Transcript The EU energy research modeling tools and the high-level group on

International Energy Workshop
organized by EMF/IEA/IIASA
Laxenburg, Austria, 24-26 June 2003
The EU energy research
modeling tools and the
high-level group on
hydrogen and fuel cells
Domenico Rossetti di Valdalbero
European Commission, DG Research
Tel.: +32-2-296.28.11
Fax: +32-2-299.49.91
E-mail: [email protected]
Sustainable Energy Systems
DRIVING FORCES
Sustainable Development
 Gothenburg Summit
 Kyoto Protocol
 Johannesburg Conclusions
Research Policy
 Lisbon Strategy
 European Research Area
 Barcelona Summit
SD, global change and ecosystems
Green Paper “Towards a European Strategy for the security of energy supply”
 White Paper “European Transport Policy for 2010: Time to decide”
 The EC 6th EAP “Environment 2010: our future, our choice”

Sustainable Energy Systems
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT,
GLOBAL CHANGE AND ECOSYSTEMS
(PRIORITY 6 of the 6th RTD FP)

Sustainable energy systems (810 M€)
 Short and medium term impact (DG TREN)
 Medium and long term impact (DG RTD)

Sustainable surface transport (610 M€)

Global change and ecosystems (700 M€)
Sustainable Energy Systems
SHORT AND MEDIUM-TERM
RESEARCH ACTIONS (405 M€)

Clean energy, in particular renewables
 Cost effective supply
 Large scale integration

Energy savings and energy efficiency
 Eco-buildings
 Polygeneration

Alternative motor fuels
Sustainable Energy Systems
MEDIUM AND LONG-TERM
RESEARCH ACTIONS (405 M€)
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Fuel cells, including their applications
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New technologies for energy carriers, particularly H2
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New and advanced concepts in renewable energy
technologies
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Capture and sequestration of CO2
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Socio-economic tools and concepts for energy strategy
Sustainable Energy Systems
INSTRUMENTS
NEW
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Integrated Projects (IP)
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Networks of Excellence (NoE)
“TRADITIONAL”
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Specific Targeted Research Projects (STRP)
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Co-ordination Actions (CA)
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Specific Support Actions (SSA)
Sustainable Energy Systems
SOCIO-ECONOMIC (2003.ML)
IP/NoE
TRAD.

Social issues related to
implementation of
medium and long term
energy technologies

Quantitative and
qualitative forecasting
methods
Quantification of energy
externalities
Sustainable Energy Systems
POLICY SUPPORT AND
ANTICIPATING SCIENTIFIC AND
TECHNOLOGICAL NEEDS
Policy-orientated research
The development of tools, indicators and
operational parameters for assessing
sustainable transport and energy systems
performance (economic, environmental and
social)
Sustainable Energy Systems
EVALUATION CRITERIA
(with Threshold marks)
cf. Annex B of the Work Programme
CRITERION
Relevance
Potential impact
S&T excellence
Quality of the consortium
Quality of the management
Mobilisation of resources
Excellence of the participants
Degree of integration and the JPA
Organisation and management
Quality of the co-ordination
Quality of the support action
Overall threshold score
IP NoE STREP CA SSA
3/5 3/5
3/5
3/5 4 / 5
3/5 3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
4/5
4/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
4/5
3/5
4/5
3/5
24 20
21
21 17.5
/30 /25
/30
/30
/25
Sustainable Energy Systems
QUANTITATIVE TOOLS
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World energy model: POLES
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European energy model: PRIMES
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European general equilibrium model: GEM-E3
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European econometric model: NEMESIS
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Analytical framework for RES: SAFIRE
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External costs accounting system: EXTERNE
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Energy Technology Systems Analysis
Programme: ETSAP
Sustainable Energy Systems
QUANTITATIVE RESULTS
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World energy, Technology and climate policy
Outlook - 2030 (WETO)
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European energy and transport - trends to 2030
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Assessing climate response options: policy
simulations - insights from using national and
international models (ACROPOLIS) - in
collaboration with the International Energy
Agency
Sustainable Energy Systems
QUALITATIVE TOOLS
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Delphi method for energy technologies (2030)
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Public opinion perception (Eurobarometer)
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Energy technology indicators
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Participatory methods
Sustainable Energy Systems
POLICY-USE OF
QUANTITATIVE TOOLS
Proposal for a directive of the EP and of the Council on
the promotion of electricity from renewable energy
sources in the internal electricity market COM(2000)279
Use of SAFIRE model
Green paper - Towards a European strategy for the
security of energy supply - COM(2000)769
Use of PRIMES and POLES models
Sustainable Energy Systems
POLICY-USE OF
QUANTITATIVE TOOLS
Green Paper on Greenhouse gas emissions trading
within the European Union - COM(2000)87 final
Use of PRIMES and POLES models
Community guidelines on state aid for environmental
protection - OJEC C 37/3
Use of EXTERNE accounting framework
Sustainable Energy Systems
HIGH-LEVEL GROUP ON
HYDROGEN AND FUEL CELLS

