Transcript Tom Peters’ Re-Imagine! Business Excellence in a Disruptive Age New York/03.09.2004 Slides at … tompeters.com.

Tom Peters’
Re-Imagine!
Business Excellence
in a Disruptive Age
New York/03.09.2004
Slides at …
tompeters.com
1. All Bets
Are Off.
“14 MILLION
service jobs are in
danger of being
shipped overseas” —
The Dobbs Report/USN&WR/11.03/re new UCB
study
“There is no job
that is America’s
God-given right
anymore.”
—Carly Fiorina/ HP/
01.08.2004
“The world has arrived at a rare
strategic inflection point where
nearly half its population—living in
China, India and Russia—have been
integrated into the global market
economy, many of them highly
educated workers, who can do
just about any job in the world.
We’re talking about three billion
people.” —Craig Barrett/Intel/01.08.2004
“We are in a
brawl with no
rules.”
Paul Allaire
2. The
Destruction
Imperative.
Forbes100 from 1917 to 1987: 39
members of the Class of ’17 were alive
in ’87; 18 in ’87 F100; 18 F100
“survivors” underperformed the market
by 20%; just 2 (2%), GE & Kodak,
outperformed the market 1917 to 1987.
S&P 500 from 1957 to 1997: 74 members of the Class of ’57 were
alive in ’97; 12 (2.4%) of 500 outperformed the market from 1957
to 1997.
Source: Dick Foster & Sarah Kaplan, Creative Destruction: Why
Companies That Are Built to Last Underperform the Market
“Good management was the
most powerful reason [leading
firms] failed to stay atop their
industries. Precisely because these firms
listened to their customers, invested aggressively in
technologies that would provide their customers more
and better products of the sort they wanted, and
because they carefully studied market trends and
systematically allocated investment capital to
innovations that promised the best returns, they lost
their positions of leadership.”
Clayton Christensen, The Innovator’s Dilemma
3. IS/ IT/ Web:
“On the Bus” or
“Off the Bus.”
“Ebusiness is about rebuilding
the organization from the
ground up. Most companies today
are not built to exploit the Internet.
Their business processes, their
approvals, their hierarchies, the
number of people they employ … all of
that is wrong for running an
ebusiness.”
Ray Lane, Kleiner Perkins
“Dawn Meyerreicks, CTO of the Defense Information Systems Agency, made
one of the most fateful military calls of the 21st century. After 9/11 … her office
quickly leased all the available transponders covering Central Asia. The
implications should change everything about U.S. military thinking in the
years ahead.
“The U.S. Air Force had kicked off its fight against the Taliban with an
ineffective bombing campaign, and Washington was anguishing over whether
to send in a few Army divisions. Donald Rumsfeld told Gen. Tommy Franks to
give the initiative to 250 Special Forces already on the ground. They used
satellite phones, Predator surveillance drones, and GPS- and laser-based
targeting systems to make the air strikes brutally effective.
“In effect, they ‘Napsterized’ the battlefield by cutting out the middlemen
(much of the military’s command and control) and working directly with the
real players. … The data came in so fast that HQ revised operating procedures
to allow intelligence analysts and attack planners to work directly together.
Their favorite tool, incidentally, was instant messaging over a secure
network.”—Ned Desmond/“Broadband’s New Killer App”/Business 2.0/
OCT2002
Case:
CRM
“CRM has, almost
universally, failed
to live up to
expectations.”
Butler Group (UK)
FT: “The aim [of
CRM] is to make customers
feel as they did in the preelectronic age when service
was more personal.”
No! No! No!
CGE&Y (Paul Cole): “Pleasant
“Systemic
Opportunity.” “Better job
of what we do today” vs. “Rethink overall
enterprise strategy.”
Transaction” vs.
4. The White
Collar
Revolution.
Jeff Immelt: 75% of “admin, back
room, finance” “digitalized” in
years.
