North Carolina Legislative Commission On Global Climate Change December 11, 2006 Recycling Energy: Profitable Climate Change Mitigation by Tom Casten Alliance for Clean Technology Founder, former CEO Trigen.
Download ReportTranscript North Carolina Legislative Commission On Global Climate Change December 11, 2006 Recycling Energy: Profitable Climate Change Mitigation by Tom Casten Alliance for Clean Technology Founder, former CEO Trigen.
North Carolina Legislative Commission On Global Climate Change December 11, 2006 Recycling Energy: Profitable Climate Change Mitigation by Tom Casten Alliance for Clean Technology Founder, former CEO Trigen & Primary Energy Commission Mission Reach consensus on what NC can do to alleviate or prepare for the effects of climate change Solicit ideas from experts Take advantage of economic opportunities Actions taken will shape the direction of NC economy for decades Presentation Summary The central generation of electricity is not optimal The better option – local generation that recycles energy waste – faces regulatory barriers, is denied benefits it creates The Alliance for Clean Technology (ACT) proposes a suite of policies to encourage ‘clean technology’ ACT believes governments can profitably mitigate climate change with a ‘blue box’ energy policy – recycling waste energy Introducing the Alliance for Clean Technology (ACT) ACT is new, a coalition of local power developers, WWF, Greenpeace, Sierra Club, Suzuki Foundation, unions, and gas and electric distribution utilities Mission is polices that induce deployment of clean technology to profitably reduce greenhouse gas emissions These policies will reduce pollution, improve industrial competitiveness, preserve good jobs and lower societal heat and power costs An Inconvenient Truth Al Gore describes global warming as an ‘Inconvenient Truth’ – a reality that we would rather not face. Why inconvenient? Conventional wisdom assumes energy conversion is optimal; thus mitigating climate change will increase energy costs Why wrong? The energy system is not optimal Electric generation efficiency peaked in 1960, creates 38% of US GHG Conventional Central Approach 1960 Data (& 2003 Data) Pollution Waste Heat Transmission Line Losses 3 units (7.5%) 67 units Waste Energy Fuel = 100 units 33 units Electricity End User Power Plant US Electric Efficiency,1900-2005 Primary Efficiency, Delivered Electricity Final Efficiency raw energy to useful work 35% 30% 45 Years with no efficiency gains 20% 15% 10% 5% Year 20 00 19 90 19 80 19 70 19 60 19 50 19 40 19 30 19 20 19 10 0% 19 00 % Efficiency 25% We Have Better Electric Generation Options Local generation can recycle energy to reduce costs and pollution ACT’s ‘Convenient Truth’ Energy Recycling Eases All Problems Recycling industrial waste energy could produce 20% of US electricity, fuel free Combining heat and power generation (CHP) produces electricity with half the fossil fuel of conventional central generation Recycling waste energy will improve US competitive position What is Recycled Energy? Recycled energy is useful energy derived from: Exhaust heat from power generation or industrial processes Tail gas that would otherwise be flared Pressure drop in steam or any gas Promoting energy recycling is a ‘blue box’ energy policy Decentralized Generation Option Combined Heat and Power Pollution 33 units Waste Energy Fuel 100 units = 33 units Thermal Energy CHP Plant 33 units Electricity Recycle Waste Heat End User Site 66 units Useful Work Industrial Energy Options Saved Energy Input Energy Recycling Plant Electricity Finished Goods Process Fuel Waste Energy Electricity Steam Hot Water End User Site Backpressure Turbine-generators Extract Electricity from Gas/Steam Pressure Drop Low Pressure steam out High Pressure steam in Extracted kWh reduces steam price Potential applications save money at industrial plants, hospitals, universities, and district energy systems and natural gas city gates Industrial Energy Recycling 90 MW Recycled from Coke Production US Electric Efficiency,1900-2005 Primary Efficiency, Delivered Electricity Final Efficiency raw energy to useful work 100% 90% Local CHP Plants that recycle waste heat 80% Denmark Electric Efficiency 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Year 20 00 19 90 19 80 19 70 19 60 19 50 19 40 19 30 19 20 19 10 0% 19 00 % Efficiency 70% Energy Recycling Impact on the Grid Local generation reduces grid loading, line losses and need for new T&D Local generation stabilizes