Transcript CHAPTER 3 EVALUATING A COMPANY’S EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT Copyright ®2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. McGraw-Hill/Irwin.

CHAPTER 3
EVALUATING A COMPANY’S
EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENT
Copyright ®2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
1. Gain command of the basic concepts and analytical tools
widely used to diagnose the competitive conditions in a
company’s industry.
2. Learn how to diagnose the factors shaping industry dynamics
and to forecast their effects on future industry profitability.
3. Become adept at mapping the market positions of key groups
of industry rivals.
4. Understand why in-depth evaluation of a business’s strengths
and weaknesses in relation to the specific industry conditions
it confronts is an essential prerequisite to crafting a strategy
that is well-matched to its external situation.
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3.1
From Thinking Strategically about the Company’s Situation
to Choosing a Strategy
Chapter 3
Thinking
strategically
about a firm’s
external
environment
Thinking
strategically
about a firm’s
internal
environment
Forming a
strategic
vision of
where the
firm needs
to head
Identifying
promising
strategic
options
for the firm
Selecting the
best strategy
and business
model for
the firm
Chapter 4
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The External Environment
♦ The Macro-Environment
●
Is the broad environmental context in
which a firm’s industry is situated.
● Includes strategically relevant components
over which the firm has no direct control.
 General economic conditions
 Immediate industry and competitive
environment
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3.2
The Components of a Company’s Macro-Environment
3–5
3.1
The Seven Components of the Macro-Environment
Component
Description
Demographics
The size, growth rate, and age distribution of different sectors of the population. It
includes the geographic distribution of the population, the distribution of income
across the population, and trends in these factors.
Social forces
Societal values, attitudes, cultural factors, and lifestyles that impact businesses.
Social forces vary by locale and change over time.
Political, legal, Political policies and processes, as well as the regulations and laws with which
and regulatory companies must comply—labor laws, antitrust laws, tax policy, regulatory policies,
the political climate, and the strength of institutions such as the court system.
factors
Natural
environment
Ecological and environmental forces such as weather, climate, climate change, and
associated factors like water shortages.
Technological
factors
The pace of technological change and technical developments that have the
potential for wide-ranging effects on society, such as genetic engineering, the rise of
the Internet, changes in communication technologies, and knowledge and
controlling the use of technology,
Global forces
Conditions and changes in global markets, including political events and policies
toward international trade, sociocultural practices and the institutional environment
in which global markets operate.
General
economic
conditions
Rates of economic growth, unemployment, inflation, interest, trade deficits or
surpluses, savings, per capita domestic product, and conditions in the markets for
stocks and bonds affecting consumer confidence and discretionary income.
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THINKING STRATEGICALLY ABOUT A COMPANY’S
INDUSTRY AND COMPETITIVE ENVIRONMENT
1. Does the industry offer attractive opportunities for growth?
2. What kinds of competitive forces are industry members facing,
and how strong is each force?
3. What factors are driving changes in the industry, and what
impact will these changes have on competitive intensity and
industry profitability?
4. What market positions do industry rivals occupy—who is
strongly positioned and who is not?
5. What strategic moves are rivals likely to make next?
6. What are the key factors for competitive success in the
industry?
7. Does the industry offer good prospects for attractive profits?
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QUESTION 1: DOES THE INDUSTRY OFFER
ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES FOR GROWTH?
♦ Defining Growth:
●
●
What is the current market size in units or sales?
What is the past, current and expected rate of
growth for the market\industry?
♦ Considerations:
●
●
●
Different sectors\regions of a market grow at
different rates.
Growth varies with the industry’s life cycle stage—
emergence, rapid growth, maturity, and decline.
Growth does not guarantee profitability.
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QUESTION 2: WHAT KINDS OF COMPETITIVE
FORCES ARE INDUSTRY MEMBERS FACING,
AND HOW STRONG ARE THEY?