Source: BW (01.02)
“Organizations will still be
critically important in the world,
but as ‘organizers,’ not
‘employers’!” — Charles Handy
Ford: “Vehicle
brand
owner” (“design, engineer, and
market, but not actually make”)
Source: The Company, John Micklethwait & Adrian Wooldridge
5. The “PSF
Solution”:
The Professional
Service Firm Model.
“ Daddy,
what do you do?”
Sarah:
“I’m a ‘cost
center.’ ”
Daddy:
Answer: PSF!
[Professional Service Firm]
Department Head
to …
Managing Partner,
HR [IS, etc.] Inc.
6. The Heart of the Value
Added Revolution:
PSFs Unbound/ The
“Solutions
Imperative.”
“The ‘surplus society’ has a surplus of
similar companies, employing
similar people, with similar
educational backgrounds, coming up
with similar ideas, producing
similar things, with similar prices
and similar quality.”
Kjell Nordström and Jonas Ridderstråle, Funky Business
“We make over three new
product announcements a
day. Can you remember
them? Our
customers
can’t!”
Carly Fiorina
09.11.2000: HP bids
$18,000,000,000
for
PricewaterhouseCoopers
consulting business!
“These days, building
the best server isn’t
enough. That’s the
price of entry.”
Ann Livermore, Hewlett-Packard
Systems
Integrator of
choice. Global Services:
Gerstner’s IBM:
$35B. Pledge/’99: Business
Partner Charter. 72 strategic partners,
aim for 200. Drop many in-house
programs/products. (BW/12.01).
“UPS wants to take over the
sweet spot in the endless loop
of goods, information and
capital that all the packages
[it moves] represent.”
ecompany.com/06.01 (E.g., UPS Logistics
manages the logistics of 4.5M Ford vehicles,
from 21 mfg. sites to 6,000 NA dealers)
And the Winners Are …
Televisions –12%
Cable TV service +5%
Toys -10%
Child care +5%
Photo equipment -7%
Photographer’s fees +3%
Sports Equipment -2%
Admission to sporting event +3%
New car -2%
Car repair +3%
Dishes & flatware -1%
Eating out +2%
Gardening supplies -0.1%
Gardening services +2%
Source: WSJ/05.16.03
7. A World of
Scintillating
“Experiences.”
“Experiences are as
distinct from services
as services are from
goods.”
Joseph Pine & James Gilmore, The Experience Economy:
Work Is Theatre & Every Business a Stage
“Club Med
is more
than just a ‘resort’; it’s a
means of rediscovering
oneself, of inventing an
entirely new ‘me.’ ”
Source: Jean-Marie Dru, Disruption
“The [Starbucks] Fix” Is on …
“We have identified a ‘third
place.’ And I really believe that
sets us apart. The third place is
that place that’s not work or
home. It’s the place our
customers come for refuge.”
Nancy Orsolini, District Manager
Experience: “Rebel Lifestyle!”
“What we sell is the ability for
a 43-year-old accountant to
dress in black leather, ride
through small towns and have
people be afraid of him.”
Harley exec, quoted in Results-Based Leadership
WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR YOU?
The “Experience Ladder”
Experiences
Services
Goods
Raw Materials
Duet … Whirlpool … “washing machine” to
“fabric care system” … white goods: “a sea of
undifferentiated boxes” … $400 to $1,300 …
“the Ferrari of washing machines” …
consumer: “They are our little mechanical
buddies. They have personality. When they are
running efficiently, our lives are running
efficiently. They are part of my family.” …
“machine as aesthetic showpiece” … “laundry
room” to “family studio” / “designer laundry
room” (complements Sub-Zero refrigerator and
home-theater center.
Source: New York Times Magazine/01.11.2004
8. Trends Worth Trillion$$$ I:
Women
Roar.
?????????