voltages and reduces vulnerability to extreme weather and terrorists Only local generation can recycle waste energy; it is not economic to recycle waste energy from remote generation plants What About Economies of Scale? Skeptics claim local generation will raise capital costs Economies of Scale? Central versus Decentralized Generation KW Total costs/ Transmission Total / kW Generation & Distribution of required/ kW New Generation kW Load Load Central Generation $890 $1380 $2,270 1.44 $3,269 Local Generation $1,200 $138 $1,338 1.07 $1,432 Savings (Excess) of Central vs. Local Generation $310 $1,242 $1,068 0.37 $1,837 74% 1000% 213% 135% 228% Central generation capital as a % of local capital Future Generation Options 20 Renewable Energy Options Central Generation Options Coal Gas with CO2 Sequestration Cents / kWh 15 10 No incremental fossil fuel line New Combined Cycle Gas Turbine New Coal Coal Gassification CCGT Remote Wind Avg. Retail Power Price 8.1¢ / kWh Recycled Energy Options Avg. Industrial Power Price 5.5¢ / kWh 5 Recycled Industrial Energy Balanced CHP Existing Coal Fossil Plant - No new T&D 0 3 (33% efficiency) 2 1 (50% efficiency) (100% efficiency) 0 -1 (net fossil savings) Average Fossil Heat Rate (Units of fossil fuel per unit of delivered electricity) do UK ne s Fr i a an ce Br az il I Ar nd ge ia nt in a In US De Ne nm th ar er k la n Fi ds nl an Ru d G ss er ia m an Po y la n Ja d pa n Ch Po ina rtu g Ca al na d M a ex i W co O R LD DE share as a % of total power generation Comparative Deployment of Combined Heat and Power in 2004 60 50 ACT Target of 30% CHP in US 40 30 20 10 0 M Al ain ab e am In a M di is an si ss a i Ar ppi iz on So a H ut h aw C a W aro ii as li hi na n O gt kl o n ah M om ar a y Ca lan lif d o M r Pe ic nia nn hig sy an lv an Fl ia Te or nn ida es se Ill e in M oi on s ta na Ne Oh i Ne w Y o w o M rk e Ar xic ka o Di n st . O Col sas f C ora ol do um M So is bia u t so h Da uri W co yo t a m in g Capacity (MW) Instaled Recycled Energy Capacity per capita (millions) 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 North Carolina (22nd in US) 50 0 State NC Industry Recycling Potential Steel Blast furnace gas, exhaust heat, pressure drop Refineries and chemical factories Natural gas pumping station exhaust Pressure drop at gas delivery points Glass & fiberglass factory exhaust heat Sewage gas, landfill gas, biomass, construction waste, recycled carpet, other All process thermal users, housing complexes, all central chilling users ACT Definition of Clean Technology Over 57% delivered fossil efficiency (versus 33% for US central generation) GHG emissions less that one unit of coal-equivalent per unit of electricity (equal to 100% coal efficiency) No limits on size, technology, fuel, or location Two Barriers to Clean Technology Barriers to local generation: Interconnection costs and hassle Standby charges Many clean technology benefits are not available to the facilities that create the benefits: T&D avoidance Line loss avoidance Health and environmental savings ACT Proposals to spur Clean Technology Require distribution utilities to interconnect with clean technology plants, add to rate base No standby charges for clean tech facilities Permit clean technology as ‘pollution control’ Statewide standard offer for clean technology to satisfy expected load growth, no size or time limits Pay current market wholesale price for power and, Pay half of calculated benefits that clean technology creates – roughly 4 to 6 cents per kWh Stimulating Recycling of Industrial Waste Energy State insure risk of industrial shutdown Provide limited loan guarantees for new industrial energy recycling plants Payable only if host ceases to provide waste energy Covers risk of industries ceasing production, creates a virtuous cycle Will trigger an industrial boom in NC Costs offset with added income taxes Recycled Energy Benefits New Investment Job Creation New Revenue Streams for NC Industry Improved Industrial Competitiveness Public Sector Gains Conclusions: A Convenient Truth Energy Recycling Solves Multiple Problems NC can ‘mine’ industrial waste energy, create added revenue streams for industry Recycle to provide affordable, clean energy Requires unconventional, innovative governance Remove barriers to efficiency Pay part of T&D and health savings to facilities that create those savings Treat energy recycling as pollution control devices for environmental permits Denmark Changed in Two Decades Source: Danish Energy Center Thank you