Transcript Un-baking the Insurance Cake - 28th Annual Conference on

“Un-baking the Insurance Cake”
Seeing Insurance for the trucking and logistics
industry from a different point of view
Topics for discussion
 Do you view your insurance as a commodity or a specialty
product?
 What does a “good” insurance placement mean to you?
 Let’s look at the parts of the cake?





The decoration
The icing
The top layer
The middle layer
The bottom layer
 Questions you want to ask at your next renewal?
Commodity or Specialty?
Would you buy “brain surgery” from the lowest bidder?
Should you buy insurance from the lowest bidder?
Why do insurance companies “bid” on accounts?
What does “good” Insurance Mean?
 “I am paying $6,000 per unit I’m happy”
 “My loss ratio is 30% I should get a reduction”
 “I had a “big” claim my insurer took only a modest increase”
 “My broker “went to market” and I got a cheaper quote”
 “My broker reduced his commission which got me a better price”
Some things I wonder about…
 What does $6,000 per unit premium mean?
 What does a 30% loss ratio mean?
 Why do insurers think they have to increase your premium after you
had a claim?
 Why do insurers “quote” on new business based from a
“submission”?
Let’s “un-bake” bake that cake!!
Disclaimer!!!
Richard asked me for a catchy presentation title on short notice.
I picked the “cake” thing and now I am stuck with it. -- you will
now be subjected to a series of “cake” clichés Please address all complaints to Richard
A Chocolate Layer Cake
Decoration
Icing
Sales
Insurer Services
Top Layer
Middle Layer
Bottom Layer
Excess Layer
Working Layer
Burn Layer
Let’s imagine that this cake costs $500,000
 You are 60 days from your renewal
 This year You have had 7 claims. All are less than $100,000
 Three years ago you have one $500,000 claim
 Other than above you have had $50,000 in claims every year.
 Claims total $200,000…a 40% “loss ratio”
 Allowing for expenses,…your insurance company made $175,000
from you policy.
Wrong!! – here is how the baker sees the cake
The Decoration
 This is the “distribution channel”…your broker:
 Inclusive of commissions, contingent commissions and insurer marketing the
decoration costs about 13% or $65,000…what are you paying for?
 You can reduce this cost – but should you?
 You are a valuable asset to your broker – Is your broker a valuable asset to you?
 Your broker is a big asset when you are in a jam. It takes time to build that
asset
 If and when you need to spend your nest egg, the costs are high and can save
your cake!
The Decoration
 How to build that your broker as an asset:
 Their value as an asset lies in their access to markets in a pinch
 You may never need this value but it is good Insurance
 Their value to you is the value they bring to the market…know
what that is
 Pay them a competitive rate
The Icing
 These are your insurer services:
•
•
•
•
•
Underwriting
Claims
Loss control
Finance
Actuarial
 The icing costs roughly 17% or $85,000 – what are you paying for?
The Icing
 Is your Insurer a partner or a vendor?
 Have you met your underwriter?
 Does loss control “Analyze Risk” or “Integrated”
 Is your adjuster the “next available operator” – or “pre-disposed”
to your business?
 How does your insurer compete and compare as a financial
institution?
 What is your insurer’s point of view where pricing ought to be and
where the market supports?
The Top Layer of the Cake
 The excess layer.
 $3M of coverage excess of $2M. – a pure sharing of risk.
 This layer cost 10% or $50,000. – Do you know this?
 Low to no predictability of loss on an individual account basis.
 Insurer paid $35,000 on this layer whether or not you had a claim.
 Your rate should not go down if YOU do not have a claim.
 Your rate should not go up if YOU have a claim in this layer
The Top Layer of the Cake
 You should be paying rate based on how this layer performs in the
insurance market -and How you compare against your peers.
 What is your insurer’s underwriting profit is in this layer
 What is your insurer’s investment profit is in this layer
The Middle Layer
 The working layer
 Coverage from $250k to $2M – a hybrid of sharing and burn
 This layer costs 30% or $150,000. Do you know this?
 Some predictability of loss on an individual account basis.
 Your insurer budgets for you to have occasional losses in this layer.
The Middle Layer
 To gauge your performance in this layer (Layman’s terms)
 70% of the premium ($105,000) should be allocated to loss
 50% of that ($52,500) is pure risk sharing….spent before you start.
 How has your account performed over the past 5 years on the other
50%.
 i.e. one loss $500,000 loss in past five years:
 $250,000 allocated to middle layer
 Divide by 5 is $50,000 per year.
 Annual underwriting profit on this year of $2,500
The Bottom Layer
 The burn layer – the foundation – “centre of the universe layer”
 Coverage from $0 to $250,000 – purely based on YOUR results:
 Upper level can vary
 This layer (in YOUR case) cost $165,000 – You should really know this
 Layer pricing based on YOUR LOSS
PICK
 Your insurer’s prediction of what YOU WILL incur
 Working and Excess Layers are built from your pick
 Frequency – not Severity – is what should keep you up at night
The Bottom Layer
 Insurers use loss and exposure history and apply development
factors
Dev. Factor
10
2.374
Months Aged
22
34
1.526
1.289
46
1.153
 You incurred $200,000 in losses in the first 10 months. Your
insurer believes that this will grow to $474,800…will it?
The Bottom Layer
 Let’s look into the past
This Year
Last Year
3 Years ago
4 years ago
5 Years ago
Losses Dev. Fctr
$200,000
2.37
$50,000
1.53
$250,000
1.29
$50,000
1.15
$50,000
1.01
 Five year average is $196,290
 Average on four prior years is $126,662.
Ultimate
$474,800
$76,300
$322,250
$57,650
$50,450
The Bottom Layer
 What is your Loss Pick?
 What is the upper limit of your Burn Layer?
 What is the confidence level of that Loss Pick?
 If there is a high degree of confidence in the pick….IT IS NOT
INSURANCE
IT IS A BUSINESS EXPENSE
Did Your Insurer Make Money
Say Insurer has a 75% loss ratio in Working and Excess Layers…
Premium
Decoration
Icing
Top Layer
Middle Layer
Burn Layer
Underwriting Profit
$500,000
$ 65,000
$ 85,000
$ 37,500
$162,500
$200,000 (or maybe $474,800?)
$150,000
Insurance
With a good understanding “You can have your
cake and eat it too!”