♦ The Five Competitive Forces:
●
Competition from rival sellers
●
Competition from potential new entrants
●
Competition from substitute products
producers
●
Supplier bargaining power
●
Customer bargaining power
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3.3
The Five-Forces Model
of Competition: A Key
Analytical Tool
3–10
Using the Five-Forces Model of Competition
Step 1
For each of the five forces, identify the different
parties involved, and the specific factors that
bring about competitive pressures.
Step 2
Evaluate how strong the pressures stemming
from each of the five forces are (strong,
moderate to normal, or weak).
Step 3
Determine whether the strength of the five
competitive forces, overall, is conducive to
earning attractive profits in the industry.
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3.2
Common “Weapons” for Competing with Rivals
Competitive Weapons
Primary Effects
Price discounting, clearance sales,
“blowout” sales
Lowers price (P), acts to boost total sales volume and market share,
lowers profit margins per unit sold when price cuts are big and/or
increases in sales volume are relatively small
Couponing, advertising items on sale
Acts to increase unit sales volume and total revenues, lowers price (P),
increases unit costs (C), may lower profit margins per unit sold (P – C)
Advertising product or service
characteristics, using ads to enhance
a company’s image or reputation
Boosts buyer demand, increases product differentiation and perceived
value (V), acts to increase total sales volume and market share, may
increase unit costs (C) and/or lower profit margins per unit sold
Innovating to improve product
performance and quality
Acts to increase product differentiation and value (V), boosts buyer
demand, acts to boost total sales volume, likely to increase unit costs (C)
Introducing new or improved features,
increasing the number of styles or
models to provide greater product
selection
Acts to increase product differentiation and value (V), strengthens buyer
demand, acts to boost total sales volume and market share, likely to
increase unit costs (C)
Increasing customization of product or
service
Acts to increase product differentiation and value (V), increases
switching costs, acts to boost total sales volume, often increases unit
costs (C)
Building a bigger, better dealer network
Broadens access to buyers, acts to boost total sales volume and market
share, may increase unit costs (C)
Improving warranties, offering lowinterest financing
Acts to increase product differentiation and value (V), increases unit
costs (C), increases buyer costs to switch brands, acts to boost total
sales volume and market share
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Competitive Pressures That Act to Increase the
Rivalry among Competing Sellers
♦ Buyer demand is growing slowly or declining.
♦ It is becoming less costly for buyers to switch brands.
♦ Industry products are becoming more alike.
♦ There is unused production capacity, and\or products
have high fixed costs or high storage costs.
♦ The number of competitors is increasing and\or they are
becoming more equal in size and competitive strength.
♦ The diversity of competitors is increasing.
♦ High exit barriers stop firms from exiting the industry.
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3.4
Factors Affecting the
Strength of Rivalry
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Competitive Pressures Associated
with the Threat of New Entrants
♦ Entry Threat Considerations:
●
Strength of barriers to entry
●
Expected reaction of incumbent firms
●
Attractiveness of a particular market’s growth in
demand and profit potential
●
Capabilities and resources of potential entrants
●
Entry of existing competitors into market segments
in which they have no current presence
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Market Entry Barriers Facing New Entrants
♦ Economies of scale in production, distribution,
advertising, or other areas of operation
♦ Experience and learning curve effects
♦ Unique cost advantages of industry incumbents
♦ Strong brand preferences and customer loyalty
♦ Strong “network effects” in customer demand
♦ High capital requirements
♦ Building a network of distributors or dealers and
securing adequate space on retailers’ shelves
♦ Restrictive government policies
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3.5
Factors Affecting
the Threat of Entry
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Competitive Pressures from the Sellers
of Substitute Products
♦ Substitute Products Considerations:
●
●
●
Ready availability of substitutes
Pricing, quality, performance, and other relevant
attributes of substitutes
Switching costs that buyers incur
♦ Indicators of Substitutes’ Competitive Strength:
●
●
●
Increasing rate of growth in sales of substitutes
Substitute producers adding output capacity
Increasing profitability of substitute producers
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3.6
Factors Affecting
Competition from
Substitute Products
3–19
Competitive Pressures Stemming from
Supplier Bargaining Power
♦ Supplier Bargaining Power Considerations:
●
Ready availability of supplier products
● Criticality of supplier products as industry inputs
● Number of suppliers of standard\commodity items
● Buyers’ costs for switching among suppliers
● Availability of substitutes for suppliers’ products
● Fraction of supplier sales due to industry demand
● Ratio of suppliers relative to industry buyers
● Backward integration into suppliers’ industry
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3.7
Factors Affecting
the Bargaining
Power of Suppliers
3–21
Competitive Pressures Stemming from Buyer
Bargaining Power and Price Sensitivity
♦ Buyer Bargaining Power Considerations:
●
Buyer costs for switching to competing sellers
● Degree to which industry products are commoditized
● Number and size of buyers relative to sellers
● Strength of buyer demand for sellers’ products
● Buyer knowledge of products, costs and pricing
● Backward integration of buyers into sellers’ industry
● Buyer discretion in delaying purchases
● Buyer price sensitivity due to low profits, size of
purchase, and consequences of purchase
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3.8
Factors Affecting
the Bargaining
Power of Buyers
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Is the Collective Strength of the Five Competitive
Forces Conducive to Good Profitability?
