STATE OF ISRAEL MINISTRY OF FINANCE Chief Economist Department – Research, State Revenue & International Affairs Economic Highlights Presentation 3rd Quarter 2013 ( As of.
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STATE OF ISRAEL
MINISTRY OF FINANCE Chief Economist Department – Research, State Revenue & International Affairs
Economic Highlights Presentation 3
rd
Quarter 2013 ( As of October 1
st
)
In any case of information derived from sources external to the Ministry of Finance, such sources are mentioned at the bottom of each item
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Economic Figures
Criteria GDP
(Current prices in $B)*
Real GDP growth rate
(% change)
GDP per capita
(Current $)
GDP per capita growth rate
(%, constant prices)
Exports (goods & services), $B* (As % of GDP) Imports (goods & services), $B* (As % of GDP) Unemployment rate** 2011
258.4
4.6%
2012
257.5
3.4%
2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2013Q1 2013Q2
64.2
3.0% 64.0
4.1% 66.0
3.0% 68.3
2.6% 72.8
4.9% $ 33,288 $ 32,566 8,145$ 8,074$ 8,290$ 8,538$ 9,059$ 2.7% 91.7
35.5% 93.0
36.0% 7.0% 1.5% 93.1
36.2% 92.6
36.0% 6.9% 1.3% 24.8
38.6% 23.5
36.6% 6.9% 2.1% 22.8
35.6% 23.1
36.2% 6.9% 0.9% 23.2
35.2% 21.9
33.2% 6.9% 0.7% 23.3
34.1% 21.8
32.0% 6.6% 3.2% 24.5
33.7% 22.5
31.0% 6.8% *Using a periodic average exchange rate.
** For available months Sources: CBS, IMF 3
Economic Figures
Criteria Public debt
(As % of GDP)
General government expenditure
(As % of GDP)
Current account surplus
(As % of GDP)
Inflation rate
(CPI, yearly average, % change)
Budget deficit
(As % of GDP)
2007
74.7% 42.6% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0%
2008
73.2% 41.6% 1.4% 4.6% 2.1%
2009
75.3% 41.8% 3.8% 3.3% 4.9%
2010
71.7% 41.0% 3.1% 2.7% 3.5%
2011
69.8% 40.4% 1.3% 3.5% 3.1%
2012
68.4% 40.2% 0.3% 1.7% 3.9% * MoF Estimates 4
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GDP and Business GDP
Annual rate of change, constant prices, 2005 6
GDP Growth
Israel compared to advanced economies, annual rate of change, constant prices Since 2004, Israel’s growth rate has exceeded the average growth rate of advanced economies.
In 2009, as most of the world experienced a decline in GDP, Israel experienced a 1.1% growth in it’s GDP.
* MoF forecast, Euro stat and OECD forecast Source: CBS, OECD Stat 7
GDP Components
Real Annual Percentage Change Effects of the global economic crisis 8
GDP per Capita
$ U.S, Current prices, Current PPP, 2012 Source: OECD 9
Output Gap
As percentage of Potential GDP, 2012 The actual - potential GDP Difference.
Positive index means that actual output is higher than potential.
Additional Sources: OECD Estimates 10
Stock Exchange Indices
Percentage Change, end of period relative to end of previous period * The change since the beginning of 2013 till the end of the third quarter.
Additional Sources: TASE, Bloomberg 11
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Exports of Goods and Services
As a share of GDP Effects of the global economic crisis 13
Main Trading Partners
$ US Billions, 2012 * The data on trade with Hong-Kong is added to the data regarding China Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 14
Main Export Destinations
As a share of total exports * Relates to January-August 2013 Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 15
Current Account Surplus
As % of GDP * 2013 first half.
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 16
Foreign Investments
$ US Billions * In 2006, a large acquisition by Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. was included in the data.
