Defining a List of Climate Relevant Indicators: World Bank Experience Daniel Kull Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) World.
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Defining a List of Climate Relevant Indicators: World Bank Experience Daniel Kull Senior Disaster Risk Management Specialist Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) World Bank Geneva, 19 November, 2012 Categories of Indicators • • • • • • Climate Exposure to impacts Resilience GHG emissions & energy use National-level actions Carbon markets Climate Indicators Included: • Temperature: historical averages, projected change • Precipitation: historical averages, projected change • Projected changes in hot & cold days/nights Also Available: • Geo-spatial historical climate data • Future GCM and ensemble data Mozambique example 4 Exposure to Impacts • Land and population below 5 meters • Population affected by droughts, floods, extreme temperatures • Urban population • Fresh water access and irrigation • Poverty: less than $1.25/day • Health, malnutrition and disease incidence Mozambique example 6 Resilience • Access to improved sanitation, water sources and electricity • Cereal yields • Paved roads • Health workers per capita • Foreign direct investment (FDI) and infrastructure investment • Ease of Doing Business ranking • Education completion level; male/female ratio Mozambique example 8 GHG emissions & energy use • GHG emissions: total, per capita, per GDP/PPP • GHG contributions (sinks) from forestry and land use • Energy use: per capita, per GDP National Actions & Carbon Markets • UNFCCC National Communication • Emissions reduction pledges • NAMA (Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action) submission • NAPA (National Adaptation Program of Action) submission • Renewable energy target • CDM projects & reductions • Joint implementation projects (JI) and issued emission reduction units (ERU) Mozambique example 11 Parting thoughts… • National climate change statistics for standard tracking should allow at the minimum for a first level screening of a country's climate change risks and exposure. • This is needed both for adaptation and mitigation. • For current adaptation efforts, disaster-related climate change statistics are urgently needed to understand variability and current/future losses: GDP loss from extreme climate events, number of people affected, number killed, etc. • Globally these could ultimately be utilized to monitor any potential Sustainable Development Goal(s) related to disaster management, resilience and/or climate change adaptation. 12