Transcript College and Success Indicators What’s the end game for K-12 education?

College and Success Indicators
What’s the end game for K-12 education?
College and Success Indicators
College readiness can be
defined as the level of
preparation a student needs in
order to enroll and succeed:
 without remediation
 a credit-bearing general
education course
 at a postsecondary institution
College and Success Indicators
ACT defines “college
readiness” as students having
a 75% chance of earning a
grade of C or better:
 During the first-year of
college
 While enrolled in nonremedial credit bearing
college courses
College and Success Indicators
CCR accountability benchmarks for ACT
College Readiness benchmark scores on any of four
content areas of the ACT for success credit:
English Composition [English]
Social Sciences [Reading]
College Algebra [Mathematics]
Biology [Science]
18
22
22
23
College and Success Indicators
CCR and School Accountability Model
Dual Credit
Career Tech Courses
Compass
AccuPlacer
ACT
SAT
PSAT
ACT ASPIRE
AP
IB
College and Success Indicators
How is CCR used in A-F School Grading?
CCR is cohort based, just like graduation and is one
year lagged
Uses the Shared Accountability method
– Outcomes are apportioned to every high school attended
– Students have 4 years to accumulate
participation and success credits
– The student’s best effort is counted
Schools can earn a total of 15 points
Success benchmarks are published in the
ADC Manual and in the Technical Guide.
College and Success Indicators
CCR Participation Rates for New Mexico
• Annually published by the PED
• Located on the PED website
• Cohort based
• By state
• By district
• By school
• By NCLB subgroups
• Computed rates reflect the PED’s shared accountability
method
• Participation data is submitted by schools and districts
through STARS
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A brief look at the formulas: YIKES!
Formula for Participation
Formula for Success
College and Success Indicators
The school grading CCR point computation: A case study
High
School
Student
Name
# of
Snapshots by
School
Total # of
Snapshot
Snapshot
Fractions
CCR Attempted
(Y/N)
CCR
Success
(Y/N)
CCR
Participation
Points
CCR
Success
Points
Pine
Joe
4
16
0.25
1 (Y)
1 (Y)
0.25
0.25
Walnut
Joe
8
16
0.50
1 (N)
1 (N)
0.50
0.50
Oak
Joe
4
16
0.25
1 (Y)
1 (N)
0.25
0.25
Cedar
Jane
5
10
0.50
1 (Y)
0 (N)
0.50
0.00
Pine
Jane
2
10
0.20
1 (N)
0 (N)
0.20
0.00
Oak
Jane
3
10
0.30
1 (N)
0 (N)
0.30
0.00
P_Num
(sums of
fractions)
P_Denom
(sums of
fractions)
High
School
P_Prop
(pre-nom)
[P_RATE]
P_Prop
(post_nom)
[P_NORM]
S_Num
(sums of
fractions)
S_Denom
(sums of
fractions)
S_Prop
(pre_norm)
[S_RATE]
S_Prop
(post_norm)
[S_NORM]
Pine
0.45
0.45
1
1
0.25
0.45
0.56
.6
Walnut
0.50
0.50
1
1
0.50
0.50
1
1
Oak
0.55
0.55
1
1
0.25
0.55
0.45
.5
Cedar
0.50
0.50
1
1
0.00
0.50
0
0
College and Success Indicators
The school grading CCR point computation: A case study
The final grade assignments for schools:
• Max. 5 pts credit for participating in at least one of the CCR indicators
• Max. 10pts credit for successfully completing at or above benchmark
CCR Participation
High
Points
School
[P_POINTS]
CCR Success
Points
[S_POINTS]
CCR Overall (as
posted in School
Grading Reports)
CCR Letter Grade
Pine
1x5=5
0.6 x 10 = 6
5 + 6 = 11
C
Walnut
1x5=5
1 x 10 = 10
5 + 10 = 15
A
Oak
1x5=5
0.5 x 10 = 5
5 + 5 = 10
C
Cedar
1x5=5
0 x 10 = 0
5+0=5
F
College and Success Indicators
Tracking New Mexico High School Graduates
National Postsecondary Enrollment (c) 11:
Of the students who graduate from high school, the number and
percentage who enroll in an Institution of Higher Education within
16 months of receiving a regular high school diploma.