** 2013 first half at annualized.
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 17
Exchange Rates
30 September 2013 vs 31 December 2012 The change in the specified currency relative to the $ US A decrease means an appreciation of the specified currency relative to the $ US Source: Pacific Exchange Rate Service 18
Terms of Trade
2005 average = 100 Terms of Trade = Export Prices to Import Prices Ratio Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 19
Israel’s Free Trade Agreements
1985 1992 1997 1997 1999 2000 2007 USA EFTA Turkey Canada
QIZ Agreements
1998 2004 Mexico European Union (Association Agreement) MERCOSUR More comprehensive information is available on the Israel Ministry of Finance website Jordan Egypt 20
Bilateral Investment Treaties
Albania Argentina Armenia Azerbaijan Belarus Bulgaria China Columbia* Croatia* *Comprehensive information is available on the Israel Ministry of Finance website Cyprus Czech Republic El Salvador Estonia Ethiopia Georgia Germany Guatemala Hungary* India Kazakhstan Korea Latvia Lithuania Moldova Macedonia* 21
Bilateral Investment Treaties
Montenegro Poland Romania Turkey Turkmenistan Ukraine Uruguay Uzbekistan Serbia Slovakia Slovenia* South Africa* Thailand *Comprehensive information is available on the Israel Ministry of Finance website 22
Economic Organizations
Membership in main international economic organizations
Israel is a member of leading international economic organizations:
• United Nations Organizations • United Nations Agencies • World Bank Group • International Monetary Fund • OECD • Regional Organizations • Inter-Governmental Organizations More comprehensive information is available on the Israel Ministry of Finance website 23
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24
Unemployment and Participation
As % of total labor force Since the 2 nd quarter of 2009 unemployment is relatively decreasing, with a gradual increase in the participation rate since the beginning of 2010.
*Available data.
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 25
Unemployment Rate
Latest available data Additional Sources: OECD 26
Job Creation
Change in the number of employees Effects of the global economic crisis Annual average relative to previous year average.
* January to August average.
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 27
Employment Rate
People aged over 15, latest available quarterly data Additional Sources: OECD, Euro Stat 28
1 2 8 9 3 4 5 6 7 Main Indicators Real Economy Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments Labor Market Fiscal Stance Price Stability and Monetary Policy Innovative Economy Learn More Contact
29
General Government Expenditure
As % of GDP Source: CBS 30
General Government Tax Burden
As % of GDP Source: Central Bureau of Statistics, OECD 31
General and Central Budget Deficit
As % of GDP Source: CBS, MoF 32
Public Debt
As % of GDP Effects of the global economic crisis Source: CBS, MoF 33
Public Debt
As % of GDP, international comparison Source: CBS, MoF, OECD 34
Avoidance of Double Taxation
Austria Belarus Belgium Brazil Bulgaria Canada China Croatia Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Ethiopia Finland France Georgia Germany Greece Hungary More comprehensive information is available on the Israel Ministry of Finance website India Ireland Italy Jamaica Japan Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg 35
Avoidance of Double Taxation
Mexico Moldova Netherlands Norway Panama Philippines Russia Singapore Slovak Republic Slovenia South Korea Poland Portugal South Africa Spain Sweden Switzerland Romania More comprehensive information is available on the Israel Ministry of Finance website Taiwan Thailand Turkey UK Ukraine USA Uzbekistan Vietnam 36
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37
Inflation Rate
Rate of change in consumer price index Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 38
Interest Rate
Source: Bank of Israel 39
Central Bank’s Interest Rates
International Comparison Source: Specified Countries’ Central Banks 40
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41
Industrial Production
Annual Growth, 2013 average relative to 2004 average
Total industrial production grew by 3.8%
Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 42
Industrial Export
Current U.S. $ Billions, and the share of high tech and mid high tech sectors in the Israeli goods exports
73.2% 72.5% 75.3% 75.4% 76.3% 76.6% 77.3% 80.9% 80.3% 80.0% 79.5% 80.5%
* 2013 available months at annual rate Source: Central Bureau of Statistics 43
4 5
Israel is a World Leader in Science, Technology, and Innovation
1 st in R&D expenditure as % of GDP*
Civilian R&D as % of GDP, 2011
1 st in quality of scientific research institutions**
4.4
1 st for entrepreneurship being widespread amongst its managers* 2 nd in public expenditure on education*
3.8
3 2.8
3 rd in venture capital availability** 4 th in PCT patents applications per million population**
2.3
5 th for strength of investor protection**
2 2.0
1.9
1.8
1.8
1.7
1.7
1.6
6 Israelis in the last 10 years have been awarded Nobel Prizes in the fields of Economics or Chemistry
1.3
1.3
1 0
Global Competitiveness Report 2012-2013
“The country’s main strengths remain its world-class capacity for innovation (3rd), which rests on highly innovative businesses that benefit from the presence of the world’s best research institutions geared toward the needs of the business sector. Israel’s excellent innovation capacity, which is supported by the government’s public procurement policies, is reflected in the country’s high number of patents (4th). Its favorable financial environment, particularly evident in the ease of access to venture capital (3rd), has contributed to making Israel an innovation powerhouse..” Source: OECD.
