Ground Source Heat Pumps Active UES Proposal Presentation to the Regional Technical Forum August 2nd, 2011 UES Analysis by: Shawn Oram & Ben Larson RTF Staff.
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Ground Source Heat Pumps Active UES Proposal Presentation to the Regional Technical Forum August 2nd, 2011 UES Analysis by: Shawn Oram & Ben Larson RTF Staff Review by: Adam Hadley & Tom Eckman Presentation by: Tom Eckman Background • April 5, 2011: – RTF approved the residential UES measure “Upgrade from ASHP to GSHP” – RTF staff was asked to: • finalize documentation of the measure – measure workbook – technical specifications • Develop savings estimates for proposed UES measures: – “Conversion from FAF w/CAC to GSHP” – “Conversion from FAF w/o CAC to GSHP” 2 Measure Summary • Measure name: Ground Source Heat Pumps • Measure description – In new or existing site-built or manufactured homes, GSHP system upgrade from Air Source Heat Pump or conversion from electric Forced Air Furnace (with or without Central AC). Optional upgrade of Electric Water heater with Desuperheat pre-heating. • Measure type: UES • Requesting Status: Active – (ASHPGSHP already approved as active) • • • • Change in measure status: Yes (proposed active) Change in measure savings: No (new measure) Change in measure cost effectiveness: No Other or follow-on work for RTF: No 3 UES Analysis Summary 4 Measure Classification and Properties Market Sector Market Segment Measure Category Measure Description Sunset Criteria Primary Workbook Linked Workbooks Number of Measures, and UES Components Residential Single Family & Manufactured Home HVAC and DHW Equipment Upgrade In new or existing site-built or manufactured homes, GSHP system upgrade from Air Source Heat Pump or conversion from electric Forced Air Furnace (with or without Central AC). Optional upgrade of Electric Water heater with Desuperheat preheating. April 5, 2016 ResGSHP_v2.xlsm gshp_SEEM_Calibration.xls 168 measures - 9 climate zones, - 2 home sizes, - w & w/o desuperheat, - new and retrofit, - From ASHP, from eFAF w/CAC, from eFAF w/o CAC (only applies to 3 heating zones) 5 Measure Identifiers Identifier Measure Type (See UES Table Below) Climate Zone Possible Values (1) Upgrade - ASHP to GSHP with Desuperheater (2) Upgrade - ASHP to GSHP without Desuperheater (3) Conversion - Electric FAF w/CAC to GSHP with Desuperheater (4) Conversion - Electric FAF w/CAC to GSHP without Desuperheater (5) Conversion - Electric FAF w/o CAC to GSHP with Desuperheater (6) Conversion - Electric FAF w/o CAC to GSHP without Desuperheater HZ1 CZ1; HZ2 CZ1; HZ3 CZ1 HZ1 CZ2; HZ2 CZ2; HZ3 CZ2 HZ1 CZ3; HZ2 CZ3; HZ3 CZ3 HZ1; HZ2; HZ3 (applies to eFAF w/oCAC) House Size Less than 4000 ft 2 4000 ft 2 or greater House Vintage New Construction Retrofit 6 Constant Parameter Envelope Efficiency Possible Values Fully weatherized existing residence & New Construction Duct Efficiency PTCS Sealed ducts Internal Loads Assumes advanced lighting but otherwise typical Floor area of prototypes Further Explanation and Sources 1568 Square Feet manufactured home with crawlspace 2200 square feet house with crawlspace 2688 square feet house with basement 5000 square feet house non-standard with basement Foundation Type Weighting Factors < 4000 ft 2 based on 1568 (25%), 2200 (40%), and 2688 (35%) prototypes; 2 >= 4000 ft based on a 5000 ft 2 prototype. Useable Desuperheater Energy Percentage 75% Determined from calibration of SEEM results to Koca, Robert and D'Arcy Swanson. "Missoula Electric Cooperative Ground Source Heat Pump Demonstration Project Final Report" Nov 19, 1996. ASHP & GSHP: 70 °F w/ 64 °F setback eFAF: 66 °F day & night Based on RTF calibration of SEEM results to 4 separate studies. (http://www.nwcouncil.org/energy/rtf/me etings/2009/11/SEEM%20Calibration.pp t) Thermostat Setpoints (SEEM inputs) 7 Unit Energy Savings (UES) Estimation Method, Parameters and Sources Measure Type UES Component Heating Savings Analysis approach Primary Parameter / Adjustment