PEPRA
requirement to pay half the normal cost rate
Estimates of the resulting future contribution rate increases for school
employers are as follows:
Actual
Projected
2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
11.771% 12.6%
15.0%
16.6%
18.2%
19.9%
20.4%
Next Steps
Now that the State Budget has been adopted, the
District needs to make budget adjustments within
45 days
By Monday, August 4, 2014
Clarify assumptions
Are revenue adjustments needed?
LCFF gap closure increases from the May Revision
Are expenditure adjustments needed?
CalSTRS
General Fund
2014-15 Budget Changes Based on State Adopted Budget
VUSD Budget
Adoption
State Budget
Adoption
Difference
1. Local Control Funding Formula (LCFF)
28.05%
Estimated Impact of Gap
Funding Change
29.56%
$
122,787,579
$
123,309,149
$
521,570
2. Increased Lottery Revenue Estimate
Unrestricted - $126 to $128 / ADA
$
Restricted - $30 to $ 34 / ADA
$
2,409,100
573,600
$
$
2,447,400
650,100
$
$
38,300
76,500
$
636,370
Reduced Cost
$
$
434,847
434,847
Total General Fund Increase in Fund Balance
$
1,071,217
Total General Fund Budgeted Expenditures + Transfers Out
% Increase
$
154,030,200
0.70%
Additional Funding
3. Change in CalSTRS Estimate
$
9.500%
(6,662,985)
$
8.880%
(6,228,138)
Child Development Fund
State Preschool Program
Ventura Unified School District
Increase in Child Development Fund - State Preschool
2013-14 Rate
2014-15 Rate
$
$
Child Days of Enrollment
34.38 per child per day
36.10 5% Increase
32,207 per Contract
2013-14 Funding
2014-15 Funding
$
$
1,107,280
1,162,640
Increase
$
55,360