* International Institute for Management Development (IMD) Global Competitiveness Yearbook 2011. ** World Economic Forum (WEF) Global Competitiveness Report 2012-2013.
44
Israel in IMD Rankings
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2013 (2) USA 1 (3) Switzerland 2 (1) Hong Kong 3 (5) Sweden 4 (4) Singapore 5 (8) Norway 6 (6) Canada 7 (16) UAE 8 (9) Germany 9 (10) Qatar 10 (7) Taiwan 11 (13) Denmark 12 (12) Luxemburg 13 (11) Netherlands 14 (14) Malaysia 15 (15) Australia 16 (20) Ireland 17 (18) United Kingdom 18
(19) Israel 19
(17) Finland 20 The Institute for 59 countries for 2012.
Management Development ranked Israel 19
th
out of Israel has entrepreneurship and 9 resilience.
been ranked th 1 st at at economy 45 Source: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2013
Israel in IMD Rankings
IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2012 Israel’s ranking compared to other IMD countries, Business Efficiency and Infrastructure Israel’s ranking compared to other IMD countries, Economic Performance and Government Efficiency Source: IMD World Competitiveness Yearbook 2012 46
Israel in WEF Rankings
World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2012-2013 The World Economic Forum ranked Israel 27
th
out of 148 countries for 2013-2014 in terms of competitiveness.
The Forum also ranked Israel: 1 st in Quality of scientific research institutions 3 rd in Innovation 4 th in Capacity for Innovation 5 th in Firm-level technology absorption 6 th in Strength of investor protection 6 th in Capacity for innovation 6 th in Company spending on R&D And 8 th in Venture Capital Availability Source: World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index 2012-2013 47
Cooperation in Industrial R&D
North America
New York Massachusetts Maryland Virginia Wisconsin Colorado Illinois Oregon BIRD (Foundation) Ontario CIIRDF (Foundation)
South America
Argentina Uruguay Brazil
Europe
France Russia Italy ( and Trento county) Germany Greece Czech Republic Bulgaria Lithuania Slovenia Denmark Hungary Turkey Portugal Finland Sweden Ireland Spain Cyprus Netherlands
Asia
China (Shanghai, Jiangsu, Shenzhen, Federal) India SIIRD-Singapore (Foundation) KORIL-RDF-Korea (Foundation)
Australia (Victoria)
* Through EUREKA (40 country Multilateral Initiative) More comprehensive information is available on the Israel Ministry of Finance website 48
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49
Learn More
Visit the Israel Ministry of Finance English website for more information:
About the Ministry Economic Overview of Israel Ministry of Finance publications and reports Other publications and reports on the Israeli economy Ministry press releases 50
Learn More
Click to open: Israel Central Bureau of Statistics Bank of Israel Ministry of Industry, Trade and Labor Ministry of Foreign Affairs Israel Government Portal 51
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Contact
Mr. Oded Keneresh, CPA Mr. Ori Kaufman Dr. Amichai Fishler
Overseas Economic Information Economics and State Revenue Department Ministry of Finance State of Israel Write us an email [email protected]
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