♦ Is the state of competition in the industry
stronger than “normal”?
♦ Can industry firms expect to earn decent profits
given prevailing competitive forces?
♦ Are some of the competitive forces sufficiently
powerful to undermine industry profitability?
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Matching Strategy to Competitive Conditions
1. Pursuing avenues that shield the firm from as
many competitive pressures as possible.
2. Initiating actions calculated to shift competitive
forces in the firm’s favor by altering underlying
factors driving the five forces.
3. Spotting attractive arenas for expansion, where
competitive pressures in the industry are
somewhat weaker.
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QUESTION 3: WHAT FACTORS ARE DRIVING
INDUSTRY CHANGE, AND WHAT IMPACTS
WILL THEY HAVE?
♦ Strategic Analysis of Industry Dynamics:
1. Identifying the drivers of change.
2. Assessing whether the drivers of change
are, individually or collectively, acting to
make the industry more or less attractive.
3. Determining what strategy changes are
needed to prepare for the impacts of the
anticipated change.
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3.3
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
The Most Common Drivers of Industry Change
Changes in the long-term industry growth rate
Increasing globalization
Changes in who buys the product and how they use it
Technological change
Emerging new Internet capabilities and applications
Product and marketing innovation
Entry or exit of major firms
Diffusion of technical know-how across companies and
countries
Improvements in efficiency in adjacent markets
Reductions in uncertainty and business risk
Regulatory influences and government policy changes
Changing societal concerns, attitudes, and lifestyles
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Assessing the Impact of the Factors
Driving Industry Change
1. Overall, are the factors driving change causing
demand for the industry’s product to increase
or decrease?
2. Is the collective impact of the drivers of change
making competition more or less intense?
3. Will the combined impacts of the change
drivers lead to higher or lower industry
profitability?
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Developing a Strategy That Takes the Changes
in Industry Conditions into Account
♦ What strategy adjustments will be needed
to deal with the impacts of the changes in
industry conditions?
●
What adjustments must be made immediately?
●
What actions must we not take or should we cease
to do now?
●
What can we do now to prepare for adjustments
we anticipate making in the future?
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QUESTION 4: HOW ARE INDUSTRY RIVALS
POSITIONED—WHO IS STRONGLY POSITIONED
AND WHO IS NOT?
♦ A Strategic Group
●
Is a cluster of industry rivals that have similar
competitive approaches and market positions:






Have comparable product-line breadth
Sell in the same price/quality range
Emphasize the same distribution channels
Use the same product attributes to buyers
Depend on identical technological approaches
Offer similar services and technical assistance
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Using Strategic Group Maps to Assess
the Market Positions of Key Competitors
♦ Constructing a strategic group map:
●
Identify the competitive characteristics that
differentiate firms in the industry.
●
Plot the firms on a two-variable map using pairs
of differentiating competitive characteristics.
●
Assign firms occupying about the same map
location to the same strategic group.
