Transcript The CGE Global Hands-on Training Workshop on Mitigation Assessments Seoul, Republic of Korea, 26–30 September 2005 Examination of the Mitigation Sections of the.

The CGE Global Hands-on Training Workshop on Mitigation Assessments
Seoul, Republic of Korea, 26–30 September 2005
Examination of the Mitigation Sections
of the Initial Communications
Thematic Group on Mitigation
Consultative Group of Experts (CGE)
Background
 Guidelines for the preparation of initial communications
by parties not included in Annex I to the Convention
(Annex to decision 17/CP.8)
 Reporting on climate change: User manual for the
guidelines on national communications from Non-Annex I
Parties
 Decision 3/CP.8, Terms of Reference, paragraph 9
 31 NCs from NAI Parties were examined
List of national communications
Africa
Asia and the Pacific
Latin America and the Others
Caribbean
Benin
Burkina Faso
Cameroon
Central Africa Republic
Comoros
Djibouti
Eritrea
Gabon (French)
Gambia
Guinea (French)
Kenya
Madagascar (French)
Malawi
Mauritania (French)
Namibia
Nigeria
South Africa
Sudan
Swaziland
Uganda
Tanzania
Zambia
Bangladesh
Cambodia
China (Chinese)
DPRK
India
Iran
Kyrgyzstan
Nepal
Pakistan
Palau
Solomon Islands
Tajikistan
Viet Nam
Belize
Brazil
Dominican Republic
Trinidad & Tobago
Total : 42 NCs
Exam. : 31 NCs
Albania
Malta
The former
Yugoslav
Republic of
Macedonia
Criteria for examination
1
Social and economic development framework for climate change mitigation
2
Main national economic and social development trends, including expected GHG emissions
3
Approaches used to conduct mitigation analysis, e.g., top-down or bottom-up
4
Tools/models and methods used to assess mitigation, sectors analyzed, data and/or information gaps,
and limitations of the technical resources
5
Identification of mitigation options related to the most important future sources and sinks sectors
6
Screening of mitigation options
7
Assessment of reduction potential and cost of mitigation
8
Integration of GHG reductions and costs across measures and sectors, through the construction of GHG
mitigation marginal cost curves
9
Qualitative description of main macroeconomic impacts of national climate change mitigation strategies
10 Assessment of key macroeconomic parameters
11 Barriers and opportunities for implementation
12 Programs and measures implemented or planned that contribute to mitigate climate change
13 Projects aimed at reducing GHG emissions and enhancing the removal by sinks
Summary of examination
 The scope, coverage and depth of reports vary significantly
among Parties.
 Information that many Parties elaborated well include:
 Social and economic development framework for climate
change mitigation
 Identification of mitigation options related to the most
important future sources and sinks sectors
 Barriers and opportunities for implementation
 Programs and measures implemented or planned that
contribute to mitigate climate change
Summary of examination
 Information that many Parties didn’t elaborate well
include:
 Tools/models and methods used to assess mitigation, sectors
analyzed, data and/or information gaps, and limitations of
the technical resources
 Integration of GHG reductions and costs across measures
and sectors, through the construction of GHG mitigation
marginal cost curves
 Qualitative description of main macroeconomic impacts of
national climate change mitigation strategies
 Assessment of key macroeconomic parameters
Mitigation assessment
 Most Parties provided general information on the social
and economic development framework for CC mitigation
 Several Parties showed the main national economic and
social trends, including GHG emission outlook
 Time horizon: 2010, 2020, 2030 or 2100(Kyrgyzstan)
 Many Parties provided only historical trends
 No GHG emission forecast by many Parties
Technical resources for mitigation analysis
 Major approach: bottom-up
 Both B-U and T-D approaches by some Parties (India, Brazil)
 Tools/models and methods
 Major tools: LEAP and COMAP
 MAKAL, EFOM, COPATH used by several Parties
 Some Parties addressed the problem of lack of data
Baseline, mitigation scenarios and projections
 Major parts that most Parties had difficulties in
elaborating the information
 Identification and screening of mitigation options relative
well elaborated by many Parties
 Many Parties didn’t provide any results on assessment of
reduction potential and cost of mitigation
 No GHG mitigation marginal cost curve by integration of
GHG reductions and costs across measures and sectors
 Tanzania: MC curves for energy and forestry sectors for 2030
 No macroeconomic assessment for mitigation options
Barriers and opportunities for implementation
 Most Parties elaborated challenges/limitations well and
described needs of financial and technical supports,
capacity building, etc.
Implications and Recommendations
 Technical difficulties in analyzing mitigation potentials,
costs and macroeconomic impacts
 Technical support and capacity building for mitigation
analysis needed for preparation of the informative second and
where appropriate third NCs
 Heavy data requirement
 Standardization of time period for GHG emission
projection and mitigation assessment
Problems to solve & Further works by CGE
 Completion of examination for all 42 NCs
 Cross check of examination results by thematic group
members
 Scope of report
 10/CP.2: refers only to programs containing measures to
address climate change
 17/CP.8 & User manual: not for the initial communication
 Thematic group: 10/CP.2 including information which are not
required by 10/CP.2, but provided.