Analyzing Residuals Grade 9 Lesson 17 Learning Intentions › We are learning to analyze residuals.
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Analyzing Residuals Grade 9 Lesson 17 Learning Intentions › We are learning to analyze residuals. Success Criteria › We are successful when we can... – show a residual plot on a graphing calculator for a set of data. – use a residual plot to decide if a linear model is appropriate for the data set. Launch y x What will the residual plot look like? y x Residual Why is looking at the pattern in the residual plot important? 0 x Calculating Residuals and Constructing a Residual Plot Destination Distance (miles) Airfare ($) Atlanta 576 178 Boston 370 138 Chicago 612 94 Dallas/Fort Worth 1216 278 Detroit 409 158 Denver 1502 258 Miami 946 198 New Orleans 998 188 New York 189 98 Orlando 787 179 Pittsburgh 210 138 St. Louis 737 98 Example 3 › On poster paper and using your group’s data set: – Create a scatter plot of the data. – Find the least-squares regression line and graph this line on your scatter plot. – Create the residual plot. › Be prepared to share your poster and results with the class. Questions to think about: – Why is it important to look at the residual plot? – Which data sets can be modeled well with linear model and why? – How can you tell if a linear model is a good fit? – Should any of these be modeled by something other than a linear function? How can you tell? Why is it important to look at the residual plot? Lesson Summary › After fitting a line, the residual plot can be constructed using a graphing calculator. › A pattern in the residual plot indicates that the relationship in the original data set is not linear. Exit Ticket › Please go to m.socrative.com › Room number: 029102 › Suppose a scatter plot of bivariate numerical data shows a linear pattern. Describe what you think the residual plot would look like. Explain why you think this. Learning Intentions › We are learning to analyze residuals. Success Criteria › We are successful when we can... – show a residual plot on a graphing calculator for a set of data. – use a residual plot to decide if a linear model is appropriate for the data set. Standards CONTENT STANDARD PRACTICE STANDARD › S.ID-6b: Informally assess the fit of a function by plotting and analyzing residuals. › MP4: Model with mathematics. Students use residuals and residual plots to assess if a linear model is an appropriate way to summarize the relationship between two numerical variables.