●
Draw circles around each strategic group, making
the circles proportional to the size of the group’s
share of total industry sales revenues.
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Typical Variables for Differentiating the Market
Positions of Key Competitors on Group Maps
♦ Price/quality range (high, medium, low)
♦ Geographic coverage (local, regional, national, global)
♦ Product-line breadth (wide, narrow)
♦ Degree of service offered (no frills, limited, full)
♦ Distribution channels (retail, wholesale, Internet, multiple)
♦ Degree of vertical integration (none, partial, full)
♦ Degree of diversification into other industries (none,
some, considerable).
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Choosing Variables for Group Maps
♦ Variables selected as map axes:
●
Must not be highly correlated.
● Must reflect key approaches to customer
value and expose sizable differences in the
marketplace positions of rivals.
● May be quantitative, continuous, discrete
and\or defined in terms of distinct classes
and combinations.
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Guidelines for Constructing Group Maps
♦ Draw map circles proportional to the combined
sales of firms in each strategic group to reflect
the relative sizes of each group to the total size
of the industry.
♦ Use different variable sets to show different
views of relationships among competitive
positions in the industry’s structure—there is no
one best map for portraying how competing
firms are positioned.
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3–35
Follow-up
♦ Which strategic group is located in the least
favorable market position? Which group is in
the most favorable position?
♦ Which strategic group is likely to experience
increased intragroup competition?
♦ Which groups are most threatened by the
likely strategic moves of members of nearby
strategic groups?
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What Can Be Learned from Strategic Group Maps?
♦ Maps are useful in identifying which industry
members are close rivals and which are
distant rivals.
♦ Not all map positions are equally attractive.
1. Prevailing competitive pressures in the industry
and drivers of change favor some strategic
groups and hurt others.
2. Profit prospects vary from strategic group to
strategic group.
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QUESTION 5: WHAT STRATEGIC MOVES
ARE RIVALS LIKELY TO MAKE NEXT?
♦ Competitive Intelligence
●
Information about rivals that is useful in anticipating
their next strategic moves.
♦ Signals of the Likelihood of Strategic Moves:
●
●
●
●
Rivals under pressure to improve financial
performance
Rivals seeking to increase market standing
Public statements of rivals’ intentions
Profiles developed by competitive intelligence units
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Useful Questions to Help Predict the Likely
Actions of Important Rivals
♦ Which competitors’ strategies are achieving good results?
♦ Which competitors are losing in the marketplace or badly
need to increase their unit sales and market share?
♦ Which rivals are likely make major moves to enter new
geographic markets or to increase sales and market share
in a particular geographic region?
♦ Which rivals can expand product offerings to enter new
product segments where they do not have a presence?
♦ Which rivals can be acquired? Which rivals are financially
able and looking to make an acquisition?
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QUESTION 6: WHAT ARE THE KEY FACTORS
FOR FUTURE COMPETITIVE SUCCESS?
♦ Key Success Factors
●
Are the strategy elements, product and
service attributes, operational approaches,
resources, and competitive capabilities that
are necessary for competitive success by
any and all firms in an industry.
●
Vary from industry to industry, and over time
within the same industry, as drivers of
change and competitive conditions change.
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Identification of Key Success Factors
1. What product attributes and service features
buyers strongly affect buyers when choosing
between the competing brands of sellers?
2. What resources and competitive capabilities
are required for a firm to execute a successful
strategy in the marketplace?
3. What shortcomings will put a firm at a
significant competitive disadvantage?
3–41
QUESTION 7: DOES THE INDUSTRY OFFER
GOOD PROSPECTS FOR ATTRACTIVE
PROFITS?
♦ Industry Profitability Considerations:
●
The industry’s overall growth potential
●
Effects of strong competitive forces
●
Effects of prevailing drivers of change in the industry
●
Competitive strength of the firm: its market position
relative to its rivals, its capability to withstand
competitive forces, and whether its position will
change in the course of competitive interactions
●
The success of the firm’s strategy in delivering on
the industry’s key success factors
3–42