Transcript The uses of vital statistics in the work of the United Nations Population Division Cheryl Chriss Sawyer Population Affairs Officer, Mortality Section Population Division,

The uses of vital statistics in the work of the
United Nations Population Division
Cheryl Chriss Sawyer
Population Affairs Officer, Mortality Section
Population Division, Department of
Economic and Social Affairs
United Nations Expert Group Meeting on International
Standards for Civil Registration and Vital Statistics Systems
27 – 30 June 2011, New York
The work of the Population Division

Monitoring and analysis of population structure
and dynamics

Fertility

Mortality

Migration

World Population Prospects

Population and development

Monitoring of population policies
Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
www.unpopulation.org
Fertility

Data
Births by age of mother
 Female population by age


Age-specific
fertility
Total fertility
Sources
Civil registration
 Survey – birth history or recent births
 Census – recent births

Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
www.unpopulation.org
Fertility – Population Division

Monitoring



World Fertility Report

Number of births

Total fertility

Mean age at childbearing

Mean age at first birth

Percentage of extra-marital births

Number of marriages

Mean age at first marriage

Number of divorces
Adolescent fertility for MDG5
Estimation and projection
Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
www.unpopulation.org
Total fertility – Kenya
10
9
1989 DHS
8
Total fertility
1993 DHS
1998 DHS
7
2003 DHS
2008-09 DHS
6
1977-78 WFS
1979 Census
1989 Census
5
1999 Census
4
3
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Year
Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
www.unpopulation.org
Adolescent fertility – Albania
40.0
35.0
30.0
MDG2010
NSO
25.0
UNSD
ABR
20.0
DHS
15.0
RHS
MICS
10.0
5.0
0.0
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
www.unpopulation.org
Mortality

Data
Deaths by age and sex
 Population by age and sex
 Births by sex


Age-specific
mortality, life
tables, survival
ratios
Common indicators
Life expectancy at birth
 Under-five and infant mortality
 Adult mortality

Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
www.unpopulation.org
Sources of data


Civil registration
Survey or census:
Full birth history
 Summary birth history (children ever born and
children surviving)
 Deaths in the household
 Sibling history

Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
www.unpopulation.org
Data collection for mortality
estimation since 2000
Type of Information
Total number of countries a
Civil registration
Sample registration
CEB/CS b
Birth histories
Household deaths
Survival of siblings
Latin
Europe and America
Northern
and the
Africa Asia America Caribbean Oceania Total
55
50
42
37
12 196
Number of countries with available data
11
..
45
46
29
37
31
3
36
35
20
19
42
..
5
11
..
7
35
..
23
15
11
9
8
..
6
2
3
..
127
3
115
109
63
72
a Countries with 100,000 or more population in 2010.
b CEB/CS: Children ever born/children surviving. Refers to countries that collected summary birth history data in a census or in a survey that did not include a
full birth history.
Source: Tabulations based on United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2010). World Mortality Report 2009 (CDROM Edition, POP/DB/WMR/Rev.2009/2).
www.unpopulation.org
Percentage of population covered by death registration
data reported to the United Nations
120
100
Percentage of population
Africa
80
Asia
60
Europe and
Northern
America
Latin America
and the
Caribbean
40
Oceania
World
20
0
1950-1959
1960-1969
1970-1979
1980-1989
1990-1999
2000 or
later
Year
Source: Based on United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2010). World Mortality Report 2009 (CD-ROM Edition,
POP/DB/WMR/Rev.2009/2/F1-1). Countries are included if data for at least one year in the decade was available in the databases of UNSD or WHO
www.unpopulation.org
Under-five mortality – Azerbaijan
Under-five mortality (deaths per 1000 live births)
120
100
DHS2006_Direct
80
DHS2006_Indirect
RHS2001_Direct
60
MICS2000_Indirect
Census1989_Indirect
40
VR_TransMONEE
VR_WHO
20
0
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Year
Source: CME Info Database, http://childmortality.org/cmeMain.html
www.unpopulation.org
Conclusions



Accurate vital statistics are critically
important to the work of the Population
Division
Regular reporting of registration data is
strongly encouraged
Different data collection processes are
complementary
Source: United Nations Population Division/DESA
www.unpopulation.org