Factor Baseline Description Efficient Case Description Heating System ASHP (HSPF 8.5) GSHP (COP 3.5 at 32 EWT) Multiple runs of the SEEM Cooling Cooling ASHP GSHP (EER 16.1 at 77 simulation engine for (1) Upgrade - ASHP to Savings System (SEER 14) deg EWT) GSHP with Desuperheater baseline and efficient cases. Baseline definition Primary DHW Standard electric DHW Desuperheat coil, DHW Savings is based on NW prototype tank without pump and buffer tank Heat desuperheater. w/no heating elements house specs, with nonvarying weatherization Heating Heating ASHP GSHP (COP 3.5 at 32 (2) Upgrade - ASHP to Savings System (HSPF 8.5) EWT) parameters set at costGSHP without effective limits. Where Cooling Cooling ASHP GSHP (EER 16.1 at 77 Desuperheater Desuperheater is installed, Savings System (SEER 14) deg EWT) its impact on heating and cooling system energy is Heating Heating Electric Forced Air GSHP (COP 3.5 at 32 Savings taken into account in the System Furnace (COP=1) EWT) SEEM simulations. SEEM(3) Conversion - Electric Cooling Cooling CAC GSHP (EER 16.1 at 77 calculated desuperheater FAF w/CAC to GSHP Savings System (SEER 14) deg EWT) with Desuperheater energy available is multiplied by the Useable Primary DHW Standard electric DHW Desuperheat coil, DHW Savings tank without pump and buffer tank Desuperheater Energy Heat desuperheater. w/no heating elements Percentage to determine the desuperheater's impact Heating Heating Electric Forced Air GSHP (COP 3.5 at 32 on DHW energy use. (4) Conversion - Electric Savings System Furnace (COP=1) EWT) SEEM model space FAF w/CAC to GSHP without Desuperheater conditioning energy Cooling Cooling CAC GSHP (EER 16.1 at 77 Savings consumption outputs System (SEER 14) deg EWT) match closely the data in Heating Heating Electric Forced Air GSHP (COP 3.5 at 32 the report: Koca, Robert Savings System Furnace (COP=1) EWT) (5) Conversion - Electric and D'Arcy Swanson. FAF w/o CAC to GSHP "Missoula Electric Standard electric DHW Desuperheat coil, with Desuperheater Primary DHW Cooperative Ground DHW Savings tank without pump and buffer tank Heat Source Heat Pump desuperheater. w/no heating elements Demonstration Project (6) Conversion - Electric Heating Final Report" Nov 19, 1996. Heating Electric Forced Air GSHP (COP 3.5 at 32 FAF w/o CAC to GSHP without Desuperheater Savings System Furnace (COP=1) EWT) Baseline Source Efficient Case Source RTF-determined standard practice. GSHP Specification. RTF-determined standard practice. GSHP Specification. Modeled and Calibrated to Missoulla Ground Source Heat Pump Study (1996) RTF-determined standard practice. GSHP Specification. RTF-determined standard practice. GSHP Specification. Engineering Assumption GSHP Specification. RTF-determined standard practice. GSHP Specification. Modeled and Calibrated to Missoulla Ground Source Heat Pump Study (1996) Engineering Assumption GSHP Specification. RTF-determined standard practice. GSHP Specification. Engineering Assumption GSHP Specification. Modeled and Calibrated to Missoulla Ground Source Heat Pump Study (1996) Engineering Assumption GSHP Specification. 8 Measure Costs • Equipment Costs – FAF costs based on: Electric Furnace Cost CFM <1200 sq. ft. 800 1200 - 1800 sq.ft. 1200 1801 - 2600 sq.ft. 1600 2600 - 3200 sq.ft. 2000 Price (acdirect.com 5/20/08) $ 535 $ 570 $ 600 $ 625 Installed Cost (1.5X multiplier) $ 803 $ 855 $ 900 $ 938 – GSHP and ASHP costs based on sizing • Details given in 4/5/2011 presentation to RTF – Desuperheater Cost = $1,000 • FAF Measure Costs = GSHPcost - FAFcost+Dsprhtrcost(if applicable) • All measures run as “Lost Opportunity” • Measure Life = 20 years 9 Results 10 With Desuperheater New Construction Existing Construction Heating Zone 3 Heating Zone 2 Heating Zone 1 Annual Measure B/C Savings Cost Ratio (kWh/yr) (2006$'s) House from ASHP less than from FAF w/CAC 4000 from FAF w/o CAC sq.ft. Without Desuperheater Annual Measure Savings Cost (kWh/yr) (2006$'s) B/C Ratio New Construction Annual Measure B/C Savings Cost Ratio (kWh/yr) (2006$'s) Existing Construction Annual Measure Savings Cost (kWh/yr) (2006$'s) B/C Ratio 2,090 $ 4,593 0.8 2,412 $ 4,887 0.9 1,153 $ 3,593 0.6 1,383 $ 3,887 0.7 6,537 $ 8,964 1.3 8,126 $ 9,359 1.6 5,600 $ 7,964 1.3 7,097 $ 8,359 1.6 6,527 $ 8,964 1.3 8,121 $ 9,359 1.6 5,589 $ 7,964 1.3 7,092 $ 8,359 1.5 3,061 $ 6,268 0.9 3,402 $ 7,092 0.9 2,046 $ 5,268 0.7 2,343 $ 6,092 0.7 from FAF w/CAC 11,181 $ 11,207 1.8 13,618 $ 12,285 2.1 10,166 $10,207 1.9 12,560 $ 11,285 2.1 from FAF w/o CAC 11,182 $ 11,207 1.8 13,628 $ 12,285 2 10,167 $10,207 1.8 12,570 $ 11,285 2 House from ASHP less than from FAF w/CAC 4000 from FAF w/o CAC sq.ft. 3,600 $ 8,132 0.8 4,224 $ 8,784 0.9 2,452 $ 7,132 0.6 9,544 $ 12,503 1.4 11,674 $ 13,255 1.6 8,396 $11,503 1.4 10,430 $ 12,255 1.6 9,533 $ 12,503 1.4 11,669 $ 13,255 1.6 8,385 $11,503 1.3 10,425 $ 12,255 1.6 5,450 $ 11,469 0.9 6,192 $ 13,022 0.9 4,270 $10,469 0.8 4,956 $ 12,022 0.8 from FAF w/CAC 15,946 $ 16,409 1.8 19,248 $ 18,216 1.9 14,767 $15,409 1.8 18,012 $ 17,216 1.9 from FAF w/o CAC 15,947 $ 16,409 1.8 19,258 $ 18,216 1.9 14,768 $15,409 1.8 18,022 $ 17,216 1.9 House from ASHP less than from FAF w/CAC 4000 from FAF w/o CAC sq.ft. 5,012 $ 12,506 0.7 5,951 $ 13,693 0.8 3,790 $11,506 0.6 4,638 $ 12,693 0.7 11,775 $ 16,877 1.3 14,291 $ 18,164 1.5 10,553 $15,877 1.2 12,978 $ 17,164 1.4 11,765 $ 16,877 1.3 14,286 $ 18,164 1.4 10,543 $15,877 1.2 12,973 $ 17,164 1.4 7,810 $ 18,148 0.8 8,970 $ 20,631 0.8 6,584 $17,148 0.7 7,676 $ 19,631 0.7 from FAF w/CAC 19,727 $ 23,088 1.6 23,679 $ 25,824 1.7 18,501 $22,088 1.6 22,385 $ 24,824 1.7 from FAF w/o CAC 19,728 $ 23,088 1.6 23,689 $ 25,824 1.7 18,502 $22,088 1.5 22,395 $ 24,824 1.7 House 4000 sq.ft. or greater House 4000 sq.ft. or greater House 4000 sq.ft. or greater • from ASHP from ASHP from ASHP 2,980 $ 7,784 Note: Measures shown here are for Cooling Zone 1, where applicable. Cooling Zones 2 and 3 also have defined UES measures. 11 0.7 Checklist: Guidelines for the Development and Maintenance of RTF-Approved Measure Savings Estimates Guideline Response Notes 1. Introduction and Purpose Sponsor(s) RTF Savings Estimation Method Unit Energy Savings Priority X High BPA would like an RTF review prior to October 1. 2. Measure Specification Measure Identifiers Yes Savings Baseline Yes Implementation Standards Yes Product Standards Yes See proposed RTF GSHP Installation Standards Yes April 5, 2016 (5 years from first approval) ? Update cost data, modeling assumptions. 3. Unit Energy Savings Active Sunset criteria Plan adopted for next review 3.1 UES Estimation Procedure Type of Estimation Procedure Yes Input Parameters Yes Model Calibration ? UES Components Yes Interactions between Measures Yes Heating/Cooling Interactions Yes Reliable Baseline Data Yes except for MH Yes except for MH Yes SEEM calibrated to 4 SF studies (not to MH, though) Yes SEEM calibrated to Missoula GSHP study Reliable Efficient-case Data 3.2 Required Quality of Savings Model Calibration - Baseline Estimate Model Calibration - Efficient-Case Sound Analyses Used Yes 3.2.3 Standard for Did RTF determine savings were reliable? Reliability ? Summary Sheet Completed? 3.4 Documentation Standard Calibrated Engineering Yes, except for Manufactured Homes. Space heat savings, space cool savings, andDHW savings To be decided at today's RTF meeting (August 2nd, 2011) Yes Measure Classification and Properties Yes Measure Identifiers Yes Constant Parameters Yes Estimation Method, Parameters and Sources Yes Costs estimated Yes Measure Effective Useful Life (years) Yes ProCost analysis complete Yes 12 Recommendations • RTF Staff recommendation(s) – Adopt measure specifications – Adopt unit energy savings – Adopt measure costs – Adopt Measure life – Sunset Criteria: Measure shall sunset April 5, 2016. 13 RTF Proposed Motion: “I _________ move that the RTF - approve the FAF to GSHP UES measures to Active (or Small Saver) status with a sunset date of April 5, 2016 and - adopt the GSHP Specifications with the following conditions ____________.” 14