Established in October 2002 by
Commissioners de Palacio and Busquin
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Composed of the main H2 and FC stakeholders
(research community, industry, public
authorities and end-users)

Requested to provide a “collective vision”
outlining the research, deployment and nontechnical actions needed
Sustainable Energy Systems
H2: PRIMARY ENERGY SOURCES,
ENERGY CONVERTERS AND
APPLICATIONS
solar PV
solar
hydro
therwind
biomal
...
mass
natural
gas
coal
H2
Commercial
Residential
nuclear heat
Tertiary
PS: Sizes of “sectors” have no connection with current or expected markets
Sustainable Energy Systems
nuclear
electric
FC TECHNOLOGIES, FUELS
AND APPLICATIONS
…
AFC = Alkaline Fuel Cells
DMFC= Direct Methanol Fuel Cell
PS: Sizes of “sectors” have no connection with
PAFC = Phosphoric Acid Fuel Cell
current or expected markets
PEM = Proton Exchange Membrane FC
MCFC = Molten Carbonate Fuel Cell
Sustainable Energy Systems SOFC = Solid Oxide Fuel Cell
KEY ELEMENTS AND DRIVERS FOR A
STRATEGIC RESEARCH AGENDA
Interrelated Research focused on
Interrelated Research focused on
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Cost reduction
Cost reduction
Materials choice and utilization
Materials choice and utilization
Design and manufacturing
Design and manufacturing
System integration
System integration
Balance of system components
Balance of system components
Fuels, fuel quality and fuel processing
Fuels, fuel quality and fuel processing
Hydrogen production, distribution and storage
Hydrogen production, distribution and storage
System performance (durability, efficiency)
System performance (durability, efficiency)
Testing, evaluation, characterization, product
Testing, evaluation, characterization, product
Standardization
standardization
Socio-economic research
World
class
competitor
2020
World’s
number
one in by
2030
(?)
Sustainable Energy Systems
Market Mechanism
Regulatory System
Society
Needs
SKELETON FOR A EUROPEAN H2
AND FUEL CELL ROADMAP
Sustainable Energy Systems
RECOMMENDATIONS
Creation of a coherent policy framework
(transport, energy and environment) rewarding
technologies meeting policy objectives

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Substantially increase energy RTD budget
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Extend demonstration and pilot programmes
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Support and integrate socio-economic research
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Bringing together financing organisations
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Europe-wide education and training programme
Enhancing international cooperation and
communication

Sustainable Energy Systems
CONCLUSIONS
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Constant and durable link among European
researchers from various disciplines
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A scientific “reference system” to support
decision-makers
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To combine quantitative and qualitative
approaches
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Permanent “peer-review” of tools and
methodologies
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Researchers should foresee and anticipate
policy needs (“Roadmap”)
Sustainable Energy Systems