Presentation Slides for Air Pollution and Global Warming: History, Science, and Solutions Chapter 8: International Regulation of Urban Smog Since the 1940s By Mark Z.
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Presentation Slides for Air Pollution and Global Warming: History, Science, and Solutions Chapter 8: International Regulation of Urban Smog Since the 1940s By Mark Z. Jacobson Cambridge University Press (2012) Last update: February 13, 2012 The photographs shown here either appear in the textbook or were obtained from the internet and are provided to facilitate their display during course instruction. Permissions for publication of photographs must be requested from individual copyright holders. The source of each photograph is given below the figure and/or in the back of the textbook. Air Pollution Review 1940s, 1950s 1940s: Smog severe in Los Angeles 1947: Los Angeles Air Pollution Control District forms 1948: Donora, Pennsylvania smog disaster 1949: National symposium on air pollution in Los Angeles 1951: Oregon approves agency to control air pollution 1952: Air pollution disaster in London mid-1950s: Ozone levels in Los Angeles reach 0.65 ppmv 1955: Eisenhower asks Congress to examine air pollution Air Pollution Laws 1950s U.S. Air Pollution Control Act of 1955 Federal technical assistance to state air pollution control Funding of Public Health Service for studies of air pollution Did not impose regulations on air pollution Delegated regulation to state and local level English Clean Air Act of 1956 Controlled household, industrial dark smoke emission in London No control of sulfur dioxide Smokeless zones in London. Relocation of many power plants to rural areas U. S. Air Pollution Laws 1959 California Motor Vehicle Control Board set first auto emission standard worldwide. 1963 model cars required to reroute crankcase hydrocarbon emissions back to manifold for reburning. 1960 NOx control device 1959 Corvette Awesomecarauctions.com aqmd.gov 1962 New York City, 1963 U. S. Air Pollution Laws Clear Air Act of 1963 • Gave federal government authority to regulate interstate pollution • Emission standards for stationary sources (power plants, steel) • No automobile controls www.ametsco.org Motor Vehicle Air Pollution Control Act of 1965 First regulation of automobiles at federal level Emission standards to reduce tailpipe HCs 72%, CO(g) 56% For 1968 model cars; patterned after California for 1966 cars More than half of 1968 and 1969 cars did not meet standard Dipity.s3.amazonaws.com Air Quality Act of 1967 U.S. divided into Air Quality Control Regions (AQCR) Required publication of Air Quality Criteria (AQC) reports Science reports about effects of pollutants on health/welfare Provide suggestions about acceptable levels of pollution States set their own standards based on AQC reports State Implementation Plans (SIP) State plan for regulation submitted to federal government If no state enforcement, federal government could sue state EPA Regions www.croll.com California Air Districts www.ellsworth.com Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970 Creation of U. S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) Primary: to protect public health (e.g., asthmatics, elderly) Secondary: to protect public welfare (e.g., visibility, buildings) Criteria Air Pollutants Originally: CO(g), NO2(g), SO2(g), TSP, HCs, oxidants Lead added in 1976 Oxidants change to O3(g) in 1979 HCs removed in 1983 TSP changed to PM10; PM2.5 added in 1997 Clean Air Act Amendments of 1970 Attainment areas Regions where primary standards met Nonattainment areas Regions where primary standards were not met New Source Performance Standards (NSPS) Set by USEPA to limit emission from new stationary sources National Emission Standards for Hazardous Pollutants (NESHAPS) For pollutants causing mortality, severe illness Initially, for, asbestos, beryllium, mercury. List expanded in 1984 Congressional control of automobile emissions Required 90% reduction HCs, CO(g) by 1975 and NOx by 1976 Catalytic Converter 1975: Single-bed catalyst Converts CO(g) and HCs to CO2(g) 1976: Duel-bed catalyst Additional bed to convert NOx(g) to N2(g) 1979: Three-way catalyst Converts CO(g), HCs, NOx(g) in single bed Exhaust gas travels for 50 milliseconds over the metals platinum/palladium or platinum/rhodium, which are spread over ceramic or metallic honeycombs to increase surface area Catalytic converter --> significant emission reductions CAFE Standards 1975: Energy Policy Conservation Act Gave NHTSA right to set Corporate Average Fuel Economy Standards for cars and light trucks (<3900 kg) & SUVs < 4500 kg 1978 First CAFE standard for passenger vehicles 18 mpg 1990-2010 27.5 mpg 2011 30.2 mpg Clean Air Act Amendments of 1977 Prevention of Significant Deterioration (PSD) in areas already under attainment. Three classes of regions designated: Class I: Pristine areas (parks, wilderness) no new sources Class II: Moderate changes allowed but regulations desired Class III: Major growth allowed if NAAQS not exceeded PSD permit needed for growth in region allowing growth New source must use Best Available Control Technology (BACT) Computer modeling mandated to check whether new pollution sources might result in standard exceedence Control of CFCs Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 1990: 96 cities still in violation of ozone NAAQS --> nonattainment areas divided into six categories “Extreme:” Los Angeles “Severe:” Baltimore, New York “Severe:” Chicago, Houston New sources in nonattainment areas must achieve Lowest Achievable Emissions Rate (LAER) by adopting Reasonably Achievable Control Technology (RACT) Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPs) Emission limits for 189 toxic chemicals using Maximum Achievable Control Technologies (MACTs) More control of CFCs Clean Air Act Revision of 1997 Change in ozone standard 0.08 ppmv over 8-hour average instead of 0.12 ppmv over 1-hour average Addition of PM2.5 standard California Waiver CAAA70 states that the U.S. EPA Administrator has authority to set and revise “…standards applicable to the emission of any pollutant from any class or classes of new motor vehicles or new motor vehicle engines, which in his judgment cause, or contribute to, air pollution which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health or welfare.” (Section 202(a)(1)” April, 2007. Supreme Court in Mass v. EPA decided that this clause gave the EPA Administrator authority to decide whether to regulate carbon dioxide based on health impacts. U.S. Federal Emission Standards for Light-Duty Vehicles HCs Year (g/mi) 1968-70 3.2 1971-2 4.6 1972 3.4 1973-4 3.4 1975-6 1.5 1977-9 1.5 1980 0.41 1981 0.41 1982-6 0.41 1987-93 0.41 1994-2003 0.31 2004-on 0.09 2004 SULEV 0.01 2004 ZEV 0.0 CO (g/mi) 33 47 39 39 15 15 7.0 3.4 3.4 3.4 4.2 4.2 1.0 0.0 NOx (g/mi) -4.0 -3.0 3.1 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.07 0.02 0.0 Pb (g/gal) -----0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0 0 0.0 PM (g/mi) --------0.6 0.2 0.10 0.01 (US fleet avg.) 0.01 California & NE 0.0 California & NE U.S. Ambient Ozone Standards Health Standard Level Federal 8-hr Federal 1-hr Health advisory 1-hr Stage 1 smog alert 1-hr Stage 2 smog alert 1-hr Stage 3 smog alert 1-hr Ozone Mixing Ratio (ppbv) 75 120 150 200 350 500 Table 8.3 U.S. and European Union (E.U.) Ambient Air Quality Standards 2011 Pollutant Ozone 8-hr average (ppbv) Carbon monoxide 8-hr avg. (ppmv) Nitrogen dioxide 1-hr avg. (ppbv) Sulfur dioxide 1-hr avg. (ppmv) PM2.5 annual avg. (ug/m3 ) PM10 annual avg. (ug/m3 ) U.S. 75 9 100 0.075 15 20 E.U. 60 9 105 0.13 25 40 Tables 8.2, 8.6 300 0.5 Basin maximum 250 0.25 200 Fed. 8-hr 150 100 50 H.A. Stage 2 Stage 1 0 Basin maximum (ppmv) Days of exceedences per year Days per Year that Ozone in Los Angeles Exceeded Given Standard 0 1975 1985 1995 Year 2005 Figure 8.2, SCAQMD 3 Maximum hourly O (g) (ppmv) Maximum Ozone Trend by District 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 South Coast North Central Coast S.F. Bay Area San Joaquin Valley 0.3 0.2 0.1 0 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year Figure 8.3, CARB (2011) Maximum PM2.5 Trend by District Figure 8.3, CARB (2011) Avg. California mixing ratio (ppbv) California Average Organic Gases Since 1990 10 Formaldehyde Toluene 1 Acetaldehyde Benzene 1,3-butadiene m/p-xylene 0.1 1990 1995 2000 Year 2005 2010 Figure 8.4, CARB (2011) U.S. Air Quality Trends 1980-2009 Figure 8.1, USEPA (2011) U.S. Air Quality Trends 1980-2009 14 2 10 8 6 2.5 1.5 1 Pb(s) 4 0.5 3 PM 2.5 3 PM Pb(s) (mg/m ) (mg/m ) 12 2 0 1980 1990 2000 b) Year 0 2010 Figure 8.1, USEPA (2011) Visual Range Trends 30 U.S. National Parks Figure 8.5 Visibility Trends, Europe Figure 8.5, Stjern et al. (2011) Air Pollution Regulations Versus Economy 1980-2009 U.S. GDP per capita increased from $12,200 to $46,500 (+280%) Avg. max ozone decreased from 101 ppbv to 69 ppbv (-31%) Inventions from air pollution regulation Control devices Engine and fuel improvements Renewable energy technologies Jobs from air pollution regulation Renewable energy industry; control device industry, engine and fuels industries, pollution/climate science industry, supercomputer industry, regulatory bodies Worldwide Mortality From Pollution, Some Other Sources World Health Organization (2002) Indoor air pollution 1.62 million deaths/year Outdoor air pollution 0.80 Climate change 0.15 (disease, heat stress) Tobacco smoke 4.91 Water pollution 1.73 Malnutrition 3.75 High blood pressure 7.14 European Union Laws Directive Pollution regulation binding on all member nations but takes into account needs of specific country Regulation Law applied uniformly to all member nations Decision Direction for specific member nation Norilsk, Russia http://www.worldinterestingfacts.com/infrastructure/top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world.html Tianying, China http://www.worldinterestingfacts.com/infrastructure/top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world.html Sukinda, India http://www.worldinterestingfacts.com/infrastructure/top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world.html Linfen, China http://www.worldinterestingfacts.com/infrastructure/top-10-most-polluted-cities-in-the-world.html Moscow, Moscow, St. Petersburg V. Zhuravlev/A. Lebedev, S. Gordeev/Dreamstime.com Zaporozhve, Ukraine (Aug. 7, 2010) K. Moskalenko/Dreamstime.com Cairo (Feb. 15, 2009) Jakezc/Dreamstime.com Calcutta and New Delhi Samrat35/Digitalfestival/Dreamstime.com Guangzhou, China HSC/Dreamstime.com Beijing (August, 2007) Andrew Chang Five Days in Beijing Andrew Chang and Kimberly Ong Asian Brown Cloud NASA/GeoEye Taipei (July 12, 2009) C. Rawlins/Dreamstime Bangkok (March 11, 2010) A.A. Totah/Dreamstime Mexico City A. Fagundes/Dreamstime Sugarcane Field Burn, Brazil (April, 2009) S. Van Tonder/Dreamstime