Home Furnishings … 94%
Vacations … 92% (Adventure Travel … 70%/ $55B travel equipment)
Houses … 91%
D.I.Y. (major “home projects”) … 80%
Consumer Electronics … 51% (66% home computers)
Cars … 68% (90%)
All consumer purchases … 83%
Bank Account … 89%
Household investment decisions … 67%
Small business loans/biz starts … 70%
Health Care … 80%
91% women:
ADVERTISERS DON’T
UNDERSTAND US.
(58% “ANNOYED.”)
Source: Greenfield Online for Arnold’s Women’s Insight Team
(Martha Barletta, Marketing to Women)
Read This Book …
EVEolution:
The Eight Truths of
Marketing to Women
Faith Popcorn & Lys Marigold
EVEolution: Truth No. 1
Connecting Your Female
Consumers to Each
Other Connects Them to
Your Brand
“The ‘Connection Proclivity’ in
women starts early. When asked,
‘How was school today?’ a girl
usually tells her mother every
detail of what happened, while a
boy might grunt, ‘Fine.’ ”
EVEolution
“Women don’t buy
They
join them.”
brands.
EVEolution
2.6
vs.
1. Men and women are different.
2. Very different.
3. VERY, VERY DIFFERENT.
4. Women & Men have a-b-s-o-l-u-t-e-l-y
nothing in common.
5. Women buy lotsa stuff.
6. WOMEN BUY A-L-L THE STUFF.
7. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1.
8. Men are (STILL) in charge.
9. MEN ARE … TOTALLY, HOPELESSLY
CLUELESS ABOUT WOMEN.
10. Women’s Market = Opportunity No. 1.
9. Trends Worth Trillion$$$ II:
Boomer
Bonanza/
Godzilla Geezer.
2000-2010 Stats
18-44: -1%
55+: +21%
(55-64: +47%)
44-65: “New
Consumer
Majority” *
*45% larger than 18-43; 60% larger by 2010
Source: Ageless Marketing, David Wolfe & Robert Snyder
“The New Consumer
Majority is the only adult
market with realistic
prospects for significant
sales growth in dozens of
product lines for thousands
of companies.” —David Wolfe & Robert
Snyder, Ageless Marketing
“Baby-boomer
Women: The Sweetest
of Sweet Spots for
Marketers”
—David Wolfe and Robert
Snyder, Ageless Marketing
50+
$7T wealth (70%)/$2T annual income
50% all discretionary spending
79% own homes/40M credit card users
41% new cars/48% luxury cars
$610B healthcare spending/
74% prescription drugs
5% of advertising targets
Ken Dychtwald, Age Power: How the 21st
Century Will Be Ruled by the New Old
“Marketers attempts at
reaching those over 50 have
been miserably
unsuccessful. No market’s
motivations and needs are
so poorly understood.”—Peter
Francese, founding publisher, American Demographics
10. Leading in Totally
Screwed Up Times: The
Passion Imperative.
“Reward
excellent
failures. Punish
mediocre successes.”
Phil Daniels, Sydney exec (and, de facto, Jack)
Successful Businesses’ Dozen Truths: TP’s 30-Year Perspective
1. Insanely Great & Quirky Talent.
2. Disrespect for Tradition.
3. Totally Passionate (to the Point of Irrationality) Belief in What
We Are Here to Do.
4. Utter Disbelief at the BS that Marks “Normal Industry Behavior.”
5. A Maniacal Bias for Execution … and Utter Contempt
for Those Who Don’t “Get It.”
6. Speed Demons.
7. Up or Out. (Meritocracy Is Thy Name. Sycophancy Is Thy Scourge.)
8. Passionate Hatred of Bureaucracy.
9. Willingness to Lead the Customer … and Take the Heat Associated
Therewith. (Mantra: Satan Invented Focus Groups to Derail True
Believers.)
10. “Reward Excellent Failures. Punish Mediocre Successes.”
11. Courage to Stand Alone on One’s Record of Accomplishment
Against All the Forces of Conventional Wisdom.
12. A Crystal Clear Understanding of Brand Power.
“If things seem
under control,
you’re just not
going
fast enough.”
Mario Andretti