• Public or private postsecondary enrollment
• Postsecondary enrollment within 16 months of high school
graduation
College and Success Indicators
Tracking New Mexico High School Graduates
In-State Postsecondary Enrollment (c) 12:
Of the students who graduate from high school who enroll in a
public IHE in the State within 16 months of receiving a regular
high school diploma, the number and percentage who
complete at least one year’s worth of college credit within two
years of enrollment in the IHE.
– public IHE only (no private postsecondary)
– enrolled within 16 months of graduation
– complete one year’s credit within two years of
postsecondary enrollment
College and Success Indicators
C(11) Timeline
Aug 2015
Graduation completed
Aug 2015 – Dec 2016
16 months to enroll in IHE
Aug 2015
Sep 2017
C(11) for 2015 Graduates
completed reporting
Sep 2017
Dec 2016
C(12) Timeline
Aug 2013
Graduation completed
Aug 2013
Aug 2015 – Dec 2016
16 months to enroll in IHE
Dec 2014
Dec 2014 – Dec 2016
24 months to complete one year of College credit
Sept 2017
C(12) for 2013 Graduates
Completed reporting
Dec 2016
Sept 2017
College and Success Indicators
ALL
ASIAN
STUDENTS
YEAR GRADUATED
OUTCOME
2012
ENROLLED IN
STATE PUBLIC
INSTITUTION
11478
2012
ENROLLED
ANYWHERE IN
US
2012
ELIGIBLE
2010
2010
CREDIT
EARNED
DID NOT EARN
CREDIT
WHITE
BLACK
INDIAN
HISPANIC
ECON
ELL
SWD
199
3611
311
1153
6204
5652
592
691
12872
241
4255
363
1340
6673
6171
651
755
19123
293
5700
501
2389
10240
10293
1527
1879
8546
184
3185
193
735
4249
3542
286
487
10539
131
3287
299
1495
5327
5864
1046
1610
Data highlights C(11):
• 67.3% of HS Graduates enroll within 16 months of graduation in a IHE.
•
7.3% enrolled in an IHE other than a in-state public institution.
Data highlights C(12):
• 44.8% of HS Graduates earned one year worth of college credit within 24
months of enrolling in a in-state public institution
• Asian American were the most likely to accumulate one year worth of college
credit within 24 month of enrollment among all ethnic groups.
College and Success Indicators
Enrollment in a IHE within 16 months of HS graduation
by ethnicity and NCLB subgroups
0.9
0.82
Proportion
0.8
0.75
0.72
0.65
0.7
0.6
0.60
0.56
0.5
0.43
0.40
ELL
SWD
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
ASIAN
WHITE
BLACK
HISPANIC
ECON
INDIAN
Ethnicity and NCLB subgroups
College and Success Indicators
HS Graduates by ethnicity and NCLB subgroups
enrolling in a IHE other than a public in-state IHE
0.2
0.18
0.17
0.15
Proportion
0.16
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.08
0.09
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
ASIAN
WHITE
BLACK
INDIAN HISPANIC
ECON
Ethnicitiy and NCLB subgroups
ELL
SWD
College and Success Indicators
2010 HS Graduates that earned one year worth of
college credit within 24 months of enrollment in a
IHE
0.7
0.58
Proportions
0.6
0.5
0.49
0.45
0.44
0.39
0.4
0.33
0.38
0.3
0.21
0.23
ELL
SWD
0.2
0.1
0
ALL
STUDENTS
ASIAN
WHITE
HISPANIC
BLACK
INDIAN
ECON
Ethnicity and NCLB subgroups
QUESTIONS?
Pascal Buser
Operations Research Analyst
Assessment & Accountability
Division
[email protected]
(505) 827-6595