Basics of Patent Valuation Guriqbal Singh Jaiya Director SMEs Division ( www.wipo.int/sme/ ) World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO)
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Basics of Patent Valuation Guriqbal Singh Jaiya Director SMEs Division ( www.wipo.int/sme/ ) World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) Inventions • Of no economic value if not exploited • Generally of higher economic value if protected by a patent (family of patents) and exploited • Leveraging: Unlike a tangible product, an inventions or a patent may be licensed several times over to many others for the same or different purposes, in the same or different geographical areas, for the same or different duration; easier to license if patented Phases of an Invention Investment Phase – development – filing and prosecuting patents Return on Investment Phase – commercialization – generating income Stages of Technology 1 • embryonic stage of development • new and needing further development • market proven • about to be supplemented or replaced by new developments Stages of Technology 2 • untested idea – outcome completely unknown • working model (bench top) – works in laboratory environment and justifies further development • prototype – feasibility shown, commercialization still not sure • commercialized – market success still not guaranteed Commercializing Patents by... • own manufacture and own marketing of patented product • licensing of patent (portfolio) • selling of (part of) the patent (portfolio) • Permutations/combinations of above Challenges in Valuation 1 Computing the value of a patent – always difficult; beauty/eye of the beholder ($$$) – more difficult in early stages than at the stage of marketing a technology/product – legal, technical and commercial risks change greatly during its legal life span • patent (granted with or without examination) • technology/product does not work • customer unable or unwilling to pay a profitable price Challenges in Valuation 2 Computing the value of a patent – claims: quality of drafting; defensive/offensive – part of a bundle or not (royalty stacking; core or not;defensive/offensive/prestige) – freedom to operate/use; convoyed sales; standard – complementary assets (other patents, know how, skills, equipment, networks, etc) – disputes (ownership; validity; scope) – risk of obsolescence (balance legal/economic life) Motivations For IP Valuation (1) • • • • • • • Traditional Bank Financing Angel/Venture Capital Investing Licensing Sale, Merger, Acquisition Employee Compensation, Gift Bankruptcy/Liquidation IP Investment Holding Company Motivations For IP Valuation (2) • • • • • • • Taxation/Transfer Pricing Insurance Joint Ventures/Strategic Alliances Estate Duty Capital Markets/Securitization Enforcement/Litigation Off-balance sheet financing Valuation:Those Interested are... • • • • Employees Investors Shareholders Investment Bankers • IPO Specialists • Wall Street analysts • Merger & Acquisition Interests • Licensees, Franchisees • Internal asset Managers • International affiliates • The Media • Other Stakeholders Standards of Value... • • • • • • • • • Fair Market Value Market Value Insurable Value Fair Value Collateral Value Ad Valorem Value Acquisition Value Use Value Investment Value Valuation • Of a Company • Of its IP Assets • Due Diligence (Evaluate, Valuation) • Accounting of Intangibles (Balance sheet) Valuation Steps A. Data Collection and Analysis (Due Diligence) B. Valuation Methods C. Economic Life Analysis D. Value Conclusion E. Reporting Due Diligence... • Cost of Valuation: May be high! • Expensive: To be amortized over the life of the loan as a higher rate of interest • Expertise: Quality of in-house or external valuation expert; team effort • When (Timing) • How often (Periodicity) IP Valuation Methods • Cost Approach • Market Approach • Income Approach • Judicial Approach Cost Approach • Economic principle of substitution • Reproduction cost (Exact replica) • Replacement cost (Different form or appearance) Cost Approach • • • • • COMPONENTS Materials Labor Overheads Intangible Asset Developer’s profit/reward Entrepreneurial Incentive Cost Approach OBSOLESCENCE • Physical • Functional • Technological • Economic Market Approach • Expected sale price at a specific time, in a particular market, based on comparable arm’s length market transactions • Extensive knowledge of comparable data required Income Approach Present Value of Future Income Stream • Future Income Stream (Economic Income) • Duration (Life: Legal, contractual, judicial, physical, technological, functional, analytical, economic) • Risk (Uncertainty of receiving expected income; interest rates and investment climate) Methods to Determine Income Stream • • • • • Residual Earnings Approach Excess Earnings Approach Loss of Income Approach Relief From Royalty Approach Stock Options (BlackScholes/Merton Approach) Residual Earnings Approach • Business Unit Scale • Technology Scale • Product Scale • Trademark or Patent Scale Residual Earnings Approach Methods • • • • • • • Monte Carlo Knowledge Capital Score Card Tech Factor Method Crystal Ball Technology Risk and Reward Unit Metrics Technology Review Patent Scorecard @Risk Judicial Approach • Hypothetical Negotiation Between Willing Seller and Buyer • Georgia Pacific Factors (15) Georgia Pacific Factors (Patent) 1. Commercial success, current popularity, and profitability of Patented Product (PP); 2. Advantages of PP over old products; 3. Nature of patented invention, character of products embodying invention, benefits to those using the invention; 4. Likely profit margin on PP; 5. Portion of profit credited to patented invention; Georgia Pacific Factors (Patent) 6. Benefit to non-patented items by sale of PP; 7. Duration and other terms and conditions of patent license; 8. Extent to which infringer has made use of the patented invention; 9. Prior and existing licenses under the patent; 10. Terms for licensing other technologies by licensee; Georgia Pacific Factors (Patent) 11. Patent owner’s licensing and marketing policy; 12. Commercial relationship between the licensor and licensee; 13. Nature and scope of license: territories, field of use, exclusivity, etc; 14. Industry specific practices for comparable patents (established royalty agreements); and 15. Opinion of Experts Trademark or Brand-related Bundle • • • • • • Logo and Logotype Sub-brands Domain Names Trade dress Related Copyrights Secondary trademarks • Advertising Concepts • Graphics • Labeling and Packaging design • Product shapes • Web-based assets Attributes Affecting TM Value 1 • • • • • • • • Age Use Potential for Expansion Potential for Exploitation Associations Connotations Timeliness Quality Attributes Affecting TM Value 2 • • • • • • Profitability Expenses of promoting Means of promoting Market share Market potential Name recognition