1 | Vehicle Technologies Program

SAE Government/Industry Meeting Henry Kelly, Acting Assistant Secretary Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy U.S. Department of Energy

January 27, 2012 eere.energy.gov

The Cost of Oil is More than Monetary

• Transportation is responsible for 2/3 of petroleum usage and 1/3 GHG emissions.

• Unites States spends $1B per day to import oil.

• Global discovery of new oil fields peaked in 1966.

• U.S. oil

production

peaked in 1971.

World Oil Production

2005: 84.58 mbpd 2008: 85.37 mbpd 2006: 84.54 mbpd 2009: 84.24 mbpd 2007: 84.40 mbpd 2010: 86.82 mbpd Moving Goods Moving People

Transportation Energy Energy

2 I Vehicle Technologies Program

President calls out goal of 1 million PHEVs on the road by 2015 in State of the Union address Administration sets goal of reducing oil imports by 1/3 by 2025 Vice New CAFÉ standards will require cars and light trucks to yield a combined fuel economy of 54.5 miles per gallon

3 I Vehicle Technologies Program

VTP Technology Advancement Highlights

Lightweighting

Supporting Research and Development of Materials with a Goal to Reduce Chassis Weight by 50%

Advanced Combustion Engines

Increased engine efficiency with simultaneous emissions reduction show the results of DOE R&D

Electrification Infrastructure Recovery Act

Vehicle Electrification Efforts in Deployment, Manufacturing, Power Electronics and Electric Motors

• • •

The Recovery Act enabled the largest-ever U.S. deployment of electric-drive vehicles and charging infrastructure. Installation of over 22,000 Level 2 charging sites at residential, commercial, and public locations and 350 (500VDC) Fast Chargers.

Collection of detailed operational data from this charging infrastructure will allow future improvements.

Advanced Batteries

DOE-Funded Technologies Move to Commercial Applications

4 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov

2025 Highway Oil Consumption – Target Scenario

Adv. powertrain benefits apportioned by subprogram:

(from GPRA12 analysis)

SI HEV PHEV/EV HT

Transportation Cluster Benefits: can approach 100% of 2025 Administration target oil import reduction

5 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov

2025 Transportation GHG Emissions – Target Scenario

6 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov

Lifecycle Vehicle Costs

Meeting Established DOE Goals

SI EREV40 BEV150 BEV300 2010 SI FC HEV SI PHEV10 Adv SI Ref SI Adv SI Adv CI SI HEV SI PHEV10 SI EREV40 FC HEV BEV150 BEV300

2010

21-23 21-22 22-23 22-23 23-24 31-32 ~29 ~41 73-74

2015

25-26 23-24 23-24 21-22 22-24 ~25 ~24 28-29 44-45

2030

27-29 23-24 23-24 20-21 ~19 19-20 ~20 ~17 20-21 Adv CI SI HEV

7 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov

Lifecycle Vehicle Costs

Meeting First Milestones

BEV150 SI EREV40 FC HEV SI HEV Ref SI Adv SI Adv CI SI HEV SI PHEV10 SI EREV40 FC HEV BEV150 BEV300

2010

21-23 22-23 22-24 23-24 25-26 36-37 ~32 49-50 93-94

2015

25-26 24-26 25-26 24-25 24-25 29-30 ~27 35-36 60-61

2030

27-29 25-26 25-26 23-24 22-23 24-25 ~22 ~24 ~35 BEV300 2010 SI Adv CI Adv SI SI PHEV10

8 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov

Heavy Truck Improvements

Moving Goods Moving People

Conventional Class 8 Vehicle ~6.5 mpdge ~29% WTW

h

Petroleum reduction: 0% Average engine efficiency

42%

Transmission and drivetrain efficiency

95%

Aero, rolling resistance efficiency

9 I Vehicle Technologies Program 87%

Percentage of fuel used to move goods vs people SuperTruck Class 8 Vehicle ~10 mpdge ~40% WTW

h

Petroleum reduction: 35%

50% 97% 96%

Lifecycle Cost Comparison $0.90 0.7x baseline Payback Period: 0.75-1.25 years Breakeven diesel price: $3.50

$0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50 $0.40 $0.30 $0.20 $0.10 $ Fuel Cost Sensitivity Fuel Cost Powerplant Non-Powerplant

eere.energy.gov

Moving Forward

• • • • • •

Vehicle miles traveled Improving fuel economy for legacy fleets Off-road vehicles Natural gas Vehicles becoming more intelligent Wide range of fuels now available

10 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov

11 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov

Henry Kelly Acting Assistant Secretary Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy U.S. Department of Energy www.energy.gov

12 | Vehicle Technologies Program eere.energy.gov