Timetable to Freedom A Plan for Iraqi Stability and Sovereignty • Begin phased troop withdrawals • Reestablish Iraqi national army • Create an international stabilization.
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Timetable to Freedom A Plan for Iraqi Stability and Sovereignty • Begin phased troop withdrawals • Reestablish Iraqi national army • Create an international stabilization force • Provide substantial economic assistance 1. A fixed schedule for disengaging U.S. and other foreign military forces - the phased withdrawal of U.S. occupation forces - no permanent bases left behind 2. The rehiring of portions of the former Iraqi national army - Iraqi government command of all Iraqi military and police forces - status-of-forces agreement giving Iraqi government political control over all foreign forces 3. The creation of an international stabilization force - authorization by the UN Security Council, with the approval of the Iraqi government - some U.S. forces could serve, along with troops from Arab states and other countries 4. Support for reconstruction and economic development - $10 billion a year U.S. aid commitment, with equivalent amounts from other international donors - run entirely by the Iraqi government, without U.S. control, subject only to certified international audit The Security Dilemma • Troops can’t leave until there is security • But U.S. presence is the major source of insecurity The insurgency is primarily a national resistance against foreign invasion— a natural response that occurs often in history Once the foreign invader is gone, this powerful resistance dynamic will subside - the presence of foreign occupation forces provokes resistance - U.S. troops have been frequent targets of attack • The withdrawal of U.S. forces - removes a principal cause of the insurgency - reduces the level of violence - encourages other nations to provide support - gives Iraqis real control over their country - enhances the legitimacy and sovereignty of the emerging Iraqi government But . . . - there is a major risk of civil conflict - any large-scale reduction of forces can be destabilizing So . . . - reduce gradually in stages - provide security alternatives • Concrete security options are available, but will only work if - There is real commitment and significant motion toward exit 1. Rehire the Iraq National Army - Creating a new national army that is not seen as U.S. puppet force will reduce number of attacks vs. Iraqi troops - Iraqi army can command national respect, especially in Sunni insurgent zones - assure more balanced officer corps - combine with current forces - begin process of integrating militias 2. Create international stabilization force - to counter internal violence, and strengthen the ability of emerging government to control the country - for limited protective deployments in specified localities and potential trouble spots, such as Kirkuk - approved and under political direction of Iraqi government - authorized by UN Security Council - a peace enforcement mission with robust rules of engagement, modeled on Bosnia and Kosovo - not a passive peacekeeping force - Arab troops, perhaps even an Arab command structure, to increase Iraqis’ receptivity - convene international conference to build such a force and to present a timeline for U.S. departure